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Around SBN: Nevin Shapiro Vows To Bring Down Miami

Infield Armageddon: Utley and Polanco to DL

ESPN's Jerry Crasnick is first with the scoop (via Twitter): both Placido Polanco and Chase Utley are expected to be placed on the DL this afternoon.

It's obviously a huge blow for the Phils, who have scuffled to a 40-34 record and 3rd place in the NL East thus far this year.  And the move comes just as Jimmy Rollins has made his way back from a pair of lengthy DL stints after some calf problems.  Even if he's able to stay healthy (and avoid this nightmare lineup), the fact remains that Charlie Manuel is going to have to run out some combination of Wilson Valdez, Juan Castro and Greg Dobbs to plug the gap (and maybe some Brian Bocock, because apparently he's gotten the call too, according to Todd Zolecki's Twitter).  And did I mention that Carlos Ruiz is on the DL right now too?

Not sure if Ruben Amaro has a Tadahito Iguchi up his sleeve, but now would be a good time to pull one out.

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NOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOOO

"Call me dumb, call me stupid, whatever. I block shots."

by boknows71 on Jun 29, 2010 2:15 PM EDT reply actions  

Ugh… This was so not the birthday present I had in mind (b-day tomorrow)…. Chances that the Phillies are able to not entirely fall apart in the meanwhile?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:17 PM EDT reply actions  

I’d say right about “nil”

"I remember being three and I wanted to be a baseball player, that's all I ever really wanted to be. That and Spider Man." -Raul Ibanez

by Jose and the Contrarians on Jun 29, 2010 2:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

That is what I am thinking…. If the Phillies manage through this 14 game stretch (assuming we get lucky and get them both back following the All Star Break) 2-12, the Phillies will be doing good. I guess it is time to wave goodbye to any chance of making the playoffs.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Baseball actually doesn’t work that way.

This news is about as awful as it gets, but what that means is that between now and the all-star break, it will probably cost us about 1-2 games.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

We have the Reds (6 more games) and the Braves (3 games at home) between now and the all star break… we also have the Pirates (who I think we can split with)… what chance do you think we have of winning any of the nine games that do not involve the Pirates?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Probably about 98%.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

I applaud your optimism, considering that a comparatively healthy Phillies team got swept by the Braves.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

Listen. Don’t take this personally, because it is not intended that way, but the opinion that you are espousing in this thread is really stupid. It has nothing to do with optimism or pessimism, it is about simple math.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

You have no future in politics, TP. haha.

by Cormican on Jun 29, 2010 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sadly, this is true.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 2:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

How do you figure— teams lose 10 of 12… it happens… look at the month of Slumpuary

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t have time for this. If anyone here has the inclination to illustrate why it is extremely unlikely that the Phillies will lose all of their next nine games against Cincinnati and Atlanta, feel free to take a shot. There are many ways to explain this statistically.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

We're not going to lose 9 games in a row.

Howard is hitting the ball a ton lately (12 TB in the last 4 games, 34 in his last 10); Werth and Ibanez are streaky and iffy, but 38TB between them over the last 10 games; we’ve still got Rollins (who apparently draws walks now), and we’ve got Victorino.

In addition, Francisco, Valdez and (especially) Gload have shown flashes of quality recently, and should help out.

Halladay is in line to start at least twice (maybe 3x?) before the break. Hamels and Moyer should get 2 starts each, and have been pitching very well lately.

We can win games without Utley and Polanco. Not easily, maybe, but we can certainly win.

Plus, guys, remember what time of year this is. It’s still June for Crissakes. And we’re only 3.5 games out.

by Phrozen on Jun 29, 2010 3:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

your optimism is alluring, but i’m not buying it.

by Bilzo on Jun 29, 2010 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

That is kind of how I feel as well… I want to believe that it will not be that bad… but I just have this feeling that the next couple of weeks will be digging a hole that may be too deep to fight their way out of— Atlanta and New York are good, relatively healthy teams… either or both could get on a tear.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

You think we are going to lose all nine games? Do you want to bet money on it? I’ll give you a 2-to-1 payout.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Hell, I'll give you 10-to-1!

Also, check your calendar. It isn’t September, if you hadn’t noticed.

by Phrozen on Jun 29, 2010 3:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

So, what then? Give up?

Do you really think the Phils are going to lose 9 games without Utley and Polanco?

How bad did we do in ’07 when we had neither Utley nor Polanco for over a month?

by Phrozen on Jun 29, 2010 3:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah. I mean, I’m not sugarcoating anything here. To be clear, this is horrible for the team, it will hurt us in the standings, and if Utley misses significant time we’re basically f***ed. But we’re not going to have a .200 winning percentage from here on out. Come on people.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

I did not say from here on out… I believe I looked at the next two weeks (the length of time that I know they will be missing)… I said that these two weeks are going to be unilaterally miserable.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Now you are contradicting yourself, because even a team with a .200 winning percentage would be unlikely to lose nine straight games to the Reds and Braves.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

There are 4 games against the Pirates in there… I believe that the Phillies can win enough of them to have a Mendoza line winning percentage.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

You are exhibiting a poor grasp of basic logic and basic math. I know you are capable of better because you’ve shown it at other times on this blog. Please try to think through these issues logically and mathematically.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

omfg

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Jun 29, 2010 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

The worst team in modern baseball history had a .250 winning percentage (1962 Mets). And this Phillies team still has Roy Halladay, Ryan Howard, Jayson Werth, Cole Hamels, Jimmy Rollins…

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Jun 29, 2010 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

And Shane Victorino, Jamie Moyer, Ross Gload and Ben Francisco

anyone of whom would have been the superstar of the 1962 Mets.

by Phrozen on Jun 29, 2010 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

You’re telling me Moyer wasn’t on the 1962 Mets?

Sometimes I think the surest sign that intelligent life exists elsewhere in the universe is that none of it has tried to contact us. - C&H

by alcatraz0109 on Jun 29, 2010 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

No, he was still with the Cubs at that point.

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

I believe in ’07 we had a starting third baseman… Right now, I am thoroughly convinced that there is a mandate from on high that Valdo (Valdez/Castro) has to start a starters portion of the games this season.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

No that’s wrong, we didn’t. We had Feliz.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

I somehow believed that he was a starting third baseman…

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

If you mean that he was penciled into the lineup at 3B most games, then sure. We’ll have the same situation now as well.

If you mean that he was the quality of a typical starting 3B in MLB, then you’re wrong. He was a really bad player. Our 3B options sans Polanco are worse than Feliz was, but not that much worse.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

I meant that not only was he pencilled in, but the powers that be intended that occurrence… I am pretty sure nobody intended to be putting Castro and Dobbs in in place of Utley and Polanco, thus leaving them as backups,

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

So what? Isn’t the important question how good they are, not whether they were intended to be there?

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t have time to break it down, as I have a meeting to go to. However, I’m willing to agree it’s possible (though I can’t figure out what Slumpuary means, as we don’t play in January and February). It is extremely unlikely though. To be quick, as I only have a minute, half the lineup is basically replacement players with the other half capable of playing well above replacement levels and the Starters are still well above replacement level (KK is arguable there). Even a team full of replacement players would be somewhat unlikely to go 0 for 12 (though the Astros are challenging this theory on a daily basis).

This is somewhat half assed, but before I have to explain to my COO that I’m late because of Utley’s thumb injury, I’m off.

by Cormican on Jun 29, 2010 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes this is one avenue to get there.

Very quickly, here’s another one. The very worst baseball team to play in MLB since the Kennedy administration was the 2003 Detroit Tigers, who won only 26.5% of their games. So their probability of winning any given game were around that percentage. Let’s make a ballpark estimate for the sake of argument that their odds of winning a game against a good team (like this year’s Reds or Braves) were 20%. In that case, their odds of losing a particular game were around 80%.

Now, what are the odds that they lose the next nine consecutive games against those teams? You would take 0.8 and multiply it by itself 9 minus 1 times. That takes you down to a 13% chance that even a team that is that bad would lose nine consecutive games at a pre-specified point in the season.

The Phillies without Utley and Polanco are not a very good team, but they are still a whole heck of a lot better than the 2003 Tigers. The odds that the Phillies will lose the next nine games against these teams are therefore minuscule. The 98% figure I guessed above might have been overly pessimistic, if anything.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

It was that awful period from Mid-May to Mid-June when the Phillies could not score if their life depended on it and managed to score something like 34 runs in three weeks.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nah… news could have been worse… could have been 60 day DL for either or both.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

"I remember being three and I wanted to be a baseball player, that's all I ever really wanted to be. That and Spider Man." -Raul Ibanez

by Jose and the Contrarians on Jun 29, 2010 2:19 PM EDT reply actions  

I was thinking bounce Werth up?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

Alternately, bounce Ibanez up….

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

…he’s got to pick up to be in the 3 slot (well they all will have to now) but it would work if he can heat up. Charlie is certainly going to have to start paying attentions to splits and matchups more now than ever, especially for 3-6.

by wrg885 on Jun 29, 2010 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Against LHPs, Yea that’ll work.

by wrg885 on Jun 29, 2010 2:32 PM EDT up reply actions  

We’re about to see some Phillies lineups unmatched in ugliness since at least 2002, probably more like 2000.

by dajafi on Jun 29, 2010 2:27 PM EDT reply actions  

Is it better to spread the crappy hitters around in the lineup, or bunch them all up at the end? I’m leaning towards the latter, but I’m not sure.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 2:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

For some reason I’ve always thought the former, but it’s just a gut instinct thing.

by PhillyFriar on Jun 29, 2010 2:30 PM EDT up reply actions  

By this I mean, I’d live with someone crappy in the 2-hole for the time being, so that we’re not rolling with Valdez-Castro-Sardinha-[pitcher] in the 6 through 9 holes.

by PhillyFriar on Jun 29, 2010 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

Just not Valdez 2nd

We’d never get the leadoff guy to second.

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 2:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

It worked a couple of times, and who would you bat 2 on Rollins days off?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree. That clump means you almost automatically lose, at least 2 innings a game of offense (3 up, 3 down).

by Cormican on Jun 29, 2010 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Pre all star break

2 CIN 4PIT
3 vs. ATL
4 vs. CIN

Call me crazy, but I think they can get by. The Braves series will probably hurt, but I think they can get past the Pirates 3 of 4. If they can manage a split against Cincy (not close to a gimme, but not out of the question) they could finish that stretch a game under .500 (6-7).

I’m sure they’ll take a step back, but I don’t think it’s as damning for their season’s hopes if people can make timely recoveries.

by Aphilfan on Jun 29, 2010 2:33 PM EDT reply actions  

Well that's new

@ I know better than to use the “at” sign anymore @

by Aphilfan on Jun 29, 2010 2:34 PM EDT up reply actions  

…and now I just feel stupid. Carry on.

by Aphilfan on Jun 29, 2010 2:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

We aren't dead yet

Not even close actually. Even if we get swept by Atlanta, we still could split Cincy and take at least three of four from Pittsburgh. If we can get three or four of the remaining six against the Reds, and at least one against Atlanta, and Utley or Polanco or both come back on time, we will still be very much alive.

Now, everybody get out your shrines to Baseba’al…

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 2:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

I should have finished that. Get out your shrines and pray that Rollins doesn’t get hurt before the All-Star break.

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

These would be the same Reds who have 43 wins and are leading their division? How do you think that is going to work?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Halladay has two starts against them, including tonight. Moyer and Hamels should also get starts against them. It’s not overly optimistic to expect three or four out of six.

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Blanton starts tonight…

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sorry

Halladay is tomorrow. My point still stands

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

But you have to score runs and play defense… losing Polanco and Utley puts a huge dent in the Phillies ability to do either.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

The Reds have given up 347 runs this year, far and away the most of any division leader in baseball, and they have done this so far in a division that includes Houston and Pittsburgh. Their pitching staff is really not that special, even without Utley and Polanco, we can score against them. For comparison, the Phillies have given up 311, and the Braves 306.

I’d also point you to Taco Pal’s post below about the WAR values for Utley and Polanco. If we don’t miss both of them for too long, then we will be just fine.

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

But we've still got Howard.

We’ve still got Werth, we’ve still got Ibanez, we’ve still got Rollins, and we’ve still got Victorino.

Don’t give up yet—it’s still June!

by Phrozen on Jun 29, 2010 3:16 PM EDT up reply actions  

That combined with the fact that the Reds starters are a fairly pedestrian lot and can be scored on, even with 60% of the infield being about even in WAR.

by Cormican on Jun 29, 2010 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

We benefit from playing the braves at home and not on the road(the braves are very mediocre on the road this year, home is another story). However, it saddens me to say that I felt after rollins came back from the dl that I felt utley would eventually go on it. Just a gut feeling. I was not anticipating polanco and ruiz though. uggggh.

by PhilsForever on Jun 29, 2010 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I had a gut feeling too, but I had thought during the Twins series that I was wrong.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

As for Polanco, I had a bad feeling when I read yesterday that he had received a second cortisone injection. I really hope that both of them are able to recover quickly and that after the All Star break this team starts looking the way that it is supposed to look.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

I agree

It’s not like we several weeks to play catch up. If this happened in August then we’d be done. Remember injuries can happen to any team. And there still is the trade deadline (re: Taguchi)…..It will probably be ugly but they can’t let this stretch destroy the whole season.

by wrg885 on Jun 29, 2010 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Utley and Polanco are probably worth about 10-12 WAR in a typical year. Let’s say for the sake of argument that their subs will be below replacement value and bump that up to a whopping 16 WAR. That means that in all likelihood their absence will cost us about 1 game between now and the ASB. If we do really poorly in those games, it probably means that we would have done nearly as poorly even if these guys hadn’t gotten hurt.

Obviously, 1 win per 10 games is a lot. Over the course of a season, that really builds up. So it’s crucial that Utley doesn’t miss too many games. (I’m sure Polanco will be back relatively soon.) But as far as the short term goes, this isn’t the end of the world.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Can Dom Brown play 3rd? Werths a former catcher, how bout we put him there and Dom in right? Eh? Eh?

by philiafan14364 on Jun 29, 2010 2:39 PM EDT reply actions  

I assume this is a joke and it had better be.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 2:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

I am sure that there is a reason why Werth is no longer a catcher. Further, considering that he has not done it in ages and how snakebit this team has been with injuries bad idea all around.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ibanez has played (one game at) 3rd before.

by Romero on Jun 29, 2010 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wish I never laughed at the Mets’ injuries last year.

I wasn't even a year old but I stayed up to be outside the Vet with my Dad and Mom when the Phillies won the World Series 1980.

by Christopher A on Jun 29, 2010 2:43 PM EDT reply actions  

I didn’t… I actually felt kind of sad for them. While they are an opponent, you never want to beat a team that way.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sheer Curiosity

How many games have we had the “regular” starting eight out there?

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 2:45 PM EDT reply actions  

My god if Jroll hurts his calf again…

by philiafan14364 on Jun 29, 2010 2:47 PM EDT reply actions  

I have no doubt that J-Roll will head to the DL at least one more time

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Please, please, please can we get at least a few players back from the DL first?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

OMGOMGOMG!

WHAT IF THE STADIUM IS HIT BY AN EXPLODING METEOR!

Seriously, guys. Yeah, it sucks. But worse has happened. And worse will continue to happen.

by Phrozen on Jun 29, 2010 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

I wish of the pics was that on during the Flyers series with the Bruins. The one that had Darth Vader screaming NOOOOOOOOO!!!! The Flyers went on a tear after that until the Cup Final we need that pic now.

I wasn't even a year old but I stayed up to be outside the Vet with my Dad and Mom when the Phillies won the World Series 1980.

by Christopher A on Jun 29, 2010 2:50 PM EDT reply actions  

The Phillies just posted on their website that Polanco and Utley are both on the 15 day DL, but that timetables for both to return are still unknown.

Polanco has inflammation and possibly other issues in his left elbow. Utley has a sprained right thumb— the team is hoping he does not have a ligament tear.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 2:52 PM EDT reply actions  

Technically a sprain is a ligament tear. Sorry, semantics.

by Cormican on Jun 29, 2010 2:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

A minor sprain can just be a pulled ligament. It’s not necessarily torn

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 2:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

True, it would have micro tears, but not a tear that would get picked up by imaging.

by Cormican on Jun 29, 2010 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was practically quoting what the Phillies posted on their website.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

THIS IS GOING TO MAKE GAME DISCUSSIONS BLOODY AWESOME

Preaching the Inglewood Jack

by CoburnsCuddleBuddy on Jun 29, 2010 3:03 PM EDT reply actions  

Or just bloody.

Looking forward to the Kevin Kolb era.
5-8-10...the day the Purdue Boilermakers basketball team won the 2011 NCAA Championship!!

by EREX21 on Jun 29, 2010 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

I would go with the second one.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

This looks eerily similar to what happened to the Mets last year.

by Bilzo on Jun 29, 2010 3:12 PM EDT reply actions  

Funny… that is almost exactly what I was thinking…

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

SIgh

Really at this point, sigh

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 3:15 PM EDT reply actions  

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Jun 29, 2010 3:17 PM EDT reply actions  

That picture looks like I feel right now…. just when the Phillies were getting on a roll the wheels come off the wagon again.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Three questions

1. Is there anyone out there who makes sense to trade for?

2. Should we dig deeper into Charlie’s tendency to not use his bench, like, at all?

3. When will we hear from Amaro, and how smug will he be then?

by PhillyFriar on Jun 29, 2010 3:22 PM EDT reply actions  

There’s always Encarnacion.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Ty Wigginton?

Aramis Ramirez (although less likely)?

by Romero on Jun 29, 2010 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions  

Did the red sox trade mike lowell yet? Is he available?

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

He was placed on the 15 day DL 6/23 with a strained hip

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Strained hip sounds like a pseudo injury to clear roster space and stash a guy. At this point, I don’t know how much better than Dobbs/Valdez/Castro he would ultimately be.

by Cormican on Jun 29, 2010 4:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

 I was more dealing with the fact that he has a week to go before he can be on an active roster anywhere.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 4:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

But first we need to wait and see how severe these injuries are.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think Wigginton’s the best option. He’s basically a righthanded version of what we’ve always thought Dobbs was.

by PhillyFriar on Jun 29, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

2. Considering the drop off from the starters to the bench, I do not blame him, although in moments like this, a little bit of bench talent would be good.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Who are the guys at AAA who play these positions and could they hold the fort for a couple weeks?

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 3:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

Brian Bocock, Cody Ransom, Greg Dobbs, and Melvin Dorta.

Bocock: .179/.239/.231, 20.7% K rate, 7.2% BB rate
Ransom: .238/.311/.470, 26.9% K rate, 8.9% BB rate
Dobbs: .118/.111/.118, 38.9% K rate, 0% BB rate (small sample size – only has 18 AAA PAs this year)
Dorta: .312/.353/.382, 8.8% K rate, 6.7% BB rate

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

So – no one could hold the fort?

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sadly, Dorta might be the best guy we have at AAA. I’d probably rather have him than any of the other three. He’s only played SS and 3B, though, so he probably couldn’t fill for Utley.

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, Castro can cover 2B, and worst case Scenario, Polanco is a hell of 2B, if he comes back significantly earlier than Utley.

by Cormican on Jun 29, 2010 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

Has Valdez ever played second? Although we are probably stuck with both halves of Valdo starting for a while.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 4:23 PM EDT up reply actions  

19 games at 2B in the majors, 94 in the minors for Exxon

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:24 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes, very infrequently, though (~100 games in 11 seasons).

by Cormican on Jun 29, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

He is a pretty good fielder, though – only a 1.65% error rate in the field, and all of his errors were at SS (10 in 525 chances – he’s 78 for 78 at 2B, 3B, and OF).

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Nor could they “walk” around the ramparts patrolling it.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m not even sure they could substitute for the cow in the catapult

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

stupid English persons!!

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Go away or I will taunt you a second time

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe we could get Bocock to fart in their general direction.

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

Do any of them smell of elderberries?

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

While we’re on this topic, maybe this will brighten the day a bit.

by PhillyFriar on Jun 29, 2010 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions  

Call the Pirates. They’re always willing to trade somebody for cheap.

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

But even if we get one of their starters, is that an improvement over what is already on the bench?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

It was mostly sarcasm about the Pirates strategy of trading away all their best players so they can groom other teams’ prospects, only to trade them away. But with that said, I’m sure they must have somebody better than Brian Bocock.

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

Oh Goodness........

Is this the SI curse? Can we ever catch a break this season?

eff you we winning anyway
A.I. IS BACKKKKKKK

by eagleswin on Jun 29, 2010 3:29 PM EDT reply actions  

yes, it’s the curse, curses are real

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 3:35 PM EDT up reply actions  

namaste

good luck

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Jun 29, 2010 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions  

What does a bad newsletter provider have to do with anything?

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 3:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

Wow Really?

I hope you didn’t think I was serious. Since you are “intelligent” you should know

eff you we winning anyway
A.I. IS BACKKKKKKK

by eagleswin on Jun 29, 2010 4:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

There is an SI curse?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 3:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

Dallas Green invented it.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 3:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

He ain’t happy without a good curse. This is cursed. That is cursed…

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

A d now for something completely different

If you are around my age (38) this japanese live action film trailer should make you nostalgic

http://aintitcool.com/node/45603

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 3:35 PM EDT reply actions  

Star Blazers!

(yeah, yeah, I know…Space Battleship Yamato).

And…erm…I’m a wee bit younger than 38

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:03 PM EDT up reply actions  

Thought it would brighten the geek heart of some phillies fans today

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

+1....000,000,000,000

I have Iscandar, the Comet Empire, and Bolar Wars on DVD. All….for…uh…my kid. Yeah, that’s it. Plus this.

Star Blazers was awesome. Queen Starsha >>>>> Princess Leia.

Chase who?

Remember the Phitans

by RememberthePhitans on Jun 29, 2010 6:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

I knew I’d brighten some days (not so much on my sixers board – all those youngins – makes me sad)

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 6:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m older, and I dug that cartoon.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

I got the first few eps on DVD and never picked up the rest – that show was awesomness

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’m in the Robotech generation ;)

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:11 PM EDT up reply actions  

That’s ok, you’re forgiven

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

I was starting to get old enough to wonder how those explosions happen in space, where there is no oxygen. But then I suspended the disbelief and let the rocket-laser-battleship soar once again in its quest to establish a Greater Asian Co-Prosperity Galaxy.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

I always accepted that sound in space was a conceit to special effects (though joss whedon extra props for his not using sound in serenity except where it might actually have been heard in upper atmospheres)

I mean hell – star wars got away with it – cartoons definitley should

The nice thinga bout cartoons was that the bad guys shot one color and the good guys another…made it easy

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 4:14 PM EDT up reply actions  

The nice thinga bout cartoons was that the bad guys shot one color and the good guys another…made it easy

Which Star Wars did also (mostly).

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah I know – but it wasn’t a cartoon – and i’m mad at george lucas

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

You’d think they’d drop the stupid sailor hats – thought they were gay when I was a kid, they are even more stupid in live action.

by j reed on Jun 29, 2010 4:55 PM EDT up reply actions  

Your homophobia aside, they’re the navy

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 5:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

That hat would be what you’d wear if your in full, dress or service uniform – not really appropriate for battle dress.

by j reed on Jun 29, 2010 6:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s the japanese navy, in a space ship, I’m pretty sure they can do whatever the hell they want.

Didn’t bother me as a kid, still doesn’t bother me (the pipe did – but so what – it’s FUN)

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

I sort of like the red arrow on the white zip-up suit, kinda pointing to the important junk.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 6:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

japanese navy in a space submarine

by j reed on Jun 29, 2010 6:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

or were they submarine/destroyers

by j reed on Jun 29, 2010 6:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s a space battleship

In other really cheesy tv news – my bosses kid is up for the lead (second call back) in a new power rangers series :)

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 6:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

Cool! I am surprised Power Rangers is still on— my brothers played with them growing up.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 11:21 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

It’s the rebuilt battleship Yamato.

I give them a pass on the hats, since it’s a genre convention for “senior officer.” From what I’ve seen, it’s generally only the Captain and/or Executive Officer who wear the hats when it’s not a formal occasion, giving an instant visual cue that they’re supposed to be older and wiser.

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 30, 2010 7:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

I thought that’s why he smoked the pipe

by jemagee on Jun 30, 2010 11:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

The hats really works with those the ascots. Hefner Nautique Couture is all the rage.

by j reed on Jun 30, 2010 11:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Release date: December 1. I have never particularly wanted to go to Japan, but now, I might.

Remember the Phitans

by RememberthePhitans on Jun 29, 2010 6:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Anime is a HUGE market in america – i’m sure when it’s on DVD it will be available

Or if sci-fi or g4 are smart they’ll get a dubbed (well) version here in america

Dated a japanese girl once, introdocued me to neongenesis evangelion – told me that subtitled stuff is usually translated more accurately than the dubbed stuff – found that odd

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 6:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

So does Neongenesis Evangelion translated have that over explained, run-off sentence sounding dialogue like Ghost In the Shell ?

by j reed on Jun 29, 2010 7:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

So does Neongenesis Evangelion translated dubbed have that over explained, run-off sentence sounding dialogue like Ghost In the Shell ?

by j reed on Jun 29, 2010 7:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Don’t get me started on ghost in the machine, or as i like to call it ‘fake neuromancer’

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 7:29 PM EDT up reply actions  

Subbed is usually better. A lot of the dubbed stuff gets toned down, since cartoons are “kid’s shows” over here. One of the worst is the pre-Harmony Gold Macross. It was dubbed by a Korean company to be used as a teaching aid for English classes in Japan. One of my friends (somehow) acquired a copy, and it was Drinking Game level of bad.

And Evangelion is one of the weirder animes. The director’s a bit eccentric (he hates the anime fan culture, which is hilarious). He started as an animator on Macross , and directed Gunbuster and Nadia: The Secret of Blue Water. All of his directorial positions since Eva have been live-action.

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 30, 2010 7:32 AM EDT up reply actions  

What about Mark Grudzielanek?

He’s a free agent, plays decent defense (won 2B gold glove in 2006), and was hitting .278 until Cleveland released him.

He’s bound to be better than Castro.

by Phrozen on Jun 29, 2010 3:36 PM EDT reply actions  

How hard can 3rd base be to learn – just move dom brown ;)

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 3:39 PM EDT reply actions  

Contrarian view

Assuming a full recovery, this could be the rest that Utley needs, and the excuse not to play him in the ASG. This is not entirely a bad thing.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 3:48 PM EDT reply actions  

That isn’t 100% implausible.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:49 PM EDT up reply actions  

don’t get me wrong: every game we get to see Utley play is a baseball blessing. But the man dragged himself through a pretty bad September last year.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yes. I wasn’t being sarcastic, honest!

To flesh this out a bit, if Utley comes back after the ASB, we might lose 0.5 WAR or so. Could that allow us to gain more than that back in the 70 games that would remain? It’s possible.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed on both counts…

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

It’s true. I made the point in the other thread (rather, the general link thread that turned into an primitive version of this one) about the proximity of the ASG, and how we could use it to stretch some extra rest for Utley and Polanco. Really, if we survive this stretch, we could be better off for it, assuming a full Utley recovery.

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 3:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

yep. The thing that sucks the most is the Braves series, but at least it’s at home.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 3:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

If it is just the two weeks and IF he comes back healthy and able to play well, maybe… I do know this— last night, I was following the game on the blog and gameday— when he got caught trying for 2nd I groaned… I groaned again following the error. If and when he comes back— I won’t boo— not even the bad calls.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Mr. Positive! Or, more accurately, Mr. Silver Lining.

I think it’s the double whammy of Polanco with Utley that has people down. The rest will definitely do Utley some good, but to benefit the team, the Phillies need to be within striking distance by the time Chase returns. (I know you know this, just stating the obvious.)

by PhillyFriar on Jun 29, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Polanco is the real challenging piece from a management/ replacement standpoint, because he conceivably could be moved around among 3 infield positions without losing much defensive value. Utley’s more valuable, but in a multi-injury situation Polanco’s versatility is needed. And now we see why!

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 4:04 PM EDT up reply actions  

I will agree that the double whammy has made this ten times worse than what it would have been— I had the sinking feeling that Utley was going to the DL— losing Polanco too was like rubbing salt in the wound. However, my big concern is that by the time we get them back, the team is going to not be within striking distance anymore. (Just for the sake of my understanding, what should striking distance be defined as?)

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions  

7.5 games with 15 to go.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 4:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

I thought Chase was coming back before mid-September?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

At this point in the season anything would be within striking distance.

by Cormican on Jun 29, 2010 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Although a Phillies record 6 consecutive ASG starts would have been kind of cool

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions  

This should make for a fun couple weeks.

And by “fun”, I mean “nerve-wracking”. Not panicking (it’s still just late June, after all) but I’m a little hot under the collar about this.

Sometimes I think the surest sign that intelligent life exists elsewhere in the universe is that none of it has tried to contact us. - C&H

by alcatraz0109 on Jun 29, 2010 3:57 PM EDT reply actions  

Wow

I don’t think I’ve ever seen a .470 OPS for a position player before, but that’s what Bocock has in AAA: .179/.231/.239. Presumably he can field some.

by schmenkman on Jun 29, 2010 3:58 PM EDT reply actions  

I was hoping to see Ransom up here in his place, but I guess not. I certainly hope Bocock is good in the field because that’s a pretty awful line.

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 4:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe now is the best time to start a beanball war with the Braves.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

I know this is mean… but there is a part of me that would not mind hitting one of theirs hard— they caused Polanco’s injury, and I am more than a little bitter.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions  

Now THAT’s the real silver lining here.

by Baseball Nerd on Jun 29, 2010 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bocock got demoted to A ball during one recent season, and his numbers were even bad there. He might be worst hitter in the history of the sport.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 4:05 PM EDT up reply actions  

He is baseball’s version of the green tomato you put on the kitchen windowsill that mysteriously never changes color.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

Then why in the name of all that is good and holy is he up here— as an emergency replacement if all of the other options go down?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 5:52 PM EDT up reply actions  

Aha…. well at least that makes sense— I was wondering why he was not called up if he was so much better of an option.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 6:31 PM EDT up reply actions  

When you make Freddy Galvis look like Barry Bonds, I’d say that’s a fair assertion.

by PhillyFriar on Jun 29, 2010 4:08 PM EDT up reply actions  

One has to wonder if there isn’t ‘more useful’ rosterf filler than this dunderhead?

by jemagee on Jun 29, 2010 4:15 PM EDT up reply actions  

A ball was his best OPS ever – .733.

Yeah, he sucks at hitting.

By the way – the worst modern OPS I can find is Neifi Perez in 2007 – OPS of .486
The worst ever that I’m aware of was Bill Bergen’s 1909 campaign at catcher, with an OPS of .319

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Jun 29, 2010 4:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

If we only got better people then Castro…. stupid Ruben… sorry I like ya but not right now.

by Ant on Jun 29, 2010 4:26 PM EDT reply actions  

Ruben does deserve some criticism for this, but at the same time it’s not like the FA market was teeming with good backup middle-IFs.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 4:37 PM EDT up reply actions  

as well as the unlikely spate of DLs that call to mind Mr. Burns’ collection of ringers for the Springfield Power Plant Softball Team.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 4:54 PM EDT up reply actions  

If only Utley had shaved those sideburns…

by Trev223 on Jun 29, 2010 5:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Yup. Although I would love for a good backup middle infielder to materialize on the Phillies doorstep right about now.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 4:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think Jamey Carroll was available. Thought he’d fit in nicely. Oh well.

by j reed on Jun 29, 2010 5:07 PM EDT up reply actions  

ALWAYS LOOK ON THE BRIIIIIIGHT SIDE OF LIFE.......

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=jHPOzQzk9Qo

Man up, Phillies fans (You too, ladies). It’s not the end of the world. You could be Pirates fans.

Remember the Phitans

by RememberthePhitans on Jun 29, 2010 5:46 PM EDT reply actions  

I don’t see much bright side there… I am about to be unemployed… I was looking forward to lots of good baseball during my vacation in the low rent district… now it seems that at least until the all star break, I get to watch a lineup of ours that looks like something out of Spring Training (or my nightmares) lineup against some very good teams while hoping that this is the last this team is going to see of the injury bug… today bummed out is what I am.

I do not know which is worse— the crushing of one’s hopes (which is what we are going through right now) or just knowing that things are bad to begin with.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 5:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

You act like you are the only one who has to watch this goddamned team.

Man up and stop whining already. No one is forcing you to watch the games.

by FuquaManuel on Jun 29, 2010 6:33 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Bright side-ish: from now until July 14 is a great time to pound the pavement. Some real nice teams at Reading and Lakewood.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 6:41 PM EDT up reply actions  

The nice team at Reading has largely moved to Allentown, but the point still holds.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

Matt Gelb tweets

this:
PHI at CIN: Victorino 8, Dobbs 5, Rollins 6, Howard 3, Werth 9, Ibanez 7, Schneider 2, Valdez 4, Blanton 1

woo hoo. So Imma gonna say it’s time again for the 3-run Blanton homer that plates Schneider and Valdez. It’s like Powerball for baseball.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 6:36 PM EDT reply actions  

He’s due for a multi-run homer. The one in the World Series was just a solo shot.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 6:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

Gelb's on the radio now

Says they’re not sure how long Utley’s recovery time will be. There was disagreement among the Phillies’ doctors about how serious the strain is. Utley will see a hand specialist for a second opinion.

Polanco’s been taking anti-inflammatory medication since he got HBP’d in April. He will probably put off surgery until the offseason, but it’s not certain yet.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 6:41 PM EDT reply actions  

Says there isn’t a whole lot out there on the market. Mentions Grudzielanek, Garrett Atkins, Wigginton, but those aren’t good options. Also says there are a couple of utility men available on the market, though he doesn’t name them. Mentions that the Red Sox just picked up Eric Patterson from the A’s to fill in for Pedroia, by way of comparison.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

I can see this stopgap measure costing the Phillies someone like Mathieson. If people are too edgy about his surgery history, you might go for a high-A talent of the non-Singleton variety.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 6:47 PM EDT up reply actions  

I think the question continues to be what the timetable is for either Utley or Polanco to return— if one of them is going to be back just after the All Star Break (which is sounding less and less likely the way people are talking), then maybe the Philies stand pat and wait for them to get well, just as they did with J-Roll. However, if there is a good chance of both of them missing a prolonged period of time (the whole month of July or longer), then it may be time to see what can be picked up.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 6:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Kind of depends on the Polanco prognosis. He’ll likely want to play, but given the multi-year commitment the Phils might be tempted to shut him down. At that point they have to look stopgap, but maybe not necessarily. I’m also of a mindset that this could be an opportunity here to pre-empt the deadline deals by doing something real bold.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

What about going after Encarnation in Toronto if Polanco is being entirely shut down?

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 7:00 PM EDT up reply actions  

Kind of depends on the Polanco prognosis. He’ll likely want to play, but given the multi-year commitment the Phils might be tempted to shut him down. At that point they have to look stopgap, but maybe not necessarily. I’m also of a mindset that this could be an opportunity here to pre-empt the deadline deals by doing something real bold.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 6:57 PM EDT up reply actions  

Brown for Peralta!

I’m concerned “bold” will turn out to be “stupid”.

Remember the Phitans

by RememberthePhitans on Jun 29, 2010 7:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

of the two, really Polanco bugs me more. When the needles stop working, there’s a real problem there.

Utley had functionality at least initially, but the swelling must have gotten to him later in the game.

by Wet Luzinski on Jun 29, 2010 6:44 PM EDT up reply actions  

The fact that Utley had functionality gives me hope that he will come - the fact that the docs are not sure how seriously he is injured worries me- I hope that he gets good news and that it only takes him 2-3 weeks to heal.

As for Polanco— I get the feeling that it may be a longer while before we see him back. Just depressing all around.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

I do not know how that middle part got struck out, as I did not intend it to be.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 6:48 PM EDT up reply actions  

 I hear something on the radio about a bone spur for Polanco. Don’t know if it’s true.

by j reed on Jun 29, 2010 6:51 PM EDT up reply actions  

Sports radio – take with grain of salt

by j reed on Jun 29, 2010 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

That has been flying around for a while— he apparently has a history of them, and it is now irritated and becoming a problem. That being said, the official word is that nothing had been found on the MRI.

by dannijd on Jun 29, 2010 6:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

Really usually bone spurs can be seen with an x-ray. Or are you saying that he has one already and that the MRI found that there hasn’t be any change to it?

by j reed on Jun 29, 2010 7:19 PM EDT up reply actions  

Gelb mentioned the bone spur as well.

by taco pal on Jun 29, 2010 6:56 PM EDT up reply actions  

And ESPN— they are now saying that the bonespurs were found on x-rays.

by dannijd on Jun 30, 2010 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

Go in shave em down do your rehab (I skipped the rehab part when i had bone spurs) and you should be fine

by jemagee on Jun 30, 2010 11:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

But is that a this season version of fine, or a 2011 version?

by dannijd on Jun 30, 2010 11:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

My bone spurs probably would have required a couple weeks of rehab to be back to 100% – but he’s a professional athlete – he should be able to be back in 2010 but if its spurs it does require surgery and rehab (I also had bone fragements, i think ‘loose bodies’ at the same time when my ankle was operated on, now have arthritis in that foot)

by jemagee on Jun 30, 2010 11:40 AM EDT up reply actions  

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