Abreu and Lidle traded for garbage
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(credit: Rube Waddell) |
Four years and a day after the Phillies dealt Scott Rolen to the Cardinals for an aging reliever, an injured minor-league starter and a league-average infielder, the team has made what might well be a worse deal to send an arguably better player out of Philadelphia.
Abreu and Cory Lidle, who has won his last four starts and is a career 41-25 pitcher after August 1, were traded for infielder C.J. Henry, lefty reliever Matt Smith, catcher Jesus Sanchez, and pitcher Carlos Monasterios. Smith is a triple-A lefty; the other three are 20, 18, and 20 respectively, and all played in the Gulf Coast League, the lowest level of the minors in the U.S. It's very possible that none of these four "prospects" will be anything more than marginal major-leaguers... in 2011 or so.
Henry, the most-heralded of these prospects, is a 20 year-old who put up a .714 OPS in the Gulf Coast League last season. This year at low-A Charleston, he's hitting .237 with a .676 OPS. Smith is... you know what? I don't give a shit. He's a 27 year-old effing relief pitcher.
This for Abreu, one of the best offensive players in club history, and Lidle, the best starter known to be on the market.
And this was a deal the Phillies didn't have to make. They could have made a better deal for Lidle alone, they could have held onto Abreu for next year, recouped two draft picks for Lidle, or dealt Abreu in the off-season.
I give up. This is just a crushing piece of bad news.
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Can't even
-- Stu
uh, what?
oh sheesh
Screw Gillick. I don't know why I bother with these morons anymore, they just suck.
Class
My favorite player of all-time, I hope he wins a World Series before he retires. Heck, win a few.
World Series
So, man, today probably couldn't be any worse than it is.
Meet the new boss
can't argue
Gillick evidently said in his press conference that the team "doesn't expect to contend" in 2007.
A TEAM IN THIS SIZE MARKET SHOULD EXPECT TO CONTEND EVERY SINGLE YEAR.
re:can't argue
I give up
Time to drink the tained Kool-Aid
by fuzzycopper on Jul 30, 2006 6:33 PM EDT reply actions
you guys need to look at the bigger picture
by Philsin06 on Jul 30, 2006 6:57 PM EDT reply actions
The bigger picture is also garbage
This is a salary dump, nothing more, nothing less. Who trusts the Phils to spend the money right?
in order to get those picks
by Philsin06 on Jul 30, 2006 9:20 PM EDT up reply actions
absurd
You seem to have as little understanding of baseball economics as you do of player evaluation.
as far as evaluation
by Philsin06 on Jul 30, 2006 10:56 PM EDT up reply actions
Umm
by kdon on Jul 30, 2006 7:55 PM EDT up reply actions
not all prospects are created equal
Henry, the "prize" of the bunch, is Greg Golson as an infielder with a worse attitude. The lefty reliever is a non-factor. The other two guys are so far away from the majors that you can't even really guess at what they might become.
This was a straight salary dump. The best way I can try to explain it is this: imagine the Phillies were in an alternate universe where they'd entered play today ten games over .500, in the lead for the wild-card and within striking distance of the Mets. They find out that the Cubs are dealing, and make a move to add Aramis Ramirez and Greg Maddux. They trade Golson, Brian Sanches, and two GCL guys you've never heard of for Ramirez and Maddux.
Now imagine you're a Cubs fan. How do you feel about this trade?
well lets see how baseball america views it
Henry, 20, was the 17th overall pick in 2005 out of an Oklahoma high school. Considered one of the top athletes in that draft, he could have played basketball at Kansas, where his father Carl played en route to a brief NBA career. There were some concerns that Henry's swing was long and mechanical, and that he would have to make several adjustments in order to hit for average. Those have proven to be well-founded. He batted just .249 in the Rookie-level Gulf Coast League in his debut, and just .237/.326/.350 with two homers, 33 RBIs and 14 steals in 76 games at low Class A Charleston this year. His raw power and his speed are both plus tools, and he has the physical skills to play shortstop as a 6-foot-3, 205-pounder
Smith, 27, was a 2000 fourth-round pick from Oklahoma State. He made his big league debut earlier this year, pitching 12 scoreless innings in as many appearances. He has spent most of the season at Triple-A Columbus, going 0-1, 2.08 in 24 appearances. He has a 22-8 K-BB ratio, .267 opponent average and three homers allowed in 26 innings. With an 88-92 mph fastball and a sweeping slider, he projects mostly as a situational lefthander.
Both Sanchez and Monasterios signed out of Venzuela in 2004 and have made their U.S. debuts this season in the GCL. Sanchez, 18, is quite athletic for a catcher and has promising catch-and-throw skills. His biggest drawback is a lack of power at 5-foot-11 and 160 pounds. He's hitting .264/.343/.319 with no homers and 10 RBIs in 23 games.
Monasterios, 20, has a live, loose arm and has a fastball that has been clocked up to 96 mph. The rest of his stuff is fringy at this point. He owns a 1-2, 2.97 record in seven games (three starts). He has a 24-3 K-BB ratio, .207 opponent average and two homers allowed in 30 innings.
by Philsin06 on Jul 30, 2006 9:25 PM EDT up reply actions
well...
But BA is notorious for over-valuing "tools." Give me guys who understand how to play the game.
The one thing I'll grant about Henry is that he's drawing walks this year. A 90-point gap between batting average and OBP is pretty solid.
complete failure
For comparison, here is what the Marlins obtained from the Mets for Delgado last November: RHP Yusmeiro Petit, C/1B-L Mike Jacobs, and 3B-R Grant Psomas.
What is really a kick in the teeth about this deal is that it doesn't cost the yankees much money. Sheffield and Williams are making a combined $12.25 million this year and are free agents after this season. With Abreu and Cabrera, the Yankees can let both of them walk.
by Celebre Twins on Jul 30, 2006 7:17 PM EDT reply actions
Baseball America
by Celebre Twins on Jul 30, 2006 7:31 PM EDT up reply actions
unimpressive
And while it's true that teams wouldn't give up the world for Abreu (who, regardless of which statistical method you prefer, still ranks as a Top 20 offensive force, even if he looks to be rapidly aging), we're supposed to get excited about a stack of single-A players with generally horrible stats? That CJ Henry was a #1 means he has a pedigree but he's done little else to back up the lofty standing to date. As for Smith, the only guy we'll see in the next few years, he's already 27 with a total of 12 unimpressive innings for his career.
I like the idea of tearing down this team and restocking the farm system so that the team might be good in a few years, but the C-level prospects they're stocking it with is, at best, underwhelming. And though, granted, it'll take years before this swap can be properly evaluated, right now it looks more like a glorified salary dump than a legitimate baseball trade.
by fuzzycopper on Jul 30, 2006 7:21 PM EDT reply actions
This is more about...
We can only hope the prospects turn into something good. I really don't know, but I can just hope.
In case nobody noticed
by Philsin06 on Jul 30, 2006 9:43 PM EDT reply actions
it's amazing...
Granted, a hidden benefit of being sellers could be that Madson gets the rest of the year to make his case for remaining in the rotation.
But trying to spin this mini-run as at all related to the Abreu deal is beyond silly. They've also got their two best hitters playing out of their minds right now, and Burrell is having a strong weekend.
like i said
by Philsin06 on Jul 30, 2006 10:34 PM EDT up reply actions
I cant believe i get killed because I look at the
by Philsin06 on Jul 30, 2006 10:38 PM EDT reply actions
lineup
And what I'm upset about, at least, isn't that Abreu was dealt--but that we got nothing of value for him after hearing some pretty appealing names. I'd rather have seen the Phils do what they did in the Thome deal: eat some chunk of salary and get back someone who might really help them win in 2008... by which time Abreu's contract would have been off the books anyway.
How do you see a #1 coming? What trade will bring that guy? Odds are very good IMO that Brett Myers is your opening-day starter next year. He's certainly not awful, but I don't think that's what you mean.
The team happens to be playing well--against a Marlins team that had been playing way over its head and was probably due for a rough stretch. Don't overemphasize a few days of games.
And when you're proven wrong, stick around and admit it.
I am just curious
by Philsin06 on Jul 30, 2006 10:53 PM EDT reply actions
see my post
they wouldnt be worth
by Philsin06 on Jul 30, 2006 11:41 PM EDT reply actions
Where is the money going?
The Phils needed to move forward...
You have to ask yourself one final question: If Gillack can't ring more talent for Abreu out of the rest of MLB now, then when can he do it? Would Abreu be worth more in the offseason to other teams, with no pennent race and no trade line bearing down on them, then he is now? I doubt it.
The longer the Phils wait to move the current bunch out, the harder it is to evaluate what talent is left. I was glad to see that Gillack is active trying to move Burrell--unfortunately Burrell is seriously overpaid for what his numbers are. Burrell would make a great DH but not at his current salary.
By the way this another reason we need to get the NL to adopt the DH ASAP, it is a serious handicapp for NL teams to have to deal with. Last year the Phils were forced to unload Jim Thome and now we're having the same problem with Burrell--I hate the DH but I'm sick of being screwed over by it.
I think the biggest myth about these trades is that we can "restock our minors" by trading away guys like Lidle and Abreu. I don't believe it will happen because we won't get enough minor league players. So many minor leaguers don't pan out, outside of the few higher percentage "can't miss" high picks, the only way to restock the minors is with good scouting and willingness to spend money on a lot of players with the understanding only a few will become everyday players or better in the majors. I'm sure Gillack will minor leaguers but not enough talent in those players to lead the Phils back to respectiablity.
The primary goal now should be to clear out salary and roster space to allow the Phils to play what young and new talent they do have so that they can be evaluated (and showcased) before the end of this year. If we can get some talent back, great, but if not, we should still do it. The Phils need to make some decisions over what we will need in the coming seasons to get back into contention.
I mean real contention, not this wild card bull***t "let's play .500 ball and hang around the edge of wild card race. Anything can happen in the post season, you know." That kind of talk in any sport (hockey and basketball especially) makes me want to vomit.
Every team should aspire to excellence and championship; not this half-way house of simply getting to the playoffs so you can have something for your marketing department to brag about in your season highlight reel. I'll gladly forgo a few wild-card apperences for a world series win or two. This kind of "well, we're not great but we don't suck either so I guess we're doing fine" kind of thinking is why the A's still have more world series wins than the Phillies, even the the A's left town over 50 years ago.
by xatsman on Jul 31, 2006 2:42 AM EDT reply actions
THE DH IS A CANCER ON THE GAME IN DISGUISE
So that, while the NL adopting the DH would help with NL teams become more competitive with the AL, overall, it would generate an even greater glut of older, decidedly washed-up pitchers on the major league scene, and we have an embarressment of those, already. What baseball really needs to do is GET RID OF THE DH and protect young, talented arms, accordingly.
by robbybonfire on Aug 22, 2006 7:55 AM EDT up reply actions
Ewww
it is essentially a strait dump for a ok middle reliever (gee those are hard to come by) and 3 guys that at best can be spinned as "guys that might become decent prospects" espically throwing in Lidle...
If it was strait for Abreu it might have made at least A LITTLE sense... but tossing in Lidle? Pat Gillick must either owe the Yankees some huge favor or hates someone in the Boston system...
Although I'm guessing he was really getting nothing at all, and was force into such a deal. dealing Abreu in the off season is probably tougher, as teams that need a OF could just go out a sign a Soriano / Lee and not needing to dish out prospects anyway....
All I can say is Gillick is going into a hell of a reconstruction job here.... or he's simply retarded...
Why not wait until today at 4?
No I don't think teams would have offered more....
I don't think teams would offer more on Monday at 4 pm then they would on Saturday at 4 pm. Everyone knows when the deadline is and it has been well known for a couple of weeks among baseball people the Phillies are trying to move people, in fact, most got a call from Gillack or one of the Asst. GMs.
The simple fact is this should have been done a couple of years ago and everyone knows it. So the Phillies are kind of screwed by waiting so long to do this badly overdue house cleaning.
Jack
by xatsman on Jul 31, 2006 10:47 AM EDT up reply actions
i disagree
by Celebre Twins on Jul 31, 2006 12:32 PM EDT up reply actions
I think we'l just have to agree to disagree here
Also Delucci won't stay unless the Phils give him some playing time so we need to start playing him now--he may not resign with the Phils anyway but we know he won't if he isn't giving playing time before the end of this season.
You make some good arguements though and I can certainly see how you would disagree with me.
by xatsman on Jul 31, 2006 1:57 PM EDT up reply actions
that's what kills me
AND this allows you to trade Lidle separately, which according to Jayson Stark would have netted the Phils more than they got in the combined trade. IMO a lot more. If not, then you recoup two high picks for Lidle next June. Or bring him back as a #4 in a youth-heavy rotation next season.
From a cold baseball standpoint, I'm more upset about Lidle having been included in this deal than I am about the crap return on Abreu.
liddle
by Celebre Twins on Jul 31, 2006 3:23 PM EDT up reply actions
NY papers praising the trade...
Pretty sad when the team that is trying to acquire can make a trade on their terms. Talk about how badly Gillick wanted to get rid of Abreu.
great googly moogly
So with all the moves, they've saved about what, $25 million? I don't have any hope whatsoever that this money will be well used. If you don't believe me, see Abraham Nunez, Ryan Franklin, Alex Gonzalez, Sal Fasano, Arthur Rhodes, etc.
The only positive right now is that Gillick is willing to get rid of his mistakes, which the previous GM did not do. However, being willing to get rid of your mistakes doesn't make a bit of difference if you're going to keep making mistakes in the first place.
Damn, I'm so disappointed. At least I have a keepsake of Bobby's time here, as the back of my 5-year-old's softball card lists Abreu as her favorite player.
see this is what i mean
by Philsin06 on Jul 31, 2006 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions
Agghhh
Pat Gillick looked down this morning and saw Brian Cashman's Rolex in the toilet bowl.

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