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Around SBN: The Amateur Mathematics Of Linsanity

Feat of Arms: Phillies 2, Dodgers 0

If the Phillies are going to make a fourth straight trip to the postseason in 2010, their pitching will have to take them there. After a victorious home debut from newly acquired Roy Oswalt, the prospect seems plausible enough.

The 6-13 record Oswalt lugged into tonight's game despite a 3.50 ERA attests to just how little support he's received in 2010 both before and since coming aboard from the Astros, and another tepid performance from the Phils lineup--two runs on seven hits--didn't change that. Fortunately for all concerned, that was two more runs than Oswalt allowed the visiting Dodgers. Showing a consistent low to mid-90s fastball and a sharp changeup, he held Los Angeles to five hits and two walks over seven innings, striking out five. It wasn't all smooth sailing: after a James Loney double and a Casey Blake walk to start the second, Oswalt needed a double play from Jay Gibbons to escape serious trouble, and he stranded two men in both the third and the fifth. For the most part, though, Oswalt pounded the strike zone and kept the Dodger hitters off balance. 

Meanwhile, the Phillies did just enough against Chad Billingsley, loading the bases with one out in the fourth on a single and two walks and pushing a run across on Domonic Brown's fielder's choice. After wasting a Wilson Valdez leadoff triple in the fifth, they got another an inning later when Ross Gload and Raul Ibanez hit back to back doubles to start the inning. Unfortunately, Gload pulled up lame between first and second, leaving the game with what was later reported as a groin strain. He's likely bound for the disabled list, which might be bumping up against some Maximum Occupancy strictures. 

Oswalt gave way to Ryan Madson in the eighth. After surrendering a leadoff double to Scott Podsednik, Madson bore down to strike out Ryan Theriot and Andre Ethier, the latter on a full-count changeup that dove out of the zone, before ending the inning by getting Loney to fly out. Brad Lidge was even better in the ninth, showing a nasty assortment of sliders to set down the side in the order--just the fourth time he's done that in his 15 saves this season. 

20100811_dodgers_phillies_0_69_live_medium

via www.fangraphs.com

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Big game tomorrow

Would love to win the series before going into NY with Hamels and Halladay

by Nikk.m on Aug 11, 2010 10:22 PM EDT reply actions  

That’s what I was thinking. If the Phillies can win the series and save Halladay and Hamels to put the final nail in the NYM’s playoff coffin would be a huge. The return of Vic is probably the best thing that could happen to Brown. I’ve been watching the way pitchers are pounding him inside and in my humble onion he just can’t seem to fight those off. Playing every day against AAA pitchers would help him out much more than him sitting on the bench and having him come out and PH every 2nd or 3rd day.

Hey Dez, it's 2am do you know where your mother is?

by sowhatifitisasportste on Aug 12, 2010 12:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Definitely. Sending Domonic back down to AAA insures that he continues to develop, something that can only be done by playing, not by sitting on the bench- he has had an education while in the majors, and now can go down to the minors and focus on becoming a better and more complete player.

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 1:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

Victorino was 3 for 4 with a triple and homer in a rehab start at Triple-A Lehigh Valley

by Sept.28.Oct.27.Dec.28.2008 on Aug 11, 2010 10:46 PM EDT reply actions  

yeah he looked really good, homerun was a bullet

all at bats were from the right side

by Aaron King on Aug 12, 2010 12:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Great news about him— it will be great to have Victorino back!

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 1:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

Very Nice

Glad to see that. Hope to have him back soon.

by JoshuaR on Aug 12, 2010 9:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

Gload getting hurt sucks. He was playing really well. Do you think somebody (Rizzotti?) gets the call from the minors, or does Sweeney slide to 1B full time?

by zfg on Aug 11, 2010 10:54 PM EDT reply actions  

Well, our thin roster gets even thinner. Sweeney is definitely full time 1B. There are really no other options but another call up.

"They say that nobody is perfect. Then they tell you practice makes perfect. I wish they'd make up their minds." - Wilt Chamberlain

by soman319 on Aug 11, 2010 10:59 PM EDT up reply actions  

oh now, we have to call up victorino, sweeney & dobbs can play 1st

Kolb - a heavy medieval war club with a spiked or flanged metal head, used to crush armor - Wikipedia of course
I've been waiting my whole life for an Eagles Championship
RIP JJ

by sports00fan00 on Aug 12, 2010 9:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

oh now, we have to call up victorino, sweeney & dobbs can play 1st

/Fixed

Looking forward to the Kevin Kolb era.
5-8-10...the day the Purdue Boilermakers basketball team won the 2011 NCAA Championship!!

by EREX21 on Aug 12, 2010 9:11 AM EDT up reply actions  

oh now, we have to call up victorino, sweeney & dobbs can play 1st
/fixeder

by Bilzo on Aug 12, 2010 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Sweeney doesnt really have a righty lefty split right? I would think that he becomes our full time 1st basemen, with a utility guy getting the call up. Since we dont any infielders on the 40 man roster that are in the minors, I think Ransom probably comes back.

by philiafan14364 on Aug 11, 2010 11:01 PM EDT up reply actions  

Great point, I forgot about Ransom.

by zfg on Aug 11, 2010 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

same here. regardless, ransom?

"They say that nobody is perfect. Then they tell you practice makes perfect. I wish they'd make up their minds." - Wilt Chamberlain

by soman319 on Aug 11, 2010 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

The question, though, is do they want to bring up a utility infielder to help cover first base, or will they be looking for an outfielder who can play first— considering that Gload was also an outfielder, it may be Mayberry again (insert cringe here).

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 1:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

lol

And I love that our infield is…

INFIELDERS # POS.
Greg Dobbs 19 3B
Ross Gload 3 1B
Placido Polanco 27 3B
Jimmy Rollins 11 SS
Mike Sweeney 5 1B
Wilson Valdez 21 2B

This team = resilience?

"They say that nobody is perfect. Then they tell you practice makes perfect. I wish they'd make up their minds." - Wilt Chamberlain

by soman319 on Aug 11, 2010 11:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Lots of fight in these Phills.

Hey Dez, it's 2am do you know where your mother is?

by sowhatifitisasportste on Aug 12, 2010 12:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

Agreed. My mom was reading an interview with Darren Daulton, and this was the very thing he mentioned about this year’s team, saying “I tried to think back as far as I have been in the game and I don’t think I’ve ever seen a team go through what they have gone through this year. It’s just amazing. If you would have told me before the season started that they would be at this juncture (of the season) with all of their stars that have been on the DL, I would say there would be no chance that they would be in the playoffs. It’s really remarkable”

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 1:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

Two analyses would be very interesting:

1. How many teams have had a certain percentage of plate appearances or innings occupied by “non-regulars” (however that ends up being defined).

2. The relative performance of those teams (or the relative drop-off from the expected performance of the regulars).

Given that the Phils have used their “regular” lineup in only seven games this year, they must have an unusually high percentage of “non-regular” PAs / innings.

by essman on Aug 12, 2010 6:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think it’s very important to consider that this team has in no way secured a playoff spot, and furthermore if the season ended today, would be on the outside looking in.
Additionally, this team was playing some of it’s worst baseball of the year with Utley, Howard, and Vic in the lineup.

Now….common sense tells you that the team should get even better with their return, however, Brown’s performance since his call-up has been better than what the team was getting from Vic in the few weeks prior to his injury.

What I’m getting at is while it’s nice that the team is still dead in the middle of the playoff hunt, let’s not put the cart before the wagon and talk about what a great accomplishment this is, because if they miss they playoffs, it won’t be hardly a story at all, other than an excuse for why they missed out.

by Bilzo on Aug 12, 2010 7:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Victorino was better in 24 games in the month of July than Brown has been in his 11 games. Not by a lot, but better.

by phatj on Aug 12, 2010 8:17 PM EDT up reply actions  

BORE down FTW!

Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will.

by FuquaManuel on Aug 11, 2010 11:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Before long, FM, you will hear someone say (or see someone write) “bear downed.”

by essman on Aug 11, 2010 11:10 PM EDT up reply actions  

No honorable mention to Brown for his first walk?

by philiafan14364 on Aug 11, 2010 11:06 PM EDT reply actions  

I actually reacted emphatically to it with a Good Field Goal gesture. I was greeted with confused looks as no one understood why this walk was any different than any other.

"They say that nobody is perfect. Then they tell you practice makes perfect. I wish they'd make up their minds." - Wilt Chamberlain

by soman319 on Aug 11, 2010 11:09 PM EDT up reply actions  

While I was glad to see him get that first walk, I do not understand the obsession with getting one. While I understand that one should not swing at pitches out side of the zone, and that being patient can lead you to get a better pitch to drive, it does not seem that he has necessarily had a ton of situatiuons where there were a ton of balls thrown his way (Tuesday’s outing not withstanding). From what I have watched, he seems to be one of the more plate disciplined players in terms of seeing a high number of pitches, and other than swinging at far too many pitches inside, he seems to be pretty good with seeing balls v. strikes.

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 1:49 AM EDT up reply actions  

It’s not that the walk in and of itself means much, but the fact that he’s willing to let those balls go by.

There’s one situation that sticks in my mind where he failed to take a walk when he could have. It was the line drive sac fly on Tuesday night; two pitches before he swung at ball four and with the bases loaded, he could have gotten an RBI without giving up an out. With the count 3-1 and the previous two batters having walked, he should not have been swinging at a marginal pitch.

by phatj on Aug 12, 2010 8:22 PM EDT up reply actions  

Because of where it happened, I was a bit disappointed— a sac fly would have been a better ending to the at bat, as it would have scored Ibanez.. That being said, his plate discipline was great all evening— I think he led the team in pitches seen.

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

Can someone please sacrifice a goat at 2nd base.

by j reed on Aug 11, 2010 11:20 PM EDT reply actions  

The injury occurred between 1st and 2nd. Is 2nd bases’ curse radius expanding?

"They say that nobody is perfect. Then they tell you practice makes perfect. I wish they'd make up their minds." - Wilt Chamberlain

by soman319 on Aug 11, 2010 11:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well, I think we need a virgin for this…we can do an all-encompassing sacrifice to Baseba’al and the BABIP Fairy as well as 2nd Base.

by WanderingMoses on Aug 11, 2010 11:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

Do you think we oughta be pushing it that much? A virigin can get you alot but I don’t think a shared sacrifice is enough to stroke the egos of a god and a fairy. A virgin and goat however could seal the deal.

by j reed on Aug 12, 2010 12:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

And if we throw in a basket of fruit with the immolation of both the goat and virgin….although I prefer if we sacrifice a lamb. That should all work, though.

by WanderingMoses on Aug 12, 2010 12:23 AM EDT up reply actions  

The lamb is a sexy addition. Screw the goat.

by j reed on Aug 12, 2010 12:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

Not only will Baseba’al love it…so will the Lord. Can’t go wrong there.

by WanderingMoses on Aug 12, 2010 12:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

True but WL’s suggestion that we Joan D’ Arc apostate Phanatic would be the best. Although I think letting Tommy Lasorda be the torch bearer would give gives us extra insurance and prolly bring back Cliff Lee.

by j reed on Aug 12, 2010 12:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

Could you picture that rotation?
Halladay
Lee
Hamels
Oswalt
Blanton

You’re talking about having 2 maybe 3, 20 game winners and a combine Rotation ERA of 3.75 or so. All cheers to Baseba’al that it happens but damn it wouldn’t be fair.

Hey Dez, it's 2am do you know where your mother is?

by sowhatifitisasportste on Aug 12, 2010 12:51 AM EDT up reply actions  

That rotation basically means the Phillies would have lost a lot of 1-0 or 2-1 games this year. Kind of like what’s already happened.

At some point, a team needs to score to win. It’s kind of telling when even the 2009 Mets are wincing in sympathy at the woes the Phillies have had this year.

by RaptorLC on Aug 12, 2010 1:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

If we’re sacrificing a goat AND a virgin lets ask Baseba’al to return Chase Utley to the Chase Utley we all have become accustom to.

Hey Dez, it's 2am do you know where your mother is?

by sowhatifitisasportste on Aug 12, 2010 12:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think you will need a goat, a lamb, and a virgin to even get that prayer listened to.

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 1:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

we must burn apostate Phanatic.

by Wet Luzinski on Aug 12, 2010 12:22 AM EDT up reply actions  

Fergut bout that. That was resevred for the Astros series earlier in the season which we didn’t need to after sweeping their sorry asses. Didn’t Roy beat Roy in that series?

by j reed on Aug 12, 2010 12:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

I remember that Roy on Roy action

Hey Dez, it's 2am do you know where your mother is?

by sowhatifitisasportste on Aug 12, 2010 12:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yup- Roy 1’s first Complete game.

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 1:54 AM EDT up reply actions  

Supposedly K-Rod was arrested tonight after assaulting his father-in-law in the clubhouse (the latter had to go to the hospital). Wonder if he’ll miss the weekend series.

by youaretheman26 on Aug 11, 2010 11:55 PM EDT reply actions  

I read that he wasn’t charged, so it may amount to nothing at all.

Lex clavatoris designati rescindenda est.

by doubleh on Aug 12, 2010 12:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

I’m resisting the urge to feel sorry for the Mets.

by schmenkman on Aug 12, 2010 12:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

I feel like even if he’s not charged (probably won’t be since it’s family) the MLB might levy a fine/suspension.

by youaretheman26 on Aug 12, 2010 12:16 AM EDT up reply actions  

3rd degree assault is the charge…he is being held right now.

by WanderingMoses on Aug 12, 2010 12:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

awwwww…..K-Rod……your so in trouble.

by j reed on Aug 12, 2010 12:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

trouble? what, is he 8?

I’m kind of wondering what the real back story is. It can’t be that he’s not providing for his father-in-law’s daughter, so Imma have to go with cheating on her.

by Wet Luzinski on Aug 12, 2010 1:07 AM EDT up reply actions  

You must be a member of Amazin’ Avenue to participate.
Would you like to join?

Don’t say anything in the comments that you wouldn’t say to my face if my face were a fist aimed at your face.

by Sept.28.Oct.27.Dec.28.2008 on Aug 12, 2010 1:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

typical new yorker, except for the fact that it didn’t specify the fist should come from a 5’3" guy who’s going bald and wearing a wifebeater.

by Bilzo on Aug 12, 2010 7:46 AM EDT up reply actions  

As am I… unfortunately, a cursory look on SB Nation did not give any info on the why :(

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 1:59 AM EDT up reply actions  

And will be arraigned tomorrow morning.

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 1:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

KRod has been put on the restricted list for two days so he will at least miss Friday night’s game.

by youaretheman26 on Aug 12, 2010 12:33 PM EDT up reply actions  

Bull shit Domestic Violence…. Ask Charlie Sheen

Hey Dez, it's 2am do you know where your mother is?

by sowhatifitisasportste on Aug 12, 2010 12:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

Maybe his father-in-law made fun of his post save celebration.

by j reed on Aug 12, 2010 12:24 AM EDT up reply actions  

Damn, Pat has 3 RBI’s and a HR tonight for the Giants.

by WanderingMoses on Aug 12, 2010 12:38 AM EDT reply actions  

his schlong will be as long as Ridge Avenue by the time he hits town next week.

by Wet Luzinski on Aug 12, 2010 1:08 AM EDT up reply actions  

as will be the line of ladies hoping to catch a glimpse of said shlong (i leave the ‘c’ out cuz i’m not jewish)

by PHIGHTINPHILS on Aug 12, 2010 9:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

oh, so you’re just an ordinary goy?

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Aug 12, 2010 9:37 AM EDT up reply actions  

have the phillies started the same infield for even a full series?

by Aaron King on Aug 12, 2010 1:24 AM EDT reply actions  

Other than Catcher, the Washington and Houston series at the very beginning of the year.

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 2:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

i thought i heard we’ve had our starting lineup (from the beginning of the season) 5 times so far this year

Kolb - a heavy medieval war club with a spiked or flanged metal head, used to crush armor - Wikipedia of course
I've been waiting my whole life for an Eagles Championship
RIP JJ

by sports00fan00 on Aug 12, 2010 9:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

Everyone seems to have a different number. I’ve heard 7 or 8 games.

Looking forward to the Kevin Kolb era.
5-8-10...the day the Purdue Boilermakers basketball team won the 2011 NCAA Championship!!

by EREX21 on Aug 12, 2010 9:12 AM EDT up reply actions  

From csnphilly.com, August 3

“Because of injuries, the Phils have used their regular lineup just seven times this season.”

In an interview during the All-Star break: “We have to get our lineup back,” Phillies skipper Charlie Manuel said. “I looked at my sheets today and we have only had our regular lineup seven or eight times this season.”

Whatever the number, it’s abnormally low.

by essman on Aug 12, 2010 9:27 AM EDT up reply actions  

If all goes well then they could have the lineup back intact on the First of Sep.

Hey Dez, it's 2am do you know where your mother is?

by sowhatifitisasportste on Aug 12, 2010 12:46 PM EDT up reply actions  

why isn’t the k-rod story on the main page!?

by PHIGHTINPHILS on Aug 12, 2010 9:18 AM EDT reply actions  

Because Assault ain’t no joke!

"The Tree of Liberty must be refreshed from time to time with the blood of patriots and tyrants"

~Thomas Jefferson

by CoburnsCuddleBuddy on Aug 12, 2010 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

No but K-Rod is.

Looking forward to the Kevin Kolb era.
5-8-10...the day the Purdue Boilermakers basketball team won the 2011 NCAA Championship!!

by EREX21 on Aug 12, 2010 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

did he point to the sky and slap his chest after clocking his father-in-law?

by Bilzo on Aug 12, 2010 9:39 AM EDT up reply actions  

I hope so.

Looking forward to the Kevin Kolb era.
5-8-10...the day the Purdue Boilermakers basketball team won the 2011 NCAA Championship!!

by EREX21 on Aug 12, 2010 9:41 AM EDT up reply actions  

Nope— pulled away by security before he could finish the vanquish!

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 11:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

I don’t think that word means what you think it means.

by Bilzo on Aug 12, 2010 3:40 PM EDT up reply actions  

Flawless Victory?

by phatj on Aug 12, 2010 8:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

I am sure it will be when the daily links are put up.

Looking forward to the Kevin Kolb era.
5-8-10...the day the Purdue Boilermakers basketball team won the 2011 NCAA Championship!!

by EREX21 on Aug 12, 2010 9:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

The way the Braves are playing right now

I figure that if the Phillies want a realistic shot at winning the division this year, they need to either:

a.) Win this series with the Dodgers by winning tomorrow AND winning the series with the Mutts

or

b.) Sweep the Mutts if they lose to Kershaw tomorrow.

by MyronBales on Aug 12, 2010 9:49 AM EDT reply actions  

Winning every series should always be the Phillies goal.

Looking forward to the Kevin Kolb era.
5-8-10...the day the Purdue Boilermakers basketball team won the 2011 NCAA Championship!!

by EREX21 on Aug 12, 2010 9:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

What I'm saying is:

they need to win at least 3 of their next 4 games.

by MyronBales on Aug 12, 2010 12:42 PM EDT up reply actions  

Kershaw

Kids a tough pitcher. And although we’ve hit him well in the past… maybe a rain out tonight wouldnt be the worst thing in the world? get Shane back on friday and go from there…

by PSUcup1 on Aug 12, 2010 9:53 AM EDT reply actions  

If the game has to be made up, there is no guarantee that the Phillies will not see someone that they hit even worse.

by dannijd on Aug 12, 2010 10:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

true

but we would also be much closer to a full, healthy line up as well…. And we could have one of the Big 3 going instead of Blanton. I was just saying that maybe it wouldnt be a bad thing.

by PSUcup1 on Aug 12, 2010 11:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

If this team has World Series aspirations,

you need to be able to score some runs against pitchers as good as Kershaw. Period.

Just go out and win the game. He’s not unhittable or anything.

by MyronBales on Aug 12, 2010 12:43 PM EDT up reply actions  

He’s not unhittable or anything.

Especially if K-Rod’s around

Honor is no substitute for victory.

by The Dark on Aug 12, 2010 1:26 PM EDT up reply actions  

this team aint going to the WS

with Mike Sweeney, Wilson Valdez and Dom Brown starting full time. If I can play less games with those guys and more with Howard, Utley and Victo i think I would choose that option!

by PSUcup1 on Aug 12, 2010 1:53 PM EDT up reply actions  

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