Phillies Draft Preview: Q&A with Andy Seiler of MLB Bonus Baby
The MLB Draft is just 3 days away, so it's time to break out the big guns. Andy Seiler of MLB Bonus Baby, a fellow SB Nation site devoted wholly to the draft itself, was kind enough to answer some questions for The Good Phight. Andy's been very busy churning out both his 2010 MLB Draft Notebook as well as a whole host of material for his website, so we appreciate his time. Please stop by to check out Andy's latest mock draft here, and his incredibly in-depth Phillies 2010 draft preview from back in April here.
Without further ado, then, let's jump right in...
1. Let's start at the very beginning (a very good place to start). The Phillies hold the #27 overall pick in the first round -- who would you identify as some of the realistic targets for the organization at that spot?
I think the number of realistic targets is hard to pin down, because the Phillies have a way of drafting that a lot of people simply don't understand. The raw athlete is pretty much their forte, but they also stick very close to slot and have picked a college pitcher very high in recent memory with Joe Savery. I think they're going to go back to the raw athlete in this draft, and that could go a number of directions, including Delino DeShields, Chevez Clarke, or perhaps Reggie Golden or Yordy Cabrera if he's available. They'll have a number of arms available, too, so it's all about how much a particular player costs and just how much they like them compared to who they think will be available when their next pick is up. Marti Wolever and company aren't afraid to buck industry consensus with their picks, and that's worked out often enough for him to be one of the more experienced scouting directors in the game.
2. Let's back up for a second and take more of a big picture view. What do you see as the strengths of this draft class, and how might that play in to the Phillies' drafting strategy?
This draft class is one of the more pitching-heavy classes in some time, even more than a year ago when the first round had a number of prep pitchers in it. Teams picking down where the Phillies are picking will be available to find a quality arm, simply because there's too many of them to count. One thing the Phillies do as good as anyone is find an arm or two in the middle rounds to flesh out their system, last year's arm being the player that got their highest bonus in Brody Colvin.
3. Loading up on athletic outfielders has left the system a bit starved of quality infield prospects. Are there any Top 5 round infield selections that might make sense for the Phillies?
The Phillies have traditionally gone the college route for infield prospects, and that was confirmed again last year with the Adam Buschini pick. There are a number of players they could choose, but the ones that make some sense include Chris Bisson of Kentucky, B.J. Guinn of Cal, and Joe Leonard from Pitt if he makes it to their pick in the second round. They'll have a lot of options on the table if they want to go that route, but those players usually aren't big impact prospects for them.
4. The organization has seemed to really trust its Northwest area scout the past few years (as evidenced by the selections of Julian Sampson, Trevor May, and Kyrell Hudson). Any Northwest prep arms or toolsy position players that fit that mold this year?
Ryan Brett is a prep player in the Seattle area that actually fits the Phillies' mold for position players quite well. He's currently a shortstop that profiles well for either center field or second base, and he's toolsy enough to expect big things. He's not as physically big as a lot of Phillies prospects, but the overall athletic makeup fits their mold, and I wouldn't be surprised if they made him one of their early picks, possibly in the third round.
5. On the whole, thumbs up or thumbs down for Marti Wolever's drafting strategy?
Until the last couple of years, I've been a fan of how Marti Wolever drafts. He's one of the best in the game at knowing exactly what his player development system can do with players, and that has really worked out well for them. However, as the years have gone by, other teams have adapted their drafting and development systems, and the advantage that the Phillies had for sometime is now all but gone. I think they've reached the point where their drafting style leaves something on the table, as they're either big risk-takers or are risk-averse with every pick, with practically nothing in-between. No potential number three starters or average Major League players. All potential superstars with big bust rates or organizational players and middle relievers. However, with a system that's been largely successful at pumping talent into the Majors and for trades, you have to give Wolever the benefit of the doubt, and I'm looking forward to seeing the long-term results of the last few drafts for him and the Phillies.
Again, special thanks to Andy for taking time out to answer some questions for us here. I'll be back Monday with a brief MLB Draft preview that'll serve as a replacement for the weekly prospect roundup.
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I saw someone recently (maybe Piliere?) predict in a mock draft that the Phillies would pick yet another high school outfielder in the first round this year. I know you’re supposed to take the best player available, but there have got to be limits.
Speaking of outfielders, I just read that Tyson Gillies and Zach Collier are both about to return from their injuries. So that’s good news.
Also, what in the world has gotten into Anthony Gose? I know you already touched on this in your last roundup, PF, but it’s just getting weirder and weirder. Since May 25, he has 9 BB and 3 HBP in 39 PA and an OBP of .564. From a guy whose plate discipline is supposed to be his greatest weakness! There’s no way he’ll keep this up, right? I’d love to think that it’s just clicked for him, but surely it can’t have clicked this much this suddenly.
He isn’t hitting for any power and he’s getting caught stealing a ton, but hopefully somebody down there is reassuring him that what he’s doing now is overall a good thing.
Jeez, phatj, way to go out on a limb. ;)
The Gose thing is really encouraging. I know he came into the year wanting to focus on being more patient, so maybe it’s just now coming around? The improvement he showed from last year’s first half to second half was a big reason he wound up so high in my rankings, and after a rough start to 2010, he seems to be making adjustments again. SSS caveats apply, but if the kid’s that kind of a quick learner, it’s a really good thing.
TP, you may have to go Zen to stop yourself from killing someone when the draft reviews ultimately come out. “Toolsy toolsheds with tools” will be the Phillies mantra from Goldstein, BA, Seiler, Sickels, everyone.
Thought for sure you would
chime in on the 6-letter crime in one of triple-posts above. Ah well…
Is Andy a Philly fan, or is he willing to do this for anyone? I’d like to see the same questions answered for another farm system.
I know he lives in Georgia now, and I think he might be a Rangers fan, but I’m really not sure.
It might be a bit late at this juncture for him to do one for Talking Chop, but you should definitely check out the draft preview he wrote for the Braves back in March.
Gentlemen, I have located a picture of the Phillies 1st rounder:

"I remember being three and I wanted to be a baseball player, that's all I ever really wanted to be. That and Spider Man." -Raul Ibanez
by Jose and the Contrarians on Jun 4, 2010 2:33 PM EDT reply actions 1 recs
Solid, but I question his makeup, that could really throw a wrench in things. And it that screws us… well, I don’t want to spend too much time hammer my point home. I think that pretty much nails it. So I’ll ratchet down my rhetoric.
by Cormican on Jun 4, 2010 2:40 PM EDT up reply actions 2 recs
I think your point is well taken, but he shares a durable and workmanlike construction that shares a common bond with the blue collar nature of Philadelphia sports. Although I will say that he’s certainty not a well rounded individual for certain, although that may not matter.
"I remember being three and I wanted to be a baseball player, that's all I ever really wanted to be. That and Spider Man." -Raul Ibanez
by Jose and the Contrarians on Jun 4, 2010 2:42 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs
I agree Philly sports fans will find him somewhat magnetic, but I fear the team will need to carry him sometimes, which could be tough to handle. Let’s just hope there are no loose screws in there.
I’m not convinced he’ll sign. I’m worried he’ll be like J.D. Drew and bolt to another team, which would allow the mainstream media to hammer us with stories about how unfriendly we are, and screw our draft. I’d rather not be plastered for picking this guy, especially since we don’t know how many tools he has or how much of a load he can carry.
Honor is no substitute for victory.
No, no continue to put the screws to our already lapsed sense of humors.
"I remember being three and I wanted to be a baseball player, that's all I ever really wanted to be. That and Spider Man." -Raul Ibanez
by Jose and the Contrarians on Jun 4, 2010 4:02 PM EDT up reply actions

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