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Bullpen? We Don't Need No Stinkin' Bullpen!

There are so many remarkable things to comment about with respect to the Phillies new rotation, and we are certainly going to bring you the best coverage of it possible in the coming days, months, and years.  But one thing stands out to me while I'm still processing this stunning turn of events:  durability.

The four aces the Phillies will send to the mound 4 out of every 5 games have been incredibly dependable over the past three years.  Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future results, but short of a guarantee, is there anything sweeter than this chart in terms of assessing the four's potential to pitch throughout the season?

G IP
2008 32 226
2009 32 211
2010 32 221

These are the average games started and innings pitched for the four for each of the last three seasons. The only pitcher-season with less than 30 starts was Cliff Lee's 2010, when he began the season on the disabled list and didn't make his first start until the end of April. Nonetheless, he still threw 212.3 innings. All of the other 11 pitcher-seasons featured at least 30 starts.

The only pitcher-seasons with less than 200 innings were Cole Hamels' 2009 (193.7 innings over 32 starts) and Roy Oswalt's 2009 (181.3 innings over 30 starts). Each of the other 10 pitcher-seasons featured at least 208.7 innings pitched, with Roy Halladay besting the group with his 2010, when he threw 250.7 innings.

If you want durability, you have it with these four.

And if you want games featuring very little bullpen usage, you'll have that as well.

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But, the weebles :(

Samesis

by JpH89 on Dec 14, 2010 2:14 PM EST reply actions  

This rotation still hasn’t sunk in with me. How on earth did Philly end up with 2 of the top 5 pitchers and 4 of the top 20?
This should be a credit to the best phuckin phnas a sports team could ever ask for. I want to say thank you to all of you who buy your Phillies gear, go to the games. drink the beer, and most of all watch the games any chance you get. And to the ownership I tip my hat for making this a place where players want to play.
As far as right field and a right handed bat I think Brown will more than pan out. As good as Werth was last year his numbers with RISP was nothing to write home about and with Raul comming off the books next year I still see Hamels in red pinstripes beyond his contract end.

by h2o_34_35_44 on Dec 14, 2010 2:56 PM EST reply actions  

Numbers with RISP are based almost entirely on luck. Werth will be fine with RISP this year.

Probably, Hamels will be a Phillie beyond 2012 only if Oswalt is not.

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 3:10 PM EST up reply actions  

still in amazement.

i’ve been joking that the phils are the ‘yanks of the nl’ since the WFC. now it looks more and more like that is the case. this is still incomprehensible.
especially considering that he more years/money in at least 2 other cities. i’ve heard about the wife-spitting thing and if that’s the case why he ended up here, then hellz to the yizaaaaah! talk about vindication regarding ‘classy’ philly phans. we’ll throw batteries, snowballs at santa, taze our fans, puke on undercovers, but only in NY(y) do they spit on and throw beer at PLAYER’S WIVES. somewhere milton bradley is having a stroke (wife beater, he threw a chair at his own fans – padres fans).

by PHIGHTINPHILS on Dec 14, 2010 3:17 PM EST reply actions  

The fact that we got him despite offering less money would make us less like the Yankees, I would think.

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 3:26 PM EST up reply actions  

semantics =) let me be happy dammit!

by PHIGHTINPHILS on Dec 14, 2010 3:35 PM EST up reply actions  

The lack of bullpen should be fine in the regular season, but in the playoffs? I suspect not.

by haverecords on Dec 14, 2010 3:21 PM EST reply actions  

Why? There are fewer off days in the regular season.

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 3:27 PM EST up reply actions  

Less quality opponents in the regular season, too. Far less. I imagine you remember, with some glee, the repeated playoff failings of Atlanta’s bullpen back when they had that historic staff.

Not that the phils have bad bullpen, but you can’t write of the need for a better one—especially in the playoffs—considering how your season ended last year.

Still, helluva pickup.

by haverecords on Dec 14, 2010 3:40 PM EST up reply actions  

the bullpen wasn’t the problem in the NLCS either, it was the lack of runs; Durbin’s bad inning aside, the relievers all pitched very well

by yolacrary on Dec 14, 2010 3:51 PM EST up reply actions  

They did. But—as you know, Lidge is hardly a given. Madson is very good, but is somewhat on/off. Contreras pitched well, but there are likely some real questions there. And there isn’t much after that (have you all made any other moves pen wise)

And remember, the major reason their was a lack of runs is still very much there: sf’s pitching: starters and bullpen.

Matchups are extremely important in the playoffs, and both Atlanta and SF figure to be in the playoffs again. And late in a tight game, you take their bullpens (esp. with left handed weapons). Now, atl’s starters are very good, but Phi has better depth and quality. SF is a near match in starters, though.

by haverecords on Dec 14, 2010 4:40 PM EST up reply actions  

I think you're drastically overrating SF's bullpen

not sure San Francisco’s bullpen is any more of a sure thing. Wilson and Romo are a very good 8th/9th inning combination, no doubt. but Casilla, Mota, and Affeldt—the three relievers who saw the most play after those two—is not an ace relief corps. (Mota is a FA I believe; not sure who, if anyone, is replacing him.) Javier Lopez also pitched waaaaaay over his head at the end of the season and the playoffs.

now I’d still take Wilson/Romo over Lidge/Madson, and I’m not trying to dump on the Giants here. but it’s not like they have six Mariano Riveras waiting in the bullpen; they have two excellent relievers and a bunch of guys who got hot at the right time.

by perfectdepth on Dec 14, 2010 5:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Anyway, it isn’t necessary to have a great bullpen in order to win a World Series. What’s important is (1) having the best team overall, and (2) luck. Having a good bullpen is helpful in that it impacts (1), but a team with an “A-” rotation and an “A” bullpen is worse off than a team with an “A+” rotation and a
“B+” bullpen. Overall quality is morei mportant than balance.

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

as far as the Braves

Wagner is going to be 39 and Saito 41—there’s a lot of possibility for collapse there. saying Farnsworth is inconsistent would be an understatement. Kimbrel could break out, but his crazy walk rate makes me doubt he’ll ever be all that reliable. Venters, O’Flaherty, Moylan—all good relievers, definitely, but no aces. there’s certainly something to be said for depth, and the Braves have a ton of it, but a deep bullpen is not real valuable in the playoffs.

don’t take my word for it, look at the ZiPS projections for the Atlanta bullpen. beside Wagner and Saito, neither of whom is projected to hit 50 innings, there’s nothing really intimidating there.

by perfectdepth on Dec 14, 2010 5:15 PM EST up reply actions  

Wagner didn’t retire?

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 5:18 PM EST up reply actions  

He’s said he’s going to retire, but hasn’t yet filed the paperwork and remains on the 40-man roster (I still project retired players for another year, anyway).

--
Dan Szymborski
Dan's Stuff is on: BTF, ESPN, Twitter

by D.Szymborski on Dec 14, 2010 6:53 PM EST up reply actions  

Wagner is going to be 39 and Saito 41—there’s a lot of possibility for collapse there

It already happened, last season.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 12:52 AM EST up reply actions  

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/profile?playerId=5102 In 50 games last year, Lidge converted 27 save opportunities, only blowing 5.

Stop generalizing based off the 2009 season, thank you.

by LeQuan Glover on Dec 14, 2010 9:53 PM EST up reply actions  

http://sports.espn.go.com/mlb/players/profile?playerId=5382

And Madson? Struck out 64 with an ERA of 2.55. If you combine the “Wins” and “Saves”, he’s responsible for 11 victories. Our top of the bullpen was quite strong last year, thank you very much.

The MIDDLE of the bullpen is still an area of concern, we thought Baez was going to step up there but it was his rookie yr or something like that last year right? We could always move Worley to the middle and see if he can give us a boost there as well.

by LeQuan Glover on Dec 14, 2010 9:56 PM EST up reply actions  

from amazin ave:
the Phillies have spared Met fans the pain of having their hopes crushed at some point in the season and have issued the death blow with plenty of time for us to prepare.

this day just keeps getting better.

by PHIGHTINPHILS on Dec 14, 2010 3:24 PM EST reply actions  

STOP JINXING IT

But yes, I had the thought that a side benefit would be improving the position player depth by carrying two fewer relievers on the active squad.

by Eric T. on Dec 14, 2010 3:25 PM EST reply actions  

Also, here are some more numbers:

In 2010, the four starters ranked 1, 6, 11, and 12 in the majors in xFIP.
In the three-year span from 2008-2010, they ranked 1, 8, 13, and 14 in xFIP.

In 2010, they ranked 1, 2, 11, and 13 in K/BB.
In the three-year span from 2008-2010, they ranked 1, 2, 7, and 11 in K/BB.

In 2010, they ranked 1, 2, 3, and 23 in WHIP.
In the three-year span from 2008-2010, they ranked 1, 2, 5, and 12 in WHIP.

Those are all rate statistics…but as you point out, these are all also durable pitchers — over the three year span, they are 1, 5, 14, and 23 in innings. Crazy.

by Eric T. on Dec 14, 2010 3:38 PM EST up reply actions  

It would take some fancy in-season Iron Piggery and Giant-like waiver-wirin’, but this is a possibility. Just keep in mind the difficulty of finding quality guys who would sign on for gigs like that. I believe whatever backup plans fill in from this point until ST will look fairly meh. So, back we go to talking about Michael Martinez!

Playoff contention is alluring for guys who would have the limelight, but I’d really be challenged if I were a 29-year-old role/bench/AAAA type to consider wasting a year of my own peak performance trying to scuffle for ABs or appearances on the mound for a team like the 2011 Phillies vs. trying to be an everyday Royal/Mariner/Marlin/Nat/Pirate/Oriole.

by Wet Luzinski on Dec 14, 2010 5:45 PM EST up reply actions  

Yah, I wasn’t thinking it’d help the quality of the bench any, just the quantity.

There were certainly times last year when we could’ve used an extra replacement level position player on the bench. A little more flexibility for some infield moves would’ve been nice at times. And I would hope we won’t see any pitchers in the outfield this year.

by Eric T. on Dec 14, 2010 6:09 PM EST up reply actions  

Joe Sheehan said this exact same thing in his newsletter from this morning, and I completely agree with you and him.

Not to get into all of this now, but the real key for the 2011 Phillies — as I see it, at least — will be keeping their aging lineup healthy and productive. The best way to do that requires Charlie Manuel changing his managerial strategy to an extent: he’ll need to give Utley, Rollins, Victorino, Polanco et al. more days off. And as WL hinted at above, more at bats on offer means we’d be able to attract a higher quality of bench player.

by PhillyFriar on Dec 15, 2010 1:47 PM EST up reply actions  

What's the over/under

A. On complete games from the 5 starters this season?
B. On Cliff Lee RBI’s?
C. On Strikeouts between just Halladay & Lee?

I’d say: A=17, B=4, C=225

by DannyO on Dec 14, 2010 3:26 PM EST reply actions  

225 K’s for both Halladay and Lee is really low. They had 404 last year.

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 3:29 PM EST up reply actions  

oh yea my bad, i ment 425

by DannyO on Dec 14, 2010 3:38 PM EST up reply actions  

Over the past 3 years, where do Doc and Lee rank in complete games? I would think they are 1 and 2, seem to go the distance a lot.

Samesis

by JpH89 on Dec 14, 2010 3:48 PM EST up reply actions  

Yup

Halladay 1st with 27, Lee 2nd with 17, Sabathia at 14, FHernandez and Greinke at 10. Oswalt has 8 (T7), and Hamels has 5 (T21), so over the three-year stretch, the four guys averaged 19 per year combined.

On a related note, Halladay is #1 in shutouts, Lee #3, and Oswalt and Hamels T4.

by Eric T. on Dec 14, 2010 3:54 PM EST up reply actions  

In the words of George Takei

“WOOOOOOOO!!!!!! Ohhh My”

Samesis

by JpH89 on Dec 14, 2010 4:10 PM EST up reply actions  

My mind is still boggled

at how quickly Philadelphia has gone from a place that Scott Rolen and Curt Schilling can’t wait to leave and that JD Drew refuses to go, to being a place where a premier free agent will take less money because he likes the environment here. Insanity!

by Eric T. on Dec 14, 2010 3:41 PM EST reply actions  

Solid Rotation

Congrats!

(Just better hope BaseballTonight doesn’t jinx it. )

Good health to you!

"This s.o.b. is throwing a two-hit shutout. He's shaking me off. You believe that s***? Charlie, here comes the deuce. And when you speak of me, speak well." - Crash Davis

by Coach Nino on Dec 14, 2010 4:15 PM EST reply actions  

Durability is a key for any team with a core of thirtysomethings. That said, this post is exhibit A for this year’s version of the Curse of the Wet Luzinski.

by Wet Luzinski on Dec 14, 2010 5:29 PM EST reply actions  

What do you think would be a fair midpoint estimate of the number of starts these four could be expected to miss this year (out of the max 130)? Maybe 10? 15?

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 5:48 PM EST up reply actions  

QUESTION!

The Phillies have good starting pitching prospects in the minors. Anyone foresee trades for an outfield bat maybe sometime right before the trade deadline? Any bat brought in could be extended if they had an expiring, especially with a good amount of money coming off the books.

The Jruth shall be told.

by packimop on Dec 14, 2010 6:01 PM EST reply actions  

Would rather keep the prospects.

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 6:03 PM EST up reply actions  

agreed, keep the prospects
at this point they’re on pace to arrive at the majors approximately when Oswalt’s or Hamels’ contracts come due.

by Philibuster on Dec 14, 2010 6:11 PM EST up reply actions  

There’s nothing out there that’s worth the cost. We might net someone in a Blanton trade. Someone the other day mentioned Cameron on the Red Sox.. Don’t know the particulars of his contract but that might be a possiblity.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 2:09 PM EST up reply actions  

that was me

Cameron is making $7.25M this year, the last year of his deal. it wouldn’t save much money obviously, but it would fill a pretty big need by giving us a RH outfielder who plays center and can hit pretty well. (that’s all assuming he’s healed, of course.)

by perfectdepth on Dec 15, 2010 2:18 PM EST up reply actions  

Tempting. And if he can play center he can play anywhere in the OF. As to his injury, he had surgery relatively early in the season so he should have had more than ample recovery time. Even without trading Blanton would 7.25 mill. really be the straw that breaks the camels back? At this point (cause I’m still in shock) the only thing I can say for certain is that Rube is quite the wild card. Dude’s just shootin’ from the hip. I’m not complaining per se but I don’t know what’s what either.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 4:32 PM EST up reply actions  

This assumes he’s worth the 7.25 mill.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 4:34 PM EST up reply actions  

According to fangraphs, he was worth $18.8 in 2008, and $19.9 in 2009 (for 4.2 and 4.4 WAR, respectively) at age 35 and 36. Two years later at age 38, and post injury, who knows. Bill James projects a .239/.327/.425 line.

by schmenkman on Dec 15, 2010 5:53 PM EST up reply actions  

So how do they quantify post injury projections? By injury? Aside from his bat, it’d be nice to have some more reliability in the fielding department other than Vic. Brown will be a top notch fielder, I just don’t know if we’ll see it all come together in one year.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 6:07 PM EST up reply actions  

oh and thanks for the info.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 6:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Love the idea, and the Phillies are apparently interested, but I don’t see it happening, unfortunately. I’d think that if they’re going to deal Blanton, it would be to clear as much of his contract as possible. Plus the Red Sox have no real need for Blanton anyway.

by PhillyFriar on Dec 15, 2010 4:58 PM EST up reply actions  

I was hoping that they finally had it with Dice-K.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 5:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Who can pitch when he’s not trying to use 16 different pitches

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 5:12 PM EST up reply actions  

I wonder if that’s what takes him so long when he’s on the mound. Because, really, every game he pitches is at least 4-and-a-half hours long.

by PhillyFriar on Dec 15, 2010 6:12 PM EST up reply actions  

Unless it’s against the Yankees, then it’s 7-and-a-half hours long.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 6:20 PM EST up reply actions  

Wow, Cameron really dialed back the douchebaggery for this one. That’s a very fair evaluation.

by phatj on Dec 14, 2010 9:10 PM EST up reply actions  

The posters OTOH brought the douchbagginess to new heights.

Lex clavatoris designati rescindenda est.

by doubleh on Dec 14, 2010 9:19 PM EST up reply actions  

Yea like Andy S saying the Phils were one of the healthiest teams last year… Did this guy miss last year on a bender or what? Next to Boston we had some of the worst luck with health. I’d quantify it but whatever.

by Sept.28.Oct.27.Dec.28.2008 on Dec 14, 2010 10:42 PM EST up reply actions  

All of AndyS’s replies were unbelievable. His posts were some serious sour grapes. Of course, Lee doesn’t make us automatic WS winners, but to pretend like it doesn’t make the team much better is ignorant of the facts. He refers to the loss of Howard and Madson last year as no big deal because they aren’t really difference makers. Oooh-kay.

Lex clavatoris designati rescindenda est.

by doubleh on Dec 14, 2010 10:45 PM EST up reply actions  

The feedback on Fangraphs over the Howard contract really seems to have created a weird groupthink about the guy. I mean, yeah, terrible contract, sure, but he’s not worthless yet, and it’s just faux-intellectual pandering to pretend that he’s purely an anchor or a zero sum gain for the team at this point in his career.

by Trev223 on Dec 14, 2010 10:49 PM EST up reply actions  

We needed our anchor anyway, even not full strength. At the very least there were those leftover RBIs for Jayson, often thanks to the pitch-around.

I felt like I thought it hit me - Chase Utley

by SandPhlea on Dec 14, 2010 11:12 PM EST up reply actions  

New York Times Article

Basically, saying what we already know; We may have just become “The Miami Heat of Baseball”

"We definitley can't lose anymore games."
-Charlie Manuel

by Dugbam on Dec 14, 2010 6:48 PM EST reply actions  

Whoops!

Here it is
http://www.nytimes.com/2010/12/15/sports/baseball/15vecsey.html?_r=1&hp

"We definitley can't lose anymore games."
-Charlie Manuel

by Dugbam on Dec 14, 2010 6:48 PM EST up reply actions  

What’s with those photographs? Lee, I recognize. The others look sort of Madduxy.

I felt like I thought it hit me - Chase Utley

by SandPhlea on Dec 14, 2010 11:16 PM EST up reply actions  

We might not need a friggin bullpen but our bullpen could be better than last years bullpen

LOOGY- Dennys Reyes

ROOGY- Scott Mathieson (its time he got a look he throws staight heat, I mean the worst he can be is a bad man’s kyle farnsworth right)

Long relief- Kyle Kendrick (This is on the assumption Worley wins the 5th spot in the rotation, I think Kenrick needs to find a niche and starter is not it like Durbin he could become a reliable Long Reliever who can make spot starts maybe even get a increase in velocity in the pen)

7th inning Lefty- Antonio Bastardo – He has the tools to become a JC Romero circa 07-08 he just needs to put it together and become more consistent..

7th inning Righty – Jose Contreras

Set-up- Ryan Madson

Closer- Brad Lidge

by BEBESTER on Dec 14, 2010 6:50 PM EST reply actions  

Can we put Contreras out to pasture?

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Dec 14, 2010 6:57 PM EST up reply actions  

Bad choice of example for long reliever. “Reliable” and “Durbin” can’t be uttered in the same sentence. That being said, KK could be considered for that role but I just don’t see it…you might get some increase in velocity, but not sure if that’ll help. Just look at his contact percentage…womp…

"We definitley can't lose anymore games."
-Charlie Manuel

by Dugbam on Dec 14, 2010 7:02 PM EST up reply actions  

ok fine durbin was never reliable

true kendricks contact % is high but who gives a eff fill the bullpen with in house guys… you probably won’t even need to use him with those starters…and his contact % is better than blantons, baez’s and herndons…anyways better bull pen than last season…and who needs the bullpen

by BEBESTER on Dec 14, 2010 7:08 PM EST up reply actions  

Impressive rotation Phils fans

just thought I’d come over here and gauge the level of optimism for the coming year
Don’t mean to burst any bubbles, or seem trollish or anything, but what are the Phillies plans for the offense?
Especially now that the Phillies are Werth-less…(that one doesn’t get old lol)

"Baseball is the only major sport that appears backward in a mirror" ~George Carlin

by thewild_viking_twins on Dec 14, 2010 7:36 PM EST reply actions  

plans for offense

Hope Utley and Howard stay healthy, Brown holds his own, and that otherwise there’s some regression to the mean (except for Chooch, no want no regression from him)

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Dec 14, 2010 7:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Our pitchers are good hitters.

I felt like I thought it hit me - Chase Utley

by SandPhlea on Dec 14, 2010 11:00 PM EST up reply actions  

Lee contract details

2011: $11 mill
2012: $21.5
2013: $25
2014: $25
2015: $25
2016: $27.5 option or $12.5 buyout

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 7:45 PM EST reply actions  

So it’s either 5 for $120 ($24 avg) or 6 for $135 ($22.5 avg). But the backloading makes it worth less than those averages makes it look, given the time value of money.

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 7:47 PM EST up reply actions  

Keeping it classy...even in the offseason

TC on The Good Phight (ten minutes ago)

Let’s be honest here…their blog is a joke.

They have no player reviews, basically no prospect coverage, are lucky to get a front page story every two or three days, and 90% of their posters would rather be morons to other fans instead of participating in a good debate.

Just stick to TC. There’s a reason we’re the biggest SBN baseball blog.

“That guy mvhsbball is really an insufferable schmuck.” – FuquaManuel
by mvhsbball on Dec 14, 2010 8:06 PM EST up reply actions

The insufferable schmuck strikes again. They should re-name their site “Whine and Cheese”

by Boundforbeach on Dec 14, 2010 8:25 PM EST reply actions  

It breaks my heart that he doesn’t like us.

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 8:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Incidentally, this comment string started over there because one of their trolls was offended that you didn’t think 3 of their starters are better than ours :)

by Boundforbeach on Dec 14, 2010 8:36 PM EST up reply actions  

Yeah, well, you know how mvhsbball is the absolute, unquestioned authority on what constitutes a good baseball blog. KNEEL BEFORE TALKING CHOP

by ThinMountainAir on Dec 14, 2010 8:34 PM EST up reply actions  

Apparently having 50 people post “Eff!” after every play that goes the opposition’s way is the measure of a quality SBN baseball blog.

"Ninety percent of this game is half mental" - Yogi Berra (SI, May 14, 1979)

by bandwagonesque on Dec 14, 2010 8:38 PM EST up reply actions  

I guess we need to post more stuff like:

MOAR RUNZ RUNZ RUNZ

+17895549784889238403

And of course: “I hope Martin Prado gets syphilis.”

Did I miss anything?

by ThinMountainAir on Dec 14, 2010 8:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Bobby Cox’s is God’s gift to managing. Kneel down and bow down to the best manager there is, the best manager there was, and the best manager there ever will be.

Formerly known as JFein.
Author at SB Nation's Philadelphia Union blog, The Brotherly Game. Follow me on Twitter

by Justin F. on Dec 14, 2010 10:07 PM EST up reply actions  

Bobby Cox sodomizes unicorns
/RTP’d

by j reed on Dec 14, 2010 11:35 PM EST up reply actions  

With passengers

"Ninety percent of this game is half mental" - Yogi Berra (SI, May 14, 1979)

by bandwagonesque on Dec 15, 2010 12:29 AM EST up reply actions  

Kee-rist. I’d rather a front page story every two or three days that was actually worth a damn than some lukewarm over-valuation of prospects. There’s not analysis better than TGP this side of PhuturePhilles, and PF makes it a bit of a push.

Oh, and we have a sense of humor here, which is way more endearing than some fake sense of baseball honor.

by Trev223 on Dec 14, 2010 8:50 PM EST up reply actions  

Some of them have a really overinflated sense of self on that site. At least we know how to enjoy the game.

90% of our posters would rather be morons, eh? Well, we beat them by 10%.

Lex clavatoris designati rescindenda est.

by doubleh on Dec 14, 2010 8:58 PM EST up reply actions  

We’ve had exactly one good commenter visit us from there, ever. I believe her name was Lizz. Based on that sample, I’d estimate that they are about 97% moron.

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 9:02 PM EST up reply actions  

can we get a confidence interval on that estimate?

by perfectdepth on Dec 14, 2010 9:06 PM EST up reply actions  

haha

i’m taking stat now, final in 1 week (yes the 22nd… i know)

I've been waiting my whole life for an Eagles Championship
RIP JJ

by sports00fan00 on Dec 15, 2010 1:54 PM EST up reply actions  

That sounds right. When “Welp, just wanted to give you a Braves-centric opinion!” is considered a complete defense of an opinion as well as a full argument, you’re not dealing with a really tremendously gifted group.

by Trev223 on Dec 14, 2010 9:07 PM EST up reply actions  

They also struggle with sarcasm and someone being direct with them, which doesn’t allow for them to fully enjoy the TGP or Giants blog experience. If you come here, you better wear a cup.

Lex clavatoris designati rescindenda est.

by doubleh on Dec 14, 2010 9:09 PM EST up reply actions  

I’ll just let that opportunity go by…

I am not a witch.

by RememberthePhitans on Dec 14, 2010 11:14 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

OK, I was off by 3%. We’ll call that variance.

Lex clavatoris designati rescindenda est.

by doubleh on Dec 14, 2010 9:08 PM EST up reply actions  

As a TGP founder, I’m deeply hurt that mvhsbball doesn’t like us. Might as well quit.

by David S. Cohen on Dec 14, 2010 10:14 PM EST up reply actions  

You wouldn’t!

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Dec 14, 2010 10:23 PM EST up reply actions  

But, but, the TC people don’t like us. I don’t see any other option.

by David S. Cohen on Dec 14, 2010 10:34 PM EST up reply actions  

But then the terrorists win!

Lex clavatoris designati rescindenda est.

by doubleh on Dec 14, 2010 10:35 PM EST up reply actions  

We will prevail against those classy devils!

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Dec 14, 2010 10:35 PM EST up reply actions  

Since we’re red over here, I think the term you are reaching for is, “We will bury you!”

Where is JnTC when I need a figurative “Amen!”?

I am not a witch.

by RememberthePhitans on Dec 14, 2010 11:11 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

"Ninety percent of this game is half mental" - Yogi Berra (SI, May 14, 1979)

by bandwagonesque on Dec 15, 2010 12:23 AM EST up reply actions  

Repost from other thread

I view that as a great honor, frankly. Why? Because that quote comes from one of our threads over here, which means that he cares enough about what I have to say to come all the way over to our "terrible blog" and read carefully through our comment thread.

His "Talking Chop is the best because we have the most traffic and most stories" line is funny in that it shows a complete ignorance of how the Phillies blogosphere compares to the Braves blogosphere.

Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will.

by FuquaManuel on Dec 14, 2010 10:38 PM EST up reply actions  

And by “that quote,” I am referring to the quote in his signature.

Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will.

by FuquaManuel on Dec 14, 2010 10:39 PM EST up reply actions  

man I wanna be the insufferable schmuck

by j reed on Dec 14, 2010 11:28 PM EST up reply actions  

That can be arranged!

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 11:33 PM EST up reply actions  

doh, I thought mhvshitballs was calling FM the insufferable schmuck which I’d take as a badge of honor. God. I remember when I started coming here getting into with him over Tommy Hanson and JA Happ and I was actually saying that Hanson was easily the better pitcher but would still regress some. If that didn’t start a shitstorm. Guys like that are why I rarely venture to other blogs esp. to the team I hate.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 12:18 AM EST up reply actions  

I have no problem venturing over to other team’s blogs to learn more about the opposition, but I stray away from TC for the most part anymore.

Formerly known as JFein.
Author at SB Nation's Philadelphia Union blog, The Brotherly Game. Follow me on Twitter

by Justin F. on Dec 15, 2010 12:30 AM EST up reply actions  

On the outside I can look like a good sportsman, but on the inside I’m really more like Tanner Boyle when it comes to losing or people talking smack about my team.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 12:44 AM EST up reply actions  

Capitol Avenue Club seems to be a Braves blog that attracts a more CLASSY crowd, from the little bit I’ve seen of it.

by schmenkman on Dec 17, 2010 9:41 AM EST up reply actions  

I doubt much arranging would be necessary…I’ve already left a considerable trail of insufferable schmuckery as I have stumbled through life.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 12:31 AM EST up reply actions  

Those guys are so awesome

They spew great knowledge

Some of the knowledge they bring forth

The Phillies don’t care about Long term

They just want to spend spend spend so they can win. Does anyone hear the Philidelphia Yankees?

GREAT

THE LAST THING WE NEED IS FOR THE SECOND BIGGEST CHEATERS TO CHEAT US OUT OF ANOTHER DIVISION!!!!!!!! }:(

by BEBESTER on Dec 15, 2010 12:35 AM EST up reply actions  

I also found it hilarious when they saw we are built for the now and we have no future..Although we are built for the now (3-4 year window), we have players in the farm system to take over when that window closes…A scout said that no other team has as much talent in single-A as the phillies do

by BEBESTER on Dec 15, 2010 12:37 AM EST up reply actions  

…basically no prospect coverage…

This one cuts me deep.

by PhillyFriar on Dec 15, 2010 1:50 PM EST up reply actions  

That was my immediate reaction. “Poor PF…”

by taco pal on Dec 15, 2010 2:13 PM EST up reply actions  

In fairness to all of the blog lords, it’s tough to pump out material for a blog and a magazine at the same time.

(I know, I know: excuses, excuses.)

by PhillyFriar on Dec 15, 2010 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Shhh. Do they know about that yet?

Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will.

by FuquaManuel on Dec 15, 2010 5:30 PM EST up reply actions  

(Sir Camels tweeteth but two evenings ago.)

by PhillyFriar on Dec 15, 2010 6:14 PM EST up reply actions  

Awww

We got your back, that dude’s such a fucking ogre.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 4:57 PM EST up reply actions  

whoops I hope you didn’t take that to mean that I think your a donkey

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 5:16 PM EST up reply actions  

they have zero, repeat, zero, prospect poems, the artless clods. I believe we lead all of SBN bloggery in baseball verse.

by Wet Luzinski on Dec 15, 2010 6:01 PM EST up reply actions  

Damn right. We crush. But in fairness those prospect poems set the bar awfully high. We might have to give them a limerick handicap or two if they want to enter the Right Brain Thunderdome with us.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 6:16 PM EST up reply actions  

There once was a manager named Cox

ought to end well.

by Wet Luzinski on Dec 15, 2010 6:26 PM EST up reply actions  

I’m leaving that for RTP.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 6:27 PM EST up reply actions  

fair enough. If the Right Brain Thunderdome has a tag-team feature, we would absolutely dominate.

by Wet Luzinski on Dec 15, 2010 6:28 PM EST up reply actions  

They would mercilessly complain that the rhyme zone favored our assonance-prone authors.

"Ninety percent of this game is half mental" - Yogi Berra (SI, May 14, 1979)

by bandwagonesque on Dec 15, 2010 6:39 PM EST up reply actions  

oh I can come up with something but RTP’s hatred of Cox is unabridged, and utterly unsympathetic. He had this rant in one of the Atlanta Game threads that I think earned him rights to first swings in a stituation like this. I mean he got unicorns into it….

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 6:40 PM EST up reply actions  

Now that I’ve thrown a stick at the hornet’s nest: It’s not so much Bobby Cox who irritates me so much as the foolish, mouth-breathing lobotomites who idolize him brainlessly. And if Braves fans weren’t so easily provoked, I would derive much less of my guilty pleasure from taunting them by picking on Bobby Cox.

What is there to dislike about Cox from my perspective? He had, according to Braves fans, a decade of the greatest pitchers since Cy Young and Mordecai Brown plus the best third baseman since ever, and he had roughly the same playoff success rate as Bud Grant. He was an unlovable guy who rode good players to lots of wins, but who overmanaged and blew it in the playoffs.

In some respects, Bobby Cox tortured Braves fans more than the Phillies ever could have. Thank you, Bobby. You do deserve to go to the HoF. Wearing a Phillies jersey, too.

Thanks for the memories!

I am not a witch.

by RememberthePhitans on Dec 15, 2010 8:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Talking Chop.. no need for tag teaming to dominate. I give more respect to Amazin Ave. The Utley piece was hilarous. Now McCovey Chronicles on the other hand definitely a tag team affair.

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 6:46 PM EST up reply actions  

There once was a cracker named Cox.
’Pon the umpires he was a pox.
He argued each call
Be it foul, strike, or ball
Giving Braves fans a tiresome vox.

"Ninety percent of this game is half mental" - Yogi Berra (SI, May 14, 1979)

by bandwagonesque on Dec 15, 2010 8:14 PM EST up reply actions   1 recs

You expect Braves fans to be classy?

This is the same fan base that sent death threats to our first basemen after the ‘91 World Series
I’ve always had a bit of resentment for them…

"Baseball is the only major sport that appears backward in a mirror" ~George Carlin

by thewild_viking_twins on Dec 15, 2010 2:38 PM EST up reply actions  

My issue with them is that their way of “congratulating” us is to come on here and make passive-agressive opinion-based statements about their rotation still being superior—sort of the “na, nanny, boo-boo,” stick-out-your-tongue debate style. We northerners appreciate a more direct approach, rather than this backhanded BS.

Lex clavatoris designati rescindenda est.

by doubleh on Dec 15, 2010 3:59 PM EST up reply actions  

rather than this backhanded BS

= southern hospitality

by j reed on Dec 15, 2010 4:59 PM EST up reply actions  

Now if only we can harness the power of the BABIP fairy

by jrobulls on Dec 14, 2010 9:32 PM EST reply actions  

Looks like a great pitching group!

On paper.

Good luck, Phillies fans. This could be a special 2011! I’ll stay tuned.

"Relax, have a homebrew."

by CajunCavern on Dec 14, 2010 10:25 PM EST reply actions  

now...

this is great news but who’s going to play RF… CF… LF… are they planning on scoring any runs????

by Elmo the faithful fan on Dec 14, 2010 10:50 PM EST reply actions  

They still have some guys who can hit, ya know.

Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will.

by FuquaManuel on Dec 14, 2010 10:51 PM EST up reply actions  

outfield

Ibanez in LF, Victorino in CF, probably Brown in RF, with the corners spelled by Francisco and/or a new player acquisition.

/Larry Literal’d

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Dec 14, 2010 10:52 PM EST up reply actions  

bill james projections

Ibanez: 596 PA, .270/.343/.446, .346 wOBA, 117 wRC+, 20 HR
Victorino: 664 PA, .279/.343/.431, .342 wOBA, 114 wRC+, 16 HR, 30 SB
Brown: 596 PA, .288/.346/.505, .372 wOBA, 134 wRC+, 26 HR, 28 SB
Francisco: 330 PA, .271/.336/.446, .342 wOBA, 114 wRC+, 10 HR

by taco pal on Dec 14, 2010 10:58 PM EST up reply actions  

BJ is loving some DB. If DB only does 80% of that, I’ll be thrilled.

I am not a witch.

by RememberthePhitans on Dec 14, 2010 11:04 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Looks a little optimistic to me too, but he can’t suck as much against LHP this year as he did last year.

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Dec 15, 2010 10:13 AM EST up reply actions  

And to be clear, yes, they are planning on scoring runs.

by David S. Cohen on Dec 14, 2010 10:57 PM EST up reply actions  

thank god.

or is that “thank Fidel?”

by perfectdepth on Dec 14, 2010 11:02 PM EST up reply actions  

“Thank Mao.” We must appease our Chinese overlords.

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Dec 15, 2010 10:14 AM EST up reply actions  

Haiku

Werth goes for the dough
Lee goes for the street pretzel
“You knoooww what I like”

I felt like I thought it hit me - Chase Utley

by SandPhlea on Dec 14, 2010 10:58 PM EST reply actions  

Seriously...

CLIFF LEE!!!

It’s going to take a while for that to get old. Probably 3.5 years or so, I’m guessing.

I am not a witch.

by RememberthePhitans on Dec 14, 2010 11:02 PM EST via mobile reply actions  

CLIFF LEE

I always get home too late :-( to make serious comment. I made today an official Borg Cliffmas Halladay. Glad Cliffie is back. Still LOVE “Doc” for all he did this year, and just being “Doc”. The collective will think more tomorrow.

"We are the Borg. Resistance is futile."

by Borg_Queen on Dec 14, 2010 11:24 PM EST up reply actions  

Lee says to Hamels
Saturdays are for Oswalt
And on Sundays Doc rests.

by BenKenobi on Dec 15, 2010 2:48 AM EST reply actions  

Nope, need to fix it

Lee says to Hamels
“Saturdays are for Oswalt”
“On Sunday Doc rests”

There we go.

by BenKenobi on Dec 15, 2010 2:49 AM EST reply actions   1 recs

I know I’ve seen his year-by-year contract $, buyout, vesting option, etc., but I can’t find it — anyone know the details?

by schmenkman on Dec 15, 2010 5:35 PM EST reply actions  

I believe it’s

2011 – $11 mill
2012 – $21.5
2013-2015 – $25
2016 – $12.5 buyout or $27.5 option

by taco pal on Dec 15, 2010 5:39 PM EST up reply actions  

thanks — so 5 for 120 (107.5+12.5) if he leaves, or 6 for 135 if he stays

by schmenkman on Dec 15, 2010 5:45 PM EST up reply actions  

also, my fortysomething ass will be grateful for the many 2011 games that will be over in a crisp 2 1/2- 3 hrs. Yay for quick workers who don’t walk dudes.

by Wet Luzinski on Dec 15, 2010 6:15 PM EST reply actions  

Ass squared

by schmenkman on Dec 15, 2010 6:45 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Self portrait?

:P

I am not a witch.

by RememberthePhitans on Dec 15, 2010 7:28 PM EST via mobile up reply actions  

Wasted in a nearly dead thread, but rec worthy.

I am not a witch.

by RememberthePhitans on Dec 18, 2010 6:31 PM EST up reply actions  

Apologize, apologize…

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Dec 20, 2010 3:49 PM EST up reply actions  

Wait, James Joyce reference?

Schadenfreude is a dish best served cold. Sorry, the Yankees, but you lose.

by LeepinLizardz on Dec 21, 2010 3:39 PM EST up reply actions  

Once I posted I thought, ah, better beat all youse to the punch.

by Wet Luzinski on Dec 15, 2010 10:59 PM EST up reply actions  

all we need

is some freakin’ hitters… shane… raul, etc… aren’t gittin er done and if howard can’t get his swing back it’ll be a loing year for these great pitchers!!!

by Elmo the faithful fan on Dec 20, 2010 2:25 PM EST reply actions  

Just to point out that they were 2nd in the NL in scoring last year, in spite of the injuries. There will be a falloff from Werth to Brown/whoever, but on the other hand there may be fewer injuries.

by schmenkman on Dec 20, 2010 4:07 PM EST up reply actions  

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