Phillies 2010 Over/Under/Never Events: Time to Play!
via t3.gstatic.com
Now that I've procrastinated, now is the time to prognosticate. After Juan Castro's extra-base hit during Monday's opener, and now that my taxes are done, it's clearly way past time to get this baseball party started. Fortunately, some late feedback helped make this a better-designed contest (thanks all), so here goes:
For each of the in-game events described below, guess if it will happen before (under), after (over), or not at all (never) during the regular season of 2010).
One entry per screen name. Enter in the comments below (copy and paste the table, and fill in your guesses in the second column). Tastykake reward (of some kind) for the best prognosticator come October 3.
Update: Entries were accepted up until April 15, when Ryan Howard threw the ball into LF. June 1.5 was the over/under. Really, what was I thinking? Anyways, like the IRS, if you wanted to enter, you're now too late, and if you did, good luck waiting for your return.
Events listed after the jump, so, now:
Prophesy!
|
Event |
Over/Under/Never Date |
Unusual In-Game Event |
|
1 |
April 18.5 |
Jamie Moyer's first quality start of 2010 OVER: Apr 22 vs ATL - 6 IP, 2R, 0ER, W |
|
2 |
April 27.5 |
Rollins and Polanco combine for a 2-pitch, 2-out first inning |
|
3 |
April 28.5 |
Ryan Howard's first "Golden Sombrero:" 0 for x, x K (N.B., if he reaches base in any way other than a dropped third strike, that will not count). |
|
4 |
April 30.5 |
Cole Hamels berated by Chris Wheeler for "losing his cool out there/not having the right mindset/you just don't wanna do that kind of stuff out there." |
|
5 |
May 1.5 |
Ross Gload's first game-winning RBI off the bench |
|
6 |
May 2.5 |
First: Danys Baez (S) or (BS) UNDER: Apr 15 vs. WSH |
|
7 |
May 4.5 |
Jose Contreras wriggles out of a scoreless inning after surrendering 4+ walks/hits |
|
8 |
May 8.5 |
Jason Heyward HBP thrown by Phillies pitcher UNDER: Apr 23 (Jamie Moyer) |
|
9 |
May 9.5 |
Walk-off HR from Phillies reserve OVER: July 8 (Brian Schneider) |
|
10 |
May 11.5 |
Game started by someone other than Halladay/Hamels/Happ/Kendrick/Moyer UNDER: April 24 (Nelson FIgueroa) |
|
11 |
May 12.5 |
First: Ryan Howard (SB) |
|
12 |
May 15.5 |
Phillies left-fielder throws out a runner at the plate on SAC fly attempt (N.B.: Must be direct OF to player - likely C - covering home) OVER: June 23(?) vs CLE |
|
13 |
May 19.5 |
First: Multi-HR game by Phillie not named Utley, Howard, or Werth |
|
14 |
May 20.5 |
First: Jimmy Rollins caught stealing |
|
15 |
May 23.5 |
First: Win vs. AL team UNDER: May 21 vs. BOS |
|
16 |
May 25.5 |
First: Brad Lidge (S) UNDER: May 9 vs. ATL |
|
17 |
May 30.5 |
First: Brad Lidge (BS) (W) OVER: June 29 vs. CIN |
|
18 |
June 1.5 |
First Ryan Howard air-mailed throw into left field UNDER: April 15 vs. WSH |
|
19 |
June 14.5 |
Second: Win vs. AL team |
|
20 |
June 17.5 |
Charlie Manuel ejected by umpires UNDER: May 3 vs STL |
|
21 |
July 6.5 |
Bobby Cox ejected by umpires at CBP |
|
22 |
July 11.5 |
CG by Phillies pitcher other than Halladay UNDER: May 7 vs ATL (Jamie Moyer, CG SHO) |
|
23 |
August 30.5 |
"Now pitching for the Phillies: Number 45, Pedro Martinez." |
|
24 |
September 15.5 |
First 3-pitch inning, either batting or pitching UNDER: May 7 vs ATL (Jamie Moyer vs. Glaus/Diaz/Ross, top 2nd) |
|
25 |
October 2.5 |
Phillies turn triple play |
|
Extra Credit! |
October 2.5 |
Phillies succumb to Interwebs fan pressure and put out the coveted bearded Jayson Werth bobblehead |
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Comments
Feeling pretty good about this. Good thing we didn't have field for Bilzo vs everyone else @ TGF on why he should love #53.
Event Over/Under/Never Date Unusual In-Game Event
1 After April 18.5 Jamie Moyer’s first quality start of 2010
2 Before April 27.5 Rollins and Polanco combine for a 2-pitch, 2-out first inning
3 After April 28.5 Ryan Howard’s first “Golden Sombrero:” 0 for x, x K (N.B., if he reaches base in any way other than a dropped third strike, that will not count).
4 After April 30.5 Cole Hamels berated by Chris Wheeler for “losing his cool out there/not having the right mindset/you just don’t wanna do that kind of stuff out there.”
5 Never Ross Gload’s first game-winning RBI off the bench
6 Before May 2.5 First: Danys Baez (S) or (BS)
7 Never Jose Contreras wriggles out of a scoreless inning after surrendering 4+ walks/hits
8 After May 8.5 Jason Heyward HBP thrown by Phillies pitcher
9 Never Walk-off HR from Phillies reserve
10 Before May 11.5 Game started by someone other than Halladay/Hamels/Happ/Kendrick/Moyer
11 After May 12.5 First: Ryan Howard (SB)
12 After May 15.5 Phillies left-fielder throws out a runner at the plate on SAC fly attempt (N.B.: Must be direct OF to player – likely C – covering home)
13 After May 19.5 First: Multi-HR game by Phillie not named Utley, Howard, or Werth
14 After May 20.5 First: Jimmy Rollins caught stealing
15 After May 23.5 First: Win vs. AL team
16 After May 25.5 First: Brad Lidge (S)
17 After May 30.5 First: Brad Lidge (BS) (W)
18 Before June 1.5 First Ryan Howard air-mailed throw into left field
19 After June 14.5 Second: Win vs. AL team
20 Before June 17.5 Charlie Manuel ejected by umpires
21 After July 6.5 Bobby Cox ejected by umpires at CBP
22 Never CG by Phillies pitcher other than Halladay
23 Never “Now pitching for the Phillies: Number 45, Pedro Martinez.”
24 Before September 15.5 First 3-pitch inning, either batting or pitching
25 Never Phillies turn triple play
Extra Credit! Before October 2.5 Phillies succumb to Interwebs fan pressure and put out the coveted bearded Jayson Werth bobblehead
1 Under April 18.5 Jamie Moyer’s first quality start of 2010
2 Over April 27.5 Rollins and Polanco combine for a 2-pitch, 2-out first inning
3 Over April 28.5 Ryan Howard’s first “Golden Sombrero:”
4 Never April 30.5 Hamels berated by Wheeler (“berate” is kind of ambiguous though)
5 Over May 1.5 Ross Gload’s first game-winning RBI off the bench
6 Over May 2.5 First: Danys Baez (S) or (BS)
7 Never May 4.5 Jose Contreras wriggles out of a scoreless inning after surrendering 4+ walks/hits
8 Never May 8.5 Jason Heyward HBP thrown by Phillies pitcher
9 Over May 9.5 Walk-off HR from Phillies reserve
10 Under May 11.5 Game started by someone other than Halladay/Hamels/Happ/Kendrick/Moyer
11 Over May 12.5 First: Ryan Howard (SB)
12 Never May 15.5 Phillies left-fielder throws out a runner at the plate on SAC fly attempt
13 Under May 19.5 First: Multi-HR game by Phillie not named Utley, Howard, or Werth
14 Over May 20.5 First: Jimmy Rollins caught stealing
15 Never (just kidding – make that Under) May 23.5 First: Win vs. AL team
16 Over May 25.5 First: Brad Lidge (S)
17 Over May 30.5 First: Brad Lidge (BS) (W)
18 Under June 1.5 First Ryan Howard air-mailed throw into left field
19 Under June 14.5 Second: Win vs. AL team
20 Under June 17.5 Charlie Manuel ejected by umpires
21 Under July 6.5 Bobby Cox ejected by umpires at CBP
22 Under July 11.5 CG by Phillies pitcher other than Halladay
23 Never August 30.5 “Now pitching for the Phillies: Number 45, Pedro Martinez.”
24 Never September 15.5 First 3-pitch inning, either batting or pitching
25 Never October 2.5 Phillies turn triple play
Extra Credit Never coveted bearded Jayson Werth bobblehead
1 Under April 18.5 Jamie Moyer’s first quality start of 2010
2 Over April 27.5 Rollins and Polanco combine for a 2-pitch, 2-out first inning
3 Over April 28.5 Ryan Howard’s first “Golden Sombrero:” 0 for x, x K (N.B., if he reaches base in any way other than a dropped third strike, that will not count).
4 Under April 30.5 Cole Hamels berated by Chris Wheeler for “losing his cool out there/not having the right mindset/you just don’t wanna do that kind of stuff out there.”
5 Over May 1.5 Ross Gload’s first game-winning RBI off the bench
6 Over May 2.5 First: Danys Baez (S) or (BS)
7 Never May 4.5 Jose Contreras wriggles out of a scoreless inning after surrendering 4+ walks/hits
8 Never May 8.5 Jason Heyward HBP thrown by Phillies pitcher
9 Never May 9.5 Walk-off HR from Phillies reserve
10 Under May 11.5 Game started by someone other than Halladay/Hamels/Happ/Kendrick/Moyer
11 Over May 12.5 First: Ryan Howard (SB)
12 Never May 15.5 Phillies left-fielder throws out a runner at the plate on SAC fly attempt (N.B.: Must be direct OF to player – likely C – covering home)
13 Over May 19.5 First: Multi-HR game by Phillie not named Utley, Howard, or Werth
14 Over May 20.5 First: Jimmy Rollins caught stealing
15 Under May 23.5 First: Win vs. AL team
16 Over May 25.5 First: Brad Lidge (S)
17 Over May 30.5 First: Brad Lidge (BS) (W)
18 Over June 1.5 First Ryan Howard air-mailed throw into left field
19 Under June 14.5 Second: Win vs. AL team
20 Under June 17.5 Charlie Manuel ejected by umpires
21 Never July 6.5 Bobby Cox ejected by umpires at CBP
22 Over July 11.5 CG by Phillies pitcher other than Halladay
23 Under August 30.5 “Now pitching for the Phillies: Number 45, Pedro Martinez.”
24 Never September 15.5 First 3-pitch inning, either batting or pitching
25 Never October 2.5 Phillies turn triple play
Extra Credit! Unfortunately, Never October 2.5 Phillies succumb to Interwebs fan pressure and put out the coveted bearded Jayson Werth bobblehead
"When you make your final stand
I'll be right there
I'll never leave
And all I ask of you is
Believe"
1 April 18.5 Jamie Moyer’s first quality start of 2010 – OVER
2 April 27.5 Rollins and Polanco combine for a 2-pitch, 2-out first inning – OVER
3 April 28.5 Ryan Howard’s first “Golden Sombrero:” 0 for x, x K (N.B., if he reaches base in any way other than a dropped third strike, that will not count). – OVER
4 April 30.5 Cole Hamels berated by Chris Wheeler for “losing his cool out there/not having the right mindset/you just don’t wanna do that kind of stuff out there.” – UNDER
5 May 1.5 Ross Gload’s first game-winning RBI off the bench – OVER
6 May 2.5 First: Danys Baez (S) or (BS) – UNDER
7 May 4.5 Jose Contreras wriggles out of a scoreless inning after surrendering 4+ walks/hits – NEVER
8 May 8.5 Jason Heyward HBP thrown by Phillies pitcher – NEVER
9 May 9.5 Walk-off HR from Phillies reserve – OVER
10 May 11.5 Game started by someone other than Halladay/Hamels/Happ/Kendrick/Moyer – UNDER
11 May 12.5 First: Ryan Howard (SB) – UNDER
12 May 15.5 Phillies left-fielder throws out a runner at the plate on SAC fly attempt (N.B.: Must be direct OF to player – likely C – covering home) – UNDER
13 May 19.5 First: Multi-HR game by Phillie not named Utley, Howard, or Werth – UNDER
14 May 20.5 First: Jimmy Rollins caught stealing – UNDER
15 May 23.5 First: Win vs. AL team – OVER
16 May 25.5 First: Brad Lidge (S) – OVER
17 May 30.5 First: Brad Lidge (BS) (W) – UNDER
18 June 1.5 First Ryan Howard air-mailed throw into left field – UNDER
19 June 14.5 Second: Win vs. AL team – UNDER
20 June 17.5 Charlie Manuel ejected by umpires – OVER
21 July 6.5 Bobby Cox ejected by umpires at CBP – NEVER
22 July 11.5 CG by Phillies pitcher other than Halladay – UNDER
23 August 30.5 “Now pitching for the Phillies: Number 45, Pedro Martinez.” – NEVER
24 September 15.5 First 3-pitch inning, either batting or pitching – NEVER
25 October 2.5 Phillies turn triple play – NEVER
Extra Credit! October 2.5 Phillies succumb to Interwebs fan pressure and put out the coveted bearded Jayson Werth bobblehead – NEVER
by chasper mangalope on Apr 14, 2010 2:04 PM EDT reply actions
1 under
2 over (news JRoll out for a month just broke)
3 over
4 under
5 over
6 over
7 under
8 Never
9 over
10 under
11 under
12 over
13 under
14 over
15 under
16 over
17 over
18 under
19 under
20 under
21 Never
22 under
23 under
24 Never
25 Never
ExCred Never
rats,should have maybe adjusted that over/under date. whatevs.
by Wet Luzinski on Apr 14, 2010 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions
1 OVER April 18.5 Jamie Moyer’s first quality start of 2010
2 NEVER April 27.5 Rollins and Polanco combine for a 2-pitch, 2-out first inning
3 OVER April 28.5 Ryan Howard’s first "Golden Sombrero:"
4 OVER April 30.5 Hamels berated by Wheeler ("berate" is kind of ambiguous though)
5 OVER May 1.5 Ross Gload’s first game-winning RBI off the bench
6 UNDER May 2.5 First: Danys Baez (S) or (BS)
7 NEVER May 4.5 Jose Contreras wriggles out of a scoreless inning after surrendering 4+ walks/hits
8 NEVER May 8.5 Jason Heyward HBP thrown by Phillies pitcher
9 OVER May 9.5 Walk-off HR from Phillies reserve
10 OVER May 11.5 Game started by someone other than Halladay/Hamels/Happ/Kendrick/Moyer
11 UNDER May 12.5 First: Ryan Howard (SB)
12 OVER May 15.5 Phillies left-fielder throws out a runner at the plate on SAC fly attempt
13 OVER May 19.5 First: Multi-HR game by Phillie not named Utley, Howard, or Werth
14 OVER May 20.5 First: Jimmy Rollins caught stealing
15 UNDER May 23.5 First: Win vs. AL team
16 OVER May 25.5 First: Brad Lidge (S)
17 OVER May 30.5 First: Brad Lidge (BS) (W)
18 OVER June 1.5 First Ryan Howard air-mailed throw into left field
19 UNDER June 14.5 Second: Win vs. AL team
20 OVER June 17.5 Charlie Manuel ejected by umpires
21 NEVER July 6.5 Bobby Cox ejected by umpires at CBP
22 UNDER July 11.5 CG by Phillies pitcher other than Halladay
23 OVER August 30.5 "Now pitching for the Phillies: Number 45, Pedro Martinez."
24 NEVER September 15.5 First 3-pitch inning, either batting or pitching
25 NEVER October 2.5 Phillies turn triple play
Extra Credit NEVER
Whee!
1. April 18.5, Jamie Moyer’s first quality start of 2010: OVER
2. April 27.5, Rollins and Polanco combine for a 2-pitch, 2-out first inning: OVER :(
3. April 28.5, Ryan Howard’s first "Golden Sombrero: 0 for x, x K (N.B., if he reaches base in any way other than a dropped third strike, that will not count): OVER
4. April 30.5, Cole Hamels berated by Chris Wheeler for “losing his cool out there/not having the right mindset/you just don’t wanna do that kind of stuff out there.”: UNDER (has Muffin really not said anything like this yet?)
5. May 1.5, Ross Gload’s first game-winning RBI off the bench: UNDER
6. May 2.5, First: Danys Baez (S) or (BS): OVER
7. May 4.5, Jose Contreras wriggles out of a scoreless inning after surrendering 4+ walks/hits: NEVER
8. May 8.5, Jason Heyward HBP thrown by Phillies pitcher: UNDER
9. May 9.5, Walk-off HR from Phillies reserve: OVER
10. May 11.5, Game started by someone other than Halladay/Hamels/Happ/Kendrick/Moyer: UNDER
11. May 12.5, First: Ryan Howard (SB): UNDER
12. May 15.5, Phillies left-fielder throws out a runner at the plate on SAC fly attempt (N.B.: Must be direct OF to player – likely C – covering home): UNDER
13. May 19.5, First: Multi-HR game by Phillie not named Utley, Howard, or Werth: UNDER (Come on Polanco!)
14. May 20.5, First: Jimmy Rollins caught stealing: OVER
15. May 23.5, First: Win vs. AL team: UNDER (Mr. Positive about interleague.)
16. May 25.5, First: Brad Lidge (S): OVER.
17. May 30.5, First: Brad Lidge (BS) (W): UNDER.
18. June 1.5, First Ryan Howard air-mailed throw into left field: NEVER.
19. June 14.5, Second: Win vs. AL team: OVER.
20. June 17.5, Charlie Manuel ejected by umpires: UNDER.
21. July 6.5, Bobby Cox ejected by umpires at CBP: OVER (Never’s probably more realistic, but it’s fun to root for, at least!)
22. July 11.5, CG by Phillies pitcher other than Halladay: UNDER
23. August 30.5, “Now pitching for the Phillies: Number 45, Pedro Martinez.”: UNDER
24. September 15.5, First 3-pitch inning, either batting or pitching: NEVER.
25. October 2.5, Phillies turn triple play: UNDER.
Extra Credit! October 2.5, Phillies succumb to Interwebs fan pressure and put out the coveted bearded Jayson Werth bobblehead: NEVER :( (!!!)
1 UNDER April 18.5 Jamie Moyer’s first quality start of 2010
2 NEVER April 27.5 Rollins and Polanco combine for a 2-pitch, 2-out first inning
3 UNDER April 28.5 Ryan Howard’s first “Golden Sombrero:”
4 OVER April 30.5 Hamels berated by Wheeler (“berate” is kind of ambiguous though)
5 OVER May 1.5 Ross Gload’s first game-winning RBI off the bench
6 UNDER May 2.5 First: Danys Baez (S) or (BS)
7 OVER May 4.5 Jose Contreras wriggles out of a scoreless inning after surrendering 4+ walks/hits
8 OVER May 8.5 Jason Heyward HBP thrown by Phillies pitcher
9 UNDER May 9.5 Walk-off HR from Phillies reserve
10 OVER May 11.5 Game started by someone other than Halladay/Hamels/Happ/Kendrick/Moyer
11 UNDER May 12.5 First: Ryan Howard (SB)
12 OVER May 15.5 Phillies left-fielder throws out a runner at the plate on SAC fly attempt
13 UNDER May 19.5 First: Multi-HR game by Phillie not named Utley, Howard, or Werth
14 OVER May 20.5 First: Jimmy Rollins caught stealing
15 UNDER May 23.5 First: Win vs. AL team
16 OVER May 25.5 First: Brad Lidge (S)
17 OVER May 30.5 First: Brad Lidge (BS) (W)
18 UNDER June 1.5 First Ryan Howard air-mailed throw into left field
19 UNDER June 14.5 Second: Win vs. AL team
20 OVER June 17.5 Charlie Manuel ejected by umpires
21 NEVER July 6.5 Bobby Cox ejected by umpires at CBP
22 OVER July 11.5 CG by Phillies pitcher other than Halladay
23 UNDER August 30.5 “Now pitching for the Phillies: Number 45, Pedro Martinez.”
24 NEVER September 15.5 First 3-pitch inning, either batting or pitching
25 NEVER October 2.5 Phillies turn triple play
Extra Credit NEVER
1 Under April 18.5 – Jamie Moyer’s first quality start of 2010
2 Never April 27.5 – Rollins and Polanco combine for a 2-pitch, 2-out first inning
3 Never April 28.5 – Ryan Howard’s first “Golden Sombrero:” 0 for x, x K (N.B., if he reaches base in any way other than a dropped third strike, that will not count).
4 Under April 30.5 – Cole Hamels berated by Chris Wheeler for “losing his cool out there/not having the right mindset/you just don’t wanna do that kind of stuff out there.”
5 Never May 1.5 – Ross Gload’s first game-winning RBI off the bench
6 Under May 2.5 – First: Danys Baez (S) or (BS)
7 Never May 4.5 – Jose Contreras wriggles out of a scoreless inning after surrendering 4+ walks/hits
8 Over May 8.5 – Jason Heyward HBP thrown by Phillies pitcher
9 Over May 9.5 – Walk-off HR from Phillies reserve
10 Over May 11.5 – Game started by someone other than Halladay/Hamels/Happ/Kendrick/Moyer
11 Under May 12.5 – First: Ryan Howard (SB)
12 Under May 15.5 – Phillies left-fielder throws out a runner at the plate on SAC fly attempt (N.B.: Must be direct OF to player – likely C – covering home)
13 Under May 19.5 – First: Multi-HR game by Phillie not named Utley, Howard, or Werth
14 Under May 20.5 – First: Jimmy Rollins caught stealing
15 Under May 23.5 – First: Win vs. AL team
16 Over May 25.5 – First: Brad Lidge (S)
17 Over May 30.5 – First: Brad Lidge (BS) (W)
18 Over June 1.5 – First Ryan Howard air-mailed throw into left field
19 Under June 14.5 – Second: Win vs. AL team
20 Under June 17.5 – Charlie Manuel ejected by umpires
21 Under July 6.5 – Bobby Cox ejected by umpires at CBP
22 Over July 11.5 – CG by Phillies pitcher other than Halladay
23 Never August 30.5 – “Now pitching for the Phillies: Number 45, Pedro Martinez.”
24 Never September 15.5 – First 3-pitch inning, either batting or pitching
25 Never October 2.5 – Phillies turn triple play
Extra Credit! Never October 2.5 – Phillies succumb to Interwebs fan pressure and put out the coveted bearded Jayson Werth bobblehead
Saying "Never" is no fun.
1. Before April 18.5 (Moyer QS)
2. After April 27.5 (Rollins/Polanco – even without the injury)
3. After April 28.5 (Howard Golden Sombrerro)
4. After April 30.5 (Hamels berated by Wheels)
5. After May 1.5 (Gload GWRBI)
6. Under May 2.5 (Baez S/BS – PROP BET: It’s a blown save, and Phils win anyway)
7. Over May 4.5 (Contreras 0R, 4+ H/BB)
8. Over May 8.5 (Heyward HBP)
9. Under May 9.5 (Reserve Walk Off HR – JUAN CASTRO! (No, I don’t really believe this, but what the hell?)
10. Under May 11.5 (Game started by someone other than opening 5)
11. Under May 12.5 (Howard SB)
12. Over May 15.5 (LF Assist for Out at Home on Sac Fly)
13. Over May 19.5 (2+HR in Game for Non-Utley/Howard/Werth)
14. Over May 20.5 (Rollins CS)
15. Under May 23.5 (First IL Win)
16. Under May 25.5 (Lidge S)
17. Over May 30.5 (Lidge BS/W…but only if it’s a win after a Lidge blown save, if it’s one or the other, take the under)
18. Over June 1.5 (Howard air-mailed throw)
19. Under June 14.5 (Second IL Win)
20. Under June 17.5 (Cholly ejected)
21. Over July 6.5 (Cox ejected in CBP)
22. Under July 11.5 (CG other than Halladay)
23. Under August 30.5 (Pedro)
24. Under September 15.5 (3 pitch inning)
25. Over October 2.5 (Triple Play)
Extra Credit: Over October 2.5 (Bearded Werth Bobblehead)
1. O
2. O
3. O
4. O
5. O
6. S or O?
7. O
8. U
9. O
10. U
11. U
12. O
13. U
14. O
15. U
16. O
17. U
18. O
19. U
20. U
21. O
22. O
23. U
24. O
25. Never
uh oh, got too excited about the EC.
25. O
EC. Never
by Clyde Simmons on Apr 15, 2010 8:00 AM EDT up reply actions
Great job with this, WL.
1. Over
2. Never
3. Over
4. Under
5. Over
6. Under
7. Never
8. Never
9. Over
10. Under
11. Under
12. Under
13. Over
14. Over
15. Under
16. Under
17. Over
18. Under
19. Under
20. Never
21. Never
22. Over
23. Under
24. Never
25. Never
EC. Never

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