FanPost

Phillies team BABIP

The past few days, the Phillies have hit a lot of line drives and flyballs that seem to go right at people.  I wondered if this isn't a systemic problem all year long.  I hate to make excuses like it's all luck, but I wonder if some of our hitting troubles aren't simply due to misfortune.

Consider the following:

HR rate BB rate K rate BB/K BABIP XBH rate RS/G
2005 0.03 0.103 0.163 0.59 0.309 0.087333 4.950617
2006 0.038 0.099 0.175 0.52 0.305 0.096888 5.339506
2007 0.037 0.101 0.175 0.53 0.315 0.101969 5.506173
2008 0.04 0.098 0.167 0.54 0.285 0.098646 5.021978

It seems that a lot of the Phillies statistics are similar to previous years.  It seems that the main difference is the team BABIP.  Given the constant extra base hit and homerun rates and the constant walk and strikeout rates, I wonder if the problem isn't a lack of singles falling in.  I would guess that the run scoring is at least partly down due to luck. 

Thoughts?

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