Navigation: Jump to content areas:


Pro Quality. Fan Perspective.
Login-facebook
Around SBN: Will Rhymes 'Fine' After Being Hit By Pitch And Fainting

Pat Gillick, King of the Dumpster Dive

As the Phillies ended August on a high note, with a six-game winning streak that brought them within two games of the NL East lead, the man of the hour was Jayson Werth. After going 9-for-9 in the first two games of the streak, Werth then led the charge in the memorable 9th inning of Thursday's 11-10 win over the Mets, leading off with a bloop single and then stealing second and third on consecutive Billy Wagner pitches before scoring the tying run on Tadahito Iguchi's pinch-single. After getting just 85 at-bats through the first four months of the season, Werth became a starter in August after Shane Victorino got hurt, and hit .414 (36 for 87) for the month with a .500 on-base percentage and .609 slugging percentage.

With a 2007 salary of just $850,000, Werth might be Pat Gillick's best acquisition of the last year. But he's not the only bargain-pickup hero on the Phillies roster right now. Perhaps surprisingly, Gillick's low-cost additions have been clearly positive. The following table lists all the current Phillies who joined the team via the waiver wire or free-agent contract for less than $1 million, and their Value Over Replacement Player.  

Star-divide

Pos Name How Acquired VORP 2007 Salary
OF Jayson Werth Free agent signing 16.6 $0.85m
IF/OF Greg Dobbs Waiver claim 10.6 $0.385m
RP J.C. Romero Waiver claim 8.8 $1.6m*
RP A. Alfonseca Free agent signing 2.6 $0.7m
SP/RP J.D. Durbin Waiver claim 2.2 $0.38m
IF/OF Russell Branyan Cash trade 1.1 $1m*
RP Jose Mesa Waiver claim -7.4 $2.5m*

* in practice, the Phils will pay Romero and Mesa only a prorated portion of the major-league minimum salary ($380,000); the Red Sox and Tigers respectively are responsible for the balance of their contracts, as the Padres are for Branyan.

Even with the mistake of Mesa--the sort of subtraction-by-addition move that has crippled Phillies bullpens all decade--that's 34.5 VORP for a total cost of less than $3 million. By comparison, Pat Burrell--whom I think has clearly earned his big paycheck this year--has a VORP score of 29.3.  

We've gone back and forth, at TGP and elsewhere, about whether Gillick really represents an improvement on his predecessor, Ed Wade. Probably the two strongest arguments his defenders can offer are, one, his clear superiority when it comes to finding value on the waiver wire and in the free agent discount bin, and two, Gillick's ability to make in-season trades that actually strengthen the club rather than just recycle the likes of Dennis Cook and Mike Williams. Tadahito Iguchi presumably need never pay for a drink in the greater Philadelphia area, and both Gooch and those treating him can thank Gillick for that. (I guess a third would be the aggressive promotion of pitchers like Cole Hamels and Kyle Kendrick; were Wade still running the show, I think it's questionable whether Hamels would have yet reached the majors.)

Of course, it's a good thing Gillick's dives into the dumpster have yielded such value--because his more expensive acquisitions mostly have stunk. For mercy's sake, we won't go into Freddy Garcia here--but a look at the three free agents Gillick signed for more than $1 million still yields a pretty damning picture:

Pos Name How Acquired VORP 2007 Salary
C Rod Barajas Free agent signing 2.6 $3m
IF Wes Helms Free agent signing -4.2 $2.05m
SP Adam Eaton Free agent signing -8.8 $6.875

That’s more than 11 runs below replacement level, at a total cost of just under $12 million. And if the Phillies fall short in their bid to make the post-season, there’s your reason why.

I’m normally all for the team spending more on the roster, but maybe it would be for the best if the organization limits Gillick to a maximum of $900,000 or so for any free agents he’d like to add this winter.

Comment 2 comments  |  0 recs  | 

Do you like this story?

Comments

Display:

Re: Pat Gillick, King of the Dumpster Dive
Good breakdown. It's all well and good to fix your mistakes in July and August, but it's better not to have to fix those mistakes by capitalizing in the off-season.

There's no question the Eaton signing was awful. The Barajas signing was unnecessary, considering how well Coste hit, caught, and handled the pitching staff. I can't really criticize him for signing Helms -- it's just one that didn't work out. Helms looked like he had an Enlightenment in Florida last season, but I guess that was just an illusion.

How about in 2006?

Abraham Nunez hasn't done much for the Phillies, both offensively (48 and 55 OPS+ in 2006 and '07, respectively) and defensively (.667 and .727 RZR in '06 and '07, respectively).

Dellucci was a good signing sans April and September of '06.

Jamie Moyer has turned out to be a great addition, despite his propensity to be shelled.

Sal Fasano was an utter waste, despite his Fu Manchu.

Ditto for Alex Gonzalez, who retired.

Jeff Conine was only slightly more useful.

Jose Hernandez was a waste, though I believe we literally bought him from the Pirates. Randall Simon? Also worthless.

Tom Gordon was good in '06, but made our worst fears a reality this season when he succumbed to injuries.

Ryan Franklin was average for us.

Arthur Rhodes was unsavory.

Rick White performed well for the most part.

Fabio Castro appears to be a beneficial pickup.

Matt Smith showed promise in '06, but floundered this season, partly due to injury.

Julio Santana and Adam Bernero -- need I say more?

So, for those keeping score...

The Good: Dellucci, Moyer, Gordon (slightly), White, Castro.

The Bad: Nunez, Fasano, Gonzalez, Conine, Hernandez, Franklin, Rhodes, Smith, Santana, Bernero.

Sorry for the really long comment, just thought I'd jot down a 2006 review.

by Baerwcb on Sep 5, 2007 1:10 AM EDT reply actions  

Re: Pat Gillick, King of the Dumpster Dive
Thank you for organizing and presenting this data so well....but does Gillick really get zero credit from anybody for picking up Aaron Rowand when dealing Thome in winter 2005?? I mean, regardless of whatever you think Gio Gonzalez was or is, Gillick basically has dealt Thome, Gavin Floyd, and Rich Dubee's son to the Chisox for Rowand, Iguchi, the Model Dictator (by way of Dan Haigwood iirc) and the Hindenbergian disaster that was 2007 Freddy Garcia.

If 2007 Freddy Garcia had been anywhere near the same pitcher he had been the previous 7 seasons, then all total this ends up being a fantastic deal. As things have turned out, I do still think Gillick deserves a lot of credit for bringing in the ArRow, taking a shot on Garcia even if it did not work out, and freeing up a not insignificant amount of payroll to put together this Stalin-esque ("Quantity has its own quality") roster and bullpen.

by das411 on Sep 5, 2007 4:13 AM EDT reply actions  

Comments For This Post Are Closed


User Tools

Analysis and features focusing on Philadelphia Phillies baseball.

FanPosts

Community blog posts and discussion.

Recommended FanPosts

Band_small
Bullpenny Lane

Recent FanPosts

Small
2012 Phillies Mock Draft
31668_127968670553578_100000213381931_332614_1775181_n_small
Pay Cole Hamels! (for his bat)
Stevebrule_small
Battle Hymn of the Republic...revised
Product_1277994256f_small
The Case of Jayson Werth (and the Washington Nationals) vs. Philadelphia
Small
Prospect Rosterbation: Clearwater 10, Brevard County 3
Phanatic_for_profile_small
Something to Ponder
Small
The Phillies Have Gamed Dom Brown's Service Clock - And No One Noticed
Small
Offensive Woes
Phillies1980logo_small
Phillies Minor League Assignments

+ New FanPost All FanPosts >

Next Game

Philadelphia Phillies
@ Chicago Cubs

Thursday, May 17, 2012, 8:05 PM EDT
Wrigley Field

Roy Halladay vs Chris Volstad

Mostly clear. Winds blowing from right to left field at 5-10 m.p.h. Game time temperature around 65.

Complete Coverage >

Yahoo_full_count

Blog Lords

Wholecamels_small WholeCamels

Boys_small jonk

Tecumseh_phillies_small FuquaManuel

Dsc04697_small David S. Cohen

Meltingface_small dajafi

Phillyfriar__new2__small PhillyFriar

Associate Blog Lords

Bugs_small taco pal

Greg_luzinski_small Wet Luzinski

-20100715-hamels_avatar_for_rtp_small RememberthePhitans

Phillies1980logo_small schmenkman

Lion_small philsandthrills

Madmen_icon_small lizroscher

Contributors

Ryanred_small petzrawr

Werein_small Phrozen

Trader-joes_small Joecatz

Small Dash Treyhorn

Blogger Emeritus

Colevatar_small Matt Swartz