On June 28th I wrote This piece in regards to what the Phillies should do at the deadline, provided they were "sort of in it, but not quite out of it. At the time, the team was 7.5 games back of both the division leading Braves and the wild card, with 4 teams between them and the wild card berth.
They had just lost Mike Adams to the DL, and over the next 16 games the also lost Ryan Howard and Ben Revere for 6-8 weeks.
They picked up one game on the division, jumped three teams in the wild card, and now find themselves just a half game behind the Nationals and 5.5 back of the wild card. Even the most pessimistic of fans, the ones who screamed to trade Cliff Lee and Chase Utley and rebuild the team, are having second thoughts about this team right now.
There are still 11 games left to go before the non waiver deadline, but the reality here is that the Phillies really have nine games against the Mets (with two vs. Wheeler and Harvey) and the two central division leaders, Detroit and St.Louis. A lot can happen between now and then, but lets assume the Phillies don't gain ground or lose ground here, and come July 29th, the last off day before the deadline, they're right where they are now (Unless they go 2-7,
What the hell should they do?
Well, they should be realistic.
The problem with this years deadline is that the team likely finds themselves right on the cusp, in a situation where they need the following things to happen to reach the playoffs:
- The Braves and probably the Reds have to play no better than .500 ball out.
- The Phillies need to play close to .600 baseball out
- Even if both those things happen, they have to hope that the Dodgers and Nationals both play 2 games worse than they do.
- They need to get Halladay, Howard, and Revere back sooner than later and productive.