This Week's Pitching Probables (Sept. 24-29)

Below are the current pitching probables for the weekend home series vs. the Mets and the Monday-Wednesday road series in Washington. As always, some guesswork is involved.

The most notable tidbit here is that Kyle Kendrick (whose turn was originally scheduled to come up on Friday and Wednesday) has been flipped with Joe Blanton (originally scheduled to pitch on Saturday). This makes sense because we have nine games left, meaning that four of our five starting pitchers will start two more games, while the fifth guy will start only one more game. Since Blanton is a good pitcher while Kendrick is not, the fifth guy should clearly be Kendrick.

Charlie had originally bumped Kendrick all the way back to Monday, but before last night's game he changed his mind and decided that Kendrick would pitch on Saturday after all. The basis of his decision was that he wanted to give Hamels and Halladay an extra day of rest before their next scheduled turns. Of course, that will just mean that Halladay and Hamels will lose an extra day of rest before their following turns (in the October 1-3 Atlanta series). It also means that if the Phils get rained out on Sunday, Monday, or Tuesday, we might get stuck with Kyle Kendrick being the only fully-rested starter available to pitch on one of the days of the Atlanta series.

But since the Phils completed the sweep of the Braves last night, that's probably all moot.


Day Pitcher G GS IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BABIP GB% LD% FB% HR/FB ERA FIP xFIP SIERA
Friday Blanton 26 26 160.2 6.83 2.13 1.40 .337 42.8 18.8 38.4 12.3% 5.04 4.36 4.06 3.99
Dickey 24 24 160.1 5.33 2.19 0.67 .280 54.3 17.1 28.5 8.3% 2.92 3.67 3.93 4.12
Saturday Kendrick 31 29 169.1 4.15 2.44 1.38 .289 44.5 17.0 38.5 11.6% 4.78 5.03 4.85 4.95
Gee 3 3 20.0 4.50 4.50 0.45 .205 47.5 6.8 45.8 3.7% 1.80 4.24 5.43 5.50
Sunday Hamels* 31 31 202.2 9.19 2.53 1.07 .294 45.3 17.1 37.6 11.9% 2.93 3.55 3.37 3.12
Misch* 9 4 24.1 3.70 0.74 0.74 .346 50.5 16.1 33.3 6.5% 4.44 3.58 4.26 4.52
Monday Halladay 32 32 241.2 7.93 1.12 0.89 .304 51.1 19.0 29.9 11.5% 2.53 3.07 2.95 2.95
Lannan* 24 24 137.2 4.45 3.14 0.85 .326 51.6 21.0 27.4 9.8% 4.58 4.44 4.53 4.72
Tuesday Oswalt 31 31 205.2 8.27 2.32 0.83 .262 44.9 18.2 36.9 9.4% 2.80 3.29 3.43 3.31
Marquis 12 12 52.2 4.10 3.93 1.37 .329 50.3 19.6 30.2 14.0 7.18 5.92 5.42 5.18
Wednesday Blanton 26 26 160.2 6.83 2.13 1.40 .337 42.8 18.8 38.4 12.3% 5.04 4.36 4.06 3.99
Detwiler* 7 4 25.0 5.40 4.32 0.36 .319 43.9 23.2 32.9 3.7% 2.52 3.97 4.93 5.06

[Table and photo caption updated 9/23 4:30PM EDT, h/t JHobbs in comments]
[Table updated again 9/24 11:30AM EDT because Detwiler pitched yesterday]

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