Phillies' Post-Season Game-By-Game Winning Patterns
by David S. Cohen on Oct 30, 2009 3:24 PM EDT
15 comments
Is there any sense to be made of the following?
Here are the Phillies' records over the past two post-seasons across the 6 playoff rounds they've been in:
Game 1: 6-0
Game 2: 2-4
Game 3: 3-2
Game 4: 5-0
Game 5: 3-0
Game 6: 0-0
Game 7: 0-0
Obviously, as the results would tell anyone without looking at the split, the Phillies have been dominant in October over the past two years. Overall, their record is 19-6, which is incredibly impressive against the best-of-the-best in baseball.
But, if there's been a weak spot, it's been in the second game. What explains this? Our game 1 dominance can be attributed to Cole Hamels last year and Cliff Lee this year. But, our game 2 problems can't be attributed to a huge drop-off in starting pitching, as Pedro Martinez has pitched two great game 2s this year, Hamels pitched mediocre in the NLDS this year, and Brett Myers pitched well enough in the World Series last year. But we lost all four of those games.
Rather, it's the offense that has really struggled in game 2. In those four game 2 losses, the Phillies averaged only 2 runs per game. Is this just a fluke? Or is there some reason the team has struggled in game 2s?
Any thoughts on this pattern here?
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That was my thinking
I was talking about it before last night’s game. 3 of those 4 losses have come on the road after a game 1 win. I’m not sure if it’s that they don’t feel as pressured to win game 2 having already won a split, or if it’s just that the home team plays as if they have more to lose, but our bats sure do come up short in game 2’s.
by Screen Name 20 on Oct 30, 2009 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
They want to make sure the people with tickets to Game 5 get to use them.
by taco pal on Oct 30, 2009 3:46 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Disgusting.
No wins in a game six OR a game seven.
by GMan83201 on Oct 30, 2009 3:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Adjustments by opposing pitching, followed by adjustments by Phillies hitters?
by FuquaManuel on Oct 30, 2009 3:59 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Niceness
Fans in Tampa, Los Angeles, and New York got to go home happy after seeing their teams win a playoff game.
by phillyinportland on Oct 30, 2009 4:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
defense
The problem in the Meyers WS game 2 last year was defense. The Phillies committed 2 errors and I think both were important.
by lseltzer on Oct 30, 2009 7:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Coincidentally, there were also some pretty bad calls in that game that went against us. I remember that Jimmy Rollins had a HBP that wasn’t called. I think there was also a play where Kerwin Danley either said a Ray had gone around on a check-swing but then appealed, or said a Phillie hadn’t gone around but then appealed.
by taco pal on Oct 30, 2009 8:19 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I remember that, it was a Ray (i forget who) who had gone around and Danley signaled strikeout but then appealed to the 1B umpire, who called ball 4. Cost us a run if i remember correctly
by alcatraz0109 on Oct 30, 2009 8:53 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Random Noise?
Don't frack with me or you'll get a punch in the kidneys...you've been warned
by jemagee on Oct 30, 2009 8:59 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Yeah
It’s like the whole thing with the Eagles being undefeated after the bye week with Andy Reid as coach. Seems like small sample size, but it’s also true that maybe there’s something behind it.
by David S. Cohen on Oct 30, 2009 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
How about looking at other ‘consistent’ playoff teams like the red sox the past few years, or the angels – do they have similar patterns (i mean the red sox kept beating the angels but was the pattern always the same) – the dodgers the last two seasons, obviously their LCS numbers match up with the phils but what about their DS numbers/
Don't frack with me or you'll get a punch in the kidneys...you've been warned
by jemagee on Oct 31, 2009 1:59 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Random observation
I came across this stat and thought it was interesting, since both clubs in the World Series have bullpen issues: The number I found for ERA as a reliever for both of the teams in the regular season was 3.91. The Yankees are listed as 13th best and the Phillies as 14th, but the numbers are virtually identical: 3.914563 for the Yankees and 3.914634 for the Phillies. 10 more runs in 23 more innings pitched by the Yankees. Yankees relievers allowed one less unearned run, however, despite a team fielding percentage worse than the Phillies. And the power numbers of K/BB and batting average against are definitely in favor of the Yankees, who had the second best bullpen BAA after the Dodgers. The Yankees also tied with the Angels for most saves, with 51, compared to the Phillies with 44.
In the postseason this year, the Phillies bullpen has an ERA of 3.00 in 27 innings, while the Yankees show an ERA of 3.13 in 31.2 innings. And in the postseason the BAA vs. the Yankees bullpen is .307 compared to .231 in the regular season.
by phillyinportland on Oct 31, 2009 4:08 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
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