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Around SBN: The Most Dangerous Division in Sports

Some Phillies Links for You, June 2, 2010: Futility Express, Young Brown, Another Roy?

Astros' Oswalt targets three teams

Fanhouse reports that Oswalt is liking the looks of the Philadelphia Phillies, New York Yankees, and St. Louis Cardinals and would only approve a trade to one of these three teams.

So it's the Yankees, then.

Bill Conlin: Even the binoculars wouldn't help slumping Phils
I thought he was going somewhere with this column -- I really did! -- but then, what?

Fisher Cats outslug R-Phils, 12-10
Four hits for Domonic Brown, including his 10th home run. More success for the best hitter in the entire organization right now.

Phillies Notebook: Polanco might return to Phillies lineup Friday
Please be well, Placido.

Paul Hagen: Phillies hitting coach Thompson: 'I'm very frustrated'
What's baffling is that the team went from so good to so bad.

Phillies Notes: Phils' Rollins, Polanco still resting

Meanwhile, shortstop Jimmy Rollins' rehabilitation in Clearwater, Fla., for his strained right calf is moving slowly. General manager Ruben Amaro Jr. said Rollins likely would not be ready to come off the disabled list when eligible Sunday.

The Fightins - Doc Gives The Sweetest "Thank You" Gifts
Nothing to add. Makes me glad to be alive.

Baseball Prospectus | Ahead in the Count: Hometown Discounts
It's a few days old, but Our Old Friend Matt Swartz has a new piece on extending players prior to end of their contracts. Sub. Reqd.

Star-divide

Mets 4, Padres 2: Eight Steps To Pelf-Improvement - Amazin' Avenue
Mike Pelfrey dominated the Padres' lineup, and David Wright and Ike Davis hit home runs to supply the offense.

Why would the Astros ever make it easy on us? Nationals 7 - Astros 8 - The Crawfish Boxes
Check out that Win Expectancy graph!

Marlins 6, Brewers 4 - Brew Crew Ball
Trevor Hoffman needs to call it a career, I'm afraid. 3 runs allowed in 1 inning pitched. ERA over 10.00.

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Whoa, Brett Myers is having a good year.

by taco pal on Jun 2, 2010 11:16 AM EDT reply actions  

Agree. Fly in ointment: HR/9 at 0.7 is about half his career average and less than a third of what it was last year (2.3). Tune in on September 1 – after their August schedule.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 2, 2010 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wonder if the knuckleball thing is really part of the explanation for the slump. I know there’s no way to prove it though. And I know lots of other teams have faced knuckleballers over the years without any ill effects.

On the other hand, I also don’t think it’s disproven by the fact that Daisuke shut us down the day before we faced Wakefield. When he’s on, Daisuke is a really good pitcher.

by taco pal on Jun 2, 2010 11:23 AM EDT reply actions  

I think it was a perfect shitstorm of factors that contributed to this teamwide slump—coinciding funks, pressing, facing consecutive knuckleballers/slop-throwers, errors, BP blow-ups, various injuries. 15 diff lineup changes to shake things up probably don’t allow them to gain too much confidence too quickly, either.

Some are now speculating that Utley looks hurt again—could be reaching, but you never know with him because he never says anything.

"Tortorella’s got it all wrong ... Gaborik shouldn’t be messing with our skilled player." -Peter Luukko

by doubleh on Jun 2, 2010 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t know— but that is something that even I am wondering— he did not look right up there the last few times I have watched him hit… I don’t know whether whatever illness he had is still hanging around, there is some injury, or if it is just frustration/ lack of confidence. I really hope that he isn’t… that is the last thing this team needs at this point.

by dannijd on Jun 2, 2010 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

I just heard that on Baseball Today this afternoon— there are allegations that Utley is reverting to some of the bad habits he had when he was dealing with the hip injury. From what they said, the Phillies say that he is fine, but he is definitely not right. That being said, they felt that Howard looked much worse.

by dannijd on Jun 2, 2010 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

I have had a Dom Brown boner for the past 3 months. Lightheadedness set in 2 months ago, I haven’t been able to feel my extremities for the past month and a half. My fingertips turned black and fell off, finally.

by FuquaManuel on Jun 2, 2010 11:56 AM EDT reply actions  

I hope there’s no connection between your fingertips falling off and your “boner” :)

by Boundforbeach on Jun 2, 2010 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sure there is. The increased bloodflow to my manparts caused a lack of bloodflow to my fingertips.

by FuquaManuel on Jun 2, 2010 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

The purported lineup:

1. Jayson Werth
2. Wilson Valdez
3. Chase Utley
4. Ryan Howard
5. Ben Francisco
6. Raul Ibanez
7. Greg Dobbs
8. Brian Schneider
9. Kyle Kendrick

I’d say a sweep looks imminent, but stranger things have happened.

by Boundforbeach on Jun 2, 2010 11:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

That is a seriously ugly lineup.

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

BTW, I hate Werth in center. Especially in a day game. Considering his recent string of errors, I fully expect to see one today.

"Tortorella’s got it all wrong ... Gaborik shouldn’t be messing with our skilled player." -Peter Luukko

by doubleh on Jun 2, 2010 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s getting to the point where it just might make more sense to draw the lineup from a hat. If they’re not doing that already.

nyuk nyuk nyuk

by alcatraz0109 on Jun 2, 2010 12:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

Meh… at this point, whatever…

"I tried to run him over but Eli had his big boy pads on and he kind of stopped me from getting in the end zone. The next time I’ll try to jump over his head.’’ - Asante Samuel

by foos05 on Jun 2, 2010 12:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

On one hand, this lineup looks ugly…

On the other hand, that is what I said about the lineup last Friday night… at this point I am willing to give almost anything a chance. (praying for the miracle already)

by dannijd on Jun 2, 2010 12:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

Lowe has owned Shane over his career, so that’s probably one reason why he’s sitting. There’s also the fact that Shane has been sucking horribly of late.

Lowe pretty much owns our entire lineup though, except for Chase Utley who owns him.

by taco pal on Jun 2, 2010 12:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Now your starting lineup for the Philladelphia Phillies… Please welcome the Lehigh Valley Iron Pigs.

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

lol… over under on runs for today?

by dannijd on Jun 2, 2010 12:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

Two. No how about an over under for IP’s by Kendrick?

by Boundforbeach on Jun 2, 2010 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Due to bullpen exhaustion, Kendrick has to take one for the team— I am going 7.5

by dannijd on Jun 2, 2010 12:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’ll go under on both numbers

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I am going over on the runs (call me crazy, but I think we can get at least three). I am going under on Kendrick, but not much— I think 7 even sounds about right/necessary.

by dannijd on Jun 2, 2010 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s very glass half full of you.

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Blind squirrel: Nut

by dannijd on Jun 2, 2010 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Although I will say it’s a welcomed change to have every big name looking for a move to reportedly have Philadelphia on their short list of requests, we clearly don’t have anymore expendable minor league talent to fork over anymore, and pitching is clearly not our main concern right now…

"I tried to run him over but Eli had his big boy pads on and he kind of stopped me from getting in the end zone. The next time I’ll try to jump over his head.’’ - Asante Samuel

by foos05 on Jun 2, 2010 12:10 PM EDT reply actions  

Roy Oswalt just screwed Houston.

He listed 3 teams to go to, which puts Ed Wade behind an 8 ball in terms of leverage. Worse still the Cardinals system is not great, the Phillies traded away a lot of prospects the last 2 years (though the system is still in pretty good shape, I have to think RAJ is wont to engage in any more mega deals right now) and the Yankees system is better than it used to be, but outside of Montero, there is no one Wade could hang his hat on with fans as being a good return for a talent like Oswalt.

I fear this trade may make Ed Wade’s Schilling trade look like a stroke of genius. I honestly wouldn’t rule the Phillies out of it. Given Oswalt’s huge contract, the prospect cost should end up lower, as I doubt McLane wants to eat a significant portion of the remaining money.

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:13 PM EDT reply actions  

Really?

Shit. That’s the one I’ve thought all along would go after him—SS is set to make his debut this week or next with the big club. I can see this happening.

"Tortorella’s got it all wrong ... Gaborik shouldn’t be messing with our skilled player." -Peter Luukko

by doubleh on Jun 2, 2010 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t see Rizzo doing it. The Nats aren’t likely to win a World Series in the next 2 years and their system is good, but not stocked with talent. That team is on the precipice of putting things together, but trading for Oswalt could hamstring them for years.

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

He definitely shouldn’t. I don’t know much about Rizzo. Is he smart?

Jim Bowden would make the trade.

by taco pal on Jun 2, 2010 12:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t know a ton, but he seems to be pretty good, and slow playing things with Strasburg, when the kid easily could have made the opening day roster leads me to believe he isn’t likely to cave quickly to win now pressure.

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

think he would do Oswalt for the presumed No. 1 pick in the draft — Harper?

by Boundforbeach on Jun 2, 2010 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

Not allowed to. You can’t trade a pick for one year after you sign him.

by taco pal on Jun 2, 2010 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

interesting. didn’t know that. wonder what the rationale for that rule is?

by Boundforbeach on Jun 2, 2010 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

I forgot about that rule. The MLB draft has some pretty bizarre rules.

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Amusingly, it’s actually called the “Pete Incaviglia Rule.”

Basically, Incaviglia (who was one of the all-time great power hitters in college baseball history) was picked by Montreal but refused to sign with them because he didn’t want to spend any time in the minors, and the Expos wouldn’t promise to bring him straight to the big leagues. So they reached an agreement where they would sign him and then immediately trade him to the Rangers. MLB then enacted the rule to prevent players from being able to hold their drafting teams hostage after they’re picked.

by taco pal on Jun 2, 2010 1:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

that is interesting. If the NHL had that rule, the Flyers might have actually hoisted a few cups with Forsberg instead of the ongoing Lindros drama…

by Boundforbeach on Jun 2, 2010 1:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

God, I would hope not, but if I were Wade, I would jump on that deal and move to Venezuela so I can not be expedited for trial for Grand Theft.

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

If I am the Nationals, I don’t do that deal— they are a team that is building for the future, and thus should be much more interested in bringing in a talented prospect than a pitcher they would have for a year and a half (particularly a year and a half where Strasburg is going to be on innings control)… and as taco pal says, they can’t… could they trade the rights to the first pick?

by dannijd on Jun 2, 2010 12:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nope. Can’t trade Draft Picks in MLB.

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Then how is it that there have been years when the Phillies did not have picks in certain rounds????

by dannijd on Jun 2, 2010 12:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Free agent compensation.

by taco pal on Jun 2, 2010 1:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

The rational thing to do might be to just wait until the offseason to trade him. Usually you can get a higher price in the middle of a pennant race, but circumstances are such that that might not apply here. Oswalt might be open to going to more teams once there’s a clean slate, especially if he knows that if the situation doesn’t work out for him, he’ll only have to stay there for one year instead of 1.5. Also, Wade would be closer to getting draft pick compensation, which would give him a little more leverage not to make a deal.

Of course, McLane could screw that up by ordering Wade to deal Oswalt now regardless of the price he can get for him.

by taco pal on Jun 2, 2010 12:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

I hope there is absolutely zero chance RAJ would even consider a move for Oswalt. The acquiring team is on the hook for the remainder of this year’s 15 million and next year’s 16 million salary, plus whatever we would have to deal to get him. It would mark a complete reversal from the protect the farm rationale given for trading Cliff Lee and would smack of rank desperation.

by Boundforbeach on Jun 2, 2010 12:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed… plus considering Oswalt’s injury history, I am far from sold on him.

by dannijd on Jun 2, 2010 12:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Absolutely – unless (1) Cormican is right and the market is so depressed that we can get him for much lower-level prospects than we otherwise would, and (2) McLane orders Wade to trade Oswalt now instead of waiting for a more opportune market.

If that happens, we could actually come out ahead, farm-wise, by dealing lower-level prospects now for two draft picks in 2012. The money issue is a legitimate concern, though.

by taco pal on Jun 2, 2010 12:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I hope to beat the Philly.com commenters to the punch: Can you imagine if we still had Lee and got Oswalt?

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

oh that’s funny. you know it’s coming. The Halladay-Lee-Oswalt-Hamels “dream” rotation comments.

by Boundforbeach on Jun 2, 2010 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Admittedly, that would be a pretty sick starting 5 with Blanton.

by Cormican on Jun 2, 2010 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

AUTOMATIC WORLD SERIES TITLE ZOMG #$&(#&*$(#&$($

by taco pal on Jun 2, 2010 12:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

B/c is worked so well for the Braves all those years…

"Tortorella’s got it all wrong ... Gaborik shouldn’t be messing with our skilled player." -Peter Luukko

by doubleh on Jun 2, 2010 12:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

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