FanPost

Raul Ibanez may not be streaky (statistically)

I ran a homemade study this morning to test the notion of "streakiness" in regards to Raul Ibanez. Using Baseball Reference game logs, I condensed his stats into analysis block and tested to see if there was a correlation in OPS from one block of games to the next block. Each analysis unit includes k games started; the stats from the games in which he came on a sub are included however (basically, for each non-started game I carried over his hitting statistics to the next game). I ran the study for k = 3,5,7,10, and 15.

Raul

k=3

k=5

k=7

k=10

k=15

2002

0.11

0.05

0.31

0.22

-0.10

2003

-0.22

-0.09

-0.17

-0.44

-0.22

2004

0.04

-0.33

0.01

-0.52

-0.71

2005

0.11

0.11

-0.15

-0.65

-0.20

2006

-0.04

0.14

0.05

-0.40

0.10

2007

0.21

0.22

0.11

0.18

-0.17

2008

0.04

0.21

-0.05

0.15

-0.11

2009

0.08

0.09

0.19

0.32

0.34

2010

-0.03

0.02

-0.11

-0.15

-0.55

Avg

0.03

0.05

0.02

-0.14

-0.1

There does not appear to be much positive correlation to his hitting results from one unit of games to the next.