Some Tuesday Phillies Notes: Best Record in Baseball, Hamels' and Lidge's Resurgence, and the Improved Offense
I'm too busy today to formulate a full coherent post, but I have a few things to write about, so that's as good an excuse as any for a notes post. So here are a few things to contemplate as you wait for the Phillies to move their magic number down to 6 tonight:
In the Phillies' 128 years of existence, they've lost more games than any professional sports franchise, they've been named the Quakers and the Blue Jays, they've had one of the greatest September swoons in baseball history along with one of the greatest September surges, but one thing they've never done is finish with the best record in baseball. The closest they've come is 1977 when they were 1 game off the baseball-leading pace of the Kansas City Royals (funny to think that franchise was once good).
However, with their incredible second half this year, the Phillies are knocking on the door of the best record in baseball. Here are the top MLB standings as of the end of play last night:
| MLB | W | L | PCT | GB |
| NY Yankees | 91 | 59 | 0.607 | - |
| Minnesota | 90 | 60 | 0.600 | 1 |
| Tampa Bay | 89 | 60 | 0.597 | 1.5 |
| Philadelphia | 90 | 61 | 0.596 | 1.5 |
As the saying goes, the Phillies are 2 games back in the loss column, so the other teams can keep winning and outpace the Phillies. But, the Yankees have a very tough remaining schedule, and all three teams above the Phillies have very little incentive to keep up this pace. Plus, the Phillies have Halladay, Hamels, and Oswalt, something no other team can touch. The Phillies just might squeak into the number 1 spot by the end of this thing.
| Lidge | ERA | WHIP | OPS | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP |
| Until July 31 | 5.57 | 1.67 | 0.875 | 11.6 | 6.0 | 2.1 | 0.327 |
| After July 31 | 0.92 | 0.71 | 0.337 | 9.6 | 2.7 | 0.0 | 0.174 |
| Hamels | ERA | WHIP | OPS | K/9 | BB/9 | HR/9 | BABIP |
| Until July 6 | 4.05 | 1.33 | 0.773 | 9.0 | 3.0 | 1.6 | 0.302 |
| After July 6 | 1.74 | 0.95 | 0.565 | 9.4 | 1.9 | 0.5 | 0.275 |
Both have shown incredible improvement in the second half of their seasons. And they've done it in roughly the same ways. They've both struck out a ton of batters both early and late in the season, but they've both also cut down on their walks and home runs in significant ways. As a result, their OPS against are down dramatically, especially Lidge's. They've both also cut their batting average on balls in play, again especially Lidge. This indicates there may be a bounce back coming; however, if the reduced home runs and walks can be sustained, any bounce back won't be that terrible.
The Phillies' offense has struggled this year. If the team finishes with its current OPS of .744, although that's good for 5th in the NL, it would be its lowest team OPS since the starting nine included Johnny Estrada, Travis Lee, Marlon Anderson, and Doug Glanville. Yes, it would be the team's lowest OPS since the offensive glory days of 2001.
But there's reason to believe the team will finish with a higher OPS than .744 this year, as the offense has turned it on in September. The Phillies' OPS reached its lowest point after play on August 30. After being shut out by the Dodgers that night, the Phillies' OPS was .726. (We have to go back to Rico Brogna, Mark Lewis, Desi Relaford, and Gregg Jefferies in 1998 to find a team OPS that low.)
Since then, however, the offense has exploded. Here's the before and after comparison:
| AVG | OBP | SLG | OPS | R/G | |
| Until Aug. 30 | 0.254 | 0.323 | 0.403 | 0.726 | 4.6 |
| After Aug. 30 | 0.295 | 0.381 | 0.477 | 0.858 | 6.0 |
Everything is better for the Phillies offense in this run. They're hitting, getting on base, and moving runners around. The result is an almost 33% increase in scoring.
And here's where the beginning of this notes post meets the end. If key pitchers are cruising and the offense is performing at a much higher level, there's hope that the Phillies can not only easily take the best record in the NL but also maybe even take the best record in baseball.
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Why would the Rays or Twins not have the incentive to fight for best record and the Phils do? Those teams are fighting for homefield advantage in the AL.
The only difference I can think of is that the Twins have basically sewn up the AL Central, and the Rays, like the Yankees are basically assured of a playoff spot. The Phillies on the other hand, still have a little bit to go to assure themselves a playoff spot, making them somewhat more motivated to wind up with the best overall record.
by dannijd on Sep 21, 2010 6:08 PM EDT via mobile up reply actions
But on that logic, using the playoff odds, so have the Phillies. The Phils have higher odds than the Yankees to make the playoffs and the same as the Rays. Plus, AL teams are fighting for home field and the Phils are 5 games up on the Reds for best record in the NL. So that logic seems counter intuitive. It should be the Phils who will take it easy, not the AL teams.
all right….I love some fell good stuffs too…
but the before/after on the offense with a line of 8/30?
That’s comparing 3 wks to the rest of the season. I ain’t drinkin’ THAT kool-aid. I hope it stays good, but ….ehh…
Hamels and Lidge….wow. I saw Lidge’s BAA on the bottom of the screen last night and saw it was about .200 LHB or RHB. I couldn’t believe that after the awful start he had.
Also…if the Phils wrap this up soon, I wonder what their thoughts will be about that second series in Atlanta. It’s still to early to speculate, but I wonder if they’d play hard that last series or trot out Dobbs and Benny Lava. The competitor in me hopes they’d go for it, b/c if I was a SFO/SDG/COL fan, I’d be ticked about the Phils laying down to a team in contention.
OPS+ would be better. The 2001 squad had an OPS+ of 93. This year, the team has an OPS+ of 97. While in raw numbers, the 2001 team had a similar OPS, in comparison to the league (using the relative performance measure of OPS+), the Phillies are much better offensively this year than in 2001.
FWIW, the OPS+ of that 1998 team was 88, if you can believe it. Imagine a whole team collectively hitting like Rollins and Ben Francisco. The horror…the horror…
Remember the Phitans
by RememberthePhitans on Sep 21, 2010 6:58 PM EDT reply actions
Phils fans are ugliest in baseball.
Watching game tonight I felt sorry for Phillies fans. Philadelphia is filled with some homely people. Nice job squeaking out wins against 2 minor league fill ins.
by slc333 on Sep 21, 2010 10:15 PM EDT reply actions 2 recs
awww
What’s the matter, sweetie?
(rec’d, by the way)
http://www.thegoodphight.com
by WholeCamels on Sep 21, 2010 11:51 PM EDT up reply actions
I was debating deleting it, but I like your idea better. Preserve for posterity.
Still decided that was worth a banning though. Still, I’d say one rec’d comment is a pretty good TGP career for this clown.
by PhillyFriar on Sep 21, 2010 11:55 PM EDT up reply actions


































