Another Extra Inning Walk-Off HR Win: Phillies 9, Reds 7

by David S. Cohen on Jul 9, 2010 10:27 PM EDT

Holy shit!

Beyond that, I'm going to let the win expectancy graph speak for itself on this one. You can do the rest in the comments.

via www.fangraphs.com

Tweet Comment 79 comments | 0 recs |

Do you like this story?

Comments

sweet Jeebus, in the top of the 9th, the Phillies had a 0.3% chance of winning.

by Wet Luzinski on Jul 9, 2010 10:44 PM EDT reply actions

Look up for a humpback whale falling from the sky tomorrow.

by j reed on Jul 9, 2010 11:26 PM EDT up reply actions

Which is only slightly lower than the .4% chance of winning Colorado came back from having in their win against St. Louis Tuesday night.

by dannijd on Jul 10, 2010 1:57 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

I guess the bad part is

Blanton is off the hook for the L

by sowhatifitisasportste on Jul 9, 2010 10:45 PM EDT reply actions

don’t worry…it’s all good. I’m pretty sure everybody is aware of how crappy he pitched, regardless of whether or not he got a decision.

by Bilzo on Jul 9, 2010 11:53 PM EDT up reply actions

esp. Blanton

by j reed on Jul 10, 2010 12:15 AM EDT up reply actions

Blanton’s not such a bad little pitcher this year. He just needs a little run support.

by Wet Luzinski on Jul 10, 2010 10:30 AM EDT up reply actions

And Snoopy doing the Died For Your Sins Two-Step

by j reed on Jul 10, 2010 11:04 AM EDT up reply actions

Nah… Cupcakes getting a no decision here was the world balancing things out. Last Tyesday, he had one of his better performances of the season, and left the game up by three runs with two outs in the eighth. Lidge came in in the ninth, and blew the save by allowing a two out, three run homer to tie the game and send it to extras. He later got the win, after the Phillies rallied with a three run 10th off of Rhodes (Rhodes has given up 5 runs since April— all to Philadelphia.) The bullpen robbed Blanton of a deserved win that night… It is only fitting that tonight, with the same opponent (and opposing starting pitcher) that the bullpen (and offense) helped Blanton get off the hook for the loss, with the Phillies scoring the same number of runs to win the game each time.

by dannijd on Jul 10, 2010 3:14 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions

Personally, I think winning the game is more important than making guys who have bad games feel bad about themselves. But maybe that’s just me.

by taco pal on Jul 10, 2010 2:51 PM EDT up reply actions

So Taco P., I was thinking you might make an exception for Blanton in a Bunny Suit .

by j reed on Jul 10, 2010 3:39 PM EDT up reply actions

Would that even make him feel bad about himself? He might like it.

by taco pal on Jul 10, 2010 3:45 PM EDT up reply actions

He could be a closet furry fan

by j reed on Jul 10, 2010 3:50 PM EDT up reply actions

my take on the comment was that blanton not getting the loss “hides” his poor performance to the people that are watching, and no bearing on hoping he felt bad.

by Bilzo on Jul 10, 2010 7:53 PM EDT up reply actions

I know that silly rabbit.

by j reed on Jul 10, 2010 11:21 PM EDT up reply actions

It was ambiguous. Like reading James Joyce.

by taco pal on Jul 10, 2010 11:38 PM EDT up reply actions

by dannijd on Jul 10, 2010 4:25 PM EDT up reply actions

oh, and I was too late for this in the thread, but

by Wet Luzinski on Jul 9, 2010 10:46 PM EDT reply actions

Great pic WL.

by j reed on Jul 9, 2010 10:55 PM EDT up reply actions

Yeah but if we still had Cliff Lee, we’d have let them get an even bigger lead just so we could have a more epic comeback.

Liberty Ballers / Ridiculous Upside / @TAFKAMikeBourn

The Artist Formerly Known As The Artist Formerly Known As Michael Bourn

by Michael Levin on Jul 9, 2010 10:47 PM EDT reply actions

I thought I saw that win expectancy graph somewhere

by j reed on Jul 9, 2010 10:53 PM EDT reply actions

Un-believable!

Can Blanton get an ‘L’ anyway?

by Phrozen on Jul 9, 2010 10:55 PM EDT reply actions

Stop yer carrying-ons ‘bout Cupcakes, at least we didn’t sign Scott Kasmir who got tagged with 13 ER last night.

by j reed on Jul 11, 2010 4:02 AM EDT up reply actions

Oh...

What does the bottom part of the Fangraphs thing mean?

by Phrozen on Jul 9, 2010 10:55 PM EDT reply actions

graph that measures leverage situations – i.e, high or low.

by Wet Luzinski on Jul 10, 2010 10:39 AM EDT up reply actions

Cool.

I’ve been wondering about that—makes sense now.

by Phrozen on Jul 10, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions

Wait

What the fuck? We won this game? GODDAMNIT I LEFT IN THE 8TH.

by ajay on Jul 9, 2010 11:13 PM EDT reply actions

HA HA

by j reed on Jul 9, 2010 11:18 PM EDT up reply actions

Never, EVER

leave a Phils game early. I left the game against Pittsburgh early last year (to go to a lingerie or less-themed party) and had to listen to the end of it on the radio heading north on Broad. Epic

"My grandmom's favorite grandson, ask my grandmom" --Rone

by layout ultimate on Jul 10, 2010 12:50 AM EDT up reply actions

That, I forgive you for… anything involving near-nudity is an acceptable excuse to leave a Phillies game. LOL

by PhillyFan20XX on Jul 10, 2010 8:24 AM EDT up reply actions

all i can say is

wow. i wanted to just stop watching at the bottom of the 8th but i’m like nahhh just see if that get another fun or two. obviously i’m glad i did not stop watching. that was one of the best phillies come back ive seen in a loooong time.

by BriereFan321 on Jul 9, 2010 11:25 PM EDT reply actions

okay i totally messed up

on what i typed.

i ment to say on the first line….“..i’m like nahh let me just see if they get another run.” not fun.

by BriereFan321 on Jul 9, 2010 11:26 PM EDT up reply actions

Well, it was also fun!

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Jul 10, 2010 5:50 AM EDT up reply actions

I am sure that the Reds did not think so… I just hope that they do not take their frustrations out on Halladay.

by dannijd on Jul 10, 2010 2:00 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

not how it works

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Jul 10, 2010 3:06 PM EDT up reply actions

Someone could throw a bat at him.

by taco pal on Jul 10, 2010 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions

I hope you are right…

by dannijd on Jul 10, 2010 4:26 PM EDT up reply actions

He is.

by FuquaManuel on Jul 10, 2010 6:27 PM EDT up reply actions

According to Jim Jackson, it was the biggest comeback since 1999.

by Phrozen on Jul 10, 2010 12:54 AM EDT up reply actions

Biggest comeback I saw live at the park was in 1966. (Yeah, I’m old.) Pirates scored four in the top of the 10th or 11th inning and the Phillies came back with five in the bottom of the inning with a walkoff two-run single by Dick Groat.

by phillyinportland on Jul 10, 2010 1:11 AM EDT up reply actions

And after the game you went to your car, and all the hubcaps had been stolen

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Jul 10, 2010 5:50 AM EDT up reply actions

not if you paid tribute to the dolla watch your car men.

by Wet Luzinski on Jul 10, 2010 10:33 AM EDT up reply actions

I was a kid then so I guess I got a ride with some friend’s father. I don’t remember ever having vandalism problems when we went by car. But I did take the subway to the game a few times and that was enlightening. Walking along Lehigh Ave from Broad Street to the stadium gave me a perspective of the city I didn’t see in South Jersey.

by phillyinportland on Jul 10, 2010 2:56 PM EDT up reply actions

Biggest ninth inning comeback, I assume.

I know they came back from 7-0 down vs. the Mets a couple of years ago, but that wasn’t all in the ninth.

They came back from an 8-run deficit at LA way back in the early 90s sometime. Nine runs in the ninth.

by taco pal on Jul 10, 2010 2:52 PM EDT up reply actions

I saw somewhere that it was the Phillies largest ninth inning comeback since 1999.

by dannijd on Jul 10, 2010 4:27 PM EDT up reply actions

don’t forget the “if the Pirates blow this game, I’ll walk home” event, but that was after like a 9 or 10 to run 1st inning by the bucs.

by Bilzo on Jul 10, 2010 7:54 PM EDT up reply actions

Yes, the monumental Steve Jeltz 2-HR game.

by taco pal on Jul 10, 2010 11:39 PM EDT up reply actions

I stopped watching

Until I was called back to the fold by a note from a friend about the Ransom HR.

I’m so ashamed for giving up.

by wildcatlh on Jul 9, 2010 11:28 PM EDT reply actions

i was watching the original mortal kombat with my roommates when my boss texted me the ransom hr… i switched over at that point… then after the W, we turned on ‘black dynamite’. it’s a hilarious blaxploitation flick. i highly recommend it…

by PHIGHTINPHILS on Jul 10, 2010 10:28 AM EDT up reply actions

"Black Dynamite"

Quite possibly the single funniest movie I’ve watched on this deployment.

by PhillyFan20XX on Jul 10, 2010 2:53 PM EDT up reply actions

I almost flipped over to TimeCop on Encore instead. Glad I stayed around.

How's your wife and my kids?

by BudVugger on Jul 9, 2010 11:47 PM EDT reply actions

Timecop is a valid excuse.

"I remember being three and I wanted to be a baseball player, that's all I ever really wanted to be. That and Spider Man." -Raul Ibanez

by Jose and the Contrarians on Jul 9, 2010 11:56 PM EDT up reply actions

This is right on the mark.

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Jul 10, 2010 5:51 AM EDT up reply actions

Agreed.

by essman on Jul 10, 2010 7:40 AM EDT up reply actions

You know it’s your night when Ryan Howard goes oppo against a lefty specialist.

"I remember being three and I wanted to be a baseball player, that's all I ever really wanted to be. That and Spider Man." -Raul Ibanez

by Jose and the Contrarians on Jul 9, 2010 11:57 PM EDT reply actions

lol@

oppo boppo!

by PHIGHTINPHILS on Jul 10, 2010 10:29 AM EDT up reply actions

The Reds are doing their best Braves impersonation… Francisco Cordero “It’s a small ballpark”.

by dannijd on Jul 10, 2010 2:06 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

damn why did i spend the night drinking and playing poker after it was 6-1. lesson learned

by Sept.28.Oct.27.Dec.28.2008 on Jul 10, 2010 12:46 AM EDT reply actions

Interacting with other flesh-and-blood humans is highly overrated.

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Jul 10, 2010 5:51 AM EDT up reply actions

Interesting on the graph that there’s just a blip after Dobbs’ homer. I guess that’s based on the total number of times when a team that’s behind by two with one out in the bottom of the 9th has won, but still … that was a big hit by Dobbs.

by phillyinportland on Jul 10, 2010 1:07 AM EDT reply actions

I realize that I am just hallucinating, and that when the LSD someone put into my ice cream cone at about 9:15 wears off, I will see that the Phillies really did lose. Until then, I’m putting on Sgt. Pepper and watching the visuals I’m getting from “For the benefit of Mr. Kite”. Over and out.

Remember the Phitans

by RememberthePhitans on Jul 10, 2010 1:15 AM EDT via mobile reply actions

Dude stay away from pizza. Cheese and LSD don’t play well together.

by j reed on Jul 10, 2010 1:20 AM EDT up reply actions

So, I live in Indiana and had to suffer through the Reds broadcast(actually, they are not that bad). Anyways, it was priceless to hear how stunned they kept getting after each run was scored in the ninth and then the tenth was great. After howard swung, the one commentator just said, “We’ll see you tomorrow.” It was awesome.

by PhilsForever on Jul 10, 2010 3:33 AM EDT reply actions

thanks for sharing that. I went back and watched their broadcast of the phils last two innings at bat.

by Bilzo on Jul 10, 2010 10:32 AM EDT up reply actions

epic. I’d feel bad for them but for the fact that the Phillies lost to Minnesota in nearly the same fashion.

by Wet Luzinski on Jul 10, 2010 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions

Yeah, I am not upset I missed that twins debacle at all. Probably how reds fans feel today if they missed yesterday’s game.

by PhilsForever on Jul 11, 2010 1:28 AM EDT up reply actions

This game was purely for the haters.

The message sent: Go to sleep on Philly at your own peril.

by PhillyFan20XX on Jul 10, 2010 8:26 AM EDT reply actions

Ryan Madson

Phils are 8-3 in games in which he pitches.
Phils are 14-9 when Madson is on the active roster.

by Bilzo on Jul 10, 2010 11:24 AM EDT reply actions

selection bias

by David S. Cohen on Jul 10, 2010 12:03 PM EDT up reply actions

it was comical. don’t read too much into it.

by Bilzo on Jul 10, 2010 7:55 PM EDT up reply actions

and 2-0 when hitting walk-off home runs against the Reds this week.

by Wet Luzinski on Jul 10, 2010 12:14 PM EDT up reply actions 1 recs

Works for me!

by dannijd on Jul 10, 2010 2:08 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions

Excellent.

Of course, it’s a small sample size, but I’m going to conclude that the ticket to the Series is hitting walkoff homeruns in every remaining game.

by Phrozen on Jul 10, 2010 4:29 PM EDT up reply actions

UGH

Big Pelf wins bingo again. bases loaded no outs – Prado effing Prado hits a groundball back top Pelf , 1-2-3 DP. Pelf leaves innig without a scatch.

by j reed on Jul 10, 2010 5:35 PM EDT reply actions

Errr... no.

BIGPELF was charged with all 4 Atlanta runs.

BIGPELF: 4IP, 12H, 4ER, 3BB, 2K.

by Phrozen on Jul 10, 2010 7:40 PM EDT up reply actions

True but I was talking about like the 2nd inning or thereabouts

by j reed on Jul 10, 2010 11:04 PM EDT up reply actions

Shouldn’t we be rooting for the Mets to win these games?

by taco pal on Jul 10, 2010 11:40 PM EDT up reply actions

I think so

Probably depends on whether you think you’re chasing the Braves for first place or the Mets for the wild card. Right now I’m thinking about catching the Braves.But I can’t get invested in caring in July whether the Braves or the Mets win until the Phillies are behind only one team in the division.

by phillyinportland on Jul 11, 2010 3:32 AM EDT up reply actions

Actually yes. I mean it’s a mixed bag. The Mets winning helps us but I can’t help imagining that Mets fan/writer at Fartgraphs who dissed Moyer wringing his hands as he listens the to BABIP fairies say HA HA when Big Pelf is sent to his room in the 5th inning.

by j reed on Jul 11, 2010 3:54 AM EDT up reply actions