The system still has three Top 100 prospects, a few guys with potential to join them and some far from the show potential with high ceilings (and all the risks that come with that profile).
10. Connor Seabold, LHP
7 G, 7 GS, 40 IP, 35 H, 10 ER, 10 BB, 36 K (AA, Reading)
2 G, 1 GS, 9 IP, 4 H, 1 ER, BB, 10 K (High-A, Clearwater)
4 G, 4 GS, 17 IP, 7 H, 2 ER, 3 BB, 22 K (Arizona Fall League)
Alex: 12, Allie: 8, Dan: 14, Jay: 14
Seabold is definitely a candidate for a breakout season in 2020, especially considering he was limited in 2019 with an oblique injury. In his return to Reading after his injury, he didn’t give up more than two earned runs in any of his seven starts and strung together five straight quality starts to end the season. While his ceiling isn’t elite, his floor is high enough that he’s made himself a top prospect within the system. The equal mix of his fastball, changeup and curveball keeps hitters guessing, and it’s that ability to keep hitters on their toes that gives him a boost in the rankings and puts him in the top 10. His primary goal for 2020 will be to continue to show the command he had at the end of the 2019 season in Reading and in the Arizona Fall League.
9. Enyel de los Santos, RHP
5 G, 1 GS, 11 IP, 13 H, 9 ER, 5 BB, 9 K (MLB, Phillies)
19 G, 19 GS, 94 IP, 81 H, 46 ER, 35 BB, 83 K (AAA, Lehigh Valley)
Alex: 13, Allie: 9, Dan: 10, Jay: 9
After an incredible 2018 campaign, Enyel, sadly, took a bit of a step back in 2019.
This can likely be attributed to 2019’s infamous juiced ball, as De Los Santos’ HR/9 spiked drastically from 0.9 in 2018, to a whopping 1.5 out of Triple-A in 2019. In the Majors, he was allowing home runs at a 3.3 per 9 clip — an astonishing rate.
While he was knocked around quite a bit last year, Enyel’s stuff is still there. The fastball has velocity, the changeup is still very good, and the breaking stuff moves.
It’s very possible that EDLS will see a bullpen conversion in 2020, (which analysts have been predicting for years,) but it is also plausible to believe that he’ll continue to stretch as a starter for just a bit longer.
The arsenal is solid and the velocity is there — with a little bit more command, De Los Santos still has a chance to be an impactful piece for the Phillies.
8. Rafael Marchan, C
22 G, 86 PA, .231/.291/.282, 0 HR, 3 RBI, 1 SB, 6 BB, 8 K (High-A, Clearwater)
63 G, 265 PA, .271/.347/.339, 0 HR, 20 RBI, 1 SB, 24 BB, 31 K (Low-A, Lakewood)
Alex: 8, Allie: 21, Dan: 7, Jay: 5
I apparently really, really like Rafael Marchan! I see a future potential hitting machine at the plate and above-average defense behind it. He is still a work-in-progress, but the hit-tool could develop into something special even if he only leaves the yard a few times a season (he has yet to hit a homer in four years since being signed). He is tiny, but super-athletic and haven’t heard too many negatives on his development as a catcher. At 21, with a year of full-season ball under his belt and hopefully JT Realmuto around for the next 5-6 years...lets let this one marinate a few seasons and we could get something special out of it.
7. Mickey Moniak, OF
119 G, 465 PA, .252/.303/.439, 11 HR, 67 RBI, 15 SB, 33 BB, 111 K (AA, Reading)
17 G, 74 PA, .186/.230/.300, 0 HR, 5 RBI, 3 SB, 4 BB, 17 K (Arizona Fall League)
Alex: 10, Allie: 6, Dan: 9, Jay: 6
The 2016 draft is looking a little better league wide recently, though not really because of anyone close to the top of the draft (late first rounders like Will Smith, Carter Kieboom and Gavin Lux potentially and second round star Pete Alonso). It’s a bit of a bummer that the Phillies had the 1:1 pick in such a weird draft that every team except the Dodgers seems to have flubbed. To be fair to Moniak, he’s not a bust yet, he has average to above average tools across the board and could still find an MLB starting role. I don’t think there’s any chance of him being a star, but maybe you could get a Jacoby Ellsbury-lite (get rid of the 2011 season) with fewer stolen bases and more time in Center Field. That said, there’s a good chance he’s more of a 4th OF. I’ll give him the benefit of the doubt, since he’s reportedly a very hard worker.
6. Adonis Medina, RHP
22 G, 21 GS, 105.2 IP, 103 H, 58 ER, 41 BB, 82 K (AA, Reading)
Alex: 6, Allie: 10, Dan: 5, Jay: 7
It’s truly amazing that Adonis Medina has managed to maintain a top-10 ranking within the Phillies system, despite having a rough year in 2019. Even though he took a big step back, the reason Medina continues to be ranked high is because when he is performing to the best of his ability, he can be extremely successful. The problem is, he’s struggled to perform to the best of his ability since his first full season of professional baseball in 2017. He shows flashes of brilliance, but can’t manage to maintain that for an extended period of time. His fastball, which sits comfortably in the mid-90s with good command, is clearly his top pitch. His changeup and slider aren’t too far behind. But again... they’re only great pitches when he’s on his game. He really needs to flip the script in 2020 and get back on the right path.
5. Luis Garcia, SS
127 G, 524 PA, .186/.261/.255, 4 HR, 36 RBI, 9 SB, 44 BB, 132 K (Low-A, Lakewood)
Alex: 5, Allie: 7, Dan: 6, Jay: 7
Don’t let the poor slash fool you — Luis Garcia still has the potential to be a blue-chip talent.
Garcia burst out onto the scene in 2018 and tore up Rookie ball, thus earning him an aggressive promotion to Single-A Lakewood in 2019, completely (and foolishly) jumping Low-A Williamsport. Garcia did not take to this promotion particularly well, as reflected in his terrible numbers from the 2019 season.
While his previous year is in no way encouraging, it’s important to keep in mind that Garcia was primarily focused on finding his power stroke last year, and his swing was constantly being tinkered with. Thus, his numbers took a major hit.
Luis still possesses a plus hit tool and electrifying defensive capabilities, alongside some decent speed, and a shortstop’s arm. He’s simply missing power — and, if he can unlock it, you’ll be seeing him on Top-100 lists for years to come.
4. Francisco Morales, RHP
27 G, 15 GS, 96.2 IP, 82 H, 41 ER, 46 BB, 129 K (Low-A, Lakewood)
Alex: 4, Allie: 4, Dan: 4, Jay: 4
We all love us some Francisco Morales. You watch video of his plus fastball/slider combo and you can’t help but feel excited about the possibilities. There are only two pitchers in the system with top of the rotation upside, Spencer Howard and Francisco Morales. While Howard is more refined and closer to a MLB debut, Morales is going to need to harness his command and repeat his delivery to succeed at higher levels. The Phillies were able to maintain his innings last year as a piggyback starter, but I’m going to guess they tighten the leash on him in Clearwater to see how his arm can hold up against a 100+ IP season. Consistency and control will dictate on how quickly he rises through the system.
3. Bryson Stott, SS
44 G, 182 PA, .274/.370/.446, 5 HR, 24 RBI, 5 SB, 22 BB, 39 K (Short-Season, Williamsport)
4 G, 11 PA, .667/.727/1.333, 1 HR, 3 RBI, 2 BB, 0 K (Rookie Ball, Gulf Coast Phillies East)
Alex: 3, Allie: 3, Dan: 3, Jay: 3
I almost didn’t write a draft preview of Stott last year because I was certain he’d be gone long before the Phillies’ pick. Stott’s got some natural power (probably average to slightly above) thanks to a swing with a lot of lift. The drawback to his swing is that it’s a bit long and he may be susceptible to high heat. He’s a bit stiff defensively, but he has good range, a good arm and a solid chance of sticking at Short. If he doesn’t switch positions (or only switches to Second), his power will profile well, but if he has to slide to Third Base or Outfield his power would be a little more fringy for the position. If the swing and defense end up working, Stott has some star potential (though I think, at best, he’s average defender at Short)
Tie 1. Spencer Howard, RHP
6 G, 6 GS, 30.2 IP, 20 H, 8 ER, 9 BB, 38 K (AA, Reading)
7 G, 7 GS, 35 IP, 19 H, 5 ER, 5 BB, 48 K (High-A, Clearwater)
6 G, 6 GS, 21.1 IP, 10 H, 5 ER, 10 BB, 27 K (Arizona Fall League)
Alex: 1, Allie: 1, Dan: 2, Jay: 2
Despite missing half of the 2019 season with injury, there’s absolutely no doubt that Spencer Howard is the top pitching prospect in the Phillies organization- and arguably the top prospect overall. He has four pitches that can get batters out, including a fastball that comfortably sits in the mid-to-upper 90s and came close to 100 MPH during the 2019 Arizona Fall League. His slider is his second-best pitch, but his changeup and curveball can both be used just as effectively. He still needs to refine his command a bit, but there’s a high possibility he will be capable of joining the Phillies’ starting rotation at some point during the 2020 season.
Tie 1. Alec Bohm, 1B
63 G, 238 PA, .269/.344/.500, 14 HR, 42 RBI, 2 SB, 28 BB, 38 K (AA, Reading)
40 G, 177 PA, .329/.395/.506, 4 HR, 27 RBI, 1 SB, 17 BB, 21 K (High-A, Clearwater)
22 G, 93 PA, .367/.441/.595, 3 HR, 11 RBI, 3 SB, 12 BB, 14 K (Low-A, Lakewood)
19 G, 78 PA, .361/.397/.528, 2 HR, 9 RBI, 0 SB, 5 BB, 16 K (Arizona Fall League)
Alex: 2, Allie: 2, Dan: 1, Jay: 1
What more is there to say about this kid? He tore up three - THREE - levels of Minor League ball in 2019. Then, he tore up the Arizona Fall League, against some of the game’s best and brightest — and NOW he’s tearing up Major League Spring Training! This kid can do anything!
Alec possesses a remarkable hit tool, and can put the ball anywhere he feels like. He also has a font of raw power within him that he hasn’t quite found all of yet, but, with time, he’ll surely unlock it.
The only thing Bohm lacks is an advanced defensive approach at third base, but the guy is an absolute workhorse, and is surely honing in on that part of his game in big league camp, and heading into the year.
There’s no questioning it anymore — Alec Bohm is due to be a stud.