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Good or Great?

    So, I was driving home from the Phillies game yesterday listening to some 610.  I got a few chuckles listening to Ike Reese talk at length about nothing, then got some good sports talk from Reuben Frank.  Anyway, Frank brought up the subject of whether or not this Phillies team is merely good, or if it is/can be great.  I am not sure where I lie.  I know the offense is great.  I know the bullpen has been great up to this point.  And, I know the starting rotation is bad.  I don't think that necessarily adds up to be a great team.  If the bullpen continues to pitch the way it has (I actually have nightmares about the bullpen coming apart at the seems by the all-star break), and if Myers returns to his career line of a number two starting pitcher, and if the Phillies pick up an additional number two starter, then this is a great team in my opinion.  However, that is a lot of ifs.  Talk back, post some ideas, this site has become more of a game blog than anything else so I was hoping we could get back to doing some discussion.  One last thing to think about.  I know it won't happen, but, would you trade Howard for C.C. with a contract?  I think I would in a heartbeat. 

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Definitely good, not great. But I don’t think there’s a single “great” team in the entire league, and arguably all of MLB.

At this point I think I’d characterize the starting rotation more as pedestrian than “bad.” And I’m not at all certain that I’d make that Howard trade.

by taco pal on May 29, 2008 11:11 AM EDT reply actions   0 recs

I agree on all points with taco pal here.

Further, I’m not sure that any team that’s won the World Series in this decade, with the possible exception of the two Red Sox champions, could be called “great” by historic standards. Good plus Luck does it.

But I also think Neudol’s right about what it would take to get this team to “great”: a return to form by Myers, one more #2-type starter, and everything else as it’s been through the first third of this season. If you think about the work we’ve gotten from Moyer, Kendrick and Eaton over the last three games, that’s more than adequate from the #3-5 starters—even factoring in that the same performance against the Braves or Cubs rather than the injury-depleted Rockies probably would be more like 5-6 IP, 3-4 runs than the better lines they actually put up.

Meanwhile, so long as Feliz, Jenkins, Ruiz and Victorino-the four non-stars in the lineup-keep hitting decently, they’ll score runs. If Hamels is healthy, we know what we’ve got there. Same if Lidge stays intact and level-headed. I’m not sure I see a clearly better team in the NL right now, even being short of “greatness.”

by dajafi on May 29, 2008 12:59 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Good stuff, good stuff. I got five minutes here so I want to explain myself on the Howard/Sabathia swap. Here is where I am coming from. Howard is 28, Sabathia is 27. So, we would be getting the younger player. Also, I assumed in the trade that we would sign Sabathia to a 4-5-6 year contract at the going rate (what is the going rate, 16 per?). So, I know Sabathia would not be cost controlled like Howard is, however, I am not sure you can consider Howard to be cost controlled even though he is in his arbitration years. I am assuming that Howard will make roughly the same 16 million per season over the next however many years. So, assuming we would have both for the same amount of time and roughly the same amount of money, it comes down to worth. How much is Ryan Howard worth? His defense is atrocious and takes away from his value as an all around ballplayer. Offensively, he will hit HR’s and collect RBI’s. However, since his first full year, he has seen his BA and OBP steadily decline. In my opinion, he is the third best offensive weapon in our own lineup. Sabathia is an ace, and I do not think there is even an argument that can be made against that opinion. His first four appearances of ‘08 were bad, but since then he has given up only 9 ER in 50.1 innings of work for an ERA of 1.61. So, I feel that Sabathia has more value as a player than Ryan Howard does over the next 4-5-6 years for the same amount of money. The last thing to take into consideration is health. Pitchers obviously are much more volatile in terms of health and production. But, to forecast an injury is like trying to forecast the apocalypse. Best of luck. Finally, I think this team could win a championship this year if we made that trade. Hamels, Sabathia, and Myers combined with a lineup of Rollins, Victorino, Utley, Burrell, Werth, Feliz, Ruiz/Coste, International Man of Mystery (I wouldn’t mind seeing a platoon of Dobbs and Coste at first with Ruiz getting the majority of starts behind the plate), and the Pitcher is championship worthy in my opinion. With Howard and our flaky starting pitching, I do not think we have any real shot. Anyway, that is my two cents. I know it won’t happen, but it is still fun to talk about. Besides that, I really do not want to deplete our farm system for a Joe Blanton type. I think this team is going to need an infusion of young talent in 2-3 years, and our farm system us currently positioned to do just that. I would really hate to see our young players disappear for a half hearted attempt at a championship.

by Neduol Caz on May 29, 2008 1:38 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Howard for CC

Nope. Phillies don’t give pitchers deals longer than 3 years. Sabathia isn’t consistent enough to warrant the trade. If there was a good minor-leaguer waiting in the wings, maybe.

by Bilzo on May 31, 2008 1:57 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

Good, but trending toward great

Obviously the Phillies are a good team now, but they’re on the verge of greatness. The offense has suddenly gone bananas, and the pitching is already above-average and showing signs of improvement.

I don’t expect them to continue averaging 12 runs per game, but if their offense makes its way back to the top of the NL, and the pitching stays in the top third of the league, look out.

by phatj on May 31, 2008 5:45 PM EDT reply actions   0 recs

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