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Abraham Nunez's Splits

Yesterday's Abraham Nunez signing would not be a bad one if it were a spring training minor league invite or even a cheap one year deal. However, for the next two years the Phillies are going to pay over $3M to Nunez in reaction to three months of his 9 year career. Check out this comparison:

BA OBP SLG OPS AB K BB
pre 2005 0.238 0.306 0.316 0.622 1489 278 142
2005 - Part 1 0.240 0.289 0.275 0.564 225 41 15
2005 - Part 2 0.337 0.404 0.459 0.863 196 22 22

Obviously, the pre-2005 row includes Nunez's stats before this past year. The 2005 Part 1 row, very similar to the pre-2005 row, shows his combined stats for April through May 1 of this year and August 1 through the end of the year. The 2005 Part 2 row shows his stats from May 2 through July 31.

So, basically, for about 200 at-bats over three months in the middle of 2005 he produced at an .863 OPS clip and had a great batting eye. However, for the 1700 at-bats and 8.5 years that constitute the rest of his career, including the rest of 2005, he has been a terrible hitter, batting around .240, getting on base only about 30% of the time (with an awful batting eye), and slugging a terrible .300.

Clearly, this is not production you reward with more than three million guaranteed dollars over two years.

Star-divide

[editor's note, by Alex Falzone]So much for the platoon split. Here's a table for Nunez's 2005 splits, both post All-Star Break and vs. righties and lefties. (n.b. I had to add this here because the comment field wouldn't take my table.)

Split BA OBP SLG OPS AB BB K
2005 - whole season .285 .343 .361 .704 421 37 63
2005 - vs. RHP .277 .331 .354 .685 347 28 54
2005 - vs. LHP .324 .398 .392 .790 74 9 9
2005 - post AS Break .278 .335 .335 .670 248 21 45
2005 - post AS Break vs. RHP .266 .318 .332 .650 199 15 40
2005 - post AS Break vs. LHP .327 .400 .347 .747 49 6 5

Update [2005-11-30 13:39:34 by Alex Falzone]:Here's the good news though. From 2002-2004, which is as far back as I could find splits for, he fared better against RHP's than against LHP's.

Split BA OBP SLG OPS AB BB K
2002-2004 .263 .318 .351 .669 914 73 152
2002-2004 vs. RHP .265 .314 .361 .675 778 56 129
2002-2004 vs. LHP .250 .340 .294 .634 136 17 23

So maybe it's not as bad as it looks. Of course, a .650-.700 OPS guy with no power isn't what most of us phans were hoping for as a platoon with Bell. But if he is going to spell Bell against RHP's, at least he has more power batting RH than he does batting LH, although his BB/K rate is substantially higher batting LH.

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about spelling Bell
Aren't there more RHP starters than LHPs?  So if we sit Bell against RHPs (which we obviously should), won't that be most of the time, and doesn't that make Nunez the starter and Bell the sub coming off the bench?

I hope steagles is on the right track.  Maybe we're hoping Nunez stays hot for two months and we flip him to, uh, somebody, Washington maybe, and then we bring up our star infield prospect, ______.

Oh, my bad, we don't have any such prospects, do we....

by The Navigator on Dec 1, 2005 6:29 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

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