Phillies Stat Notes -- 2011 Offense vs. Prior Years

The Phillies' hitting is not what it used to be, and the team has changed from one built around a punishing offense to one built around a historically good starting rotation.  Runs scored per game are far below the 5.51 that the Phils averaged in 2007, while runs allowed are 35% less than they were that year, when the Phillies both scored and allowed more than 5 runs per game.  However with offense around the league declining year after year, a run scored in 2011 is worth more than one scored in 2007, and the team’s performance needs to be viewed in light of that changing environment.

1) Scoring relative to the league is similar to what it was in 2008 and 2010.

For all sets of graphs below, the one on the left shows Phillies and NL Average stats; the graph on the right shows the Phillies' stats as a % of the NL Average.

(for all graphs: click to enlarge)

Vnlruns_medium 

The 107.0% of the league average so far this year is in the same ballpark as the 2008 and 2010 rates (108.6% and 110.2% respectively).

In addition, if the Phillies continue scoring runs at the rate since Utley's return (4.82 per game), they will finish at 4.54 for the year, or 109.4% of the league average.  This is actually higher than the 108.6% of the league average that they scored on their way to the WS title in 2008, and very similar to last year's 110.2%.

In the two-plus months between Utley's return on May 23rd and the Hunter Pence trade, the Phillies were the second best offensive team in the National League.  The offense has revved up even more since the trade, at least for the first 14 games:

G OPS R/G R/G rank
through 5/22 46 .676 3.83 12
5/23-on 73 .743 4.82 1
TOTAL 119 .718 4.44 6
5/23-7/29 59 .736 4.71 2
since 7/30 14 .773 5.29 4

2) Slugging is down, On Base Percentage holding steady

Vnlobpslg_medium 

3) Singles are up, Extra Base Hits down

Vnl1b2bhr_medium

4) Walks holding steady, while Strikeouts are dropping significantly

Vnlbbso_medium 

5) Pitches per PA relatively unchanged; Swinging at the first pitch remains very low

In the first graph, first-pitch swinging is on the left hand axis; pitches per plate appearance on the right.

Vnlppa1stsw_medium 

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

Join The Good Phight

You must be a member of The Good Phight to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at The Good Phight. You should read them.

Join The Good Phight

You must be a member of The Good Phight to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at The Good Phight. You should read them.

Spinner

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker