Earlier today, the Mets and Rockies both won, and thus the Phillies will pick seventh in the 2014 draft.
I'd be lying if I said I haven't been following the draft order closely, and for good reason. sometime in late July I realized that The seventh pick has been insanely lucky. I've secretly been hoping that's where they would end up.
How much better you ask?
Since 2002, The seventh pick has produced 130.8 WAR per BBR, compared to 30 from 8th, 42.8 from 8th and 54.5 from 10th, so 130.8 from the 7th spot compared to 127.3 from 8,9, and 10 combined.
For those wondering, since 2002, the number one overall pick in the draft has combined for 58.5 wins since 2002. (Though from 1998 to 2001 it was pretty solid.)
The 7th picks since 2002:
2013: Trey Ball
2012: Max Fried (BBA #46 preseason 2013, mid season #40)
2011: Archie Bradley (BBA #25 preseason 2013, mid season #7, top pitcher on the list)
2010: Matt Harvey
2009: Mike Minor
2008: Yonder Alonzo
2007: Matt LaPorta
2006: Clayton Kershaw
2005: Troy Tulowitski
2004: Homer Bailey
2003: Nick Markakis
2002: Prince Fielder
There is literally no other position in the top ten that has produced the consistent talent or the level of high end talent, and I don't care if its luck or coincidence or whatever, I say its fate.
the only major leaguers from the 8th overall slot since 2008? Mike Leake, Drew Stubbs, Paul Maholm.
9th? Jacob Turner, Aaron Crow, Jarrod Parker, Mike Pelfrey, Chris Nelson, John Danks Jeff Francis.
10? Michael Choice, Drew Storen, Jason Castro, Madison Bumgardner, Tim Lincecum, Cameron Maybin and a few guys you've never heard of.
So yeah, this is a big deal. It's something to look forward to this off season, cause Ruben can't trade it away, take it from you, or turn it into Delmon Young.
So as this season comes to a close, I hope you spend your off season dreaming of this years Kershaw, or Tulo, or Fielder, or Harvey. Cause on day 162, they finally won something.