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A Little Love for Davey Lopes

Somewhat lost in the euphoria of Thursday's stunning win and the four-game sweep of the Mets is that the top two base-stealing teams in the National League rumbled in Philadelphia this week--and the home nine clearly had the better of it. A day after Jose Reyes got picked off twice Wednesday night, Jayson Werth's two steals in the ninth inning Thursday helped decisively change the momentum of the game, and Tadahito Iguchi's steal of second put the winning run a base hit away. Similarly, Shane Victorino's eighth-inning steal and advance on a throwing error proved vital in Tuesday's comeback win. That's two games won in no small part on the speed and savvy of Phillies base runners.

Aside from the players themselves, the man who deserves the credit is first-base coach Davey Lopes. Mike Radano reports that Charlie Manuel acknowledged as much after the game:  "We read pitchers and that's Davey Lopes' key. That's his thing... we go on time and moves."

Victorino and Michael Bourn are generally considered his star pupils, combining for 52 steals in 57 attempts this year after going a collective 12 for 18 in their big-league careers through 2006. But every Phillie with more than one stolen base attempt this season has been successful at least two-thirds of the time. That's unheard of, and explains why the team has the best SB percentage in the majors at 87 percent.

In fact, the Lopes-coached Phillies are on pace to achieve the best team SB success rate ever, at least so far as limited data allows. (Caught Stealing was not consistently recorded until 1951.) The best rate known of, per Baseball Prospectus, is 84.2 percent, recorded by the 1994 Baltimore Orioles. Who knew?

Victorino, Bourn and Jimmy Rollins have the natural speed to steal most of the time--but Carlos Ruiz is 4 for 5, Aaron Rowand is 6 for 8, Chase Utley is 7 for 8, Werth is 4 for 5 and Iguchi is 6 for 7. It's by leveraging small advantages, like having their non-burners steal with as much success percentage-wise as the track stars, that flawed teams can succeed.

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Re: A Little Love for Davey Lopes
There's no doubt this is incredibly impressive.  I had my doubts when Lopes was hired, but having a team that has the Phils' patience, power, and efficient speed is an incredibly potent combination.

by David S. Cohen on Aug 31, 2007 9:26 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: A Little Love for Davey Lopes
I was doubtful too; worried that Lopes was going to go nuts on stolen bases and lead to countless CS, all in the name of being aggressive on the basepaths. (I seem to remember his comments before the season being very old-school, Dusty Baker-esque, filled with references to "clogging the bases" and such, although maybe I'm just making that up?)

needless to say, I was entirely wrong.

by perfectdepth on Aug 31, 2007 10:09 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: A Little Love for Davey Lopes
Um, hello?  Ryna Howard is 1 for 1!

by The Navigator on Aug 31, 2007 9:36 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: A Little Love for Davey Lopes
Also, Ryna's brother Ryan.... (d'oh)

by The Navigator on Aug 31, 2007 9:37 AM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: A Little Love for Davey Lopes
Great, great point by dajafi.  I'm so used to merely bemoaning the coaching staff that I hadn't noticed this at all.  Glad to see a coach making a demonstrably positive contribution.  Such a nice change from yelling at the TV when Bill Dancy sent Burrell home to get thrown out by fifteen feet for the fifth or sixth time.....

by The Navigator on Aug 31, 2007 9:39 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: A Little Love for Davey Lopes
I was going to point up the contrast between what Lopes has done and what SuperDancy--I mean, Smith--has done, but the vibe was so positive yesterday I didn't want to muck it up.

I suppose third-base coach is a different skill set, but the contrast is still pretty striking.

by dajafi on Aug 31, 2007 3:24 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

Re: A Little Love for Davey Lopes
On the whole, I really like what Lopes, Thompson, and manuel bring to the team from a coaching perspective.  I still don't know about Dubee, and Smith is awful as a 3B coach.
Minor league reviews at philliesphans.com. Also check out http://phillychuck.blogspot.com/ for prospect pics and analysis.

by phillychuck on Aug 31, 2007 1:20 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: A Little Love for Davey Lopes
Good good post...but I wonder if this makes up to older TGPers for what he did to this team back in '77?

by das411 on Sep 1, 2007 2:21 AM EDT   0 recs

Re: A Little Love for Davey Lopes
They've maintained the rate they had earlier in the season despite losing Victorino for a stretch and Bourn for who knows how long.  Certainly implies that coaching has as much (or more) to do with the success rate than just having burners out there.

by WholeCamels on Sep 1, 2007 4:24 PM EDT   0 recs

Re: A Little Love for Davey Lopes
     OK, so bringing in Lopes has been a success and it appears that Charlie will have gotten through the season without any signs that he viewed the additions of Lopes and Williams as a threat to his manhood or anything.

     So, not to knock Dubee, but does this mean that there's hope that they can go out and bring in another "supercoach" who can help Manuel train and organize a decent bullpen and upgrade the starters a little?  

by Dalton Bouchee on Sep 2, 2007 11:07 PM EDT to parent up   0 recs

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