Your Move, Li'l Roy
Here's the Phillies' cumulative pitching line in their last three games against the Cincinnati Reds, the National League's best hitting team this season, at notoriously hitter-friendly Citizens Bank Park:
29 innings, 12 hits (3 doubles), 8 walks, 25 strikeouts, 0 runs
I'm guessing you've heard something about Roy Halladay's no-hitter in Game One on Wednesday. In case you've forgotten, the Phillies finished the first half with consecutive 1-0 victories over the Reds, finishing off a four-game sweep. The Saturday contest was a classic, with Halladay throwing nine shutout innings--and getting outpitched by Travis Wood, who took a perfect game into the bottom of the ninth before Carlos Ruiz led off with a double. (I'll pause here to again thank Dusty Baker for electing not to start Wood in either Wednesday's opener or Friday's Game Two.) After the Phils stranded him, Brad Lidge pitched out of severe trouble in the top of the tenth, and the Phils finally won in 11 when Ruiz doubled again with one out and Jimmy Rollins singled him in three batters later. The Phils again downed the Reds by the narrowest of margins in the Sunday finale, as Cole Hamels threw 7.2 scoreless innings and Jose Contreras, J.C. Romero and Lidge combined to notch the final four outs. A Ruiz double and a Rollins RBI single were the scoring combination again, in the bottom of the third against former Phils prospect Matt Maloney.
The Reds' best offensive performance in the three contests? Miguel Cairo in the first 1-0 game, when he went 2 for 3 with a double and a sacrifice off Halladay. Orlando Cabrera, who had a word of complaint about Wednesday's strike zone, managed two singles against Doc in the same game. Jay Bruce, who drew the walk in Wednesday's no-no, doubled off Lidge in the 10th. Paul Janish had two singles against Hamels in the Sunday game, and Joey Votto doubled to chase Cole in the eighth after having walked and lined out earlier.
So starter Roy Oswalt has a good deal to live up to when he takes the mound for Game Two. The good news? He brings a 23-3 career record and 2.81 ERA in 34 career appearances (32 starts) against the Reds. But that's over a ten-year career, during which time he faced (and mostly pwned) a passel of Scott Hattebergs and Sean Caseys and Ryan Freels; how about this Reds team?
Oswalt did lose his two 2010 starts against Cincy, both made before the late-July trade that brought him over from the Astros. He was a hard-luck loser in the first one, a late-April loss in Houston, but got smacked around in the second three months later. Here's how some of the current Reds have fared against Little Roy, as his new teammates have dubbed him, in their careers:
Jay Bruce: 7-29, 2 2b, BB, K, SB, .241/.267/.310
Orlando Cabrera: 3-12, BB, K, .250/.333/.250
Jim Edmonds: 11-51, 2b, 2 HR, 8 RBI, 4 BB, 20 K, 216/.263/.353
Ramon Hernandez: 5-11, HR, 4 RBI, 2 BB, .455/.538/.727
Laynce Nix: 9-17, 3 2b, 3b, 2 HR, 4 RBI, BB, 2 K, .529/.556/.1.176
Brandon Phillips: 12-38, 5 2b, 2 BB, 2 K, 2 SB, .316/.350/.447
Scott Rolen: 9-42, 5 2b, 4 RBI, 2 BB, 7 K, .214/.244/.333
Drew Stubbs: 2-6, HR, RBI, BB, 2 K, SB, .333/.429/.833
Joey Votto: 10-30, 2 2b, 2 HR, 7 RBI, BB, 4 K, .333/.355/600
With pretty much all those guys in the lineup tomorrow (Stubbs or Edmonds presumably will sit), a fourth straight shutout of the Reds seems a bit much to hope for. So, Roy: no pressure. Just win the friggin' game.
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As schmenkman recently noted, the Phillies have scored more runs in games in which the opposing starters were lefties than when they were righties.
I can’t believe you statheads, always relying on your numbers as a crutch.
So maybe they have a higher batting average, on base percentage, slugging percentage, and runs per game against lefties. So what? Those are just statistics. If you actually WATCH the games, it’s obvious that they hit righties better.
/troll’d
Actually…
A quick glance at the Phillies’ season stats indicate that the Phillies have hit lefties better than they hit righties this year.
Phillies vs. LHP, 2010:
.269/.339/.429
Phillies vs. RHP, 2010:
.256/.329/.407
by Delicious Cake on Oct 8, 2010 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions
I predict we will hear some ironic boos when Oswalt gives up his first hit. Which is fine since they will be ironic.
How long til the announcer brings up booing Santa after that happens?
Lex clavatoris designati rescindenda est.
I would just say to Roy…
Doc has already made the big headlines and more power to him.
Don’t worry about trying to top that.
Just go out there, focus, relax, get into your groove and win the game.
Would Dusty Baker bound his pitcher abuse in such a reasonable way? Honest question — I’m not entirely sure.
Dusty didn’t dig into his bullpen all that deeply on Wednesday considering his starter lasted less than 2 innings. His long reliever would be Homer Bailey, so he should be able to rest Wood until Sunday’s game. Dusty never ceases to surprise me with iffy decisions, but I think he would unleash Chapman before throwing Wood back out there tonight.
Of course my reasoning goes out the window if we get extra innings or Arroyo has a disastrous start (of course, at that point, who cares, I assume we’d be up big).
Hee hee, Arroyo.
I think the Reds should ditch him.
Get it?
Ditch…Arroyo?
– sigh –
Play through…
Not a member or affiliated with McCOVEY CHRONICLES in ANY way/shape/form.
Banned months ago.
Despite all my hoarsely screamed threats SBNation cannot delete them from my profile.
by victor frankenstein on Oct 8, 2010 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions
Dusty said he was unavailable… AND that he was considering giving Wood the game 4 start if they got that far.
by dannijd on Oct 8, 2010 5:04 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Is there any way to apply two splits to one player’s stats at the same time?
We know that Arroyo has been lucky this year as far as (xFIP-ERA) goes and that he has been killed by lefties this year. But his overall underlying stats were much better over the last two months of the season. I’m wondering how his vs-left stats were over that same time period.

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