The Phillies Can Beat Good Teams

The talk of the day is that the Phillies are in trouble because they're a) facing a tough stretch of their schedule and b) can't beat good teams. The first part is certainly true, as the Phils are facing the Nationals, Cardinals, Mets, Marlins, Dodgers, and Orioles over the next 20 games. Those are all teams that have won more games than they have lost so far.

But, the second part of this isn't true. The Phillies can beat good teams. They just haven't beaten the Mets this year.

So far, the Phils have played 18 games against teams with winning records. In those 18 games, they've won only 7. A 7-11 record is not a good track record against winning teams.

But, take out the 6 games against the Mets, in which the Phillies are 1-5, and the Phils are 6-6. Break it down further, and you see the Phils are 1-2 against the Giants, who presently sit at 21-20 for the season. Sure, mathematically they're a winning team right now, but really only because they've played an odd number of games.

That leaves us with 9 games against the Marlins, Braves, and Nationals, all leading the Phillies in the NL East. Against those teams, the Phillies have in fact won - they're 5-4. The Phils have outscored those teams 46-39.

I'm no idiot. I know I'm being selective here and removing numbers that work against the narrative I want to tell. But that's pretty much the point here. The season is still incredibly young, and there's no story you can tell with the limited numbers so far.

We do know that, contrary to the story being told, the Phillies can beat and have beaten good teams. They just haven't done that against the Mets (which means nothing about what they'll do against them next week).

At this point in the season, I'm not sure there's anything more interesting to say on this topic than that.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior users will need to choose a permanent username, along with a new password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

I already have a Vox Media account!

Verify Vox Media account

Please login to your Vox Media account. This account will be linked to your previously existing Eater account.

Please choose a new SB Nation username and password

As part of the new SB Nation launch, prior MT authors will need to choose a new username and password.

Your username will be used to login to SB Nation going forward.

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join The Good Phight

You must be a member of The Good Phight to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at The Good Phight. You should read them.

Join The Good Phight

You must be a member of The Good Phight to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at The Good Phight. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker