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2014 Projections from Clay Davenport

Clay Davenport (who I hadn't heard of, to be honest, but is the co-founder of Baseball Prospectus), released his 2014 projections last week. He has the Phils at a pitiful 70-92 record. A couple of things jump out about his projections: Position players' WARP totals 16, which is reasonable, except that it includes Cesar Hernandez at minus 3.1. I have to think there must be an error somewhere. Pitchers WARP totals 18, for a total of 34 for all players, but 34+48 (replacement) would be 82 wins, not 72, so he must be assuming a different replacement level than what Fangraphs and Baseball Reference use.

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