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Phillies Pitching Probables, Mini-Week Edition (July 15-17, 2011)

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Just one series this week, obviously. Here are the pitchers.

Day Pitcher G GS IP K/9 BB/9 HR/9 BABIP GB% LD% FB% HR/FB ERA FIP xFIP SIERA
Friday Worley 10 8 49.0 6.80 3.67 0.37 .259 45.8 16.0 38.2 3.6% 2.20 3.27 4.05 4.11
Dickey 19 18 114.2 6.12 2.75 1.02 .284 51.8 15.4 32.8 10.7% 3.61 4.12 3.88 3.90
Saturday Hamels* 19 19 132.0 8.25 1.64 0.48 .257 53.0 15.1 31.9 6.3% 2.32 2.43 2.74 2.73
Niese* 19 18 111.1 7.44 2.83 0.73 .312 51.4 19.9 28.7 9.5% 3.88 3.41 3.36 3.50
Sunday Kendrick 22 7 60.1 4.03 2.69 0.90 .276 47.5 18.7 33.8 9.0% 3.58 4.46 4.46 4.53
BIG PELF 19 19 112.2 5.03 2.72 1.20 .283 42.8 17.8 39.4 10.0% 4.55 4.62 4.44 4.50

I'm guessing that what the Mets are trying to do here (well, maybe) is (1) hope Dickey messes up the Phils' hitters with his knuckleball, (2) use Niese to hold them down, since Niese has had a lot of success vs. the Phillies, and (3) hope they get into a big enough funk to be unable to hit BIG PELF, whom they frequently (though not always) run roughshod over. I don't know if stuff like this ever actually works, but if that's really what they're thinking, it's worth a shot.

Dickey and BIG PELF have been putting up some good lines of late, by the way (Dickey 2.42 ERA in last 10 G, BIG PELF 3.02 ERA in last 7 G), although their DIPS don't appear to provide much backup for that.

In other news, Hamels and Lee are awesome. [Edit: While Lee is awesome, it turns out he won't be pitching on Sunday. Kyle Kendrick is not awesome.] Also, I'm frequently amazed at how crappy BIG PELF's groundball stats are for someone who's supposed to be a groundball specialist.