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The Offseason: 2/25/2021

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Phillies/Miles Kennedy

Interestingly enough, it seems that the team is not done looking to add to their team. According to some reports, they have been looking in on Jake Odorizzi and seeing what his price might be. This report interests me because there is a lot to unpack with it.

The first thing to realize is that Odorizzi’s price tag is surely in the range that would mean the Phillies went over the luxury tax threshold. While it would put them over just a teensy bit, it would mean that they’d have to pay the tax regardless. This signals that the team is perhaps not worried about going over the tax threshold in 2021 if it means that they are better positioned to make a run at the playoffs. Adding Odorizzi would certainly help a rotation that will need all the help it can get after the top two arms that are projected to open the season.

At the same time, is Odorizzi really the guy that they want to sign that would make them spend that extra money? He wasn’t exactly lights out in 2020, even though we can mostly chalk it up to the funky season. His 2019 stats are good, but they aren’t going to blow people away. Plus, we aren’t sure what the cost will be for him. Is he looking at a one year deal in the $5-7 million range, or something closer to what Taijuan Walker just got from the Mets (2/$20M with a player option for a third)? If he’s looking for Walker money, I’m not sure that’s something the team should be interested in.

If they are going to be in the business of going over the tax (which they very well should be), it would probably be wiser to wait a bit and see where they are at after the first few months. If they are in the position to make a serious playoff run, then by all means, see what is out there for the taking. Take on that salary, pay that tax. But for right now? For Odorizzi? I’m just not feeling it.

On to the links.

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