Phillies Prospect Roundup: Brown to Lehigh Valley
Another week in the books in the minor league season, and with the New York-Penn League and Gulf Coast League now in full swing, let's get right to it. Check below the jump for updates on the recently promoted Domonic Brown, the debut of Jesse Biddle, a toolshed who has acquitted himself well in the NYPL's early going, and more.
Domonic Brown, OF-L, Lehigh Valley: The next time Dom Brown suits up in a Reading jersey, it's likely to be on a rehab assignment from the big league club. The organization's top prospect was promoted to Triple-A on Friday, and it was a well-deserved promotion, as Brown simply laid waste to the Eastern League: .318/.391/.602, 10.7% BB, 21.6% K (271 PA). A 3-for-4 effort on Sunday gives Brown an early .364/.417/.455 line (through 12 plate appearances) in Triple-A, and while he'll surely find the International League a bit more difficult, he's shown the ability to make adjustments and should have no problem doing so again.
Jonathan Singleton, 1B-L, Lakewood: We had to know that Singleton would cool off eventually, so a 3-for-15 week shouldn't be a huge surprise. But the good news is that this mini slump hasn't been a product of a poor approach. Singleton both walked and struck out once this past week, so what we're seeing is really just a BABIP regression. It's down to XXXXX (from .459 just a few weeks back), but all that's done is downgrade his season numbers from "zOMG" to "outstanding": .356/.441/.651, 13.0% BB, 18.1% K, .295 ISO.
Scott Mathieson, RHP, Lehigh Valley: The flamethrowing Canadian showed no ill effects from his demotion back to Triple-A, fanning 5 while walking 1 and surrendering 3 hits and 1 run across 3 innings. But let's go back to his MLB "re-debut" for a moment -- while Mathieson was responsible for 2 runs in 0.2 innings, he only really gave up one hard hit ball, saw a bunch of grounders find holes, and otherwise ran into a spate of bad luck. But the fastball averaged 95.8 mph, the slider showed some promise, and I'm still confident he can help the big league bullpen this year.
Tyson Gillies, OF-L, Reading: Spring training, when Gillies was the talk of the town (non-Halladay division) in Clearwater, seems like such a long time ago at this point. The speedster came off the DL in mid-June, but made just two appearances before hamstring problems forced him back out of action last week. It's a shame, but given that the incumbent center fielder in Philadelphia is signed through 2012, there's no need to rush Gillies; the important thing now is for him to focus on getting healthy, and getting as many at bats as he can when he returns.
Jesse Biddle, LHP, GCL Phillies: The Phillies' first round selection in the June draft made his pro debut on Friday, and turned in a workmanlike performance: 3.0 IP, 0 H, 0 R, 1 BB, 3 K. Reports had him touching 93 with his fastball, and even more encouraging than that is the control -- which was one of the knocks on him as a draft prospect. You never want to read too much into the Gulf Coast League numbers for high school draftees, but the solid debut is encouraging, and it will be interesting to see how Biddle fares from now until the end of August in his first taste of pro ball.
Jonathan Villar, SS-S, Lakewood: Villar smacked a home run as the starting shortstop for the SAL North All-Stars -- a slightly ironic result, seeing as he has just one dinger on the year for the BlueClaws. There are both positives and negatives here: his .281/.345/.361 shows some hitting ability and patience, and his 27 stolen bases show some secondary skills, but the lack of power (.080 ISO) the questionable contact ability (27.0%), and 25 errors on the season stand as evidence that some caution is necessary here.
Maikel Franco, 3B-R, GCL Phillies: The recipient of a $100,000 bonus back in February, Franco is a 17-year old Dominican third baseman who made his pro debut when the GCL Phillies started play last Monday. The organization must like what they see from Franco, because he's hit third in every game thus far -- pretty impressive for the youngest player on the team. The early results have been good, too, with Franco posting a .273/.333/.545 slash line (through 24 PA) with 2 BB and 4 K. It's really early to make any judgments, but Franco's one to keep an eye on.
Joe Savery, LHP, Lehigh Valley: News broke last week that Savery was being shifted to the IronPigs bullpen, but the 2007 first round pick proceeded to take the bump as the starter on Saturday (5.0 IP, 5 H, 4 R, 3 BB, 2 K). Whatever's going on here, a move to the bullpen would certainly be warranted, as Savery has quite simply not been up to the challenge of Triple-A this year -- as evidenced by his 5.42 FIP and 42:37 K:BB in 76.2 innings. He's still a lefty, so if his stuff ticks back up a bit in shorter stints, that might actually be Savery's best way forward.
Justin De Fratus, RHP, Clearwater: The right hander has been with the organization so long -- he was an 11th round pick out of Ventura College in 2007 -- that it's easy to forget that he's only 22. Moving one level at a time has De Fratus in High-A now, and he's been a huge success as the Threshers' closer, with a 2.35 FIP, 9.7 K/9, 2.9 BB/9 and a 50.0% GB in 35.1 innings. Personally, I think it makes sense to give De Fratus at least some exposure to Double-A this year, as he's pretty clearly had no real issues in the FSL.
Kyrell Hudson, OF-R, Williamsport: It could just be a small sample, but credit where it's due to Hudson, the organization's third round pick in the 2009 draft: he's exhibited a great approach thus far in the NYPL. Notching as many walks as strikeouts (4) through 27 plate appearances is a great sign, so I'm not even worried that he's only 5-for-23 in the early going. He's got a double and a pair of steals, and the raw tools are still very, very good, so the early returns here are extremely positive.
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Thanks. Can’t get started on Monday morning without reading these first.
Any thoughts on this Harold Garcia? I know he’s a little bit old for the level, but still…
Switch-hitting second baseman (he’s played third, but his fielding % there is atrocious). At A+, has a 19.8% K rate and 5.8% BB rate. I haven’t seen him play, but I’d guess his stance crowds the plate, because he gets plinked a lot (4.1% HBP rate at A+). Either a late bloomer or held way too long in the VSL – from looking at his numbers, I can’t decide which.
He’s also a skinny bugger, at 5’11", 164. Polanco is 5’10", 168, and Utley’s 6’1", 170, to provide a couple points of comparison.
Honor is no substitute for victory.
You’ve got it.
I like the raw hitting ability, the speed, and the glove (though, if we consider him a future utility guy, I hope he has some ability to play shortstop). Just hoping the plate discipline doesn’t collapse at the upper levels. File him in the “Double-A should be very telling” category.
by PhillyFriar on Jun 28, 2010 2:17 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
So he does have good speed? I wasn’t sure, because he’s only about 75% on SB attempts. I couldn’t figure out if he was marginal on speed, or had good speed but bad jumps. He is doing better than Gillies’ 70%, though, which could mean good things.
Honor is no substitute for victory.
I have to double check when I get back to a computer, but my understanding was that his raw speed, at least, was solidly above average. His speed score from Fangraphs would be instructive in this regard.
by PhillyFriar on Jun 28, 2010 2:47 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Pretty zippy, then – Rollins has averaged a 7.8 for his career, and Utley’s only a 5.8 (and has never been over 6.5).
Honor is no substitute for victory.
Well, he can’t be Speedy, because that’s Gonzalez. And he can’t be Pepe, because that’s Sanchez. I’m sticking with Zippy Garcia until someone comes up with something better.
Honor is no substitute for victory.
Thanks guys, I thought I’d remembered his scores being pretty solid.
Of course, as you alluded to, The Dark, there’s a big distinction between being fast and a good baserunner. Anthony Gose might be the fastest player in baseball, but he’s rocking a 60% steal success rate, whereas Utley’s speed may not even be above average, but he’s probably the smartest baserunner in the game.
by PhillyFriar on Jun 28, 2010 3:14 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Going by Speed ratings, Eric Young, Jr. might be the fastest guy around – he has a 9.3 in the PCL for Colorado. The next closest I could find was Jose de los Santos’ 9.1 for Pittsburgh in the Carolina League. (Gose has an 8.9 in the SAL).
The slowest guy in the minors is outfielder/DH Chris Carter, for the Red Sox (International League). He has a Speed rating of 0.9.
Honor is no substitute for victory.
Just got back from a week away, so I’m still trying to wrap my head around the Brown and Zagurski promotions and the Mathieson demotion, but DeFratus really caught my eye here. I had no idea he was that young, and his K/9 is really great. Would his ceiling be as a closer, do you think?
To clarify — I’m assuming, given early returns, that his ceiling would be high. However, I’m prone to leaps of faith, so I’m trying to temper that.
I don’t think his stuff is THAT good that he’s future closer material, unless everything goes right. But — and I know I may sound like a broken record here — if you can develop your own setup men and middle relievers, it saves you from paying millions of dollars to Danys Baez.
by PhillyFriar on Jun 28, 2010 2:37 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
Joe Savery
I should have followed this more closely, but haven’t. What’s his story that this first-round pick hasn’t panned out? Is he proving that the pick was wrong? Or did he just not develop as expected based on what was known at the time? Or injuries? Or what?
by David S. Cohen on Jun 28, 2010 11:55 AM EDT reply actions
yes
My understanding is, a little bit of everything. But I’ll let PhillyFriar fill in the details since he definitely knows more than me.
http://www.thegoodphight.com
by WholeCamels on Jun 28, 2010 12:00 PM EDT up reply actions
If I recall, he was one of those Eagles-style high-risk/high-reward “draft a guy who slipped because of injuries and hope he recovers his old form” selections.
That is correct and most pundits at the time seemed to view it as a brilliant move by the Phillies, as sans injury Savery could have gone at the top of the first round and could turn into a huge steal. He could still become a valuable BP arm, but the window is definitely closing on him being a legit prospect.
Yup. After his freshman year, Savery was something like the second best prospect in his class behind David Price (and his freshman year numbers, which I don’t have on hand right now, were absolutely sick). His velocity was returning his junior year after his labrum injury, the Phils did their homework, and took the calculated gamble there.
I still love the thought process, and it’s just the roll of the dice that it didn’t work out like they hoped.
by PhillyFriar on Jun 28, 2010 2:40 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
So is it time yet to look at the 10 guys who were drafted after Savery and play The Saddest of All Game? I love that game.
by Wet Luzinski on Jun 28, 2010 12:37 PM EDT up reply actions
Most of the next 10 guys don’t look that impressive, actually. (Luckily?)
This guy’s having a pretty nice year though.
Also Rick Porcello and Reds Prospect Todd Frazier (who is off to a terrible start this year, but has very good numbers at every stop prior to this season, and is being shuffled all over the damned field defensively, since he’s blocked at 3rd by Rolen, at 2nd by Phillips, at 1st by Votto and they have 4 other pretty legit LF prospects).
Even if you looked at the next 20 picks, the only guys to make it to the majors are:
Aaron Poreda (13.1 innings in 14 games last season, back in AA and AAA this year)
Rick Porcello (4-7, 6.14 ERA, 70.1 IP in 13 starts, sent back to AAA)
Julio Borbon (CF, .301/.345/.394, slightly above average fielder)
Clayton Mortenson (30.2 innings in 7 games last season, AAA this season)
Brett Cecil (7-5, 4.39 ERA, 80 IP in 13 starts this season)
Admittedly, most guys shouldn’t have made it yet, but only Cecil has stuck in the majors among the pitchers. Nick Schmidt was a college player, and he’s still stuck in A+.
Honor is no substitute for victory.
Matt Rizzotti
Phuture Phillies has a new post up about him.
It is pretty thorough, though it does not suggest whether or not Rizzotti will be funny at the Major League level.

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