Phillies Stat Notes: April 30, 2013

Young sliding on his left slide. He can also slide on his right side. - Mike Stobe

How are the Phillies doing on key stats compared to last year, and to the rest of the league. Also, Michael Young's hot start, and upcoming milestones for several Phillies.

Head_medium

Contents

- Phillies Hitters vs. Projections
- Michael Young's start
- Phillies Team Stats vs. 2012
- NL Standings and team stats

Phillies Hitters vs. Projections

Projects_medium

Michael Young
There is no denying Michael Young has done far better so far than anyone had any right to expect. He hasn't been stellar in the field but hasn't embarrassed himself either, and he's been very good at the plate. His wOBA is even higher than in his last good season in 2011 (.375 vs. .369), and since he is now doing it in a neutral park, his park-adjusted wRC+ is much higher than two years ago (142 vs. 126), and is in fact the highest of his career. How is he doing it?
- First, the sole negative so far is that his Isolated Power is the lowest he's ever had, .080 vs. a career average of .142
- But his walk rate is a career high of 10.2%, much more than his average of 6.7% lifetime average
- He is hitting .352, and, combined with his walk rate, has an OBP of .418
- That's helped by a BABIP of .423, despite batted ball stats that show he's hitting...
...line drives below his career rate (20.8% vs. 24.1%)
...fly balls far below his career rate (15.3% vs. 29.3%)
...ground balls far above his career rate (63.9% vs. 46.6%), and he has an insane .413 BABIP on grounders (league average is around .230)

So it appears he's due for some regression, although the walk rate is encouraging. He's seeing fewer strikes, but he's also swinging less often at both balls and strikes.

(small sample caveats on all of the above)

Phillies Team Stats vs. 2012

The Phillies are doing their part to discredit batting average as a measure of a team's offense.

As recently as last season, the Sunday Philadelphia Inquirer included as a staple of baseball coverage a listing of most qualifying players in each league, ranking hitters by batting average and pitchers by ERA. It also included team rankings, sorted by ERA for pitching, and by batting average, of all things, for hitting, even though runs scored were also shown, almost as an afterthought. The format hadn't changed since I was a kid decades ago when those tables were the main source of MLB stats during the season, and poring over them was a Sunday morning ritual. It appears they've stopped printing those tables this year, which makes sense in the information age, but, flawed and quaint as they were, I have to admit I miss them a bit.

Dash_medium

Also, Phillies pitching has the NL's 3rd lowest BABIP against, so their ERA could probably be even higher than it already is, given the same fielding, sequencing, etc.

NL Standings and Team Stats

The Phillies' and Nationals' high-level stats (runs scored and runs allowed) are very similar.

Miami's offensive rankings:

- R/G: last (2.73) -- next lowest is 3.28
- BA: last (.226) -- next lowest is .232
- OBP: next to last (.287) -- last is .284
- SLG: last (.312) -- next lowest is .356
- OPS: last (.598) -- next lowest is .668

Also, how bad does a pitching staff need to be to play half its games in Petco Park and still rank near the bottom in everything?

Stnds_medium

Milestones

A more comprehensive post on Phils' milestones is coming soon, but in the meantime these are the milestones that could be reached in the next few games:

Jimmy Rollins
- His next home run (2nd this year), will be the 195th of his career, tying him with Bobby Abreu for 10th on the Phillies' all-time list.

Chase Utley
- Utley's next home run (5th) will tie him with Richie/Dick Allen for 8th in Phillies' history at 204.
- His next HBP (1st this year) will break a tie with Chet Lemon and move him into sole possession of 21st place in MLB history, with 152. A 2nd HBP will tie him with Fred Clarke for 20th.
- Also, his RBI double at Citi Field on Saturday tied him with Pat Burrell for 10th on the Phils' all-time list in extra base hits, at 518.

Ryan Howard
- Howard only has three walks so far so this may not happen very soon, but four more will tie him with Greg Luzinski for 11th in Phils' history at 572.

Charlie Manuel
- This is a week and a half away, but the Phillies' 36th game will tie Manuel with Gene Mauch for most games managing the Phillies, with 1,332.

X
Log In Sign Up

forgot?
Log In Sign Up

Forgot password?

We'll email you a reset link.

If you signed up using a 3rd party account like Facebook or Twitter, please login with it instead.

Forgot password?

Try another email?

Almost done,

By becoming a registered user, you are also agreeing to our Terms and confirming that you have read our Privacy Policy.

Join The Good Phight

You must be a member of The Good Phight to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at The Good Phight. You should read them.

Join The Good Phight

You must be a member of The Good Phight to participate.

We have our own Community Guidelines at The Good Phight. You should read them.

Spinner.vc97ec6e

Authenticating

Great!

Choose an available username to complete sign up.

In order to provide our users with a better overall experience, we ask for more information from Facebook when using it to login so that we can learn more about our audience and provide you with the best possible experience. We do not store specific user data and the sharing of it is not required to login with Facebook.

tracking_pixel_9351_tracker