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Las Vegas is starting to love the Phillies

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The Phillies’ odds of going to the World Series have skyrocketed since the start of the 2018 season.

MLB: Philadelphia Phillies at Miami Marlins Jasen Vinlove-USA TODAY Sports

Hopefully, if you had intentions of placing a wager on the Phillies to make it to the World Series, you did so a long time ago.

The Las Vegas sports book Bovada is out with their latest World Series odds, and check out where they have the Phils.

Yes, that’s right, the Phillies currently have the 8th-best odds to win the World Series, at 15/1.

Now, it’s clear Vegas feels one of the top three American League teams are the clear favorites, but it’s also clear the Phils are in the mix. The numbers are obviously even better for the team to win the NL pennant.

Those are 6/1 odds for your Phillies to reach the Fall Classic in October, thanks to holding onto first place as we begin the start of the unofficial second half of the season. Only the Cubs, at 7/2, and the Dodgers, with Manny Machado in tow at 3/1, are better.

The D-Backs are next, at 15/2, with the Braves and Brewers not far behind at 8/1 and the Nationals at 9/1. That’s a drastic change from before the season when, in late February, the Nats were a 7/2 favorite to win the pennant, followed by the Mets at 12/1 and the Phillies at 50/1.

From 50/1 to 6/1.

As for winning the NL East, Vegas still sees it as a toss-up.

Obviously, winning the division keeps the Phillies out of a one-game wild card playoff and increases their chances of making a deep playoff. They exit the All-Star Break with a 53-42 record, 0.5 games better than the Braves and 5.5 better than the Nats.

How difficult will it be for the Phils to pull this off?

According to Fangraphs, the Phils are projected to win 85 games this season, one less than the Nationals at 86, and one more than the Braves at 84. Fangraphs sees the Nats going on a tear here in the second half, with a .578 winning percentage the rest of the way, while they see the Phils playing slightly below .500, at .479.

Fangraphs also notes the Phils have a slightly harder strength of schedule the rest of the way, with an opponents’ winning percentage of .497. Washington’s strength of schedule appears to be easier, at .482.

That being said, Fangraphs gives the Phillies a decent shot at making the postseason, a 47.1% chance. That’s behind other non-division winners the Diamondbacks (49.7%) and Brewers (48.7%), leaving the Phils just barely on the outside looking in.

For what it’s worth, numberFire’s projections think the Phillies will get in, with the Braves winning the NL East (43.0% chance compared to the Phils’ 39.8%), but the Phils sneaking in with playoff odds at 55.6% that are second-best among other would-be second place finishers (the Brewers are at 80.3%, with the D-Backs just behind the Phillies at 52.1%).

Obviously, these projections are mostly for fun, and they will change if the team makes some trades over the next two weeks, with improvements to the left side of the infield, the bullpen, and potentially another starting pitcher being added to the mix. Any of those moves will likely help their pursuit of their first playoff appearances since 2011.