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Fun with statistics

Collective World Series Batting Line

Yankees: .235/.311/.394 -- .705 OPS -- 5 HR -- 6 2B
Phillies: .220/.297/.447 -- .744 OPS -- 7 HR -- 9 2B


Collective World Series Pitching Line

Yankees: 36.0 IP -- 29 H -- 15 BB -- 36 K -- 1.22 WHIP -- 4.98 FIP
Phillies: 35.0 IP -- 31 H -- 10 BB -- 41 K -- 1.17 WHIP -- 3.57 FIP


Pythagorean Expected Record

Yankees: 2.3 - 1.7 (19 RS, 16 RA)
Phillies: 1.7 - 2.3 (16 RS, 19 RA)


Granted, the pythag is based on a 4-game sample size, but I think that on the whole, everything above is instructive on one key point: the Yankees aren't really dominating this Series on any level.  The overall statistics paint a picture of a pretty close Series, but of course, the 3-1 deficit tells us differently.

Now, there are two statistical categories that can show why such a discrepancy in overall results can come from such similar statistical profiles: performance with runners in scoring position, and batting average on balls in play.  I don't have the former data for this Series, but I went back through the play by play to figure out the latter, and I don't think anyone who's watched the Series will be surprised at the result...

World Series BABIP

Yankees: .302
Phillies: .253

Oh well, what can you do?  As noted philosopher Forrest Gump once said, "Shit happens."  It's scant consolation for Phillies fans as we sit here in a 3-1 hole in the World Series, but perhaps it can dispel the myth that the Phillies just haven't showed up to play this Series.

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Those FIPs are rather stunning.

by taco pal on Nov 2, 2009 2:33 PM EST reply actions   0 recs

Good stuff

As I said on the other thread, the Yankees have been getting those timely infield hits, bloops and soft liners falling in for hits that we haven’t been getting as frequently. Hopefully, it evens out beginning tonight.

by Screen Name 20 on Nov 2, 2009 2:53 PM EST reply actions   0 recs


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