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Predicting Pedro: What's He Going to Do Tonight?

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Pedro Martinez makes his Phillies debut tonight against the Cubs.  The big question is which Pedro is going to show up?  The Pedro that put up similar numbers to Jamie Moyer in the minors?  Or the Pedro who pitched horribly for the Mets last year?  Or the Pedro who pitched much better for the Mets just a few years ago?

Here, we're not concerned with how he's going to do the rest of the year - just with how he does tonight against the second place Cubs.

So respond to this post with the following:

IP - innings pitched

ER - earned runs allowed

R - runs allowed

K - strikeouts

BB - walks

HR - home runs given up

P - pitches

My guesses are in the first comment below.