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Night of the Living Run Differentials: Phillies 9, Reds 0

For the first five innings, tonight's contest appeared to have all of the trappings of a pitchers' duel, not unlike last night's low-scoring affair. Phillies ace di tutti aces Roy Halladay and Reds guy Bronson Arroyo traded zeroes for the first three frames. But Bronson Arroyo is a pitcher who doesn't strike many people out and doesn't do a very good job of keeping the ball in the ballpark. The wise bet was that he would break first.

In the fourth, it was Arroyo's tendency to give up home runs that bit him. Chase Utley drew a one out walk and Ryan Howard hit what appeared at first to be a high popout right that kept drifting and drifting and drifting until it drifted far enough to put the Phillies up 2-0. Then, in the sixth, Hunter Pence got the real party started with a solo homer to deep center on a pitch that was somewhere between his nipples and his nose. Wheels wasn't in the booth at the time, but I swear to you I could hear that distinctive cat-in-heat sound in the background.

After that, the game turned into a lesson in the perils of pitching to contact. Raul Ibanez and Carlos Ruiz smacked back-to-back singles to put men on first and second for Wilson Valdez, who was robbed of a GIDP by former Phillies superstar Miguel Cairo. With the pouches now engorged and a chance to blow things wide open, Roy Halladay stepped to the plate. Now, Roy Halladay is not a very good hitter, so to most pitchers this would not seem like a very grave situation. But as I've already said, Bronson Arroyo does not miss many bats, and in this case Roy Halladay's bat was one of the bats he did not miss. Doc swung at the first pitch and the ball was scorched down the right field line for a bases-clearing double to put the Philllies up 6-0 and to push their win probability into the 99 percent zone. 

As it turns out, Roy Halladay really only needed one of the three runs he drove in himself. He had everything working tonight, as he yet again set down numerous Reds hitters in order--17 hitters between the first and the seventh, to be precise. He only encountered real trouble once, in the seventh, when he loaded the bases with one out on a Joey Votto double, a Jay Bruce HBP, and a Drew Stubbs walk. Harm was avoided because Doc has a glandular disorder that results in his body producing quantities of guile that would be unsafe to most species on the planet; he struck out Todd Frazier and got Ryan Hanigan to ground out to end the threat. Roy's final line: 7 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 9 K. 

The Phils tacked on two runs in the seventh, on a homer by Raul Ibanez, and one in the ninth on Ryan Howard's second blast of the night. Brad Lidge pitched a scoreless eighth and the Bear Jew (who was demoted after the game) finished off the shutout. 

The Braves lost tonight behind expert ball-hider Jair Jurrjens to extend the Phillies division lead to 7.5 games. Cliff Lee tomorrow.

20110830_phillies_reds_0_20110830210726_live_medium

via www.fangraphs.com

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Gotta love these Phillies. I keep getting older, and they keep winning. All right, all right.

by Eaglesadvocate on Aug 30, 2011 11:44 PM EDT reply actions  

Bear Jew demoted?

by Romero on Aug 30, 2011 11:48 PM EDT reply actions  

Schwimer was optioned after the game. Corresponding roster move tomorrow.

"Valdez can pitch, Lee can hit... and pigs can fly."

by dannijd on Aug 31, 2011 2:45 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Schwimer was optioned after the game. Corresponding roster move tomorrow.

"Valdez can pitch, Lee can hit... and pigs can fly."

by dannijd on Aug 31, 2011 2:45 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

That Fangraph

I love how you can see the terminal velocity death-bounce after Doc’s double.

by Chutley's Impressed by Mac's Speed on Aug 30, 2011 11:55 PM EDT reply actions  

But, 2 sentences later, you change antecedents without warning. Makes it sound like Arroyo swings at his own pitch.

by michaeljack on Aug 31, 2011 1:10 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Excellent game summary

Worth noting that the Phillies are back to a season-high 39 games over .500 and are 17-7 for the month of August after going 17-8 in July.

by phillyinportland on Aug 31, 2011 12:00 AM EDT reply actions  

Monthly records:

Apr 18-8 .692
May 16-13 .552
Jun 17-10 .630
Jul 17-8 .680
Aug 17-7 .708 with one game to go

Also, speaking of run differentials, their pythagorean record now matches their actual record (using the version with the 1.83 exponent).

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Celebrating over 50 years of slightly more Phils wins than losses: 1961-2011

by schmenkman on Aug 31, 2011 12:58 AM EDT up reply actions  

For comparison, 2010:
Apr 12-10
May 16-12
Jun 13-13
Jul 15-13
Aug 18-10
Sep 23-7

by philsandthrills on Aug 31, 2011 1:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

Just for fun

Let’s have another September like that

I felt like I thought it hit me - Chase Utley

by SandPhlea on Aug 31, 2011 7:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

YES!

Hopefully the Braves and the Brewers can stay hot and push the Phillies

by Freddyd on Aug 31, 2011 5:38 PM EDT up reply actions  

I’d rather the Brewers and Braves lose a crapton of games.

What kind of plane is it? Oh, it's a big pretty white plane with red stripes, curtains in the windows and wheels and it looks like a big ol' Tylenol.

by doubleh on Aug 31, 2011 6:18 PM EDT up reply actions  

Five months so far and the average number of wins per month is 17; and every month has had 16,17, or 18 wins. Even with the slight dip in May that has to be a model of consistency.

by phillyinportland on Aug 31, 2011 3:05 AM EDT up reply actions  

Lotta gold in this recap, FM. Kudos!

by dajafi on Aug 31, 2011 12:14 AM EDT reply actions  

uh.......
Phillies Acquire John Bowker http://bit.ly/oGzI8Y #mlb

should of kept Cust!

No, really, should have kept Cust. What on earth does Bowker add to this team?

Writer at SB Nation's Philadelphia Union blog, The Brotherly Game. Follow me on Twitter.

by Justin F. on Aug 31, 2011 12:27 AM EDT reply actions  

can’t agree on Cust, he was terrible, but no clue who this guy is….we’ll see I guess

23 and counting...

by DirtyWaters on Aug 31, 2011 12:33 AM EDT up reply actions  

And yet, even this year, Cust has outperformed Bowker in every section of the triple slash. Cust has a higher wRC+, better ISO, etc. Why release Cust, if Bowker is your left-handed bat? It makes no sense.

Writer at SB Nation's Philadelphia Union blog, The Brotherly Game. Follow me on Twitter.

by Justin F. on Aug 31, 2011 12:38 AM EDT up reply actions  

Bowker’s season this year as been on par with that of Ross Gload. Yeah.

Writer at SB Nation's Philadelphia Union blog, The Brotherly Game. Follow me on Twitter.

by Justin F. on Aug 31, 2011 12:42 AM EDT up reply actions  

I guess it’s whatever, provided Ruben Amaro did not drink crazy juice and traded away Jesse Biddle or something. I just do not understand where the logic is when the best thing you can say about him is at least he has functioning hips.

Writer at SB Nation's Philadelphia Union blog, The Brotherly Game. Follow me on Twitter.

by Justin F. on Aug 31, 2011 12:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

Bowker only has 19 major league PAs this year.

However he now has 609 PAs in his MLB career, and a .679 OPS (.237/.289/.389) to show for it.

In 1,329 PAs in AAA, he has a .922 OPS (.314/.388/.533), but hasn’t been able to translate that success to the majors yet. He turned 28 on July 8.

As Romero notes below, he’s been a good PH, with a .830 OPS in 82 PAs (.301/.378/.452).

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Celebrating over 50 years of slightly more Phils wins than losses: 1961-2011

by schmenkman on Aug 31, 2011 9:31 AM EDT up reply actions  

Because Bowker ISN'T your left handed bat...

Cuz that would be Scott Podsednik.

/fingers crossed

Let's go eat...a triceratops. /velociraptor'd

by LeepinLizardz on Aug 31, 2011 1:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

I think Scott Podsednik will be The Pinch Runner™.

Writer at SB Nation's Philadelphia Union blog, The Brotherly Game. Follow me on Twitter.

by Justin F. on Aug 31, 2011 1:13 AM EDT up reply actions  

Though if you want my opinion, Scott Pods would be a better pinch-hitter than Bowker.

Writer at SB Nation's Philadelphia Union blog, The Brotherly Game. Follow me on Twitter.

by Justin F. on Aug 31, 2011 1:17 AM EDT up reply actions  

If you want my opinion, it’s pretty funny that we’re discussing this at all.

by philsandthrills on Aug 31, 2011 1:20 AM EDT up reply actions  

Yeah Mini-Mart and Valdez are pretty funny.

by j reed on Aug 31, 2011 1:50 AM EDT up reply actions  

From Salisbury’s press release, it looks like Bowker has decent numbers specifically as a pinch hitter:

During his time in the majors, Bowker hit .301 (22 for 73) with four doubles, two triples and a homer in pinch-hitting situations.

Can’t really get Bowker’s OBP from that, but my math gives him a .452 SLG, which is not bad.

by Romero on Aug 31, 2011 1:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

correct, he’s at .307/.378/.452

that’s with an awfully high .389 BABIP, fwiw

by perfectdepth on Aug 31, 2011 10:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

I agree Justin.

 Laviolette’s line changes during the play-offs made about as much sense.

by j reed on Aug 31, 2011 2:02 AM EDT up reply actions  

It may be a gut thing. Charlie might remember something he liked: Bowker went 1 for 3 with a double in 2010 but in 2008 he went 8 for 15 against the Phillies, 6 for 11 at CBP. He may even know something about the Giants that could help if the Giants meet the Phillies in the playoffs.

by phillyinportland on Aug 31, 2011 3:15 AM EDT up reply actions  

First player the Phillies have had who has hit a homer into McCovey Cove.

I reject your reality and substitute my own.

by alcatraz0109 on Aug 31, 2011 12:34 AM EDT up reply actions  

There’s only one SHOULDA KEPT™

by TheAL76 on Aug 31, 2011 9:35 AM EDT up reply actions  

here are the minor league pitching lines again

Austin Hyatt
6.0 IP, 7 H, 1 R, 1 ER, 1 BB, 8 K, 1 HR
26 BF, 6 GB, 3 LD, 8 FB

Julio Rodriguez
6.0 IP, 1 H, 0 R, 2 BB, 10 K
21 BF, 1 GB, 1 LD, 6 FB (2 pop), 1 SH

Austin Wright
5.0 IP, 2 H, 0 R, 0 BB, 10 K
18 BF, 4 GB, 3 LD, 1 FB (1 pop)

Adam Morgan
5.0 IP, 3 H, 2 R, 0 ER, 2 BB, 7 K, 0 HR
22 BF, 5 GB, 3 LD, 5 FB (1 pop)

by taco pal on Aug 31, 2011 12:29 AM EDT reply actions  

Combined 22.0 IP, 35 K, 5 BB. Not too shabby.

by taco pal on Aug 31, 2011 12:30 AM EDT up reply actions  

He turned 21 yesterday, and in his last nine starts has struck out 70 and walked 12 in 55 innings.

by philsandthrills on Aug 31, 2011 12:53 AM EDT up reply actions  

Holy K/9, Batman!

Let's go eat...a triceratops. /velociraptor'd

by LeepinLizardz on Aug 31, 2011 1:03 AM EDT up reply actions  

Seriously. 10 Ks in 6 innings…that’s crazy!

Giggedy giggedy giggedy

Let's go eat...a triceratops. /velociraptor'd

by LeepinLizardz on Aug 31, 2011 1:04 AM EDT up reply actions  

What’s more, he wasn’t even the pitcher with the best K rate of the night.

by taco pal on Aug 31, 2011 1:09 AM EDT up reply actions  

If this game starts a hot streak for Ibby, JoeCatz once again nailed the start point of the streak.

by Governator on Aug 31, 2011 1:03 AM EDT reply actions  

I think JoeCatz got the Sports Almanac from Back to the Future II.

by taco pal on Aug 31, 2011 1:10 AM EDT up reply actions  

Sort of.

I didn’t figure the injury or rain outs not the equation, I simply guessed when he should get to 25/106. He’s only at 17/65 right now.

However, if my other theory, that he’s a werewolf like creature who is cursed by the moon to have conflicting luck at the plate every other cycle, is correct, then we are dead on.

Im hoping he’s coldish for another 9 games or so…. Then scorching for the post season myself.

25.8/106 "Winter is coming" -Eddard Stark

by Joecatz on Aug 31, 2011 7:45 AM EDT up reply actions  

It definitely seems to be more closely related to the new moon rather than calendar months.

        —— START OF SEASON: APRIL 1 --
9 PA, 0 HR, 3 RBI, .286/.444/.429 .873 OPS
        —— NEW MOON: APRIL 3 --
92 PA, 1 HR, 7 RBI, .143/.217/.190 .407 OPS
        —— NEW MOON: MAY 3 -
111 PA, 7 HR, 19 RBI, .327/.351/.625 . 976 OPS
        —— NEW MOON: JUNE 1 --
97 PA, 1 HR, 5 RBI, .211/.258/.311 .569 OPS
        —— NEW MOON: JULY 1 --
90 PA, 5 HR, 21 RBI, .279/.311/.500 .811 OPS
        —— NEW MOON: JULY 30 --
72 PA, 2 HR, 10 RBI, .197/.250/.364 .614 OPS

The last new moon was August 28th. The next is September 27th. The following is on October 26th, which is in time for the last couple games of the World Series. Plan accordingly, Charlie.

by njns on Aug 31, 2011 9:44 AM EDT up reply actions  

Cool, Dontrelle Willis is pitching tomorrow. Always enjoyed watching him work.

by j reed on Aug 31, 2011 2:14 AM EDT reply actions  

Why was schwimmer demoted?

by PhilsForever on Aug 31, 2011 2:18 AM EDT reply actions  

Probably due to the playoff roster rules- may have needed the spot to bring up/ bring in a player who is going to make the post season roster (must be on the active roster by 8/31). Last year they pulled a similar stunt, sending Baez to the DL so that they could recall Bastardo in time to use him in the post season.

"Valdez can pitch, Lee can hit... and pigs can fly."

by dannijd on Aug 31, 2011 2:49 AM EDT via mobile up reply actions  

Wrong, at least three times.

by Romero on Aug 31, 2011 4:28 AM EDT up reply actions  

Because they signed Bowker.

25.8/106 "Winter is coming" -Eddard Stark

by Joecatz on Aug 31, 2011 7:47 AM EDT up reply actions  

Offense?

As of tonight, Phillies are 3rd highest scoring team in the NL in runs per game, behind the Reds and Cardinals.

What are you talking about?

by shiiro126029 on Aug 31, 2011 4:34 AM EDT reply actions  

I think Colorado is still ahead of them, but the Phillies have made quite the surge up the list (through May 22 they were 12th):

1. Cin 4.66
2. StL 4.64
3. Col 4.59
4. Phi 4.55
5. Ari 4.47
6. NYM 4.43
7. Mil 4.43
8. Atl 4.11 (note the drop from 7 to 8)

15. SD 3.76
16. LOLSF 3.35

Since May 23 (Utley’s first game):

1. Phi 4.94
2. Col 4.67 (again, note the drop from 1 to 2)
3. Mil 4.64
4. NYM 4.63

In the 26 games since the Pence trade: 5.46 per game

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Celebrating over 50 years of slightly more Phils wins than losses: 1961-2011

by schmenkman on Aug 31, 2011 7:18 AM EDT up reply actions  

Wheels wasn’t in the booth at the time, but I swear to you I could hear that distinctive cat-in-heat sound in the background.

o sweet Jeebus yes

by Wet Luzinski on Aug 31, 2011 5:54 AM EDT reply actions  

I didn’t watch this game but I actually lol’d when I saw that Doc had a bases-clearing double.

http://www.thegoodphight.com

by WholeCamels on Aug 31, 2011 8:18 AM EDT reply actions  

I LOL'd out loud

at the description of former Phillies superstar Miguel Cairo robbing Wilson Valdez of a GIDP.

Good to see that Schwimmer has a closer’s mentality. Sorry to see him get demoted for his effort. Happy on the asumption that he’ll be back soon. Hopefully we’ll see a lot of 9-0 games down the stretch in which he can continue to demonstrate closing ability.

by MJW on Aug 31, 2011 9:54 AM EDT reply actions  

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