9/30 Phillies Stat Notes

by schmenkman on Sep 30, 2010 11:05 AM EDT

Miscellaneous items of interest as the Phillies prepare for the postseason...

Hitting

The Phillies' offense has not been the force it was in 2008-2009, and far below 2007. But we should be careful not to overstate it -- they have still scored runs at the 3rd highest rate in the NL, behind only Cincinnati and Colorado.

They also have the 3rd highest scoring in road games, behind Cincinnati and Milwaukee.

R/G	Phils	NL	%	rank
2007	5.51	4.71	117%	1
2008	4.93	4.54	109%	2
2009	5.06	4.43	114%	1
2010	4.70	4.34	108%	3

The Phillies have the 2nd lowest strikeout rate in the NL, behind only St. Louis, Last year they had the 6th lowest K rate.

Stealing
Since July 1st, the Phils lead the NL in these categories (with the #2 team):
- Stolen Bases: 67 ... 53 (Col)
- Success Rate: 83% ... 77% (Hou)
- Stolen Base attempts: 81 ... 78 (Mets)

Hot and Cold
5 of the 8 regulars have an OPS over .900 in September:

Utley .967
Howard .977
Werth .920
Ibanez .962
Ruiz .925

On the other hand,

Rollins has a .626 OPS since June 22
Polanco has a .650 OPS since August 1
Victorino has a .712 OPS since July 9 (although .824 in September)

Bring on the lefties!
The Phillies have scored more (in the entire game) when the opposing starter is a lefty:

RHP Starter... 4.63 runs per game
LHP Starter... 4.85

Pitching

ERA	Phils	NL	ERA+	rank
2007	4.73	4.43	97	13
2008	3.88	4.29	113	4
2009	4.16	4.19	101	6
2010	3.67	4.04	111	5

The Phillies have the 5th best ERA in the NL, but they do lead in these categories (with #2 team):

- WHIP: 1.25 ... 1.26 (SD, Atl)
- K/BB: 2.89 ... 2.49 (SD)
- Walks: 399 ... 464 (StL)
- Shutouts: 20 .. 19 (Mets, SD)

They're also 2nd in Quality Starts (93) behind SF (94).

Roy Halladay has dominated the NL East: 14-1, 1.61 ERA, 0.84 WHIP

Roy Oswalt's ERA with the Phillies is now down to 1.65 in 12 starts (1.31 after his 1st start)

Phillies' starters NL rank (out of 45 qualifiers)


	ERA	FIP	xFIP	SIERA	WHIP
Halladay	3	3	1	1	2
Oswalt	5	11	8	7	1
Hamels	14	20	7	6	15
Blanton	41	35	23	27	38
Kendrick	42	43	43	45	31

Joe Blanton's xFIP is better than that of: Tommy Hanson, Jonathan Sanchez, Clayton Richard, and Matt Cain

Odds and Ends

Records by Division

As expected, the East dominates the AL. In the NL, the East is slightly ahead of the West, with the Central far behind.

AL	East	.531
	Central	.494
	West	.481

NL	East	.513
	Central	.473
	West	.509

In case you haven't seen this, the Phillies tied the record earlier this month for knocking out pitchers in consecutive games.

Not stat-oriented, but I remember Eric Show, and I didn't know much about him beyond the John Birch connection -- his story.

Tweet Comment 23 comments | 0 recs |

Do you like this story?

Comments

Eric Show

Didn’t know anything about him other than that he played for the Padres back when they were good in the 80s. Sad sad story.

by David S. Cohen on Sep 30, 2010 11:40 AM EDT reply actions

Didn’t he serve up Pete Rose’s hit that broke Cobb’s record?

Remember the Phitans

by RememberthePhitans on Sep 30, 2010 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions

Apparently you didn’t read (or even scan) the article.

by David S. Cohen on Sep 30, 2010 4:12 PM EDT up reply actions

I read after.

Remember the Phitans

by RememberthePhitans on Oct 1, 2010 6:58 AM EDT up reply actions

Thanks for the link. That is quite the biography that Tom Friend put together on Eric Show. Which reminded me that I meant to mention earlier this month there was a nice appreciation piece about former Phillies pitcher Wayne Twitchell in the Oregonian. Wayne was from Portland and, like Dale Murphy, was something of a local hero in town. He died from cancer earlier this month. This is the link to the article: http://blog.oregonlive.com/mlb/2010/09/former_wilson_high_school_and.html.

by phillyinportland on Sep 30, 2010 6:03 PM EDT up reply actions

Halladay, Hamels, and Oswalt are 1st, 6th, and 7th among 44 NL qualifiers in SIERA. Blanton is 26th. Kendrick, sadly, is 44th.

by taco pal on Sep 30, 2010 12:20 PM EDT reply actions

I’m an idiot. I totally missed the SIERA column in the chart first time around. Can someone delete this comment?

by taco pal on Sep 30, 2010 12:24 PM EDT up reply actions

I’m not going to delete it because it’s worth highlighting. I’m wondering though if something insidious is going on and we’re seeing that SIERA is actually rigged. After all, the two guys who created it, Matt Swartz and Eric Seidman, are phans to the core.

by David S. Cohen on Sep 30, 2010 1:15 PM EDT up reply actions

Conspiracy!

Is Eric Seidman related to Corey Seidman?

by taco pal on Sep 30, 2010 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions

Brothers.

Pessimism of the intellect, optimism of the will.

by FuquaManuel on Sep 30, 2010 2:06 PM EDT up reply actions

You know who has the lowest SIERA in all of baseball this year? Jered Weaver – he’s 0.01 below Halladay. It had totally escaped me that he was having such a great year.

by taco pal on Sep 30, 2010 12:21 PM EDT reply actions

It was brought to my attention a month ago or so and I couldn’t believe it. Then I remembered that Jered != Jeff.

by phatj on Sep 30, 2010 7:11 PM EDT up reply actions

Great work as always. The most impressive and striking one to me is:
Pitching Walks: 399 … 464 (StL) That is quite a margin.

by Vaughn Haze on Sep 30, 2010 1:45 PM EDT reply actions

the Twins have been using that strategy to great success for years now. this year: 370 walks (440 SEA), 2009: 466 walks (507 CHW), 2008 406 walks (444 CLE), and so on. they’ve been either first or second in the AL in fewest walks in the AL every year since 2003.

by perfectdepth on Sep 30, 2010 2:38 PM EDT up reply actions

If you exclude games played intradivision, the by-division records are:

ALE .556
ALC .490
ALW .471
NLE .524
NLC .447
NLW .517

The Reds are only 42-41 when not feasting upon divisional foes.

by Vaughn Haze on Sep 30, 2010 1:49 PM EDT reply actions

big split

by h2o_34_35_44 on Sep 30, 2010 2:10 PM EDT up reply actions

The Pirates really suck.

Remember the Phitans

by RememberthePhitans on Sep 30, 2010 3:12 PM EDT up reply actions

It’s pretty interesting, and mildly counterintuitive, that we’ve scored more runs against lefties this year than against righties.

by taco pal on Sep 30, 2010 2:07 PM EDT reply actions

Howard has had virtually no split this year (in part this is because his numbers v.RHP are way down); Utley’s power numbers are better against LHP; Ibanez has been up-and-down against them… meanwhile, Rollins & Victorino both had massive splits, doing much better against lefties…

(btw, anyone notice that Howard’s BB% in September is > 18%? Would that he could approach that as he gets older!)

by yolacrary on Sep 30, 2010 2:20 PM EDT up reply actions

Interesting. He has shown some ability to lay off the left-handed breaking ball in the past month. Hopefully it can continue.

by Vaughn Haze on Sep 30, 2010 2:26 PM EDT up reply actions

If you look at the pure LHP/RHP split (as opposed to the starter’s handedness), in terms of runs per 27 outs, it’s exactly even:
4.82 vs. RHP
4.82 vs. LHP

by schmenkman on Sep 30, 2010 2:21 PM EDT up reply actions

They’re also 2nd in Quality Starts (93) behind SF (94).

Two points on this:
- It’s easier to get quality starts in a pitcher’s park like AT&T, than a neutral one like CBP
- according to Wikipedia, the Quality Start was invented by a Philadelphia Inquirer sportswriter in 1985

by schmenkman on Sep 30, 2010 11:32 PM EDT reply actions

Great stuff (and thanks for the link to the Show article—I’d totally missed it. In my gym reading for the weekend). I had no idea that we’ve been the speed demons of the league since mid-summer. Most of that must be Shane.

by dajafi on Oct 1, 2010 10:29 AM EDT reply actions