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Phillies vs. Nationals: May 29-31

The Philadelphia Phillies (25-20) take on the ever-struggling Washington Nationals (13-33) again, who are coming off being swept by the Mets in New York.  The Phillies have just fallen a half game out of first place, after a disappointing rubber match with the Florida Marlins in which Brett Myers left with an injury that looks likely to end his season and quite possibly his career with the Phillies.  This series, the Phillies rotation goes on, but they will need to decide who starts in Myers' place against San Diego next week.  For this series, the Phillies send out rookie J.A. Happ for just his second start of the season on Friday night, up against fellow rookie Ross Detwiler who has only started two games this season.  He has performed fairly well in those two starts, though they were only against the Pirates and the Orioles.  The lefty will have a tougher matchup with the Philadelphia lineup.  While Detwiler is a lefty, he does not have significant splits in the minor leagues, and he probably won't have a particularly easy time with the Phillies left-handed bats.  On Saturday, Phillies send ace Cole Hamels out on the mound where they hope he will continue his run of four consecutive quality starts and what could have been six consecutive quality starts if not for a couple of freak injuries that cut them short.  Hamels comes off a solid performance in a no decision against the Yanekes in which he struggled with pitch count, but did strike out Alex Rodriguez three times.  There's no one that dangerous in the Nats lineup, but they are an above average offensive club with a few weapons in the middle of the lineup.  The Nationals will send out Shairon Martis, a young righthander who has good numbers thus far but his peripherals don't indicate that those numbers will stick.  On Sunday, the Phillies will gave Jamie Moyer another shot to stop looking his age.  Moyer has only one quality start in nine tries this year, and has yet to surrneder fewer than seven hits in a game.  The Nationals send out John Lannan who managed not to injure any Phillies last time out.

This year the Phillies are 7-2 against the Nationals, which has certainly helped them stay near first place.  The Phillies hope to continue that run against the Nationals who have fallen further and further as the year has gone on.  The Nationals continue to have a solid offense, but their pitching has been completely disastrous.  The Phillies have wreaked havoc on the Nats' staff, and have scored 65 runs in those nine games against them (7.2 RS/G).


MATCHUPS:

Friday, 7:05-- J.A. Happ (L) vs Ross Detwiler (L)
Saturday, 7:05-- Cole Hamels (L) vs Shairon Martis (R)
Sunday, 1:35-- Jamie Moyer (L) vs John Lannan (L)

After the jump, I preview the individual players with their stats and splits.

 

NATIONALS


LINEUP

(1) SS Cristian Guzman (S): .340/.352/.465

proj: .295/.335/.420
bb: 5%
k: 12%
gb: 55%
iff: 11%
ifh: 8%
babip: solid ground ball rate puts him around .315-.320.  My system puts him at .314.
s/c/z: fair strike judgment but plus contact skill
r/l: poorer strike zone judgment as rhb but more power
h/a: .743/.645 career
p/o: more of a pull hitter against rhb, but some pull tendencies against lhb too
other: none


(2) 1B Nick Johnson (L): .337/.440/.464

proj: .270/.410/.470
bb: 17%
k: 21%
gb: 44%
iff: 9%
ifh: 3%
babip: doesn't tend to do well on groundballs in general, but does decently otherwise, about average.  My system does not project him as he had less than 300 PA last year.
s/c/z: does not swing much, but especially good at laying off balls; contact rate about average though
r/l: no major split at all
h/a: no major split at all
p/o: spreads ball around pretty well but slight pull hitter
other: much better babip with runners on thus far; probably hooks ball in hole a lot


(3) 3B Ryan Zimmerman (R): .333/.400/.574

proj: .285/.350/.475
bb: 8.5%
k: 17.5%
gb: 44%
iff: 11%
ifh: 8%
babip: tends to hit around .315 on BIP since he hits a lot of groundballs in the whole.  My system puts him at .314.
s/c/z: about average across the board
r/l: .758/.931; 2.6 k/bb vs rhp, 1.2 vs lhp; and slightly more power against lhp too
h/a: nothing abnormal
p/o: slight pull hitter but spreads ball around pretty well
other: none


(4) LF Adam Dunn (L): .283/.417/.608

proj: .245/.380/.490
bb: 17.5%
k: 31%
gb: 34%
iff: 11%
ifh: 4%
babip: somewhat low, around .290 career, mostly bc of low babip on groundballs due to the shift.  My system puts him at .278.
s/c/z: good eye, laying off pitches out of the strike zone; poor contact skills but not as bad as you might expect; sees few strikes
r/l: .932/.833; biggest difference is 1.4 k/bb vs rhb and 2.0 k/bb vs lhb
h/a: nothing abnormal
p/o: definitepull hitter
other: nothing abnormal; power lefties tend to do better with men on, but he hasn't in his career


(5) RF Austin Kearns (R): .213/.341/.389

proj: .260/.350/.410
bb: 11%
k: 21%
gb: 46%
iff: 10%
ifh: 6.5%
babip: average all around.  My system has him at .299.
s/c/z: very good eye with average contact skill
r/l: 2.2 k/bb vs rhp, 1.1 k/bb vs lhp; only .775/.827 split overall career though
h/a: no major split
p/o: spreads ball around pretty well but slight pull hitter
other: better against power pitchers


(6) CF Willie Harris (L): .261/.402/.406

proj: .255/.345/.390
bb: 10.5%
k: 19.5%
gb: 48%
iff: 10%
ifh: 7%
babip: average all around-- my system has him at .302.
s/c/z: does not swing much
r/l: better vs rhp, primarily due to k/bb difference (1.5 vs 3.2)
h/a: not much difference
p/o: pull hitter
other: none


(7) 2B Anderson Hernandez (S): .278/.363/.343

proj: .240/.290/.330
bb: 6%
k: 17%
gb: 46%
iff: 7%
ifh: 9%
babip: slightly below average due to weak hits and poor contact, but he's bound to be good on groundballs.  My system does not project him since he had less than 300 PA last year.
s/c/z: average thus far
r/l: probably a little better as rhb against lhp
h/a: not enough info
p/o: so far he seems to be a bit of an opposite field hitter
other: none


(8) C Wil Nieves (R): .283/.328/.317

proj: .245/.290/.325
bb: 5.5%
k: 14%
gb: 53%
iff: 7%
ifh: 5%
babip: lack of power leads to it being below average since its low on flyballs; lack of speed leads to pretty low babip on groundballs too.  My system does not project him.
s/c/z: poor strike zone judgment, but not terrible
r/l: seems typical but not enough info
h/a: not enough info
p/o: spreads ball around evenly
other: none


BENCH


OF Josh Willingham (R): .228/.355/.465

proj: .265/.355/.485
bb: 11%
k: 22%
gb: 39%
iff: 12%
ifh: 9%
babip: average all around-- my system has him at .305.
s/c/z: low swing rate in general, average contact skill
r/l: better k/bb and power numbers vs lhb but reverse babip split masks that
h/a: seemingly better on the road
p/o: definite pull hitter
other: better against groundball pitchers


IF Ronnie Belliard (R): .164/.222/.254

proj: .270/.330/.420
bb: 8%
k: 17%
gb: 46%
iff: 11%
ifh: 7%
babip: below average by a little due to lack of power according to most systems, but my system has him at .308.
s/c/z: average across the board
r/l: .727/.828
h/a: .773/.739
p/o: slight pull hitter
other: none


OF Justin Maxwell (R): .150/.320/.200

proj avg: .240/.320/.430
bb: 9%
k: 24%
gb: 43% in minors in 2008
iff: 17% in minors in 2008
ifh: n/a
babip: seems bad, but little info
s/c/z: not enough info
r/l: much, much better agianst lhp in minors
h/a: not enough info
p/o: not enough info
other: none


C Josh Bard (S): .179/.200/.256

proj: .265/.335/.390
bb: 10%
k: 15%
gb: 50%
iff: 6%
ifh: 4%
babip: about average overall; a little below average on groundballs since he doesn't get many infield hits and a bit high on flyballs since he doesn't pop out in the infield much
s/c/z: above average contact skill, average strike zone judgment
r/l: no major split
h/a: better k/bb at home (1.3 vs 1.8) and more power at home, but babip higher on road; probably still better at home despite babip causing reverse platoon split
p/o: spreads ball around as lhb but slight pull hitter as rhb
other: none


C Luke Montz (R): has not played yet in 2009

proj: .230/.305/.380
bb: 9%
k: 23%
gb: about 40% in minors
iff: about 22% career in minors
ifh: ?
babip: low in minors which makes sense given lack of speed, mediocre power, and high popup rate
s/c/z: good eye, not all that patient, slightly below average contact, thrown a lot of strikes
r/l: .722 vs .843 ops difference in minors
h/a: not enough info
p/o: not enough info
other: none


DISABLED LIST: CF Elijah Dukes (R): .277/.347/.473

proj: .265/.365/.465
bb: 14%
k: 23%
gb: 44%
iff: 12%
ifh: 5%
babip: has been low but seems to profile as about average according to most systems.  My system actually puts him at about .316.
s/c/z: good eye but poor contact skill
r/l: more power against lhp but not much difference otherwisee
h/a: much better k/bb at home: 1.2 vs 2.0
p/o: definite pull hitter
other: none

DISABLED LIST: C Jesus Flores (R): .311/.382/.522

proj: .245/.305/.410
bb: 6.5%
k: 26%
gb: 42%
iff: 17%
ifh: 5%
babip: has been above average but will probably fall due to high popup rate.  My system puts him at .278.
s/c/z: hacker but pithchers still challenge him
r/l: 5.1 k/bb vs rhp, 3.5 k/bb vs lhp; .633/.802 ops split but mostly due to very high babip vs lhp that probably won't persist.  
h/a: struggles more at home so far in career but probably just noise
p/o: very distinct pull hitter; only rarely goes the other way at all
other: far more successful against finesse pitchers thus far with lots of trouble against power pitchers




ROTATION


FRIDAY STARTER: Ross Detwiler (L): 2.45 ERA, 3.3 BB/9, 8.2 K/9, 0.8 HR/9, 3.89 FIP, 40% GB

proj avg: 5.60 ERA, 4.4 BB/9, 5.8 K/9, 1.2 HR/9
gb: about 50% in minors
pitches: 77% fb, 14% ch, 9% cb
r/l: not much of a split in minors, and since he's a fastball/changeup/curveball pitcher, that makes sense
h/a: not enough info

Detwiler: has not played any Phillies



SATURDAY STARTER: Shairon Martis (R): 4.86 ERA, 3.5 BB/9, 4.2 K/9, 0.8 HR/9, 4.73 FIP, 40% GB

proj avg: 5.10 ERA, 4.2 BB/9, 6.8 K/9, 1.3 HR/9
gb: 37%
pitches: 60% fb, 20% ch, 10% sl, 9% cb
r/l: not enough info
h/a: not enough info

Martis vs. Phillies:

Howard: 2/5, 1 HR, 2 BB, 1 K
Ibanez: 4/6, 1 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Rollins: 1/5, 0 BB, 1 K, 1 SF
Utley: 2/4, 2 BB, 0 K
Victorino: 2/6, 1 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Werth: 0/5, 1 BB, 1 K
Dobbs: 1/3, 0 BB, 0 K
Feliz: 0/3, 0 BB, 0 K
Bruntlett: 0/1, 0 BB, 0 K
Coste: 0/1, 0 BB, 0 K


SUNDAY STARTER: John Lannan (L): 4.11 ERA, 3.5 BB/9, 4.3 K/9, 1.3 HR/9, 5.46 FIP, 54% GB

proj avg: 4.15 ERA, 3.6 BB/9, 5.6 K/9, 1.0 HR/9
gb: 54%
pitches: 60% fb, 16% sl, 12% cb, 11% ch, 1% ct
r/l: 1.2 k/bb vs rhb, 2.3 vs lhb; .719/.840 ops
h/a: slightly better on road but not much info

Lannan vs. Phillies:

Rollins: 6/18, 2 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1 K
Utley: 8/16, 2 HR, 1 BB, 3 K, 1 HBP
Victorino: 6/17, 1 BB, 0 K, 1 HBP
Howard: 4/17, 1 2B, 1 HR, 0 BB, 7 K, 1 HBP
Werth: 3/13, 2 HR, 2 BB, 5 K
Feliz: 7/12, 1 HR, 1 BB, 0 K
Bruntlett: 1/4, 0 BB, 0 K
Ruiz: 2/8, 0 BB, 1 K, 1 SF
Ibanez: 3/4, 1 BB, 0 K
Coste: 1/2, 0 BB, 0 K


NOT FACING US THIS SERIES: Jordan Zimmerman (L): 6.07 ERA, 2.7 BB/9, 9.2 K/9, 1.4 HR/9, 4.21 FIP, 40% GB

proj avg: 4.90 ERA, 4.1 BB/9, 7.0 K/9, 1.2 HR/9
gb: 48% in minors so probably about average in majors perhaps (?)
pitches: ?
r/l: better against righties in minors
h/a: ?

Zimmerman vs Phillies:

Feliz: 1/3, 0 BB, 1 K
Howard: 1/2, 0 BB, 1 K, 1 HBP
Ibanez: 0/2, 1 BB, 0 K
Rollins: 2/3, 0 BB, 1 K
Utley: 1/1, 1 2B, 2 BB, 0 K
Victorino: 1/3, 1 2B, 0 BB, 1 K
Werth: 1/3, 0 BB, 1 K
Ruiz: 0/2, 0 BB, 0 K


NOT FACING US THIS SERIES: Craig Stammen (R): 5.56 ERA, 2.4 BB/9, 4.0 K/9, 0.8 HR/9, 4.49 FIP, 60% GB

proj avg: 5.50 ERA, 3.7 BB/9, 5.5 K/9, 1.3 HR/9
gb: about 40% in minors
pitches: 75% fb, 13% ch, 12% cb
r/l: not much of a split in minors, which makes sense given he's a fastball/changeup/curveball pitcher
h/a: not enough info

Stammen: has not played any Phillies


DISABLED LIST: Scott Olsen (L): 7.24 ERA, 4.0 BB/9, 6.4 K/9, 1.8 HR/9, 5.60 FIP, 35% GB

proj avg: 4.75 ERA, 3.4 BB/9, 6.2 K/9, 1.3 HR/9
gb: 40%
pitches: 63% fb, 20% ch, 17% sl
r/l: 1.6 k/bb vs rhb, 2.8 k/bb vs lhb; .827/.686 ops
h/a: 2.0 vs 1.5 k/bb

Olsen vs. Phillies:

Rollins: 8/33, 2 3B, 1 HR, 3 BB, 3 K
Utley: 4/27, 1 2B, 2 HR, 3 BB, 8 K
Howard: 14/29, 3 2B, 2 HR, 2 BB, 6 K, 1 HBP
Victorino: 4/22, 1 2B, 1 HR, 0 BB, 0 K
Werth: 10/19, 2 2B, 3 HR, 1 BB, 3 K
Feliz: 4/16, 2 2B, 1 3B, 1 BB, 2 K
Coste: 3/12, 1 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 4 K
Bruntlett: 1/8, 1 BB, 4 K
Ibanez: 5/8, 2 HR, 1 BB, 1 K
Ruiz: 0/5, 2 BB (2 IBB), 1 K



BULLPEN


CL Joel Hanrahan (R): 5.64 ERA, 4.4 BB/9, 11.3 K/9, 1.2 HR/9, 4.15 FIP, 43% GB

proj avg: 4.10 ERA, 4.5 BB/9, 9.0 K/9, 1.0 HR/9
gb: 38%
pitches: 67% fb, 31% sl, 2% ch
r/l: typical
h/a: much better at home: 2.6 k/bb vs. 1.3; .680/.842 ops

Hanrahan vs Phillies:

Werth: 0/8, 4 BB, 4 K
Feliz: 1/10, 1 HR, 1 BB, 2 K
Howard: 0/8, 1 BB, 7 K
Rollins: 2/9, 0 BB, 2 K
Ruiz: 3/7, 1 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 0 K
Utley: 1/3, 1 BB, 2 K, 1 SF, 1 HBP
Coste: 0/4, 0 BB, 0 K
Victorino: 2/4, 0 BB, 0 K
Bruntlett: 1/3, 0 BB, 1 K
Dobbs: 1/2, 0 BB, 1 K
Ibanez: 1/3, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1 K
Stairs: 1/2, 1 2B, 0 BB, 1 K


Joe Beimel (L): 5.00 ERA, 3.0 BB/9, 5.0 K/9, 1.0 HR/9, 4.66 FIP, 38% GB

proj avg: 3.90 ERA, 3.6 BB/9, 5.2 K/9, 0.6 HR/9
gb: 49%
pitches: 85% fb (sinkers coded as fastballs), 7% sl, 5% cb, 4% ch
r/l: 0.9 vs 2.3 k/bb, platoon splits not even as deep as would be give strength of lhb faced vs rhb
h/a: 1.5 k/bb at home 1.1 k/bb on road, but ops split not different

Beimel vs Phillies:

Rollins: 3/11, 2 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Utley: 2/10, 1 2B, 0 BB, 3 K, 1 HBP
Howard: 1/7, 1 HR, 3 BB (1 IBB), 2 K
Feliz: 5/9, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1 K
Victorino: 2/6, 1 2B, 0 BB, 1 K
Stairs: 1/4, 1 2B, 1 BB, 1 K
Werth: 0/4, 0 BB, 1 K
Ibanez: 2/3, 1 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Coste: 1/2, 0 BB, 0 K
Bruntlett: 1/2, 1 2B, 0 BB, 0 K


Julian Tavarez (R): 5.68 ERA, 6.6 BB/9, 8.5 K/9, 0.5 HR/9, 4.32 FIP, 54% GB

proj avg: 4.60 ERA, 3.8 BB/9, 6.7 K/9, 0.8 HR/9
gb: 55%
pitches: 53% fb, 25% sl, 15% ch, 8% sf
r/l: 2.2 k/bb vs rhb, 1.0 vs lhb; .734/.827 ops
h/a: 1.75 k/bb at home, 1.3 on road

Tavarez vs Phillies:

Rollins: 10/27, 4 2B, 1 BB, 0 K
Feliz: 1/11, 1 2B, 1 BB, 0 K
Victorino: 4/10, 1 2B, 1 3B, 1 BB, 3 K
Stairs: 1/7, 0 BB, 5 K
Utley: 2/4, 1 2B, 2 BB, 0 K
Werth: 1/4, 1 BB, 1 K, 1 HBP
Coste: 1/5, 0 BB, 1 K
Howard: 0/3, 1 BB, 1 K
Dobbs: 0/2, 0 BB, 1 K
Ibanez: 0/1, 1 BB, 1 K
Bruntlett: 0/1, 0 BB, 1 K
Ruiz: 0/1, 1 BB, 0 K


Kip Wells (R): 6.35 ERA, 6.0 BB/9, 6.4 K/9, 0.4 HR/9, 4.31 FIP, 51% GB

proj avg: 5.10 ERA, 4.4 BB/9, 6.5 K/9, 1.0 HR/9
gb: 49%
pitches: 70% sl, 12% sl, 10% cb, 8% ch
r/l: .755/.807
h/a: .756/.802

Wells vs Phillies:

Stairs: 3/20, 1 2B, 1 HR, 3 BB, 2 K, 1 HBP
Rollins: 1/19, 1 2B, 1 BB, 6 K
Utley: 4/15, 3 BB, 1 K
Howard: 2/12, 1 2B, 1 BB, 3 K
Werth: 1/5, 1 3B, 4 BB, 0 K, 1 HBP
Ibanez: 3/8, 1 2B, 1 BB, 3 K
Dobbs: 1/4, 1 BB, 2 K
Feliz: 2/6, 2 2B, 1 BB, 1 K
Victorino: 0/3, 2 BB, 1 K, 1 Sac
Ruiz: 0/4, 2 BB, 3 K
Bruntlett: 0/1, 0 BB, 1 K
Coste: 1/1, 0 BB, 0 K


Ron Villone (L): 0.00 ERA, 3.9 BB/9, 2.3 K/9, 0.0 HR/9, 3.93 FIP

proj avg: 4.40 ERA, 5.1 BB/9, 7.7 K/9, 0.9 HR/9
gb: 39%
pitches: 68% fb, 26% sl, 6% ch
r/l: .781 vs .701 ops; 1.4 vs 1.7 k/bb
h/a: .781 vs .731 ops; 1.5 vs 1.4 k/bb

Villone vs Phillies:

Stairs: 1/7, 6 BB, 3 K
Rollins: 2/7, 3 BB, 1 K
Howard: 1/8, 0 BB, 4 K
Utley: 1/5, 2 BB, 2 K, 1 HBP
Ibanez: 2/6, 0 BB, 1 K
Ruiz: 1/3, 1 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Feliz: 1/1, 1 2B, 1 BB, 0 K
Victorino: 1/2, 1 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Bruntlett: 0/1, 0 BB, 0 K
Coste: 0/1, 0 BB, 0 K
Dobbs: 1 BB


Jesus Colome (R): 11.25 ERA, 4.5 BB/9, 9.0 K/9, 0.0 HR/9, 2.66 FIP, 13% GB

proj avg: 4.50 ERA, 4.5 BB/9, 6.6 K/9, 0.9 HR/9
gb: 34%
pitches: 71% fb, 27% sl, 1% ch
r/l: 2.0 vs 0.95 k/bb, .698 vs .817 ops
h/a: .725 vs .777 ops; 1.6 vs 1.3 k/bb

Colome vs Phillies:

Victorino: 3/9, 1 BB, 0 K, 1 Sac
Werth: 1/8, 1 3B, 3 BB, 6 K
Rollins: 4/7, 2 HR, 3 BB, 0 K
Feliz: 3/7, 1 2B, 0 BB, 1 K
Ibanez: 1/5, 1 HR, 1 BB (IBB), 1 K, 1 SF
Coste: 1/5, 1 BB, 1 K
Howard: 0/4, 2 BB (1 IBB), 0 K
Utley: 3/3, 1 2B, 2 BB (1 IBB), 0 K, 1 HBP
Ruiz: 0/4, 1 BB, 0 K
Bruntlett: 1/4, 0 BB, 2 K
Stairs: 0/1, 2 BB, 1 K
Dobbs: 0/1, 0 BB, 1 K


Jason Bergmann (R): 5.40 ERA, 5.4 BB/9, 4.3 K/9, 1.1 HR/9, 5.92 FIP, 33% GB

proj avg: 4.65 ERA, 3.2 BB/9, 6.8 K/9, 1.3 HR/9
gb: 31%
pitches: 55% fb, 21% cb, 15% sl, 6% ch
r/l: .734/.870
h/a: .764/.840

Bergmann vs Phillies:

Victorino: 5/26, 2 2B, 1 3B, 2 BB, 3 K, 1 HBP
Rollins: 5/26, 1 2B, 1 3B, 1 HR, 2 BB (1 IBB), 2 K
Utley: 4/23, 2 2B, 1 3B, 1 BB, 3 K, 1 SF
Howard: 4/17, 1 HR, 7 BB (2 IBB), 7 K
Ruiz: 3/11, 2 2B, 0 BB, 3 K
Coste: 4/8, 1 2B, 1 HR, 0 BB, 0 K
Dobbs: 1/7, 0 BB, 1 K, 1 SF
Feliz: 2/6, 0 BB, 1 K
Werth: 0/4, 0 BB, 1 K


DEMOTED TO AAA: Garrett Mock (R): 6.92 ERA, 5.5 BB/9, 4.2 K/9, 0.0 HR/9, 4.32 FIP, 54% GB

proj avg: 4.50 ERA, 3.7 BB/9, 7.4 K/9, 1.1 HR/9
gb: 47%
pitches: 59% fb, 20% cb, 11% ch, 8% sl, 2% ct
r/l: .689/.704
h/a: .730/.643

Mock vs Phillies:

Victorino: 2/5, 0 BB, 0 K, 1 SF
Feliz: 2/5, 1 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Rollins: 2/4, 1 2B, 1 BB, 0 K
Ruiz: 1/5, 0 BB, 0 K
Bruntlett: 0/3, 0 BB, 2 K
Coste: 1/2, 1 2B, 1 BB, 0 K
Werth: 0/3, 0 BB, 1 K
Dobbs: 0/2, 0 BB, 2 K
Ibanez: 1/2, 0 BB, 0 K
Howard: 0/1, 0 BB, 0 K
Stairs: 1 BB
Utley: 1/1, 0 BB, 0 K





PHILLIES


LINE UP



1) SS Jimmy Rollins (S): .223/.271/.332

projection average (proj): .285/.350/.460
projected BB/PA (bb): 8%
projected K/AB (k): 11%
career gb% (gb): 42%
career infield flies/flyball (iff): 10%
career infield hits/groundball (ifh): 5%
batting average on balls in play tendencies (babip): about average overall, though a little bit high popup rate so slightly below average.  my system has him at about .308.
swing/contact/zone facts (s/c/z): good eye, pretty selective, but very high contact rate so low walk rate
righty/lefty (r/l): 1.7 vs 1.3 k/bb, mostly because of higher k-rate as lhb.  otherwise similar on contact
home/away (h/a): 1.5 vs 1.7 k/bb; .805 vs .739 ops
pull/opposite (p/o): definite pull hitter
anything else (other): stole 47 bases in 50 attempts last year.

2) CF Shane Victorino (S): .280/.327/.440

proj: .285/.345/.430
bb: 7.5%
k: 13%
gb: 46%
iff: 15%
ifh: 8%
babip: slightly above average due to high babip on groundballs-- partly because infield plays in for him and he spreads the ball around well; not that high due to high infield fly rate.  my system sees him at .303.
s/c/z: pretety bad eye but high contact rate
r/l: much more power righthanded (1.6% to 3.8% HR rate), but much better k/bb as lefty: 1.65 vs 1.88; higher babip lefty also (.316 vs .286)
h/a: far fewer walks on road but nearly exactly the same strikeout rate, same power, same babip
p/o: pull hitter both ways
other: stole 36 of 47 bases last year

3) 2B Chase Utley (L): .289/.425/.550

proj: .295/.380/.525
bb: 9.5%
k: 18%
gb: 37%
iff: 10%
ifh: 6%
babip: distinctly above average historically and for projections too; seemingly strong power leads to high line drive babip rate and reasonably high groundball babip especially for pull hitting lefty; high on flyballs despite high infield fly rate since he hits deep flyballs.  my system has him at about .308, but he beats projection systems consistently.
s/c/z: pretty good eye, somewhat selective, somewhat high contact rate
r/l: not significant-- only 1.7 vs 2.0 k/bb; .919 vs .865 ops
h/a: similar k/bb home & away; better hr at home-- probably park factors; higher babip at home too
p/o: pull hitter
other: much better against power pitchers relative to other hitters

4) 1B Ryan Howard (L): .263/.338/.542

proj: .275/.375/580
bb: 14%
k: 33%
gb: 40%
iff: 2%
ifh: 4%
babip: low on groundballs over time as he pulls the vast majority of them; very very high on flyballs because he almost never pops out in the infield at all and many of his flyballs are very deep.  also since so few of his flyballs stay in the park (only 2/3 or so), a higher percentage of his balls in play are line drives-- which he does well on like many power hitters-- his low contact rate means he sometimes make poor contact though.  probably above average overall
s/c/z: swings a lot especially for someone who doesn't see many strikes.  however, he is pretty good at distinguishing balls from strikes despite the consensus on him.  he makes terrible contact overall though.  my system sees him at .310.
r/l: 1.064 vs .786 ops: say it with me "that means he's good against righties, not bad against lefties!"  in fact, he's the best hitter against righties in baseball right now probably.  his k/bb vs lhp is 3.7 vs 1.6 vs rhp.  he has a lot of power against lefties however, but a lower babip.  i don't have split data on pull% vs lhp/rhp but observationally i'm pretty sure that's the difference in his babip: .338 vs .309.
h/a: much higher babip on road.  very similar hr numbers.  2.0 vs 3.2 k/bb.
p/o: pull hitter, especially on groundballs-- hits more homeruns the opposite way though
other: struggles mightily against power pitchers and groundball pitchers, dominate flyball pitchers (since he almost never pops out, and has 10.3% hr rate) and smashes finesse pitchers (11.8% hr rate); he also does much better on babip with runners on base as defenders can't shift against him-- especially with runners in scoring position

5) RF Jayson Werth (R): .255/.346/.472

proj: .270/.360/.460
bb: 12.5%
k: 29%
gb: 38%
iff: 8%
ifh: 8%
babip: high on groundballs due to high infield hit rate, high on line drives due to power, and hits pretty deep flyballs too; has been historically probably higher than it should be since he's faced more lhp than normal rhb do; overall still seems to be very above average.  my system has him at .329.
s/c/z: very selective and pretty good eye; somewhat low contact rate
r/l: .762 vs .919 ops; 2.4 vs 2.0 k/bb; hr rate of 6.7% vs 2.9%
h/a: not much of a split at all
p/o: spreads ball around well for power hitter, but still a pull hitter
other: stole 20 bases in 21 attempts last year

6) LF Raul Ibanez (L): .339/.402/.707

proj: .285/.350/.480
bb: 9%
k: 17%
gb: 42%
iff: 11%
ifh: 5%
babip: above average, probably because he spreads the ball around pretty well for a power hitter; much better babip with men on-- probably hooks ball in hole well or maybe he was shifted against more so beforehand.  my system sees him right at .300.
s/c/z: definitely a good eye though it's getting worse, slightly above average contact
r/l: .850 vs .733; 1.5 vs 2.8 k/bb
h/a: better k/bb (1.6 vs 1.9) but worse power probably park factors, and probably likely to be better at home
p/o: slight pull hitter but not much for a power hitter
other: none

7) 3B Pedro Feliz (R): .307/.373/.433

proj: .250/.300/.420
bb: 6%
k: 15.5%
gb: 44%
iff: 15%
ifh: 5%
babip: very low-- pops up a lot, hits groundballs predictably to left side and is slow so they can play shaded over and deep; not all that much power so not terrific on line drives either, makes a lot of weak contact as he isn't good at making contact so he chops a lot of balls.  my system sees him at .271.
s/c/z: high swing rate and not terribly good at distinguishing balls from strikes.  swung significantly less in 2008, but it was as much of a decrease in balls as strikes, makes average contact
r/l: 3.3 vs 2.3 k/bb; .708 vs .755 ops, more babip and a little more power agaisnt lefties
h/a: much higher k rate on road, similar bb rate; more power on road, higher babip at home.  likely not much difference (.725 vs .716 overall ops)
p/o: definite pull hitter
other: defensive numbers dipped last year, had offseason surgery for back, perhaps these are related


8) Carlos Ruiz (R): .280/.386/.453

proj: .255/.335/.390
bb: 10%
k: 14%
gb: 50% (but rose in 2008 to 54% from 46%)
iff: 9.5%
ifh: 4%
babip: was extraordinarily low in 2008, but that seems to be rather flukey.  his high groundball rate and solid contact rate and pitch selection indicate he should be a good babip guy, but he does very poorly on groundball as he chops the ball a lot.  my system sees him at .288.
s/c/z: very good eye and excellent contact skill, extremely patient
r/l: bizarre reverse split despite 0.5 k/bb vs lhp and 1.2 vs rhp; impossibly low .204 babip against lhp, probably flukey and probably much better vs lhp in reality
h/a: similar k/bb, worse babip but higher power at home (park factors)
p/o: slight pull hitter
other: better against power pitchers






BENCH

C Chris Coste (R): .230/.319/.393

proj: .265/.315/.405
bb: 5.5%
k: 17.5%
gb: 40%
iff: 10%
ifh: 6%
babip: slightly below average, seemingly due to poor eye and swinging and hitting bad pitches.  my system sees him at .294.
s/c/z: high swing rate, pretty poor eye, average contact
r/l: .747 vs .855; same k/bb rate, much better babip against lhp, similar power but slightly more vs lhp
h/a: .886 vs .679; 5.4% vs 1.5% hr rate
p/o: pull hitter
other: struggles with power pitchers somewhat


IF/OF Eric Bruntlett (R): .118/.179/.235

proj: .240/.325/.335
bb: 10%
k: 18%
gb: 41%
iff: 14%
ifh: 5%
babip: high popup rate leads to low babip, but not that low; also doesn't do all that well on line drives due to lack of power
s/c/z: somewhat above average eye and doesn't swing much; makes very good contact, sees a lot of strikes
r/l: .592 vs .764 ops; 2.5 vs 1.2 k/bb; 5.7% vs 8.8% xbh/ab-- he's actually  average if not above average against lhp; he just is terrible against rhb.  he should be used as a counterswitch to loogy use against lefty pinch hitters
h/a: more power at home and more walks at home; similar strikeout rate and babip
p/o: opposite field hitter
other: none

IF Greg Dobbs (L): .135/.238/.216

proj: .285/.335/.445
bb: 7%
k: 17%
gb: 36%
iff: 13.5%
ifh: 3%
babip: has been high but probably should not be projected as high-- success derives from impossibly high line drive babip which doesn't typically happen for non-extreme power hitters.  given his popup rate, he probably isn't a .320 babip guy and there isn't a .285 hitter
s/c/z: poor eye but very high swing rate; average contact rate
r/l: .761 vs .579 ops despite impossible .481 babip against lhp.  in reality, he strikes out in 48% of at-bats against lhp.  he should never see them.  absolutely no power against lefties also.
h/a: virtually no split at all
p/o: pull hitter
other: much better against finesse pitchers

OF Matt Stairs (L): .300/.488/.633

proj: .255/.340/.440
bb: 11%
k: 22%
gb: 42%
iff: 11.5%
ifh: 5%
babip: average all around.  my system sees him at .295.
s/c/z: very good eye and slightly below average contact
r/l: .862 vs .748; much more power against rhp; 1.4 vs 2.1 k/bb
h/a: not much of a split at all
p/o: slight pull hitter but not much for a power hitter
other: use stairs in case of emergency

OF John Mayberry Jr. (R): .250/.250/.750

proj: .235/.290/.415
bb: 6.5%
k: 27%
iff: around 15-20% in minors
ifh: ?
babip: hits ball hard but pops up a lot; probably a bit average but tough to know; projected below average
s/c/z: not enough info
r/l: batter against lefties, particularly at making contact, in minors
h/a: not enough info
p/o: not enough info
other: none


ROTATION

FRIDAY STARTER: J.A. Happ (L): 2.60 ERA, 2.9 BB/9, 6.8 K/9, 0.65 HR/9, 3.67 FIP, 38% GB

proj avg: 4.40 ERA, 3.8 BB/9, 7.7 K/9, 1.2 HR/9
gb: 29% in majors thus far; 42% in AAA in 2008
pitches: 64% fb, 18% ch, 14% sl, 2% ct, 2% cb
r/l: 1.7 vs 3.0 k/bb in majors thus far; 2.7 vs 3.5 k/bb in AAA in 2008
h/a: not enough info

Happ vs Nationals:

Belliard: 1/3, 0 BB, 0 K
Willingham: 0/3, 0 BB, 0 K
Harris: 1/2, 0 BB, 0 K
Hernandez: 0/1, 1 BB, 0 K
Johnson: 0/2, 0 BB, 2 K
Kearns: 0/1, 0 BB, 0 K, 1 HBP
Zimmerman: 0/2, 0 BB, 1 K
Bard: 0/1, 0 BB, 0 K
Dunn: 0/1, 0 BB, 1 K
Guzman: 1/1, 0 BB, 0 K
Nieves: 1 BB


SATURDAY STARTER: Cole Hamels (L): 4.68 ERA, 1.9 BB/9, 9.1 K/9, 1.9 HR/9, 4.53 FIP, 38% GB

proj avg: 3.45 ERA, 2.3 BB/9, 8.4 K/9, 1.1 HR/9
gb: 40%
pitches: 55% fb, 32% ch, 14% cb
r/l: .680 vs .748, but same 3.6 k/bb both ways; slightly more power vs lhb-- this is probably selection bias as managers withhold all but the best lefties against him (explaining 20% of hitters faced are lefties only)
h/a: 3.85 vs 3.4 k/bb; .676 vs .709 ops-- less of a difference due to higher HR rate at home
other: much higher k-rate at night: 25% vs 20%, which is statistically significant.  ERA difference (4.71 vs 3.01 exaggerated by babip difference), as HR rate and XBH rate very similar.  most likely he strikes out more at night.

Hamels vs Nationals:

Zimmerman: 11/39, 2 2B, 2 HR, 1 BB, 8 K
Kearns: 6/23, 2 2B, 5 BB (1 IBB), 3 K
Belliard: 6/25, 1 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 8 K
Willingham: 3/13, 2 2B, 1 HR, 2 BB, 7 K
Johnson: 3/13, 3 2B, 1 BB, 4 K
Dunn: 1/9, 1 2B, 2 BB, 5 K
Guzman: 3/8, 0 BB, 0 K
Harris: 0/6, 1 BB, 4 K
Hernandez: 1/4, 0 BB, 0 K
Bard: 0/3, 0 BB, 0 K
Nieves: 1/2, 0 BB, 0 K


SUNDAY STARTER: Jamie Moyer (L): 7.42 ERA, 3.0 BB/9, 4.9 K/9, 2.5 HR/9, 6.90 FIP, 36% GB

proj avg: 4.80 ERA, 2.8 BB/9, 5.5 K/9, 1.2 HR/9
gb: 39%
pitches: 41% fb, 30% ct, 24% ch, 6% cb
r/l: virtually no split but that seems to be selection as he sees 24% lefties only compared with 32% league average for lhp
h/a: 2.3 vs 1.9 k/bb; not much difference on contact; slightly better babip at home but not more so than the average starter gets

Moyer vs Nationals:

Guzman: 14/43, 4 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 3 K, 1 Sac, 1 SF, 1 HBP
Belliard: 8/30, 5 2B, 1 HR, 2 BB, 9 K, 1 Sac
Zimmerman: 4/24, 1 2B, 4 BB, 3 K
Willingham: 2/23, 1 2B, 1 3B, 0 BB, 4 K, 1 HBP
Johnson: 1/15, 4 BB, 3 K, 1 HBP
Bard: 6/16, 2 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 0 K
Harris: 4/15, 1 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 4 K, 1 Sac
Kearns: 5/14, 2 2B, 1 3B, 3 BB, 1 K
Hernandez: 5/10, 1 2B, 0 BB, 2 K
Dunn: 1/4, 1 2B, 2 BB, 1 K
Nieves: 0/3, 0 BB, 1 K

NOT STARTING THIS SERIES: Joe Blanton (R): 6.14 ERA, 3.3 BB/9, 8.4 K/9, 1.6 HR/9, 4.80 FIP, 40% GB

proj avg: 4.25 ERA, 2.5 BB/9, 5.8 K/9, 0.9 HR/9
gb: 45%
pitches: 56% fb, 16% ch, 15% sl, 12% cb
r/l: 2.3 vs 1.8 k/bb; .750 vs .719 ops
h/a: 2.2 vs 2.0 k/bb; .698 vs .776 ops; much worse babip away (.313 vs .282), more power surrendered on road
other: extraordinarily good against leadoff hitters, especially the first hitter of games

Blanton vs Nationals:

Zimmerman: 7/14, 2 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR, 1 BB, 2 K
Dunn: 3/9, 1 HR, 3 BB (1 IBB), 3 K
Guzman: 3/12, 0 BB, 4 K
Johnson: 5/10, 1 2B, 2 BB, 2 K
Kearns: 2/8, 1 2B, 3 BB, 1 K
Belliard: 3/8, 1 2B, 1 BB, 0 K
Hernandez: 2/8, 1 2B, 1 BB, 1 K
Nieves: 2/7, 0 BB, 0 K
Harris: 2/6, 1 HR, 0 BB, 0 K
Willingham: 1/4, 0 BB, 1 K


DISABLED LIST: Brett Myers (R): 4.66 ERA, 2.8 BB/9, 6.5 K/9, 2.4 HR/9, 6.32 FIP, 47% GB

proj avg: 4.15 ERA, 3.1 BB/9, 8.0 K/9, 1.3 HR/9
gb: 47%
pitches: 48% fb, 23% cb, 18% sl, 9% ch, 1% ct, 0.2% sf
r/l: .788 vs .747 ops despite 3.1 vs 1.95 k/bb; main issue is much higher HR rate vs rhb, slightly higher babip vs them as well; does not seem to be selection bias
h/a: .738 vs .800 ops; 2.7 vs 2.15 k/bb; slightly higher HR rate at home, but that is probably park factors as he surrenders far more doubles on road
other: HR rate is bizarre-- very few pitchers have the HR/Flyball rate he does.  My personal suspicion is that statistics that don't exhibit much persistence despite what common sense suggests only do not exhibit persistence specifically because players make adjustments.  If you throw fastball after fastball on the outside corner on every 1-2 count, the hitters will respond by hitting singles to the opposite field over and over again and your BABIP will go up.  However, pitchers learn to mix up their pitches and BABIP ends up lacking persistence due to the constant game theoretical reaction that pitchers and hitters take.  For Myers, his bizarre refusal to use his curveball early in the game leaves him especially vulernable to RHB who know it isn't coming.  A little game theoretical mixed strategy would probably allow him to finally live up to his peripherals which suggest a low HR rate and borderline ace stuff.

Myers vs Nationals:

zimmerman: 13/35, 5 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR, 5 BB, 5 K, 1 SF
Johnson: 5/26, 3 2B, 1 HR, 5 BB, 9 K, 1 HBP
Kearns: 7/25, 2 2B, 2 BB, 4 K, 1 SF, 2 HBP
Guzman: 9/28, 0 BB, 4 K
Dunn: 3/21, 1 2B, 2 HR, 6 BB, 8 K
Willingham: 7/19, 1 2B, 1 3B, 2 HR, 1 BB, 5 K, 1 HBP
Belliard: 4/18, 0 BB, 3 K, 1 HBP
Harris: 0/14, 5 BB, 5 K
Hernandez: 5/9, 1 2B, 0 BB, 1 K
Bard: 0/3, 0 BB, 1 K



BULLPEN

CL Brad Lidge (R): 8.85 ERA, 5.75 BB/9, 9.7 K/9, 2.7 HR/9, 6.90 FIP, 37% GB

proj avg: 3.50 ERA, 4.1 BB?9, 11.0 K/9, 0.8 HR/9
gb: 41% (though this went up to 46% with increased slider use in 2008)
pitches: 56% sl, 43% fb, 0.4% ch in 2008 (historically 54% fb, 42% sl)
r/l: 3.6 vs 2.8 k/bb; .601 vs .686 ops (tough to tell if that tendency became more or less extreme in 2008 due to limited sample size)
h/a: 3.6 vs 2.9 k/bb; .666 vs .614 ops though due to higher babip away
other: HR/Flyball plummeted in 2008-- probably unsustainably low and his ERA should rise; still rumors of him tipping pitches explain the HR/Flyball spike in 2006 & 2007

Lidge vs Nationals:

Dunn: 4/18, 1 2B, 1 HR, 4 BB (1 IBB), 9 K, 1 SF, 1 HBP
Kearns: 3/9, 1 HR, 1 BB, 4 K, 1 HBP
Belliard: 0/6, 0 BB, 0 K
Harris: 2/6, 1 2B, 0 BB, 3 K
Willingham: 0/4, 1 BB, 0 K
Zimmerman: 2/5, 1 HR, 0 BB, 1 K
Bard: 1/3, 1 2B, 1 BB, 0 K
Johnson: 2/3, 1 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Guzman: 2/3, 0 BB, 0 K
Hernandez: 1/2, 0 BB, 0 K
Nieves: 0/1, 0 BB, 0 K


Ryan Madson (R): 2.82 ERA, 2.4 BB/9, 9.7 K/9, 0.0 HR/9, 1.82 FIP, 41% GB

proj avg: 3.80 ERA, 2.9 BB/9, 7.2 K/9, 0.8 HR/9
gb: 48%
pitches: 58% fb, 24% ch, 15% ct, 4% cb
r/l: 3.65 vs 1.8 k/bb; .714 vs .786 ops
h/a: no major split at all

Madson vs Nationals:

Willingham: 6/17, 2 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 4 K
Zimmerman: 7/18, 3 2B, 1 BB, 1 K
Kearns: 5/16, 2 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 3 K
Johnson: 3/6, 1 HR, 2 BB (1 IBB), 0 K, 1 SF, 1 HBP
Belliard: 2/6, 1 BB, 0 K, 1 Sac
Guzman: 6/8, 2 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Dunn: 3/5, 1 HR, 1 BB (1 IBB), 1 K
Harris: 2/4, 1 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Hernandez: 2/4, 0 BB, 0 K
Bard: 0/2, 0 BB, 1 K
Nieves: 0/2, 0 BB, 2 K


Scott Eyre (L): 3.48 ERA, 7.0 BB/9, 6.1 K/9, 1.7 HR/9, 6.94 FIP, 40% GB

proj avg: 4.20 ERA, 4.1 BB/9, 8.8 K/9, 0.9 HR/9
gb: 41%
pitches: 59% fb, 35% sl, 6% ch, 0.2% cb
r/l: 1.5 vs 1.9 k/bb; .815 vs .720 ops
h/a: not much of a split

Eyre vs Nationals:

Dunn: 5/20, 3 HR, 2 BB, 10 K, 1 SF
Johnson: 2/14, 1 HR, 2 BB, 6 K
Guzman: 1/8, 2 BB, 1 K
Kearns: 2/4, 1 BB (IBB), 0 K
Harris: 1/2, 1 BB, 0 K, 1 Sac
Zimmerman: 0/3, 1 BB, 0 K
Hernandez: 0/1, 1 BB, 1 K
Willingham: 0/2, 0 BB, 2 K
Belliard: 0/1 , 0 BB, 0 K


Jack Taschner (L): 3.92 ERA, 6.5 BB/9, 4.8 K/9, 0.9 HR/9, 5.82 FIP, 34% GB

proj avg: 4.50 ERA, 4.1 BB/9, 8.0 K/9, 1.0 HR/9
gb: 35%
pitches: 57% fb, 30% sl, 13% ch
r/l: 1.45 vs 2.2 k/bb; .754 vs .747-- large selection bias where he faces only very good lefties and not very good righties
h/a: .698 vs .797 ops; 2.1 vs 1.5 k/bb

Taschner vs Nationals:

Dunn: 1/9, 2 BB, 4 K
Harris: 0/4, 0 BB, 2 K, 1 SF, 1 HBP
Johnson: 1/4, 2 BB, 0 K
Zimmerman: 1/4, 2 BB (1 IBB), 1 K
Guzman: 0/4, 1 BB, 1 K
Hernandez: 4/4, 2 2B, 0 BB, 0 K
Kearns: 0/2, 1 BB, 0 K
Willingham: 0/2, 1 BB, 1 K
Bard: 1/2, 1 2B, 0 BB, 1 K
Nieves: 0/1, 1 BB, 0 K


Chad Durbin (R): 4.62 ERA, 5.3 BB/9, 7.8 K/9, 1.1 HR/9, 5.22 FIP, 34% GB

proj avg: 4.10 ERA, 3.5 BB/9, 6.5 K/9, 1.0 HR/9
gb: 41%
pitches: 47% fb, 38% sl, 8% ch, 7% cb, 1% ct
r/l: virtually no split
h/a: somewhat of a reverse split but probably just noise

Durbin vs Nationals:

Guzman: 6/22, 1 3B, 1 BB, 2 K, 1 SF, 1 HBP
Zimmerman: 1/9, 1 HR, 1 BB, 4 K, 1 SF
Belliard: 2/8, 1 BB, 1 K
Kearns: 1/6, 1 BB, 0 K
Willingham: 2/4, 1 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1 K, 2 HBP
Harris: 2/6, 0 BB, 0 K
Johnson: 1/5, 0 BB, 0 K, 1 HBP
Dunn: 2/3, 1 2B, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1 K
Hernandez: 0/2, 1 BB, 0 K
Nieves: 0/2, 0 BB, 1 K
Bard: 1 BB


Clay Condrey (R): 2.00 ERA, 3.0 B/9, 6.0 K/9, 1.0 HR/9, 4.27 FIP, 53% GB

proj avg: 4.50 ERA, 2.8 BB/9, 4.9 K/9, 0.8 HR/9
gb: 50%
pitches: 59% fb, 17% ct, 15% sl, 9% ch
r/l: 2.1 vs 1.3 k/bb; .761 vs .842 ops
h/a: .703 vs .898 ops; 2.2 vs 1.3 k/bb

Condrey vs Nationals:

Zimmerman: 2/15, 0 BB, 2 K
Belliard: 3/10, 1 3B, 2 BB (1 IBB), 1 K
Dunn: 4/6, 2 HR, 1 BB (IBB), 1 K
Kearns: 1/5, 1 BB, 1 K
Willingham: 1/6, 1 BB (IBB), 1 K
Harris: 1/6, 0 BB, 1 K
Guzman: 2/5, 0 BB, 0 K
Hernandez: 0/2, 0 BB, 0 K
Johnson: 1/2, 0 BB, 0 K
Nieves: 0/2, 0 BB, 1 K


Chan Ho Park (R): 6.57 ERA, 4.7 BB/9, 6.3 K/9, 1.2 HR/9, 5.25 FIP, 43% GB

proj avg: 4.50 ERA, 3.5 BB/9, 7.3 K/9, 1.2 HR/9
gb: 45%
pitches: 51% FB, 29% SL, 12% cb, 5% ch, 4% ct
r/l: .666 vs .820 ops; 2.6 vs 1.3 k/bb; .280 vs .301 babip; 2.6% vs 3.6% HR rate-- much better against righties
h/a: 2.0 vs 1.7 k/bb; .708 vs .780 ops

Park vs Nationals:

Belliard: 3/16, 0 BB, 5 K
Guzman: 3/13, 2 BB, 1 K
Harris: 2/6, 0 BB, 0 K, 1 Sac
Dunn: 1/2, 1 2B, 4 BB (1 IBB), 1 K
Johnson: 1/2, 3 BB, 0 K
Willingham: 2/4, 1 2B, 1 BB, 1 K
Kearns: 0/1, 2 BB, 1 K
Zimmerman: 1/2, 1 HR, 1 BB, 1 K
Bard: 1/2, 0 BB, 0 K
Hernandez: 0/1, 0 BB, 0 K
Nieves: 0/1, 0 BB, 1 K


SUSPENDED: J.C. Romero (L)

proj avg: 4.00 ERA, 5.5 BB?9, 7.5 K/9, 0.7 HR/9
gb: 55%
pitches: 58% fb, 25% sl, 17% ch, 0.1% cb
r/l: 1.2 vs 2.2 k/bb; .814 vs. 591 ops
h/a: 1.6 vs 1.3 k/bb; .697 vs .768 ops

Romero vs Nationals:

Belliard: 3/8, 1 2B, 1 BB (IBB), 1 K
Harris: 0/8, 0 BB, 5 K
Johnson: 0/2, 1 BB, 0 K, 1 HBP
Cintron: 0/3, 0 BB, 0 K
Guzman: 2/3, 1 2B, 0 BB, 1 K
Dunn: 2 BB
Flores: 0/1, 1 BB, 0 K
Kearns: 0/2, 0 BB, 0 K
Nieves: 0/2, 0 BB, 1 K
Zimmerman: 0/2, 0 BB, 1 K
Willingham: 1/1, 0 BB, 0 K