Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
If you've been following closely this season, you've noticed that Pat Burrell rarely finishes a game he starts. Many of us let out a sigh (or worse) when he's removed from a relatively close game in the 6th or 7th inning, fearing that our gascan carrying bullpen will cough up the lead and thrust Burrell's defensive caddy into action with the lumber. So, I decided to take a look at all of the instances in which Burrell has departed early and how it's affected our team. All of the details below the fold...
First, the basics.
Complete Games Played: 38
Games Replaced Early: 73
Used as a pinch hitter: 10
First, let's take a moment to appreciate that....he's only played 38 complete games all season. Staggering really. Now, on to the goodness.
Burrell has departed from 56 games in which the team had the lead. The Phillies are 49-7 in those games. Burrell has left with the team trailing in 13 games (2-11 record), and with the team tied in 4 games, in which they ended up going 2-2.
His replacements, overall, have posted this line
49 AB, .204/.277/.367
6 singles, 1 double, 2 triples, 1 HR, and 5 BB
In the games where he's come out early and the team lost, his replacements have been even worse
1/8, 0 BB and 0 extra base hits. The only hit came from Michael Bourn on 7/26 against Washington.
Well, that's the offensive aspect, but what about the defense? In the 73 games where Burrell has come out, his replacements have racked up a total of 37 putouts, with 0 assists. In the games the team had the lead and lost, 4 assists in 7 games, and 2 of those came in one game, July 6th at Colorado by Bourn.
If you calculate Burrell's season averages and add in his missing 49 AB, he'd be at 24 HR and 82 RBI. It's impossible to say "taking him out cost us X games", but Manuel should not be putting the team in that situation, especially with our bullpen being what it is.
UPDATE: I forgot to include this information in my original reply, but I also noted in what inning Burrell was removed in the games he's come out early
6th inning: 7 times
7th inning: 26 times
8th inning: 24 times
9th inning: 14 times
10th or later: 2 times
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27 comments
Comments
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by jonk on Aug 28, 2007 6:38 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by FTN414 on Aug 28, 2007 9:32 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
Also, I could see removing him later in the game -- the 9th inning maybe -- but these constant, repeated substitutions in the 6th and 7th innings are really hurting this team's ability to score runs, while only marginally improving it defensively.
by WholeCamels on Aug 28, 2007 11:35 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
I must say, however, that to the naked eye, Burrell looks way slower this year than he was in the past. He was never a great fielder or anything, but it sure seems like he's suddenly gotten a whole lot worse.
by taco pal on Aug 28, 2007 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by Seth on Aug 28, 2007 12:29 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by taco pal on Aug 28, 2007 12:51 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by FTN414 on Aug 28, 2007 11:51 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
I don't see how playing 6-7 innings instead of the full nine would provide sufficient rest with regard to protecting from the worsening of chronic injuries.
by WholeCamels on Aug 28, 2007 12:07 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
Unfortunately, roster expansion probably will mean that Cholly has more options to serve as Burrell's Legs: Roberson, maybe Moran?
by dajafi on Aug 28, 2007 12:10 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
- +6
- +13
- +12
- +13
- +7
- +6
- -8
by FTN414 on Aug 28, 2007 12:25 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by taco pal on Aug 28, 2007 12:48 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by FTN414 on Aug 28, 2007 12:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
I think FRAR/FRAA are done very sloppily and chances do play a role. Last year, the Phillies had two bizarre changes in those fielding numbers-- everyone on the left side of the field saw their FRAR/FRAA shoot up, and everone on the right side of the field saw their FRAR/FRAA go down. This was especially pronounced for players who played more during the second half of the season. Only Rollins seems to have maintained similar fielding numbers.
by Matt Swartz on Aug 28, 2007 1:50 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by das411 on Aug 29, 2007 3:28 AM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
It's ironic that the Phils went out of their way to move him to left now that 3B is the weakest spot in the lineup. It's all Scott Rolen's fault.
by taco pal on Aug 29, 2007 10:53 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by Seth on Aug 29, 2007 11:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by taco pal on Aug 29, 2007 11:35 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
I seem to remember ...
by phatj on Aug 29, 2007 1:09 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
From HardballTimes.com's Revized Zone Ratings (RZR):
Werth: .905 in 108 innings, 9 Out of Zone (OOZ) plays
Bourn: .884 in 185 innings, 8 Out of Zone plays
Burrell: .779 in 797 innings, 16 Out of Zone plays
Dobbs: .778 in 82 innings, 4 Out of Zone plays
I don't know how many runs you save by using Werth or Bourn defensively over Burrell, but I'm pretty sure it's not even close to replacing Burrell's offensive runs created (76).
--
On a side note, I read that Marcus Hayes is being relieved of his Phillies-covering duties after the season. Is this true? If so, is there any legitimate article on the Internet about it?
by Baerwcb on Aug 29, 2007 12:16 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by Baerwcb on Aug 29, 2007 12:20 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
Last night's game is a good example. After replacing Burrell as a pinch runner, Victorino stole second and went to third on an error to get into position to score the tying run on Rowand's dribbler.
by JimQ on Aug 29, 2007 2:54 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by David S. Cohen on Aug 29, 2007 3:34 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by Grass Cutter on Aug 29, 2007 9:47 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by taco pal on Aug 30, 2007 11:26 AM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by JasonB on Aug 30, 2007 6:16 PM EDT reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by perfectdepth on Aug 30, 2007 8:30 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs
Re: Pat Burrell's Lost At Bats
by jonk on Aug 30, 2007 11:22 PM EDT up reply actions 0 recs

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