The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
That's Jimmy Rollins. I'm rooting for him to win the MVP today, because I like him a lot and want good things to happen to him and the Phllies. But, I don't think he's actually the MVP of the NL. Not by a longshot.
Here are a few of the reasons I don't think Rollins was actually the NL MVP:
- At 66.1, he was 9th in the NL in offensive VORP. In fact, he was second on his own team, behind Chase Utley's 68.8. If you include pitchers' VORP, Rollins is tied for tenth with Brandon Webb (Jake Peavy makes is third overall).
- If you like WARP better, which includes defense, Rollins' 9.2 is sixth in the NL, still behind Utley's 9.3.
- Rollins wasn't even clearly the best shortstop in the NL. Hanley Ramirez had a much better offensive year at the plate (89.5 VORP), although his defense puts his WARP slightly behind Rollins (8.9).
- By no measure is Rollins' defense extraordinary. He's certainly good, and the metrics show that, but he's no Albert Pujols with the glove. (Pujols' defensive numbers are eye-popping in almost all measures.)
- Like more "regular" stats? Rollins was tied for 22nd in the NL in OPS at .875. Four of his teammate were ahead of him - Utley, Ryan Howard, Pat Burrell, and Aaron Rowand.
I just don't think he deserves it.
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42 comments
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Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by Neduol Caz on Nov 20, 2007 1:13 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
Are you saying that Utley is more deserving while playing 122 games ? -- interesting.
by Billy Mac on Nov 20, 2007 1:21 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
I think you could make a good case for any of those players, as you could for Rollins. I tend to think Rollins will come in a close second, especially after hearing via Zolecki that much of the BBWAA waited until after the play-in to vote (which is kind of dubious, but it's their oddball rules).
by perfectdepth on Nov 20, 2007 1:31 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by David S. Cohen on Nov 20, 2007 1:45 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
You kids kill me. Is that an actual statistic of some sort, or a moon that orbits Saturn?
Rollins said the Phils were the team to beat -- taking all of the pressure off his teammates -- then went on to play his best ball when the pressure was greatest. He absolutely pounded the Mets. Rollins makes a bold statement and the insanely resilliant Phils make one of the most incredible comebacks of all time. Coincidence? I think not.
I firmly believe that without Rollins' remarks, the Phils don't win the NL East.
You kids need to find a geeky formula and geeky acronym to measure that impact.
by philsme on Nov 20, 2007 1:45 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by David S. Cohen on Nov 20, 2007 1:47 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
I wouldn't say that Rollins statement was the reason that the Phillies won the division. Sounds a little silly. Maybe Philsme should have said that Jimmy played like a guy who was backing it up bigtime, and that was a big help.
What I would say is that making the statement; sticking by it when it generated so much heat; and being vindicated by the Phillies winning the division is probably what ultimately won the award for Rollins. I'd say that it's what separated him from the rest of the contenders in the eyes of the voters.
Let's face it. This is an award for which the voters place a lot of weight on what we'd call "intangibles" and Mr. Rollins certainly piled up the "points" in that department.
by Dalton Bouchee on Nov 20, 2007 3:24 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
I think the way it works with MVP is that the statistical indicators get you in the conversation, but unless they're eye-popping--like, say, 58 home runs--they ultimately yield to "intangibles" considerations and context. That the Phillies won the East, and that Rollins demonstrated "leadership" in every way we're able to identify the term, explains his victory in the voting.
by dajafi on Nov 20, 2007 3:27 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
A Happy Thanksgiving to all.
by Dalton Bouchee on Nov 20, 2007 4:08 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by David S. Cohen on Nov 20, 2007 1:49 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by perfectdepth on Nov 20, 2007 1:52 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by taco pal on Nov 20, 2007 1:57 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Rollins won it!
by JasonB on Nov 20, 2007 2:04 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
I come here for entertainment, David. I used to respect this site as credible. But after reading some of the ignorant, uninformed opinions on the value of chemistry and intangibles and how they relate to Rowand and other related topics -- I come here for comedy these days.
by philsme on Nov 20, 2007 2:08 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by taco pal on Nov 20, 2007 2:15 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
Philadelphia Phillies shortstop Jimmy Rollins, the offensive and defensive catalyst for a club that reached post-season play for the first time in 14 years, was elected the National League Most Valuable Player in a tight race against Colorado Rockies left fielder Matt Holliday in balloting by the BBWAA.
Of the 32 ballots submitted by two writers in each league city, Rollins was listed first on 16, second on seven, third on four, fourth on four and fifth on one for a total of 353 points, based on the tabulation system that rewards 14 points for first place, nine for second, eight for third and on down to one for 10th. Holliday's breakdown was 11 first-place votes, 18 seconds, one third, one fourth and one sixth for 336 points.
The 17-point differential between Rollins and Holliday made the 2007 election the 20th closest overall and ninth in the NL since the current format was adopted by the BBWAA in 1938, seven years after taking over the awards. Prior to then, one writer from each league city voted. The only MVP tie was in the NL in 1979 when first basemen Keith Hernandez of the St. Louis Cardinals and Willie Stargell of the Pittsburgh Pirates each received 216 points.
by JasonB on Nov 20, 2007 2:09 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
What a bunch of idiots these baseball writers are.
by philsme on Nov 20, 2007 2:18 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
Somehow because sportswriters get paid to disseminate their opinions they are intellectually superior to all of the people who don't get paid to write about sports. Therefore, people who have ideas that may challenge the common sensical drivel of mainstream sportswriters are automatically less credible or simply wrong.
by FuquaManuel on Nov 20, 2007 5:21 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
Not to mention that my argument doesn't even take Sabermetrics on its own terms as an objective way of understanding player performance and value based on statistical analysis.
by FuquaManuel on Nov 20, 2007 6:25 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by FuquaManuel on Nov 20, 2007 6:28 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by exitfare on Nov 20, 2007 2:20 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by David S. Cohen on Nov 20, 2007 3:48 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
Some people just don't seem to understand things beyond statistics.
"Somehow because sportswriters get paid to disseminate their opinions they are intellectually superior to all of the people who don't get paid to write about sports. Therefore, people who have ideas that may challenge the common sensical drivel of mainstream sportswriters are automatically less credible or simply wrong."
You destroy your credibility with a blatant attack on "sportswriters." Like it or not, sportswriters are the professionals -- and it is a highly competitive business -- who get to see what goes on behind the scenes.
I wasn't even referring to "sportswriters" anyway. People who know the game don't pay much attention to "VORP" (still don't know what it means; have no desire to) or any of these other geeky stats that you kids come up with.
by philsme on Nov 20, 2007 6:23 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by taco pal on Nov 20, 2007 6:35 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
"you kids"
And again, your regarding "sportswriters" with the reverence you express invalidates your whole case as far as I'm concerned. I was in that business. With a few honorable exceptions, they're basically lazy, bitter men who uncritically accept the received wisdom of sports establishment types--just as you accept theirs.
by dajafi on Nov 20, 2007 7:40 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
First-place votes by division
NL East: Rollins- 7, Fielder- 2, Holliday- 1
NL Central: Rollins- 5, Holliday- 4, Fielder- 3
NL West: Holliday-6, Rollins- 4
by philsme on Nov 20, 2007 6:29 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
oh, it's okay if it only requires counting? go pump my gas.
by Matt Swartz on Nov 20, 2007 9:32 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
http://www.thegoodphight.com/story/2007/8/25/85718/9221
It is such a sham that he is voted as MVP. "We are the team to beat." Everyone says that and the ONLY reason it go so much press was thanks to NY. The New York media made Rollins the MVP.
The guy had a very good year and played good shortstop. He wasn't the MVP. What if the Mets won 2 more games? Would we still be having this conversation?
Enough with this philsme troll crap as well. What do intangibles have to do with the MVP vote? Are you telling me some idiot writer in San Fran or Arizona knows about the intangibles that Rollins has that puts him over the top?
The whole MVP vote is a sham. What does MVP even mean? For your team or in the league? If it is for your team, then how can you win it if two other members are in the top 10? If it is in the league, then he isn't even close.
When Rollins gets his 300 hits, then I will consider him an MVP.
by jonk on Nov 20, 2007 10:07 PM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
"the ONLY reason it go so much press was thanks to NY. The New York media made Rollins the MVP"?
Not the, oh, 30-20-30-40, or the 200 hits, or the MLB at-bat record and league lead in runs. Nope, let's just attribute J-Roll's much-deserved award to some strawmen sportswriters. Cool.
"What do intangibles have to do with the MVP vote?"
I think daj says this best in the next post: "the important thing to remember is that "value" is a subjective concept. You get to define it however you like; stats are a crucial part of constructing that definition, unless you're a willfully ignorant idiot. But it's not the entirety; the award isn't "Most Win Shares" or "Best OPS+."" Deal with it.
"The whole MVP vote is a sham. What does MVP even mean?"
It means, quite simply, Most. Valuable. Player. Not highest VORP or WARP or SPOCK or any other stat, new or old, rate or counting. Most. Valuable. A -gasp- subjective term! And yes, usually you have to watch the games to be able to tell. Meaning, the votes are based on opinions! And other people's differ from yours! They think Rollins is the MVP and voted accordingly. That's the way it is done.
"When Rollins gets his 300 hits, then I will consider him an MVP."
Good for you. 44,000 fans at each of the last 3 games, and apparently 353 votes' worth of sportswriters as well as most of us, consider he is now. Can we agree to disagree, at least, or is that also "troll crap"?
by das411 on Nov 21, 2007 12:17 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
Yes.
"Not the, oh, 30-20-30-40, or the 200 hits, or the MLB at-bat record and league lead in runs. Nope, let's just attribute J-Roll's much-deserved award to some strawmen sportswriters. Cool."
Am I saying that J-Roll didn't have a good season? I don't recall me writing that anywhere. Don't give me 30-20-30-40 arbitrary crap. The fact that he lead the league in ABs is not a plus, it is a negative because he also lead the league in another category that nobody mentions. OUTS. Rollins made 527 outs. It is much easier to get 30-20-30-40 when you have so many at bats you have the opportunity to lead the league in outs made. I am not holding it against him, but I have to wonder if there has ever been an MVP that made more outs than anyone else in the league.
"I think daj says this best in the next post: "the important thing to remember is that "value" is a subjective concept. You get to define it however you like; stats are a crucial part of constructing that definition, unless you're a willfully ignorant idiot. But it's not the entirety; the award isn't "Most Win Shares" or "Best OPS+."" Deal with it. "
"Value" is a subjective concept? So, people are voting on comepletely different things for what purpose? I don't agree with dajafi here. And I don't have to deal with it. Look, I understand it is a vote, and that very fact shows how little it actually means. Rollins was not the most valuable player regardless whether he won the vote or not. I could hold a vote here on the color of the sky, and green with purple polka dots may win. Doesn't mean it is the right answer.
"It means, quite simply, Most. Valuable. Player. Not highest VORP or WARP or SPOCK or any other stat, new or old, rate or counting. Most. Valuable. A -gasp- subjective term! And yes, usually you have to watch the games to be able to tell. Meaning, the votes are based on opinions! And other people's differ from yours! They think Rollins is the MVP and voted accordingly. That's the way it is done."
SPOCK? See, if you really wanted to fight this fight, you wouldn't have totally tried to debase the fundamental concept of statistics by trying to be funny. That is what people said when told the world wasn't flat, or that humans evolved from monkies or anything else of that nature. Mocking something because you don't understand it makes you look foolish, not the people who actually understand it. The serious flaw (ok, one of the many serious flaws) is the fact that most of the writers did NOT watch Rollins enough to make this opinion. And you did not watch every other player in the league to even come close to that opinion. The fact you rip on stats but posted 30-20-30-40 above shows how much of a liar you are. You DO look at stats, and you do value them. You just look and value at the incorrect ones.
"Good for you. 44,000 fans at each of the last 3 games, and apparently 353 votes' worth of sportswriters as well as most of us, consider he is now. Can we agree to disagree, at least, or is that also "troll crap"?"
My last comment was made to mock a statement Rollins made a couple years ago. However, it doesn't matter what you, or your ill founded idea that 44,000 fans at each of the last 3 games think or consider. Rollins was not the most valuable player in the league. I am happy for him. He received an award he didn't deserve, which has to be fairly hard to do. So, good for him. But just because he got the award doesn't mean he deserved it.
We can't agree to disagree since you are completely biased and intentionally avoiding any sort of truth. When you come back and agree to not "mock" analytical thought (I can't imagine that I actually had to write that) and say, "Ok, I am listening. Help me understand because I am lost in this deep dark hole and I need someone to shine a light to help me get out." That is when we can agree to disagree, because then you will have brought something to the table.
by jonk on Nov 21, 2007 1:43 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by David S. Cohen on Nov 21, 2007 9:21 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
"And again, your regarding "sportswriters" with the reverence you express invalidates your whole case as far as I'm concerned. I was in that business. With a few honorable exceptions, they're basically lazy, bitter men who uncritically accept the received wisdom of sports establishment types--just as you accept theirs."
That's just a dumb sweeping generalization. Really ignorant. Particularly the sportswriters who are part of the BBWAA. They are the elite, the Peter Gammons and Tim Kurkjians. They take their role very seriously. Somebody writes something you don't agree with, so their lazy and stupid.
And don't give me the predictable irony argument. What's posted here half the time is blatantly short-sighted. Pure ignorance typical of most fans who lead with their hearts and not their heads.
by philsme on Nov 21, 2007 11:06 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
Says the poster who dismisses the numbers to talk about leadership, magic beans, The Power of Yes and whatever the hell else it is you're going on about.
by dajafi on Nov 21, 2007 11:22 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by taco pal on Nov 21, 2007 11:43 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by dajafi on Nov 21, 2007 11:50 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by jonk on Nov 21, 2007 3:31 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
As I said earlier, Rollins took the lead in the MVP race when he proclaimed the Phillies the team to beat. He put himself out front with a big fat bullseye. It allowed his teammates like Pat Burrell, Aaron Rowand and Ryan Howard to labor in relative peace. When the Phils went to NY, it was Rollins every writer wanted to talk to, Rollins every Mets' fan wanted to boo and Rollins every talk show host wanted to rip.
Not many athletes can take on that kind of pressure and succeed -- fewer still have any desire to do so. Yet Rollins posted his best stats against the Mets.
His words gave the Phillies backbone, resilliance and a core belief they could get the job done. As I said, without Jimmy saying what he did, I doubt the Phils end up as NL East champs. Some people just aren't going to understand that, but there's a strong corelation.
You really want to understand what writers know that you can't measure with your vogue VORP formulas? Check out Jim Salisbury's article today:
"On that second-to-last Sunday of the regular season, the Phillies lost in Washington to fall 21/2 games behind the first-place Mets in the division and a half-game behind San Diego in the wild-card chase. After that loss, in the quiet clubhouse at RFK Stadium, Rollins, witnesses said, made a point to speak quietly with every teammate. He told his teammates to stay strong, to believe, to keep striving for their goal. The Phils then won four of their final six games."
by philsme on Nov 21, 2007 11:17 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by FuquaManuel on Nov 21, 2007 1:34 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
Did I read some idiot actually type "What do intangibles have to do with being MVP?"
I don't even know how to respond to that level of stupidity.
More MVP data you can't measure.
"Remember July 25? Two down. Bottom of the ninth. Phils down a run to Washington. Rollins tripled and scored the tying run on an error. The Phils won the game on Ryan Howard's homer in the 14th.
Remember Aug. 26? The Phils had lost four in a row and their offense had sputtered. Rollins led off a game against the Padres with a tone-setting bunt single to key a 14-2 win and start a six-game winning streak that included four victories over the Mets.
And who could forget Sept. 20 in Washington? The Phils were down by 6-0 after two innings. Jayson Werth hit a three-run homer to get the Phils back in the game, and Rollins broke a 6-6 tie with a two-out double in the eighth."
But he only finished 9th in VORP! Ohmygoodness!!
by philsme on Nov 21, 2007 11:22 AM EST reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by David S. Cohen on Nov 21, 2007 11:37 AM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
Remember July 18th? Against the LA Dodgers, the Phils had a chance to win the rubber game against the Dodgers and Rollins came up with Bourn on first with 1 out. Bourn stole second and Rollins popped out to right on a 2-1 pitch and the Phils ended up losing.
Rememebr August 4th? The Phils just lost a tough game to the Brewers and were leading 5-4 when Fielder hit a 2 run go a head shot in the 8th. Rollins came up with 2 outs in the 9th and flew out.
For every success you come up with, I can find a failure. The point is that everybody has these successes and failures and you are so blinded by your ignorance and biasesness you fail to see that. The world is flat in your universe, huh?
by jonk on Nov 21, 2007 3:51 PM EST up reply actions 0 recs
Re: The Non-MVP That I'm Rooting For
by DiamondDerby on Nov 21, 2007 10:12 PM EST reply actions 0 recs



















