Phillies Stat Notes: floundering Phils vs. nascent Nats

Contents

• NL Standings and team stats
  Phillies would get 6th 2015 pick if season ended today
• Phillies Team Stats vs. 2013 and vs. Nationals
  Phils have had the NL's worst BB% since June 21
• Individual Stats
  Phillies aren't very good at hitting
• Today in Phillies History
  Steve Carlton inducted into Hall of Fame 20 years ago
• Milestones
  Rollins will become the 8th player ever with 450 steals and 800 extra base hits

NL Standings and Team Stats

The Nats are holding on to a 1.5 game lead over Atlanta...

Reverse Standings

2015 Draft Pick

6th if the season ended today (5th by record, plus Houston's #2 comp. pick for Aiken)
7th based on projected end-of-season standings (FanGraphs: 6th by record, plus comp. pick)

Run Differential by Division

Thanks in large part to the Nationals, who lead the NL in run differential, the East continues to expand its lead in that measure:

And graphically:

Phillies Team Stats vs. 2013 and vs. Nationals

Hitting

Since the Phillies "peaked" at 34-38 on June 20th, 4 games back of the Division lead, they have lost 23 of 36 games (and that's including a 5-game winning streak). Over those 36 games, they are:

- 13th in scoring
- 13th in runs allowed

Their walk rate has gone from...

- 8.1% in the first 72 games (6th in the NL)
to
- 6.2% in the last 36 games (15th in the NL)

The Phillies are now last in the NL in scoring 3 or more runs (i.e. have the most games with 2 runs or less), not counting the Padres, who are in a league of their own this year.

Nationals
Overall as a team, the Nats don't do anything great, but do enough things well that it adds. They are near the bottom in steal attemps, but lead the league in stealing success rate (Phils are second):

Phillies hitters at Fangraphs
Nationals hitters at Fangraphs

Pitching and Defense

The slew of small numbers in the far right column shows how good the Nationals' pitching is. Compare and contrast with the rankings for the Phillies...

Phillies pitchers at Fangraphs
Nationals pitchers at Fangraphs

Individual Stats

Hitters

Grady Sizemore added below (his Phillies stats only).

That bottom third of the table is quite depressing:
- Howard is squarely in backup catcher territory
- Revere is hitting .300 but is still a below average hitter in CF
- Asche is forced to fall back on "Schmidt also sucked his first year"
- Brown has shown signs of life but his first half was sooo bad
- even Hernandez has disappointed, though in limited opportunities

This Date in Phillies History

Yesterday (7/30):

1937: Phils first baseman Dolf Camilli plays all 9 innings without making a putout
1957: Signed earlier in the day, Ron Northey hits a 2-run pinch-hit home run to help the Phils beat Cincinnati. It's his eighth career pinch-hit home run, tying a major league record
1959: Willie McCovey went 4-for-4 in his major league debut, including 2 triples, as the Giants beat the Phillies 7-2.
1995: Mike Schmidt and Richie Ashburn are inducted into baseball's Hall of Fame.
2006: Ryan Howard draws 5 walks in a game against Florida, tying a major-league record. The Phillies win 11-4.

One-time Phillie (1920 season and half of 1921) Casey Stengel was born on this date in 1890.

Transactions:

2006: Traded Bobby Abreu and Corey Lidle to New York (AL) for C.J. Henry, Matt Smith, Jesus Sanchez and Carlos Monastrios. Designated Ryan Franklin for assignment.
2007: Acquired Kyle Lohse from Cincinnati in exchange for Matt Maloney.
2011: Traded minor-leaguers Jonathan Singleton, Jarred Cosart, and Josh Zied to Houston for Hunter Pence.

Tomorrow (8/1):

1950: The Phils lose star pitcher Curt Simmons to military duty. Simmons was the first major-leaguer to serve in the Korean War.
1953: Hall of Famer Warren Spahn one-hits the Phillies. Richie Ashburn's fourth inning single was the Phils' only hit.
1958: Robin Roberts does the distance in a 3-1 win over Chicago, earning his 200th career victory.
1971: Tied after 11 innings and two rain delays, the Cards take the lead with 3 runs in the 12th. Before the Phillie come to bat, the game is again delayed by rain and the grounds crew claims the machine needed to clear water off the artificial turf is unavailable. The game is initially ruled a 3-3 tie, but the Cards protested and won. On Sept. 7, play resumed from the point of suspension, and the Phils managed 3 runs in the bottom of the 12th but lost after yielding another 3 in the 13th.
1996: Scott Rolen makes his major-league debut in the first game of a double-header against the Cardinals. He doubled in his second at bat for his first major league hit.
2004: Randy Wolf allows a hit to the first batter he sees, but still retires the Cubs on three pitches. Corey Patterson singled, Nomar Garciaparra hit into a double-play and Moises Alou grounded out -- each on the first pitch they saw.
2011: Released Dannys Baez

Third base coach Pete Mackanin celebrates birthday #63 tomorrow.

Source: broadandpattison.com

Milestones

Recent milestones by Phillies players, and those that may be reached over the next week...

Jimmy Rollins

• Rollins' next stolen base will make this his 11th season with 10+ HR and 20+ steals. No other shortstop has more than eight such seasons:

  10 - Jimmy Rollins
  8 - Derek Jeter
  7 - Barry Larkin
  6 - Hanley Ramirez
  5 - Jose Reyes

• His 20th steal will also give him 13 seasons with 20+. Only two shortstops have more:

  16 - Ozzie Smith
  14 - Bert Campaneris

• His next time caught stealing (6th of the year) will be the 95th of his career and will put him past Larry Bowa for sole possession of #1 in Phillies history. Caught stealing stats have been kept since 1951. When talking about Rollins and this caught stealing mark, lest people get the wrong idea it always feels necessary to add that Rollins has had one of the highest stealing success rates in history:
  
  - 9th highest among the 147 players with 300+ attempts
  - 4th highest among the 44 with 500+
  
  
• With two more extra base hits (37 total this year), Rollins will reach 800 for his career. He'll be...
  - the 2nd Phillie with 800+, joining Mike Schmidt (1015)
  - and the 5th shortstop in baseball history with that many, joining Ripken (1078), Wagner (996), Jeter (859), and Cronin (803).
• Rollins is also six stolen bases away from 450 for his career. When he reaches that, along with the 800 extra base hits, the exclusive club of players with that combination will get an 8th member:

Chase Utley

• Utley needs five more extra base hits (43 for the year) to reach 600 for his career. He had 29 extra base hits in April-May, but has only had 9 in June-July. In any case, when he does get five more he will join this group with 600+:

  1015 - Mike Schmidt
  798 - Jimmy Rollins
  686 - Ed Delahanty
  643 - Chuck Klein
  634 - Del Ennis

• His next HBP (9th this year) will tie Utley with Kid Elberfeld for 17th most all-time, at 165. Derek Jeter is 16th (167), and Alex Rodriguez 15th (169). Elberfeld was a turn of the century infielder who first came up with the Phillies (his SABR bio).

Jonathan Papelbon

• On the Phillies' all-time list, Papelbon passed Ron Reed (90) for 6th most, and needs two more (27 on the year) to tie Tug McGraw for 5th at 94.
• He's now tied with Tom Henke for 20th on the MLB all-time list, and needs three more (28 this year) to tie Robb Nen for 19th, at 314.

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For reference:

- Phillies All-time hitting leaders
- Phillies All-time pitching leaders