Phillies Stat Notes: Miami and Giancarlo Come to Town

ERA progression

The Marlins have hung in the NL East race, thanks in large part to Giancarlo Stanton, who has stayed healthy this year and is on pace for 43 homers and 8.6 fWAR.

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The target above is now reduced from 88 to 85 wins, making the hopeful assumption that none of the other NL East teams will get their act together, and 85 wins can take the division. 

Contents

  • NL Standings and team stats
  • Phillies Team Stats vs. 2013 and vs. the Marlins
  • Individual Stats
  • Upcoming Milestones
NL Standings and Team Stats

Phillies
The Phillies have the NL's highest run differential over the last 16 games.

Marlins
Miami's pitching has been praised, but it's been their offense, more so than their staff, that has kept them near the top in the NL East.

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Phillies Team Stats vs. 2013 and vs. the Marlins

Hitting

Phillies
Despite improved plate discipline, the Phils have been the same as last year, or worse, in most major offensive categories.

Marlins
Miami has scored the 3rd most runs in the NL. That's better than their 6th rated wOBA and wRC+ might predict, and it's due in part to the league's 3rd best batting average and OPS with runners in scoring position.

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Phillies hitters at Fangraphs
Marlins hitters at Fangraphs

Pitching and Defense

Marlins

The Phils will face:

Mon: Roberto Hernandez vs. Nathan Eovaldi (RHP)
Tue: David Buchanan vs. Andrew Heaney (LHP)
Wed: A.J. Burnett vs. Henderson Alvarez (RHP)
Thu: Cole Hamels vs. Tom Koehler (RHP)

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Phillies pitchers at Fangraphs
Marlins pitchers at Fangraphs

Individual Stats

Hitters

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Pitchers

ERA Progression:

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Milestones

Milestones by Phillies players that may be reached over the next week...

Jimmy Rollins

  • On Friday, six days after breaking Mike Schmidt's franchise record for hits, Rollins doubled to drive in a run in the 8,353rd official At Bat of his career, which passed Schmidt as the all-time franchise leader in that category as well.
  • With a strikeout on Saturday, Rollins tied Greg Luzinski for 4th most in team history, at 1098.
  • According to every publicly available source (fangraphsbb-refmlb.com), Ed Delahanty stole 411 bases with the Phillies, and Rollins passed him to move into second place in franchise history in July of last year. But apparently, according to the Elias Sports Bureau (the official source of stats for MLB), Delahanty had 438 stolen bases while with the Phils, so if the broadcast team makes mention of Rollins being close to catching Delahanty, that's why. Rollins needs two more (13 total this year) to tie Elias' total for Delahanty of 438. That will leave him behind only the nineteen century's Sliding Billy Hamilton and his 508 steals (amassed under different rules, including awarding stolen bases for taking an extra base).
  • Rollins' next time caught stealing (5th total) will tie Larry Bowa for the franchise record at 94. Caught stealing stats have been kept since 1951, and in that time Rollins has been one of the most successful base stealers in baseball:
- 9th highest SB% of the 147 players with 300+ attempts
-
4th highest SB% of the 44 players with 500+ attempts

  • Also, his next sacrifice fly (3rd this year) will tie Garry Maddox for 5th on the Phils' list at 51. The rest of the top seven: Schmidt 108, Utley 55, Abreu 54, Luzinski 53, Howard 46.

Chase Utley

  • This weekend Utley moved past Bobby Abreu and Del Ennis for 9th in Phils history in runs scored, with 892. Six more (46 on the year) will tie Sherry Magee for 8th, at 898.
  • His next home run (6th this year) will tie Greg Luzinski for 6th most in team history at 223.
  • Two more HBPs (9 total this year) will tie Utley with Kid Elberfeld for 17th most all-time, at 165. Derek Jeter is 16th (166), and Alex Rodriguez 15th (169). Elberfeld was a turn of the century infielder who first came up with the Phillies (his SABR bio).
  • Nineteen more plate appearances (329 this year) will give him 6000 for his career (11th Phillie and 32nd active player with 6000+).
  • He needs seven more hits (90 on the year) to reach 1500 for his career (the 12th Phillie and 31st active player with 1500+).

Ryan Howard

  • Howard's next walk (31st this year) will tie him with Von Hayes for 9th in Phillies history, at 619.
  • Five more total bases (124 this year) will tie Bobby Abreu for 9th most in that category, with 2491.
  • Three more strikeouts (99 total) will give Howard 1500 for his career, making him the 57th player all time, and 10th active player with 1500+. Schmidt is the only other Phillie with 1500+, and he's at 1883. Howard has a good chance to pass him by the last year of his contract in 2016. He is projected to K a  total of 206 times this year, if he stays healthy, meaning he would need to average only 139 per year in 2015-16 to pass Schmidt.

Cole Hamels

  • Hamels' needs 5 2/3 more innings (87 1/3 this year) to tie the turn of the century's Bill Duggleby for 7th in Phils history at 1,684.

A.J. Burnett

  • Still needs one more walk (45 total) to make him the only active pitcher with 1000 in his career.

Jonathan Papelbon

  • Papelbon's next save (18th this year) will tie long time Royal Jeff Montgomery for 22nd most all-time, at 304.

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For reference:

Phillies All-time hitting leaders
Phillies All-time pitching leaders

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