Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
In a revelation that shocked approximately nobody, the Phillies announced that an MRI of RHP Freddy Garcia's right shoulder revealed rotator cuff fraying and possible labrum problems.
This development reveals two possible scenarios, neither of them pretty:
- The arm was seriously damaged when the trade happened, pitching this season exacerbated the problem. But most of the harm had already been done. The Phillies traded a stud prospect and a talented cipher for a lemon.
- A smaller, correctible problem was not addressed in the offseason/spring training, Garcia was allowed to pitch hurt, which made the problem much, much worse.
Even a superficial look at Garcia's 2006 season reveals that he wasn't the same pitcher as before. The strikeouts were down along with the velocity. He had gone from being a serious power pitcher to being a finesse and location guy.
So where do they go from here? The once six-deep rotation is down to fourthe hit-or-miss Jon Lieber, Jamie Moyer, and Adam Eaton, and the young Cole Hamels. Kyle Kendrick is not a long term solution.
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31 comments
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There's one obvious solution...
Frankly, Alfonseca has been pretty good closing out games these past few weeks. The starting pitching has been atrocious. So why not throw Myers back into the rotation and live with Alfonseca closing?
Gordon has been tossing some balls and will be throwing off a mound pretty soon. So eventually he'll be back in the bullpen. Frankly, I can't see any argument that would support that Myers is more needed in the bullpen.
Either that or a trade, but the fact is something must be done. The all star break is about a month away and the Phils are only 4 back of the Mets(which surprises me). They owe it to us and themselves to give this thing an honest shot. Filling out the rotation with AA pitchers and signing Jose Mesa is not giving it an honest shot.
by JasonB on Jun 12, 2007 9:34 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: There's one obvious solution...
Of course, I wouldn't have moved him to the 'pen in the first place, but that particular barn door has closed.
by WholeCamels on Jun 12, 2007 10:00 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: There's one obvious solution...
Without Gordon or Myers, there are zero reliable, high-strikeout guys in the bullpen. I'm not sure that this is worse than the difference between Myers and Kendrick in the rotation, but I guess it's an argument.
by Seth on Jun 12, 2007 10:24 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
The decision to move Myers to the bully has been debated over and over again. I don't think it was the right move at the time, and I still don't, but by trying to "fix it" now and put him back in the rotation, I think you risk doing more long term damage to his arm. Ease him back in, monitor his workload, and hope to get quality innings out of him for the last 3 months. In the offseason, move him back into the rotation.
As for the 5th spot in the rotation, I still think the best course of action is to use what you have from within, or possibly look to make a deal with a team that is out of the running come mid July.
by FTN414 on Jun 12, 2007 10:00 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
Why not use the 5th spot in the rotation as a "bullpen game" in a sense? Half the guys in our bullpen never pitch anyway. On that day, start with Condrey for 3 innings, then let Yoel pitch 2 innings, throw Rosario out there for 2. At least it will give those guys regular game action.
by FTN414 on Jun 12, 2007 10:03 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
My guess is they'll make a bad trade.
by dajafi on Jun 12, 2007 10:19 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
by perfectdepth on Jun 13, 2007 12:11 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
Hey, it works well on the Playstation :)
by maxr on Jun 12, 2007 3:36 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
Some here will recall that I was one of the biggest proponents for trading Lieber in March, as well as one of the biggest defenders of moving Myers to the bullpen in April. I continue to stand by both of those positions.
But circumstances today are very different. The choice now isn't between Myers in the rotation plus Lieber in the bullpen vs. Lieber in the rotation plus Myers in the bullpen. It's Myers in the rotation plus some random guy at the back of the bullpen vs. Myers in the bullpen plus someone with no major league experience in the rotation.
The claim that Myers' arm will be strained by moving back and forth between starting and relieving strikes me as nothing more than wild speculation. We know that high pitch counts cause injuries because there have been studies on that subject. There have not been studies on whether injuries are caused by moving from the rotation to the bullpen or vice versa. People are frankly just making stuff up here. The reason why no one has moved around like this with success is that no one has ever really tried it. There is a sample size of approximately zero. There is no basis for drawing a conclusion either way.
by taco pal on Jun 12, 2007 10:26 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
You always seem very sure of your opinions, if I provide you with some insight on this from someone who knows much more about this than both of us, will you acknowledge what I posted?
by FTN414 on Jun 12, 2007 10:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
by Seth on Jun 12, 2007 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
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by taco pal on Jun 12, 2007 10:41 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
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by taco pal on Jun 12, 2007 10:45 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
I think it's kind of just common sense. The reason there is zero sample size is because of how ludicrous the idea really is. You never move a starter to a short reliever to a starter in the same season because of the adverse effect on the arm. Each role requires different preparation and adjustment. Once the arm is adjusted to a certain regiment, you can't just "undo" that and go back to something else.
As I said, I'll post the info when I get it. And if I'm wrong, I'll certainly admit it. However, I think if this little experiment that everyone seems to want does go through, we'll be sitting here lamenting the loss of Myers long term in 2 months.
by FTN414 on Jun 12, 2007 10:48 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
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by David S. Cohen on Jun 12, 2007 11:05 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
by FTN414 on Jun 12, 2007 11:09 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
It seems to me that it's common for pitchers to successfully transition from starting to relieving in the middle of a season. It seems to me that it's also common for pitchers to successfully transition from relieving to starting in the middle of a season. Obviously, both of these types of transitions have to be done according to certain procedures. New starters are stretched out gradually. New relievers appear in back-to-back games less frequently at first. But nevertheless, both are done fairly often.
So why can't a guy go through two transitions in the same year, as long as both transitions are done gradually? Is his arm going to lose elasticity, like one of those springs from high school physics class? Of course, if you transitioned a pitcher back and forth from starting to relieving without any adjustment periods in between, then that would be a problem. But that would be a problem even if he only made one transition in a season. The number of transitions seems irrelevant to me.
by taco pal on Jun 12, 2007 12:55 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
Starting --> No Pitching At All --> Starting
is somehow better than
Starting --> Relieving --> Starting
?
Or does any pitcher who gets hurt in the middle of the season have to stay out for the remainder of the year? Wouldn't that mean Myers can't come back at all this year, whether in the rotation or in the bullpen?
by taco pal on Jun 12, 2007 12:58 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
6 weeks preparing to start (spring training)
2 weeks starting real games (4/2 - 4/13)
6 weeks in the pen (4/18 - 5/23)
Considering that he has spent his entire career as a starter, I can't see why there should be a problem returning to this role after only 6 weeks in the pen. Clearly he will have to be stretched out, but there is no reason why this can't be done at the mlb level. I would rather have a 50 pitch start from Myers than a start from a minor leaguer who is clearly not ready.
by Celebre Twins on Jun 12, 2007 1:17 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Okay.
by FTN414 on Jun 12, 2007 1:09 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
In short, a case like this is unprecedented. Guys have gone from starting to being a long man back to starting, but not in terms of short relief. The idea that Myers might be able to go back to the rotation because he only spent a month in relief is possible, but there are no comparisons to this because it hasn't happened.
I can't say more than that. I understand WHY people think moving Myers back is the right move. In the short term, it might be, but if it causes serious arm trouble, then what will people be saying? I've never been the biggest Brett Myers fan, but I think his arm is too important to mess with at this point. If this were his last year before free agency and you knew he was going to bolt, sure, take a risk if you don't care about the rest of his career. But we have two expensive years left on his deal, and he can be a positive value (a good bit of value) to this team, I'd hate to see that wasted for the sake of winning 5 more games.
by FTN414 on Jun 12, 2007 2:49 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
Smoltz went to the pen because he was coming off Tommy John surgery. Schilling was also on rehab. Eckersley was wearing down as a starter by the time he went to the pen. Perhaps there are examples out there, but I can't think of a single instance where a team moved a very good HEALTHY starting pitcher--coming into his prime--into the bullpen.
So the reason it's unprecedented is because the team is hopefully realizing how dumb a move it was in the first place.
by maxr on Jun 12, 2007 3:46 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
Does putting him in the role of closer where he'll be up and throwing most nights the easier thing on his arm?
by JasonB on Jun 12, 2007 4:06 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
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by kuff6 on Jun 12, 2007 4:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
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by Celebre Twins on Jun 13, 2007 5:39 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
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by FTN414 on Jun 13, 2007 5:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
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by smitty on Jun 13, 2007 6:28 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
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by WholeCamels on Jun 15, 2007 11:28 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
There are lots of examples of this kind of stuff in baseball history. And that's my point.
by smitty on Jun 15, 2007 6:24 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
Spahn is one of the best pitchers of all time. he was freakishly durable. Bunning was also an abnormally sturdy workhorse.
you're naming three guys in the Hall of Fame who played at a time baseball was dramatically different. it proves nothing for the 2007 Phillies.
additionally, the guys you named didn't even relieve that much. per 162 games, Roberts averaged 3 relief appearances. Simmons, 7. Spahn, 5. Bunning, 5. these guys weren't regularly closing out games.
by perfectdepth on Jun 15, 2007 7:03 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Freddy's (shoulder's) Dead?
Joe Nuxall, who wasn't a Hall of Famer and wasn't a freak and didn't suffer devastating arm injuries, started an relieved a bunch of times in the same season. He pitched a long, long time. The same is true of Sal Maglie and dozens of other guys.
Further, starters are used in the playoffs as relievers to this day.
Baseball was indeed different back then. But that doesn't mean that you can't look at the past and learn from it. Just look up pitchers in baseball-reference.com and you'll see that many non-hall of Fame, non freakish workhorses were used in both roles. In fact, for many years most teams had three primary starters and they used bullpen guys to fill in all year as spot staters.
by smitty on Jun 16, 2007 2:07 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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