I calculated the odds earlier today using a Monte Carlo method, which involves picking a win probability for each game and plugging those numbers into a computer program that uses a random number generator to pick the winner of each game and thus each series. The series is then played out 1 million times and the likeliehood of each team winning the series based on the input is outputted to the screen.

(w/o juice)
Before Game #1: NYA -159, PHI +159, NYA 61.34%
After Game #1: PHI -135, NYA +135, PHI 57.47%

Let’s look one game into the future now…
Yankees Win Game #2: NYA -118, PHI +118, NYA 54.09%
Phillies Win Game #2: PHI -365, NYA +365, PHI 78.51%

So to summarize, I have the Phillies chances to win the series at 57.47%, pretty close to what Baseball Prospectus is listing them at. If the Phillies win tonight, those chances jump to 78.51%, but if they lose the Yankees are the favorites at 54.09%

vr, Xei

The right-handed Jerry Hairston starts in place of switch-hitting Nick Swisher, with right-handed (and light-hitting) Jose Molina in for switch-hitting Jorge Posada. Dave Cameron loves the move… for us.

the molina move i suppose is just for defense behind the plate to block Burnetts pitches in the dirt.

BUT A 40.7% CHANCE OF LOSING OH NOES