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Phillies Stat Notes: The worst road team goes on the road

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The Phillies' record would give them the #2 overall pick in 2016 if the season ended today. They start this road trip facing the beatable Reds, but if anyone can lose to them, it's the majors' worst road team.

The Phillies' second best player -- not yet in trade discussions, as far as we know.
The Phillies' second best player -- not yet in trade discussions, as far as we know.
Bill Streicher-USA TODAY Sports

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The Phillies are 1.5 games ahead of MLB-worst Milwaukee in the "race" for the first overall pick in 2016.

MLB Standings

The Phils head on the road, where they do have the undisputed worst record, as David S. Cohen details. No other team in MLB has won fewer than 10 road games, and no other team has a road W-L% below .345:

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It's worth noting again that the poor A's have essentially the same run differential as their neighbors across the Bay, and yet are only a half game ahead of the Phillies:

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NL Standings and Key Stats

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Phillies Stats vs. last year, and vs. the Reds

Hitting

There are now comments off to the right in the table below.

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Fangraphs team hitting stats

Pitching

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Fangraphs team pitching stats

Phillies Hitters

Andres Blanco, ladies and gentlemen:

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Fangraphs hitting stats

Phillies Pitchers

The table below compares Phils pitchers' stats, and uses FIP and xFIP to explain where they differ from the NL average for starting pitchers.

For example for Aaron Harang:
- xFIP assumes a league-average rate of fly balls leaving the yard, and so is essentially based on walks and strikeouts, and by that measure alone Harang has now allowed 6 more runs than the league average starter.
- FIP (unlike xFIP) uses the actual home runs allowed by the pitcher, and Harang has still allowed very few home runse, and so his FIP translates to 6 fewer runs allowed than an average pitcher. And since we've already established that he's 6 over based on walks and K's, he must therefore be 12 underthe average in runs allowed due to home runs.
- ERA captures the rest of the activity, due to BABIP/fielding, the timing of hits, his success at stranding runners, etc. And since Harang's ERA is well below his FIP, these other factors have allowed him to allow another 7 runs fewer than league average, beyond what FIP alone can explain, making his ERA the equivalent of 13 runs lower than the average NL starter. 
- Finally, he has allowed 2 more unearned runs than average, bringing his total runs allowed, given his innings pitched, to 11 fewer than the average starter:

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Milestones

Chase Utley

- Utley's next HBP (4th this year) will tie 19th century outfielder Curt Welch for 13th all-time.

Ben Revere

His next walk (14th this year) will surpass his total for the entire 2014 season. It will also be the 100th of his career.

Cole Hamels

- Hamels' next walk will tie him for 9th on the Phils' list with Kid Gleason, who began his major league career as a pitcher with the Phillies in 1888, later switched to second base, and came back to play there for the Phillies as late as 1908. Gleason was born in Camden, New Jersey, and is buried at Northwood Cemetery in West Oak Lane. However Gleason is best known as the manager of the 1919 Black Sox. His SABR Bio.

- He still needs two more wins to tie Curt Simmons for 5th most on the Phillies list. Here's hoping he wins three more to pass Simmons before he's traded:

Steve Carlton - 241
Robin Roberts - 234
Pete Alexander - 190
Chris Short - 132
Curt Simmons - 115
Cole Hamels - 113

Always-a-Phillie Jimmy Rollins

- Rollins has now been caught stealing 99 times, and will soon become the 125th player in history to have beeen caught 100+. Of the other 124, only THREE had more stolen bases at their 100th CS than Rollins' 458:

Tim Raines (612)
Willie Wilson (512)
Vince Coleman (486)

Rollins has been one of the most successful base stealers in history -- to put it another way, of the 44 players with 500+stolen base attempts since 1951 (when CS started being tracked regularly), only three have a higher SB success rate than Rollins.

- Below is a summary of where he stands on some key milestones among all shortstops, among switch hitters, and then out of all players:

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Shortstops:

With one more total base he'll tie Omar Vizquel for 5th among all shortstops. It will also tie Vizquel for 12th among all switch hitters to ever play the game.

He needs two more games at Short to reach 12th in most games there. And by the end of the month he will likely reach Alan Trammell at #11 in hits (needs 16).

Switch hitters:

In addition to the total bases, he could get to 4th in doubles among all switch hitters in history by the end of the season (needs 17).

All players:

Very soon Rollins will reach the top 100 all-time in both extra base hits (needs 2), and runs scored (needs 6).  The top 100 in total bases will likely have to wait until next year (needs 155).