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2016 Over/Under/Never Results


Philadelphia Phillies v Baltimore Orioles
Guys, we gotta step up our predictions game.
Photo by Leon Halip/Getty Images


Most of you have been patiently waiting, and here they are—the results from last spring’s Over/Under/Never/Predict Shit. As you may recall, we even had a Part II!

To recap, here were the events and corresponding predicted dates:

1. Phillies' first win of the season - April 6

2. Phillies' first walkoff loss of the season - May 1

3. Phillies' first walkoff win of the seson - May 1

4. Odubel Herrera's 10th career home run (needs 2) - May 20

5. Maikel Franco's first multi-home run game - June 1

6. Freddy Galvis' 69th career base on balls (needs 11) - June 9

7. Aaron Nola's 100th career strikeout (needs 32) - June 10

8. Vincent Velasquez's 100th career strikeout (needs 42) - July 1

9. Jerad Eickhoff's 100th career strikeout (needs 51) - July 15

10. Charlie Morton's 4th career run scored (as a hitter, needs 1) - August 1

11. "Now batting for the Phillies, Shortstop J.P. Crawford!" Crawford's first plate appearance as a Phillie - August 31

12. Aaron Altherr makes his season debut - September 10

13. Andres Blanco's seventh career position played (needs 1, has previously played at 2B, SS, 3B, DH, RF and 1B) - September 15

14. Ryan Howard's 1,500th career base hit (needs 90) - September 20

15. "Now pitching for the Phillies, Matt Harrison!" Harrison's first appearance - September 30

Phormer Phillies Bonus Round

16. Jimmy Rollins' 9,000th combined out recorded (putouts and assists, needs 12) - May 1

17. Cole Hamels' 2,000th career strikeout (needs 78) - July 15

18. Chase Utley's 250th career home run (needs 14) - September 30

Season Total Bonus Round

19. Total number of complete games pitched by Phillies pitchers (last year: 1)

20. Which comes first: Phillies' 70th season victory or confirmation of the next United States Supreme Court Justice? (h/t to Wet Luzinski)

21. Total number of players at all positions used by the Phillies (last year: 50)

22. Total number of pitchers with one or more game started (last year: 14)

23. Number of months with a winning percentage of .500 or greater (last year: 2)

24. Regular season total attendance at Citizen's Bank Park (last year: 1,831,080)

25. Phillies' final regular season record (last year: 63-99)

The Events for Part II were:

1. Longest Phillies winning streak (last year: six games)

2. Longest Phillies losing streak (last year: nine games)

3. Phillies' top three home run hitters and their production (last year: Howard 23, Franco 14, Francoeur 13)

4. Phillies' top three base stealers and their proficiency (last year: Revere 24, Hernandez 19, Herrera 16)

5. Order the 2016 debuts of the following prospects: Nick Williams, Roman Quinn, Jake Thompson, Andrew Knapp, J.P. Crawford and Mark Appel.

6. Total number of Pete Mackanin (or other manager) ejections (last year: one, Sandberg)

7. Total number of sacrifice bunts by anyone other than a pitcher (last year: 25)

8. Which will be greater: total plate appearances by Ryan Howard against a left-handed starting pitcher or appearances by Darin Ruf against a right-handed starting pitcher?

9. Which will be greater: total number of Phillies' home runs (last year: 130) or ground-ball double plays (last year: 119)?

10. Number of Phillies' major leaguers traded at or prior to the July trade deadline (bonus points for names).

So, the final tally: rv77 was the winner in Part I, correctly guessing 16 of 25 entries; while Schmenkman was the winner of Part II, with five out of ten correct! Congrats to you both! Those two were also our overall winners, each with a combined score of 18!

Sadly, because Schmenkman is a Bloglord here at TheGoodPhight, he is ineligible to receive our free chili sampler. Sadly, there is no free chili sampler because the Bloglords already sampled it all, so rv77 is also ineligible to receive it. Better luck next time.

In second place overall, with a combined score of 17 points, is numisman; and in a tie for third place, with 16 points each, are mchiodo and coopster778.

Here are the final scores:

Finally, some honorable mentions:

The Numbers Award goes to Schmenkman, for correctly guessing the season attendance total within 181 out of nearly two million;

the No-Trade Clause goes to Redburb, for correctly guessing that the Phillies would trade essentially nobody before the deadline; and

the Relentless Optimim Award goes to TwistyWristy, for his predictions of a 92-win season and 2.4M total attendance!

Congratulations to all entrants and heads up—the 2017 edition of this season-long shenanigan will be arriving imminently!



You may also recall that last year’s results featured a kitty wearing a bowtie named Ken Rosenclaws. I am and remain sad to report that Mr. Rosenclaws passed away roughly one week ago.