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Phillies 2013 Projections

Starting with the Bill James projections in December, several projection systems will generate predictions for 2013. Many of these include playing time projections, but they typically don't make sense in aggregate because they don't make projections on who will play (and who won't) for each team. So I will be taking the wOBA and ERA predictions in each set of projections and applying playing time assumptions for Phillies players to generate total expected runs scored and runs allowed in 2013.

  • Live
5 Total Updates since January 7, 2013
  • Important 4
  • Articles 5
  • All Updates 5

2013 Projections: NL East Standings

The 2013 projections from the various systems all result in the same order of finish among the teams of the NL East.

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2013 Projections Part III: Steamer and Oliver

Projections from the Steamer and Oliver models translate to 81 and 88 wins, respectively.

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Phillies: Post All-Star break success and 2013

Why did the Phillies improve so much in the second half of 2012, and can we expect that improvement to continue in 2013?

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Phillies 2013 Projections, Part II: ZiPS

The ZiPS projections from Dan Szymborski translate to somewhat better pitching, but also a worse offense for the Phillies than in 2012.

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