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By the Time Cole Gets to Arizona: Phillies at Diamondbacks, June 5-7, 2006

June 5: Phillies 4, Diamondbacks 3 W: Fultz (1-0) L: Lyon (1-1) S: Gordon (18)
June 6: Phillies 10, Diamondbacks 1 W: Hamels (1-0) L: Ortiz (0-4)
June 7: Phillies 7, Diamondbacks 3 W: Madson (6-3) L: Nippert (0-1)

For more on the Diamondbacks, please visit our SBN sister site AZ Snake Pit

Having already squandered one opportunity to seize control of the NL East race by following up their 13-1 tear with 9 losses in 12 games, the Phils are now just trying to hang on and hang in. Since Pat Gillick took the GM job last fall, he has repeatedly stated that the team is a pitcher short; recently, it's been more like three. Brett Myers has turned in ten straight quality starts, including yesterday's 6.2 IP, 3 ER effort in Los Angeles; Cory Lidle has gone 6 IP or more in nine of his last ten starts. Beyond those two, however, the rotation couldn't be more of a crapshoot right now. Gavin Floyd is gone, Ryan Madson is hanging on, and in his 2006 debut Saturday Eude Brito offered no sign of being able to help. That the Phils split a four-game series in which all three made starts actually represents something of an achievement.

The team is trying to hang in the race while waiting for the cavalry. The first horse comes over the hill Tuesday, when lefty phenom Cole Hamels returns from the 15-day DL hoping to record his first major-league victory. Opening Day starter Jon Lieber, hurt last week against Washington, has started to feel better and could be back within two weeks; veteran lefty Randy Wolf is set to begin a minor-league rehab assignment and could be back in the big leagues within a month. Even without trading for outside pitching help, a Myers/Hamels/Lieber/Lidle/Wolf rotation, with Madson back in the bullpen, could keep the team in contention; the question is whether the Phils can stay close until everyone is back.

After a hard-earned two wins against a very talented Dodgers club, that task gets no easier this week in the dry heat of Phoenix.

Star-divide

Leading the NL West with a 34-22 record, the Diamondbacks look poised to make another postseason run five years after winning the World Series in 2001. Most of the stars from that team--Randy Johnson, Curt Schilling, Steve Finley, Mark Grace--are long gone, though Game 7 hero Luis Gonzalez remains. The big bats in today's Arizona lineup are OFs Eric Byrnes (.318, 10 HR, .965 OPS) and Shawn Green (.331 average), 3B Chad Tracy (.291, 10 HR, .849), and rookie 1B Conor Jackson (.291, .853 OPS). On the mound, Arizona has the current leading candidate for Cy Young Award honors in Brandon Webb, who is looking to improve to 9-0 with a win in Monday's opener. Webb has already thrown two complete-game shutouts en route to a 2.01 ERA and sick K/BB ratio of 58/10, allowing a home run approximately every 18 innings thus far. In six career starts against the Phillies, he's 2-2 with a 3.68 ERA.

Lidle, who seems to draw the opposition ace every time out, will try to keep pace. He's lost his one career start against the D'backs, surrendering six earned runs in just three innings. Hamels returns Tuesday, facing hard-throwing righty Juan Cruz; Madson, still looking for consistency in his starting role, opposes Russ Ortiz Wednesday as the struggling veteran (0-3, 6.91, 2.02 WHIP) returns from the DL.

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Lidle/Webb
Not a great start at all - Lidle gives up three, while Webb is continuing his scoreless innings streak....

by David S. Cohen on Jun 5, 2006 10:40 PM EDT reply actions  

keep it respectable, cory...
I just hope Lidle can go six innings, not abuse the bullpen, and we win the next two against mortal pitchers.

What's a shame is that the Phils had a couple early opportunities and just couldn't cash them.

by dajafi on Jun 5, 2006 10:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Or....
To build on that, the Phils get Webb out of there in the 7th or 8th and come back against the D-Backs' pen. A phan can dream, right?

by David S. Cohen on Jun 5, 2006 10:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

my earlier post
...shows, perhaps, the scarring effects of years of phandom.

This would be one hell of a game to win, though, and Mike Lieberthal's 8th inning RBI double has put the Phils in position to do that.

by dajafi on Jun 6, 2006 12:01 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great news!!
From Rotoworld:

Russ Ortiz - S - Diamondbacks
Russ Ortiz will start Wednesday's game against Philadelphia.

by David S. Cohen on Jun 6, 2006 3:24 PM EDT reply actions  

Big night for Lieby and Utley
Great come from behind victory against an ace last night. Here's how the game progressed from fangraphs.com:

by David S. Cohen on Jun 6, 2006 3:34 PM EDT reply actions  

AZ flip
Ortiz off the DL and starting tonight for Arizona, with Cruz going tomorrow against Madson.

That, and the fact that I evidently failed to activate Hamels in a fantasy league, bodes really well for the Phils.

Characteristic Ortiz thus far in the top of the first: Rollins crushed one to right that Green caught on the track, Utley was down in the count 0-2, and now Abreu is up.

by dajafi on Jun 6, 2006 9:46 PM EDT reply actions  

Me too
We have weekly transactions in my fantasy league, and I get to activate Hamels from the DL tonight, effective tomorrow, so I don't get this start. Oh well; as a phan, I'll certainly take it . . . so far.

by David S. Cohen on Jun 6, 2006 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

thru 3...
Hamels: 9 batters faced, 9 batters retired. Struck out the first two, then evidently felt bad and let his fielders do the rest. Has thrown 43 pitches, 33 for strikes.

As for Ortiz, he's thrown 71. The Phils nearly broke it open early against him: after a two-run Pat Burrell homer, they loaded the bases on a double and two walks before Sal Fasano managed to turn a 3-1 count into an inning-ending strikeout. (Hey, everyone's got a talent.) Since then, Ortiz has been pretty solid, and the score has stayed 2-0.  

by dajafi on Jun 6, 2006 10:41 PM EDT reply actions  

Hamels done for night
Lifted after 90 pitches. 5 2/3 IP, 3 hits, 2 walks, 1 run, 2 strikeouts (the first two batters of the game). Taken out with runners on 2nd and 3rd and two gone; Geoff Geary, who's been superb lately, retired Damian Easley to end the inning.

Hamels might have been gassed after scoring what I think was his first big-league run in the top of the inning. He worked a two-out walk, Rollins followed with a single, Utley hit it under the glove of Diamondbacks 1b Conor Jackson to score Hamels, and Bobby Abreu plated two more with a soft, unclutch  single.

Thru 6 1/2, Phils lead 6-1 with Geary still in the game.

by dajafi on Jun 6, 2006 11:55 PM EDT reply actions  

Win
Phils win, scoring 10 runs.  They blew the game wide open after Hamels left.

2-0 so far in Arizona.  That, combined with the Mets losing tonight, makes it a good night.

by lethal on Jun 7, 2006 2:04 AM EDT reply actions  

The Cole Hamels Show
We all hope this is the first win of many for Hamels. Last night was his night. He pitched excellently, although the lack of strikeouts was a bit baffling. I'll take it, though, if it means he walks fewer hitters. Here's the WPA chart from fangraphs.com:

Hamels's 5+ innings of 1 run ball led the way with a +26.0% WPA. In what is a rare feat, no Phillies pitcher had a negative WPA for the game. The hitters were led by Pat Burrell (+15.6%) and Ryan Howard (+13.3%), who had key RBIs early in the game. As is often the case when he's in the game, Sal Fasano (-6.8%) was at the bottom of the hitting list.

Get out the brooms for tonight!

by David S. Cohen on Jun 7, 2006 9:38 AM EDT reply actions  

Madson
Can't this Madson show up each game, instead of the other Madson? If he can pitch like that (against a tough lineup in a very hitting-friendly ballpark, I might add) and Hamels comes back strong, this rotation could come into form.

by David S. Cohen on Jun 7, 2006 9:17 PM EDT reply actions  

Fantasy
I guess yesterday was a bad day to drop Madson off my fantasy roster for Rocco Baldelli.

Then again, maybe it is because I gave up on him that he pitched as well as he did. Just to spite my fantasy team.  That has to be it.

by lethal on Jun 7, 2006 11:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

I did the same
Dropping Madson for Hamels returning from the DL.

by David S. Cohen on Jun 8, 2006 7:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

reversal of fortune
Arizona, six games before this series (2 vs. Mets, 4 vs. Braves): 5-1, outscored opposition 35-18.

Arizona vs. the Phils this week: 0-3, were outscored  7-21.

Between sweeping the Braves and getting swept by us, I think I have a new favorite team in the NL West.  

by dajafi on Jun 7, 2006 11:04 PM EDT reply actions  

Sweep courtesy of Madson, Abreu, and Howard
Nice game to sweep the D-Backs in their own stadium. Madson turned in the performance we've all been waiting for, and the hitters contributed almost across the board. Here's the progression of the game from fangraphs.com:

Ryan Madson's seven inning start led the way with a 20.7% WPA. By the time he gave up three runs, the Phils' chances of winning were high enough that he didn't get penalized much for them. The hitting WPA was well-distributed, with Bobby Abreu leading the team at +13.7% and Ryan Howard right behind him at +12.2%. Chase Utley took a rare negative night at -5.6%.

by David S. Cohen on Jun 8, 2006 10:35 AM EDT reply actions  

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