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Phillies' Walk Rates in comparison with the league

It's been said that walking 1 time for every 10 atbats(.100) at the plate is a sufficient amount for a major league player.  It shows enough of knowledge of the strike zone, the ability to lay off pitches, and a general sense of hitting.  The great players are usually better than that, though there are exceptions of course.  How do your 2006 Philadelphia Phillies rate?  Let's take a look:

Star-divide

Bobby Abreu: .282
Pat Burrell .201
David Bell .107
Ryan Howard .100
Chase Utley .095
Jimmy Rollins .085
David Dellucci .069
Shane Victorino .042
Abraham Nunez .042
Sal Fasano .036
Aaron Rowand .036
Carlos Ruiz .026 (1 walk in 38 AB)
Mike Lieberthal .012
Chris Roberson N/A (0 walks in 17 AB)
Chris Coste N/A (0 walks in 34 AB)

About 5 people reach the mark: Abreu, Burrell, Bell, Utley and Howard.  Bell simply can't hit, but at least he walks a bit.  The rest of the club is littered with hackers, especially the catching position.  It's a bit understandable that some of the bench players swing the bat a lot, because very few bench players go up there and walk a lot, but when 3 entire positions(CF, C, SS) hack away, it adds up to several holes in the lineup.  To be fair to Aaron Rowand, he does get hit by pitches enough to raise his OBP slightly, but he's still not very good in this getting on base.

So how do the Phillies compare to the rest of the league?  The Phillies do not play against themselves, and the other teams in the league may actually walk a bunch less, who knows?  This slightly skews toward the AL because of the designated hitter, but it's a good rough estimate.  Well, here goes(teams with winning records in bold):

Red Sox .124
Yankees  .121
Reds .118
Athletics .114
Dodgers ..108  <-- Thank DePodesta, I guess, boy he really messed the Dodgers up
Astros .106
Indians .102
Blue Jays .102
Phillies .102
Giants .102
Diamondbacks .100
Nationals .098
Padres .097
White Sox .096
Braves .096
Rangers .093
Rockies .096
Marlins .096
Twins .095
Cardinals .094
Brewers .094
Mets .090
Royals .088
Devil Rays .086
Angels .085
Pirates .084
Orioles .080
Tigers .077
Mariners .074
Cubs .070

So the Phils are actually pretty decent, it looks, ranked 9th out of 30th.  However,take away Bobby's hugely skewing walk rate, and the Phils are down to .083.  Put in a guy with 33 walks and 300 AB(about what I found to be the median), and it's .086, and puts the Phillies in tremendous company with the Royals, Devil Rays, Angels, and Pirates.  Only the Tigers have a winning record and are lower, but they are led by pitching. Pitching that we don't have, of course.

Conclusion: It seems that the Phillies are bit hackish at the plate, putting aside Bobby Abreu and a couple others.  Exchanging Kenny Lofton/Jason Michaels for Aaron Rowand certainly didn't help in this regard, but there could perhaps be something deeper than this when one looks at how much some of the bench players acquired recently hack, and also how some of the players that came up through the system(Rollins, Ruiz, Roberson, Lieberthal) tend to hack.  Abreu was brought in from outside the organization and has always had a great eye, and no one outside of Pat Burrell has come up through this minor league system and walked at a rate beyond what is considered sufficient.  This could lend credence to the Phillies needing a front office overhaul.

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A quick and easy look
We can compare last year's positions with this year's.  

Catcher:
Last year- .096
This year- .024

Lieby walked a few times, but it was Pratt's patience that really helped last year.  Huge difference here.

1st Base:
Last year- .138
This year- .106

Jimbo was the main reason.  He walked more in 170 ABs than Howard did in 300.  And despite hitting 70 points lower, he had a higher OBP.  If Howard doesn't walk more, he'll never hit that high level star status.  Pitchers will just start to not throw any strikes to him.

2nd Base:
Last year- .113
This year- .085

Chase had more patience last year.  Even Polanco was at a 10% clip.

3rd Base:
Last year- .081
This year- .101

Bell still can't hit, but at least he is walking a bit more.

SS:
Last year- .067
This year- .085

Rollins is showing more patience, but his BA is what is really bringing his OBP down.

LF:
Last year- .164
This year- .162

Solid Pat Burrell.

CF:
Last year- .110
This year- .036

Michaels walked a ton, but only in 70 or so games.  Their high OBP was thanks to a .330 batting average that both Michaels AND Lofton topped.  Either way, Rowand is awful in comparison.

RF:
Last year- .187
This year- .267

Not sure what has gotten into Abreu, but his difference is just as big as the difference between Lofton/Michaels and Rowand.

PH:
Last year- .105
This year- .062

PHers are just swinging at anything this year.  

Our patience has been terrible.  It is what made us such a good offensive time.  Couple that with such a bad BA and it isn't surprising this team isn't scoring as many runs as last year.

by jonk on Jul 5, 2006 4:02 PM EDT reply actions  

Pinch hitters
I had no idea our pinch hitters were so patient last year. I guess that was probably due to Pratt and whoever sat between Lofton and Michaels.

by David S. Cohen on Jul 5, 2006 4:13 PM EDT up reply actions  

Well...
Tomas Perez did complement his awful .140 batting average with an additional .120 walk rate.  He and JMike lead the way with Offerman and Tucker with 3 each (which is weird since they only played here for a small period of time).

by jonk on Jul 5, 2006 4:21 PM EDT up reply actions  

great piece
Couldn't agree more. Cause to worry about what happens if (when?) Bobby gets dealt. Maybe we need to create a "swings at crap" metric of some kind...

by dajafi on Jul 5, 2006 4:09 PM EDT reply actions  

hey batter batter
excellent post, especially the point about abreu vs. homegrown hitters with no patience. why do people think michael bourn can/will lead off when/if he makes the bigs? he is a grade-a hacker in the rollins mold at this point. now that bobby's power seems to have evaporated, he is the organization's only true leadoff hitter...which is why he is still hitting third, naturally.

by gr on Jul 6, 2006 12:10 PM EDT reply actions  

Re: Bourn: what are you talking about?
How is he a hacker like Rollins? In Reading this year, he had a BB/AB ratio of 36/318 for a .113, better than anyone on the Phillies except Abreu and Burrell. Granted, this is down quite a bit from his walk rate prior to this year (.158), but I'm not worried about 1/2 season.

by phatj on Jul 6, 2006 4:28 PM EDT up reply actions  

bourn
A commenter on Beer Leaguer called him a 'hacker' too, I'm not sure where becoming a singles hitter = becoming a hacker.  He works a pitcher fairly well.
http://hugetinymistake.wordpress.com/

by pacino on Jul 7, 2006 11:14 AM EDT up reply actions  

Walk Rates
Great work pacino...interesting how this fits into the run producing numbers being down this year compared to last...

by Vote for Kalas on Jul 7, 2006 12:34 PM EDT reply actions  

Re:
thanks for the compliment vfk.
http://hugetinymistake.wordpress.com/

by pacino on Jul 7, 2006 12:45 PM EDT up reply actions  

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