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Phillies: Final Spring Hitting Stats

If you're like me, Spring Training is already in the rear view mirror, and you're looking ahead to for-real baseball.  But here is one last review of spring training stats.

Final hittings stats: here
(also, not the focus of this post, but pitching stats are here)  

Highlights
- Ben Francisco had a huge spring, compiling a .361/.439/.667 line with 5 HRs
- Along with Francisco, Mayberry and Howard also hit 5 homers
- Ibanez led the team in both RBIs and Runs, with 15 of each
- Polanco struggled (.409 OPS), due in part to a .152 BABIP
- Howard's walk rate was a measly 6.4% (of course, in a small sample size)
- Pete Orr hit 5 triples -- one of the Phillies' more impressive Spring accomplishments of recent years.  Among the regulars, the most triples in one Spring Training since 2006 is 2 (Victorino in '06 and '08, Utley in '07).

OPS and BABIP 
- adjusted OPS: adds or subtracts enough singles to get Spring BABIP in line with career BABIP 
- lucky/unlucky: compares Spring BABIP to career BABIP (e.g. Francisco's was 22% higher in the Spring)
- hot/cold: compares adjusted OPS (i.e. what OPS would be if BABIP was at the career number), with career OPS (e.g. Francisco's adjusted OPS of 1.006 is 30% higher than his career OPS)

  Career   Spring 2011    
  OPS BABIP PA OPS BABIP adj OPS    lucky  hot/cold
J Rollins .764 .290    86 .678 .254 .738 -13% -3%
P Polanco .758 .312    51 .409 .152 .713 -51% -6%
S Victorino .770 .301    80 .873 .339 .815 13% 6%
R Howard .944 .328    78 .904 .288 .959 -12% 2%
R Ibanez .823 .306    80 .753 .250 .840 -18% 2%
B Francisco .775 .296    82 1.106 .362 1.006 22% 30%
C Ruiz .749 .280    52 .603 .226 .673 -19% -10%
W Valdez .615 .273    68 .750 .321 .667 18% 8%
Bench    
M Martinez .000 .280    77 .606 .254 .647 -9% 0%
J Mayberry .810 .278    74 .940 .294 .917 6% 13%
R Gload .742 .303    64 .795 .333 .740 10% 0%
P Orr .623 .314    58 .834 .348 .779 11% 25%
B Schneider .698 .277    39 .910 .280 .906 1% 30%
Cuts    
D Young .709 .324    67 .642 .313 .659 -4% -7%
J Barfield .671 .307      54 .677 .317 .661 3% -2%

- Even after adjusting for a high BABIP, Francisco has an OPS over 1.000
- Howard had decent spring in spite of a below average BABIP

Graph of hot/cold and lucky/unlucky:  
Lucky/unlucky is along the x-axis, and hot/cold along the y-axis.

11phils9716image007_medium

It's interesting that there's really no one in the upper left or lower right quadrants (i.e. hot but unlucky, or cold but lucky).  There is fairly strong correlation (.59) between the "lucky" and "hot" percentages. 

                                                                                                                                                                                                               

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