Some Phillies Links for You: March 26, 2010
by WholeCamels on Mar 26, 2010 8:38 AM EDT
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PrintPhillies fan found not guilty of prostitution
Our long national nightmare...
BASEBALL 2010: Phillies go for NL three-peat
Blah blah blah the usual from SI.com.
Phillies plan to put Victorino in position to be more productive
So wait, the Shane Victorino of the past couple of seasons has been trying to be a "tablesetter"? Hacktorino? Really?
Five predictions about the Philadelphia Phillies for the 2010 season
(3) Placido Polanco is a nice addition to an already potent lineup - Polanco almost always makes contact and typically hits the ball hard. Yes, he missed some time this spring but he has only struck out once in over 40 at-bats.
I have a dream... that one day, sportswriters will stop caring about a batter's strikeout totals.
Baseball Notes: Dodgers give the nod to Padilla for opener
Keep away from firearms, liquor for 48 hours ahead of time.
In Whiz Kid era, brass was always greener
Last in a series. Fun stuff here.
Phillies Notebook: Phillies in the market for starting pitching depth
PEDRO PEDRO PEDRO??
Park in Four-Way Battle for Yankees' Setup Role
You see what happens, Chan Ho??!?!
Phillies Notes: Phils' Kendrick turns in strong outing
Still not missing bats, however.
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I haven’t really thought about Kendrick’s K’s. I wonder what his BABIP is at this point, and if it’s just unsustainable; certainly a fair question to make of the “Is Kyle Kendrick Remade in the Image of Roy???” camp.
Either way, that’s the definition of unstable. Yeesh.
Small sample size and all, but that takes the rose color right out of my lenses.
Its not thaaaaaat bad if you think about it
My logic is the ‘pitch to contact’ guys will always have lower BABIP than guys that generate more Ks because they (PTCs) get more outs from balls that are in play and get less outs on balls that arent in play (so the numbers are skewed).
That said though, .207 is somewhat discouraging.
by philiafan14364 on Mar 26, 2010 6:21 PM EDT up reply actions
To put it another way, we assume that BABIP is essentially a measure of ‘hard hit balls’, but thats not always the case.
by philiafan14364 on Mar 26, 2010 6:30 PM EDT up reply actions
You can get away with a low K rate if you have both great control and a great ability to induce groundballs. But I don’t know if even the New Kyle fits either category.
No, there have been a few guys who have done it with success for sustained periods of time. They aren’t common but it does happen occasionally.
The only post-WWII guy I can think of off the top of my head is Bill Lee, the definitive Crafty (Goofy?) Lefty.
http://www.thegoodphight.com
by WholeCamels on Mar 26, 2010 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions
The two guys I was mainly thinking of were Kirk Rueter and Bob Tewksbury. Rueter was obviously no world beater, but he was consistently serviceable for a number of years. Tewksbury was a much better pitcher who was able to have some really good sustained success in the early ’90s while never striking anyone out because of his inhumanly good control.
aaron cook: 2006 3.89 K/9 ( 6.59 league avg), 92 SO, 212 INN
2007 3.31 K/9 (6.67), 61 SO, 166 INN
2008 4.09 K/9 (6.83), 98 SO, 211 INN
2009 4.44 K/9 (6.99). 78 SO, 158 INN
He’s the only person off the top of my head that comes anywhere near the likes of Kirk Rueter who from 2000-5 he posted the following: (order is same as above)
3.47 (6.53), 71, 184
3.82 (6.74), 83, 195
3.36 (6.53), 76, 203
2.51 (6.40), 41, 147
2.65, (6.00), 56,190
2.10 (3.80), 25, 107
more like Kirk “the Robot” Rueter. That’s just fargin insane
Yeah, Cook’s a good one too. And his walk rate isn’t even all that impressive. It’s just that he’s a machine when it comes to the groundballs.
that’s why i love the sinkerball….Honda Accord of pitches. Aint sexy, won’t get you laid but it gets the job done. That’s what I’m hoping for with Kendrick, that he develops into a Cook type of sinkerballer who’d be perfect for the 3-5 spot in the rotation in the coming years.
That would be sweet, but I don’t think it’s in the cards. Even in AAA last year, Kendrick’s GO/AO was only 1.51. Cook’s been in the 2.5-ish neighborhood every year of his big league career since he was a rookie. (So far this spring, Kendrick has 24 GO and 22 AO.)
Cook had 158IP last year, and didn’t make the 162IP cutoff for the 2010 BJ Handbook.
MLB 2009 leaders with > 162IP:
Pineiro…2.54
Lowe…2.18
Marquis…2.03
Romero (tor)…2.03
FWIW, 1.58 would put KK in the top ten in either league. NL numbers are slightly better (pitchers batting hit more gb vs starters).
Notably, in the AL, Halladay was 4th best at 1.71. In the NL, I bet he improves to close to 2. Just a guess…not easily able to work the numbers right now.
Remember the Phitans
by RememberthePhitans on Mar 27, 2010 11:45 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Dumbest Stat Ever
(well…maybe not..but it should be in the running).
From the Vic article:
Pedro Feliz, who hit No. 7 last season, came to the plate with runners in scoring position more frequently than Victorino (25.4 percent of his total plate appearances, compared with Victorino’s 23.2 percent). He also led off an inning more frequently than Victorino (20.8 percent to 19.8 percent).
Now I won’t overly nitpick the first one..but come on. They guy who hits 2nd in a lineup has a guaranteed one AB per game where it is impossible for him to lead off an inning, throw in that every other AB the pitcher is two in front of him, and it makes it even less likely (you usually go after the pitcher with 2 outs…you don’t walk him to face the lead-off guy…although if it was Cliff Lee up with Rollins on deck, might not’ve been a bad move).
Dirka.
Thought the same thing. I don’t think we’ll have to wait long for a 2-pitch, 2-out top of the first.
by Wet Luzinski on Mar 26, 2010 1:38 PM EDT up reply actions
After I finish my gloomy 5- act opus (I’ve been away, plus I’m rationalizing that the bench and bullpen are still being worked out; RAJ also prone to pull a late-March deal), or maybe in between, I’ll put together we should line up a season-long series of quirky over unders. Not typical stuff, like how many wins Roy Halladay gets, but vaguely (or decidedly) statistically informed events like this.
by Wet Luzinski on Mar 26, 2010 2:21 PM EDT up reply actions
Proposals:
Jroll faces fewer than 8p in 5ab.
Jroll pops up 3x in one game.
Jayson Werth faces more pitches in one game during a calendar week than Jroll faces in an entire calendar week where Jroll starts every game.
Game where Werth faces more pitches than Polanco, Rollins, and Victorino combined where all four start and finish the game.
Remember the Phitans
by RememberthePhitans on Mar 27, 2010 11:34 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
RTP, love the three popups in one game…my intent was to limit it to events that would occur in a single game, if only for expediency…as for your third submission, I don’t know if I can pay attention to week-long categories, though they are damn good ones. The one I thought of today was to see if Werth could tie or beat the all time pitches per PA (modern day 17, Pat Listach).
by Wet Luzinski on Mar 27, 2010 10:34 PM EDT up reply actions
I count myself shocked that it happened.
"I remember being three and I wanted to be a baseball player, that's all I ever really wanted to be. That and Spider Man." -Raul Ibanez
by Jose and the Contrarians on Mar 26, 2010 12:21 PM EDT up reply actions
Has anyone started the official “just walk Jason” campaign?
If not, I am the creator!
by philiafan14364 on Mar 26, 2010 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions
if you guys wanna start that campaign
i know Braves fans would be down to start a “just walk Ryan Howard” campaign as well
"(Jason Heyward) is like the Grim Reaper -- you know he's going to get you, you just don't know where or when." 3/26/2010 -- The future arrived.
by Scott Coleman on Mar 26, 2010 8:03 PM EDT up reply actions
Throw at his ankles…it gets you a better result usually
by jemagee on Mar 26, 2010 8:53 PM EDT up reply actions
He would still hit it out. That man doesn’t miss against us.
"(Jason Heyward) is like the Grim Reaper -- you know he's going to get you, you just don't know where or when." 3/26/2010 -- The future arrived.
by Scott Coleman on Mar 26, 2010 9:08 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
The Braves are just moving up Heyward’s FA by a year. Why not park him at Richmond for a couple of weeks? Keeping him away from 172 service days saves them millions. Think of the npv cost of a extra 2 weeks of Heyward…why?
Remember the Phitans
by RememberthePhitans on Mar 27, 2010 11:24 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Except keeping Tommy Hanson in the minors to start 2009 might have kept the Braves out of the postseason. I don’t think they could afford to make that “mistake” again.
http://www.thegoodphight.com
by WholeCamels on Mar 27, 2010 11:43 AM EDT up reply actions
And your vote could make a difference on election day. Think about the cost of a season’s worth of win shares bought with arbitration leverage down the road versus two weeks’ worth of win shares now. This is really short-sighted.
Remember the Phitans
by RememberthePhitans on Mar 27, 2010 11:54 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Sort of playing devil’s advocate, actually. This Braves team could really contend, which we don’t know about the 2015 Braves. One or two wins in 2010, for an 85-90 win team, could really, really be worth a lot.
http://www.thegoodphight.com
by WholeCamels on Mar 27, 2010 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions
I’m actually happy to see the Braves do something dumb, honestly. Were I in their shoes, I would defer gratification by a couple of weeks/month.
Remember the Phitans
by RememberthePhitans on Mar 27, 2010 4:42 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Because he's ready now
And it’s Bobby Cox’s final season.
"(Jason Heyward) is like the Grim Reaper -- you know he's going to get you, you just don't know where or when." 3/26/2010 -- The future arrived.
by Scott Coleman on Mar 27, 2010 3:58 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Walking even the best hitter of all time is a bad strategy. Pitch to him, but do it judiciously. The unintentional-intentional walk is a better idea. Heyward appears to be a really good player, but only time will tell. I’m not in favor of annointing him as Pujols II just yet.
Remember the Phitans
by RememberthePhitans on Mar 27, 2010 11:28 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions
I like it. His eyes are pretty.
I never noticed that when he was playing for the Tigers. I usually just remarked on his oddly-shaped head and/or the fact that his name sounds like he should be an opera singer.
The power play is still f**king clown shoes
Everybody...HIT SOMEBODY! ~ the Chicago Rush are back in April 2010
Polanco the Soprano with his Spear and Magic Helmet
Placido Polanco Last of the Castrati….now he doesn’t get any balls and rarely strikes out…. what’s that mean, more triple play arias
I’ll kill the wabbit! Awise storm! North wind bwow! South wind bwow! Huwwicanes! Typhoons! Earthquakes! Smog!
by j reed on Mar 28, 2010 7:25 AM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
Now that I really took a good long look at it I feel as though he’s looking right into my soul. He’s seen my sins and now judges me.
Thanks phatj, now I’ll never look at the hot corner the same again.
Scar tissue is stronger than muscle tissue. Realize the strength, move on.
“Bless me, Placido, for I have sinned. It has been five seasons since I last gazed into your soul….
by Wet Luzinski on Mar 27, 2010 10:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Other than the more serious charges concerning the “Hand of God Game” popular for sometime in many a confessional, there is another reasonable, albeit lesser known explanation for recent declining numbers at Sat. confessional. Every so often a diocese gets an practical joker priest who just can’t resist the classic “Ghost Rider Penance Stare Flaming Skull Mask Gag”
Remember children as you grow older, everytime you masterbate, an angel dies…
This gag has been known to keep kids away from Sat . confession because let’s face it, who wants to spend their Saturday afternoons nursing a hangover while listening to hordes of kids talk about how many times they disrespected their parents, destroyed ant colonies with their grandparents ultra magnifier glass turned sun laser, played with matches, discovered just how mismatched a frog is against an M-80, experimented with how to best insert the word “fuck, shit or hairy balls” into the conversation or how they “borrowed” two colorfoms from a friend’s Charlie Brown’s Camp Ground Colorform, a friend who frankly was more enthralled with eating mud to even notice absence of a Marcy and Peppermint Pattie anyway…it wasn’t like they took Snoopy as the Red Baron or Woodstock for Christ’s sake.
That sounded way too authentic. Some pre-Easter soul cleansing, perhaps, lol.
by SmilingJPhilsPhan on Apr 2, 2010 11:23 PM EDT up reply actions
Just a nitpick on the Victorino article
“Perhaps the biggest RBI of Victorino’s career, a game-tying solo home run against the Dodgers in Game 4 of the 2008 NLCS, occurred when he was batting sixth.”
No, that was a two run shot. He plated Ryan Howard with that little line drive into the Phillies bullpen (and also broke Lenny Dykstra’s Phillies RBI record with that shot). That tied the game and set the stage for the two run homer where Matt Stairs knocked the cover off the ball that people were unsure would even remain on planet Earth when it left his bat.
I just watched that game on DVD earlier today, and cackled like a madman through the entire 8th inning. That one still hasn’t gotten old. :)
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